Cesena v Palermo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cesena

20:00 UTC

Palermo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,161h before kick-off

Cesena win

23.0%

model 23.8%

Draw

27.7%

model 27.8%

Palermo win

49.3%

model 48.4%

232849

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.3%
0-1 9.8%
1-2 9.5%
0-2 8.9%
0-0 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.6%	Under 2.5	50.4%
BTTS yes	53.5%	BTTS no	46.5%
Cesena 1+	65.4%	Cesena 2+	28.7%
Palermo 1+	79.7%	Palermo 2+	47.4%

Expected goals 1.06 – 1.60. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

46/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Palermo (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 37%

67.2% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 332 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.5% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1261 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1408.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Palermo have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.0% for Cesena. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.06 for Cesena and 1.60 for Palermo.

Why Cesena

Nothing in the data singles out Cesena.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Palermo can win

Palermo carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1408. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cesena, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Palermo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cesena: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 17.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Palermo: 52% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Palermo are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242848	1.06–1.60	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	253045	1.01–1.42	1-1 14%	44%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win	45.0%	43.0%	25.5%	1.68×	2.33
Draw	29.7%	27.9%	31.9%	0.88×	3.58
Cesena to win	25.3%	27.9%	42.7%	0.65×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo & not both score	26.2%	25.2%	13.3%	1.89×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Palermo & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.56
Cesena & not both score	13.9%	13.3%	23.9%	0.56×	7.54
Cesena & both teams score	11.4%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.3%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo & over 1.5	33.9%	30.8%	18.8%	1.64×	3.25
Palermo & under 3.5	33.1%	30.8%	19.9%	1.54×	3.25
Palermo & over 2.5	25.0%	26.1%	15.1%	1.73×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.5%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Cesena & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	31.9%	0.56×	5.56
Palermo & under 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
Cesena & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	31.8%	0.57×	5.56
Cesena & over 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
Cesena & under 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	18.4%	0.70×	7.79
Palermo & over 3.5	11.9%	12.8%	5.7%	2.24×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Palermo & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.87×	7.79
Cesena & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Cesena & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (1UP)	59.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Cesena (1UP)	42.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2UP)	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Cesena (2UP)	25.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to win 2nd half	39.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	38.3%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Cesena to win 2nd half	22.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Palermo over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Palermo under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Palermo over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.7%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Cesena under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Cesena over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Cesena over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.3%	11.3%	—	—	8.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (+2.5)	97.3%	96.3%	93.3%	1.03×	1.04
Palermo (+1.5)	90.2%	92.1%	80.3%	1.15×	1.09
Palermo (+0.5)	74.7%	73.7%	57.3%	1.29×	1.36
Cesena (+0.5)	55.0%	57.0%	74.5%	0.77×	1.75
Palermo (-0.5)	45.0%	43.0%	25.5%	1.68×	2.33
Cesena (-0.5)	25.3%	26.3%	42.7%	0.62×	3.80
Cesena (-1.5)	9.8%	7.9%	19.7%	0.40×	12.67
Cesena (-2.5)	2.7%	3.7%	6.7%	0.55×	27.14

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to concede	63.5%	67.6%	77.7%	0.87×	1.48
Palermo clean sheet	36.5%	32.4%	22.3%	1.45×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 1st half	64.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Palermo to concede in 1st half	35.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo clean sheet in 2nd half	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Palermo to concede in 2nd half	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 6.5 corners	79.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Palermo over 2.5 corners	77.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Palermo under 5.5 corners	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Palermo over 3.5 corners	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Palermo under 4.5 corners	54.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Palermo over 4.5 corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Palermo under 3.5 corners	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Palermo over 5.5 corners	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Palermo under 2.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Palermo over 6.5 corners	20.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Palermo under 2.5 goals	82.9%	81.5%	90.8%	0.90×	1.23
Palermo over 0.5 goals	75.8%	76.2%	67.1%	1.14×	1.31
Palermo under 1.5 goals	58.5%	59.4%	69.4%	0.86×	1.68
Palermo over 1.5 goals	41.5%	40.6%	30.6%	1.32×	2.47
Palermo under 0.5 goals	24.2%	23.8%	32.9%	0.72×	4.21
Palermo over 2.5 goals	17.1%	18.5%	9.2%	2.01×	5.40
Palermo over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	1.9%	4.09×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Palermo under 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Palermo over 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Palermo over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.50

