Ceuta v Albacete — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Ceuta

20:00 UTC

Albacete

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,017h before kick-off

Ceuta win

29.5%

model 33.4%

Draw

27.3%

model 26.1%

Albacete win

43.1%

model 40.6%

302743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
0-1 10.9%
1-0 9.7%
1-2 8.5%
0-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.7%	Under 2.5	53.3%
BTTS yes	51.3%	BTTS no	48.7%
Ceuta 1+	69.7%	Ceuta 2+	33.6%
Albacete 1+	74.0%	Albacete 2+	39.0%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Albacete (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 55%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Ceuta not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 76%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Albacete carry the stronger rating, 1470 Elo against 1437.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Albacete have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 29.5% for Ceuta and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.20 for Ceuta and 1.35 for Albacete.

Why Ceuta

Nothing in the data singles out Ceuta.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.20 to 1.35. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Albacete can win

Albacete carry the stronger rating, 1470 Elo against 1437.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Ceuta, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Albacete, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Ceuta: 50% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Albacete: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Albacete are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332641	1.20–1.35	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352739	1.19–1.29	1-1 13%	45%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to win	38.9%	36.4%	28.1%	1.30×	2.75
Ceuta to win	34.5%	30.4%	45.5%	0.67×	3.29
Draw	26.5%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete & not both score	22.2%	21.8%	13.4%	1.63×	4.58
Ceuta & not both score	19.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Albacete & both teams score	16.7%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.57
Ceuta & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.53
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete & under 3.5	29.2%	26.1%	19.6%	1.33×	3.84
Albacete & over 1.5	27.9%	26.1%	19.5%	1.34×	3.84
Ceuta & under 3.5	26.3%	26.1%	32.2%	0.81×	3.84
Ceuta & over 1.5	24.2%	21.6%	32.6%	0.66×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Albacete & over 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	16.7%	1.30×	4.63
Ceuta & over 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Albacete & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Ceuta & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Ceuta & under 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Albacete & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Albacete & over 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Ceuta & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (1UP)	54.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Ceuta (1UP)	50.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (2UP)	38.9%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Ceuta (2UP)	34.5%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Albacete to win 2nd half	34.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Ceuta to win 2nd half	28.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Albacete over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Albacete under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Albacete over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Ceuta under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Ceuta over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Ceuta over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	11.7%	—	—	8.56

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (+2.5)	95.3%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Albacete (+1.5)	85.7%	88.5%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Albacete (+0.5)	65.5%	68.7%	54.5%	1.26×	1.46
Ceuta (+0.5)	61.1%	62.9%	71.9%	0.88×	1.59
Albacete (-0.5)	38.9%	37.1%	28.1%	1.32×	2.70
Ceuta (-0.5)	34.5%	31.3%	45.5%	0.69×	3.19
Ceuta (-1.5)	14.3%	11.5%	19.6%	0.59×	8.66
Ceuta (-2.5)	4.7%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.02

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to concede	69.7%	72.4%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Albacete clean sheet	30.3%	27.6%	22.4%	1.23×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete clean sheet in 1st half	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Albacete to concede in 1st half	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete clean sheet in 2nd half	50.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Albacete to concede in 2nd half	49.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 6.5 corners	82.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Albacete over 2.5 corners	75.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Albacete under 5.5 corners	71.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Albacete over 3.5 corners	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Albacete under 4.5 corners	57.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Albacete over 4.5 corners	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Albacete under 3.5 corners	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Albacete over 5.5 corners	28.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Albacete under 2.5 corners	24.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Albacete over 6.5 corners	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Albacete under 2.5 goals	86.1%	87.8%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
Albacete over 0.5 goals	72.3%	71.8%	67.4%	1.07×	1.39
Albacete under 1.5 goals	63.2%	63.2%	69.4%	0.91×	1.58
Albacete over 1.5 goals	36.8%	36.8%	30.6%	1.20×	2.72
Albacete under 0.5 goals	27.7%	28.2%	32.6%	0.86×	3.55
Albacete over 2.5 goals	13.9%	12.2%	10.9%	1.12×	8.19
Albacete over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	3.0%	0.83×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Albacete under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Albacete over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Albacete over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	6.3%	—	—	15.95

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete scores equally in both	39.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Albacete scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Albacete scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (away no bet)	56.6%	57.4%	63.2%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.4%	42.6%	36.8%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete even goals	53.8%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Albacete odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.2%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Albacete to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Ceuta to score 2+ in a row	26.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Albacete to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.95
Ceuta to score 3+ in a row	7.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta corners (+3.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Ceuta corners (+2.5)	83.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Albacete corners (+3.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Ceuta corners (+1.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Albacete corners (+2.5)	66.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Albacete corners (+1.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Ceuta corners (-1.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Ceuta corners (-2.5)	33.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Ceuta corners (-3.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Albacete corners (-1.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Albacete corners (-2.5)	16.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Albacete corners (-3.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 8.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.72
1-0	10.3%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
0-2	6.9%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.29
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (2nd half DNB)	54.3%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Ceuta (2nd half DNB)	45.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete leading at HT (DNB)	50.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Ceuta leading at HT (DNB)	49.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta or Albacete (12)	73.5%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Albacete or draw (X2)	65.5%	69.6%	54.5%	1.28×	1.44
Ceuta or draw (1X)	61.1%	63.6%	71.9%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete or draw at HT	72.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Ceuta or draw at HT	72.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Ceuta or Albacete at HT	54.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete or draw (1UP)	65.5%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Ceuta or draw (1UP)	61.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete or draw in 2nd half	71.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Ceuta or draw in 2nd half	65.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Ceuta or Albacete in 2nd half	62.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (DNB)	53.0%	50.9%	38.2%	1.33×	1.96
Ceuta (DNB)	47.0%	49.1%	61.8%	0.79×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score first	47.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Ceuta to score first	44.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.1%	51.3%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.9%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.4%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.5%	38.4%	43.0%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.7%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.3%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	4.3%	4.9%	—	—	20.23

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.0%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A goal in each half	49.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.5%	26.6%	30.6%	0.87×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.4%	22.9%	26.7%	0.86×	4.37
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Albacete to score exactly 0	27.7%	27.4%	32.6%	0.84×	3.65
Albacete to score exactly 2	22.8%	22.3%	19.8%	1.13×	4.49
Albacete to score 3+	13.9%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Ceuta to score exactly 0	30.3%	32.6%	22.4%	1.45×	3.07
Ceuta to score exactly 2	21.6%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Ceuta to score 3+	11.9%	14.3%	17.2%	0.83×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Albacete leading at HT	27.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Ceuta leading at HT	27.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete -1: 1	61.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Albacete -1: X	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Albacete -1: 2	17.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:1)	65.5%	65.2%	54.5%	1.20×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Ceuta (0:1)	14.3%	13.7%	19.6%	0.70×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:2)	85.7%	87.1%	80.4%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	12.1%	0.64×	13.02
Ceuta (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.61

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:3)	95.3%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	5.3%	0.44×	42.08
Ceuta (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.06
Ceuta (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.4%	2.90×	82.14