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo scores more in 2nd half	39.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Palermo scores equally in both	37.4%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Palermo scores more in 1st half	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.1%	51.7%	42.7%	1.21×	1.93
Cesena (away no bet)	45.9%	48.3%	57.3%	0.84×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo even goals	52.9%	52.6%	55.4%	0.95×	1.90
Palermo odd goals	47.1%	47.4%	44.6%	1.06×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.9%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Palermo to score 2+ in a row	34.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Cesena to score 2+ in a row	19.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Palermo to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Cesena to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.6%	—	—	37.98

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena corners (+3.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Cesena corners (+2.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Palermo corners (+3.5)	76.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cesena corners (+1.5)	73.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Palermo corners (+2.5)	68.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Palermo corners (+1.5)	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cesena corners (-1.5)	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cesena corners (-2.5)	31.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Palermo corners (-1.5)	26.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Cesena corners (-3.5)	23.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Palermo corners (-2.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Palermo corners (-3.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	40.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.1%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
0-0	10.3%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-2	8.9%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.51
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.31
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.31
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (2nd half DNB)	63.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Cesena (2nd half DNB)	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo leading at HT (DNB)	58.5%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Cesena leading at HT (DNB)	41.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (X2)	74.7%	72.1%	57.3%	1.26×	1.39
Cesena or Palermo (12)	70.3%	72.1%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Cesena or draw (1X)	55.0%	57.0%	74.5%	0.77×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw at HT	78.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Cesena or draw at HT	68.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Cesena or Palermo at HT	53.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw (1UP)	74.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Cesena or draw (1UP)	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo or draw in 2nd half	77.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Cesena or Palermo in 2nd half	61.7%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Cesena or draw in 2nd half	60.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.7%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (DNB)	64.1%	62.7%	37.4%	1.68×	1.60
Cesena (DNB)	35.9%	37.3%	62.6%	0.60×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score first	52.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Cesena to score first	37.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.3%	9.4%	—	—	10.69

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.4%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.6%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.2%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	35.5%	38.4%	39.4%	0.98×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.1%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.9%	85.6%	86.1%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.1%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.5%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A goal in each half	48.8%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.8%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.5%	22.9%	23.5%	0.97×	4.37
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.8%	36.6%	0.92×	2.96
Palermo to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.3%	21.5%	1.04×	4.49
Palermo to score exactly 0	24.2%	22.3%	32.9%	0.68×	4.49
Palermo to score 3+	17.1%	19.6%	9.2%	2.12×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	35.9%	0.99×	2.81
Cesena to score exactly 0	36.5%	35.6%	22.3%	1.60×	2.81
Cesena to score exactly 2	18.5%	18.8%	25.9%	0.72×	5.33
Cesena to score 3+	8.2%	10.3%	16.2%	0.64×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Palermo leading at HT	31.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Cesena leading at HT	22.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo -1: 1	55.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Palermo -1: 2	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Palermo -1: X	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:1)	74.7%	71.1%	57.3%	1.24×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.5%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61
Cesena (0:1)	9.8%	9.3%	19.7%	0.47×	10.76

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:2)	90.2%	90.7%	80.3%	1.13×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	13.1%	0.59×	13.05
Cesena (0:2)	2.7%	3.7%	6.7%	0.56×	26.72