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (1:0)	61.1%	65.2%	71.9%	0.91×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.7%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Albacete (1:0)	17.2%	17.1%	10.3%	1.66×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (2:0)	82.8%	84.6%	89.7%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.2%	10.3%	7.1%	1.44×	9.74
Albacete (2:0)	6.0%	6.4%	3.2%	1.96×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to concede	72.3%	73.1%	67.4%	1.08×	1.37
Ceuta clean sheet	27.7%	26.9%	32.6%	0.83×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Ceuta to concede in 1st half	40.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to concede in 2nd half	53.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Ceuta clean sheet in 2nd half	46.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta over 2.5 corners	85.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Ceuta over 3.5 corners	72.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Ceuta under 6.5 corners	69.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Ceuta over 4.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Ceuta under 5.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Ceuta over 5.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Ceuta under 4.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Ceuta over 6.5 corners	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Ceuta under 3.5 corners	27.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Ceuta under 2.5 corners	14.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Ceuta under 2.5 goals	88.1%	87.3%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Ceuta over 0.5 goals	69.7%	68.0%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Ceuta under 1.5 goals	66.5%	67.9%	58.0%	1.17×	1.47
Ceuta over 1.5 goals	33.5%	32.1%	42.0%	0.76×	3.12
Ceuta under 0.5 goals	30.3%	32.0%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Ceuta over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.7%	17.2%	0.74×	7.85
Ceuta over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Ceuta under 0.5 in 1st half	59.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Ceuta over 0.5 in 1st half	40.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Ceuta over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	5.4%	—	—	18.58

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta scores equally in both	41.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Ceuta scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Ceuta scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete (home no bet)	59.5%	56.5%	51.4%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.5%	43.5%	48.6%	0.90×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta even goals	54.6%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Ceuta odd goals	45.4%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	18.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.90
HT 2-0	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.90
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete at HT / Albacete at FT	20.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Ceuta at HT / Ceuta at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Albacete at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Ceuta at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Ceuta at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Albacete at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Ceuta at HT / Albacete at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Albacete at HT / Ceuta at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to score last	47.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Ceuta to score last	44.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Albacete to lead by 1 at any time	54.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Ceuta to lead by 1 at any time	50.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Albacete to lead by 2 at any time	22.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Ceuta to lead by 2 at any time	19.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Albacete to lead by 3 at any time	7.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Ceuta to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta most corners	55.3%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Albacete most corners	33.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.3%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.2%	68.8%	67.9%	1.01×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.1%	68.8%	62.8%	1.10×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.5%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
1-2 goals	46.9%	48.5%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.7%	43.6%	47.7%	0.91×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.0%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.5%	35.2%	36.4%	0.97×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.4%	24.5%	26.7%	0.92×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.7%	18.8%	23.2%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.9%	11.4%	0.78×	11.26
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete never behind	41.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Ceuta never behind	37.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.4%	87.6%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.2%	77.3%	71.8%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.5%	72.5%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.9%	52.6%	50.8%	1.03×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.1%	47.4%	49.2%	0.97×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	29.5%	27.5%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	23.8%	22.7%	28.2%	0.81×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.6%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.8%	86.7%	84.8%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.8%	67.5%	64.3%	1.05×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.4%	61.9%	61.6%	1.00×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.6%	38.1%	38.4%	0.99×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.2%	32.5%	35.7%	0.91×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.2%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.8%	5.6%	0.51×	35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Albacete not to score in both halves	78.4%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Albacete to score in both halves	21.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Ceuta to score in both halves	19.8%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.1%	53.8%	54.1%	0.99×	1.86
Only Albacete scores	22.2%	22.3%	13.4%	1.66×	4.49
Only Ceuta scores	19.6%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.23
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.4%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.2%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.15
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	8.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.5%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	23.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta not to win both halves	92.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Albacete not to win both halves	90.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Albacete to win both halves	9.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.93
Ceuta to win both halves	7.7%	5.9%	—	—	17.04

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Albacete to win either half	52.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Ceuta to win neither half	52.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Ceuta to win either half	48.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Albacete to win neither half	48.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta not to win to nil	80.4%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Albacete not to win to nil	77.8%	78.1%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Albacete to win to nil	22.2%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Ceuta to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.5%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59
Albacete by 1	21.7%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Ceuta by 1	20.2%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Albacete by 2	11.2%	11.7%	7.1%	1.65×	8.51
Ceuta by 2	9.7%	7.2%	12.1%	0.60×	13.90
Albacete by 3+	6.0%	7.2%	3.2%	2.21×	13.91
Ceuta by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	7.7%	0.36×	36.79