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:3)	97.3%	96.6%	93.3%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	42.13
Cesena (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	82.12
Cesena (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.22×	82.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena (1:0)	55.0%	58.2%	74.5%	0.78×	1.72
Palermo (1:0)	22.6%	21.7%	10.0%	2.18×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	22.4%	21.7%	15.7%	1.38×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena (2:0)	77.4%	80.5%	90.0%	0.89×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	14.0%	10.3%	6.5%	1.59×	9.71
Palermo (2:0)	8.6%	6.4%	3.6%	1.77×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.6%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	28.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena to concede	75.8%	76.0%	67.1%	1.13×	1.32
Cesena clean sheet	24.2%	24.0%	32.9%	0.73×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena clean sheet in 1st half	56.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Cesena to concede in 1st half	43.3%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Cesena clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cesena over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cesena under 6.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cesena over 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cesena under 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cesena over 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cesena under 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cesena over 6.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Cesena under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Cesena under 2.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.4%	95.9%	1.01×	1.04
Cesena under 2.5 goals	91.8%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.08
Cesena under 1.5 goals	73.3%	74.2%	58.0%	1.28×	1.35
Cesena over 0.5 goals	63.5%	63.6%	77.7%	0.82×	1.57
Cesena under 0.5 goals	36.5%	36.4%	22.3%	1.63×	2.75
Cesena over 1.5 goals	26.7%	25.8%	42.0%	0.61×	3.88
Cesena over 2.5 goals	8.2%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.86
Cesena over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.6%	4.1%	0.88×	27.59

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Cesena under 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Cesena over 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Cesena over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	5.2%	—	—	19.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena scores equally in both	46.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Cesena scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Cesena scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo (home no bet)	60.2%	59.9%	44.5%	1.35×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.8%	40.1%	55.5%	0.72×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena even goals	56.7%	55.3%	50.9%	1.09×	1.81
Cesena odd goals	43.3%	44.7%	49.1%	0.91×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
HT 0-1	20.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 1-0	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-0	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo at HT / Palermo at FT	24.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Palermo at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Cesena at HT / Cesena at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Cesena at FT	9.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.37
Cesena at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Palermo at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Cesena at HT / Palermo at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Palermo at HT / Cesena at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo to score last	52.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Cesena to score last	37.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	10.3%	8.8%	—	—	11.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.7%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Palermo to lead by 1 at any time	59.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Cesena to lead by 1 at any time	42.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Palermo to lead by 2 at any time	28.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Cesena to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.48
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Palermo to lead by 3 at any time	10.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Cesena to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.39

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena most corners	52.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Palermo most corners	36.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.7%	82.1%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	70.0%	68.8%	72.0%	0.96×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.5%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.0%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.5%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.0%	48.5%	43.5%	1.12×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.5%	43.6%	46.3%	0.94×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.0%	39.2%	44.0%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.8%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.5%	24.5%	23.5%	1.04×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.9%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.7%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.26
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palermo never behind	47.6%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Cesena never behind	30.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.3%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.3%	77.3%	75.2%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.2%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.3%	58.6%	52.4%	1.12×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.7%	41.4%	47.6%	0.87×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	28.8%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	22.7%	22.7%	24.8%	0.92×	4.40
Under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.7%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.6%	86.7%	89.3%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.3%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.3%	61.9%	64.0%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.7%	38.1%	36.0%	1.06×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.7%	27.6%	32.1%	0.86×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.4%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.4%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.6%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena not to score in both halves	84.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Palermo not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Palermo to score in both halves	24.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Cesena to score in both halves	15.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.6%	50.7%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Only Palermo scores	26.2%	26.0%	13.3%	1.95×	3.84
Only Cesena scores	13.9%	11.0%	23.9%	0.46×	9.06
Neither team scores	10.3%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	10.3%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.15
6 or more goals	3.7%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	24.6%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena not to win both halves	94.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Palermo not to win both halves	87.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Palermo to win both halves	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Cesena to win both halves	5.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena to win neither half	60.5%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Palermo to win either half	57.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Palermo to win neither half	42.2%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Cesena to win either half	39.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cesena not to win to nil	86.1%	88.1%	76.1%	1.16×	1.14
Palermo not to win to nil	73.8%	75.4%	86.7%	0.87×	1.33
Palermo to win to nil	26.2%	24.6%	13.3%	1.85×	4.06
Cesena to win to nil	13.9%	11.9%	23.9%	0.50×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.7%	27.9%	31.9%	0.88×	3.59
Palermo by 1	22.4%	24.1%	15.7%	1.54×	4.15
Cesena by 1	15.5%	17.0%	23.2%	0.74×	5.87
Palermo by 2	14.0%	11.8%	6.5%	1.82×	8.51
Palermo by 3+	8.6%	7.2%	3.6%	1.99×	13.90
Cesena by 2	7.0%	7.2%	13.1%	0.55×	13.91
Cesena by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.85