CF Montréal v Cincinnati — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

CF Montréal

23:30 UTC

Cincinnati

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 448h before kick-off

CF Montréal win

30.5%

model 32.6%

Draw

23.3%

model 23.4%

Cincinnati win

46.2%

model 44.0%

312346

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (555 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.1%
1-2 8.8%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 6.8%
0-1 5.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.4%	Under 2.5	34.6%
BTTS yes	66.4%	BTTS no	33.6%
CF Montréal 1+	78.7%	CF Montréal 2+	45.8%
Cincinnati 1+	83.8%	Cincinnati 2+	54.3%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Cincinnati (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 40%

63.2% fair odds 1.58

moderate signal · 308 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cincinnati (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 453 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Cincinnati carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1402.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cincinnati have an estimated 46.2% win probability, against 30.5% for CF Montréal and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.55 for CF Montréal and 1.82 for Cincinnati.

Why CF Montréal

Nothing in the data singles out CF Montréal.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Cincinnati can win

Cincinnati carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1402.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cincinnati, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

CF Montréal: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cincinnati: 57% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CF Montréal's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Cincinnati are the model's most likely outcome at 46.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332344	1.55–1.82	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342244	1.75–2.01	1-1 9%	72%	72%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to win	44.1%	43.0%	29.9%	1.44×	2.33
CF Montréal to win	33.9%	30.4%	45.4%	0.67×	3.29
Draw	22.0%	24.5%	24.9%	0.99×	4.08

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati & both teams score	29.4%	25.2%	17.8%	1.42×	3.97
CF Montréal & both teams score	23.1%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Cincinnati & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
CF Montréal & not both score	10.8%	13.3%	21.1%	0.63×	7.54
Draw & not both score	2.7%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.38

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati & over 1.5	39.8%	34.9%	23.5%	1.48×	2.87
Cincinnati & over 2.5	35.0%	34.8%	20.3%	1.72×	2.87
CF Montréal & over 1.5	30.1%	30.8%	37.1%	0.83×	3.24
CF Montréal & over 2.5	26.6%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Cincinnati & over 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	11.2%	1.92×	4.63
Cincinnati & under 3.5	20.5%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
CF Montréal & over 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
CF Montréal & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	28.3%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	8.9%	1.44×	7.76
Draw & under 2.5	11.3%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.76
Draw & over 3.5	10.7%	12.9%	8.9%	1.44×	7.76
Draw & under 3.5	11.3%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.76
Cincinnati & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.65
CF Montréal & under 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	14.5%	0.54×	12.65
Cincinnati & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.85
CF Montréal & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.86
Draw & under 1.5	2.7%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (1UP)	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
CF Montréal (1UP)	55.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (2UP)	44.1%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
CF Montréal (2UP)	33.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to win 2nd half	40.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
CF Montréal to win 2nd half	30.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
2nd half drawn	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (+2.5)	92.8%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Cincinnati (+1.5)	82.7%	82.5%	76.7%	1.07×	1.21
Cincinnati (+0.5)	66.1%	68.7%	54.6%	1.26×	1.46
CF Montréal (+0.5)	55.9%	57.0%	70.1%	0.81×	1.76
Cincinnati (-0.5)	44.1%	43.0%	29.9%	1.44×	2.33
CF Montréal (-0.5)	33.9%	31.3%	45.4%	0.69×	3.19
CF Montréal (-1.5)	17.3%	17.5%	23.3%	0.75×	5.70
CF Montréal (-2.5)	7.2%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.60

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede	82.6%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Cincinnati clean sheet	17.4%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati clean sheet in 1st half	47.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Cincinnati to concede in 1st half	52.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 6.5 corners	86.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Cincinnati under 5.5 corners	77.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Cincinnati over 2.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cincinnati under 4.5 corners	65.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Cincinnati over 3.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cincinnati under 3.5 corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Cincinnati over 4.5 corners	34.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Cincinnati under 2.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Cincinnati over 5.5 corners	22.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Cincinnati over 6.5 corners	13.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati over 0.5 goals	86.5%	87.8%	73.2%	1.20×	1.14
Cincinnati under 3.5 goals	85.6%	87.8%	93.9%	0.94×	1.14
Cincinnati under 2.5 goals	67.6%	68.0%	83.3%	0.82×	1.47
Cincinnati over 1.5 goals	59.5%	59.4%	38.7%	1.54×	1.68
Cincinnati under 1.5 goals	40.5%	40.6%	61.3%	0.66×	2.47
Cincinnati over 2.5 goals	32.4%	32.0%	16.7%	1.91×	3.13
Cincinnati over 3.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	6.1%	2.00×	8.22
Cincinnati under 0.5 goals	13.5%	12.2%	26.8%	0.45×	8.23

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 1st half	80.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 1st half	19.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (away no bet)	60.6%	61.9%	64.6%	0.96×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.4%	38.1%	35.4%	1.08×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati even goals	50.9%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Cincinnati odd goals	49.1%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.3%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	29.7%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.0%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cincinnati to score 2+ in a row	47.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row	38.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Cincinnati to score 3+ in a row	19.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row	13.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal corners (+3.5)	94.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
CF Montréal corners (+2.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
CF Montréal corners (+1.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cincinnati corners (+3.5)	61.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal corners (-1.5)	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cincinnati corners (+2.5)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
CF Montréal corners (-2.5)	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Cincinnati corners (+1.5)	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
CF Montréal corners (-3.5)	38.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cincinnati corners (-1.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Cincinnati corners (-2.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Cincinnati corners (-3.5)	5.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	34.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	26.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.50
Any other score	8.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.50
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
2-2	7.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.50
1-3	5.5%	7.4%	3.4%	2.16×	13.50
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.29
2-3	4.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.29
0-0	2.7%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.30
0-1	4.4%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.29
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.30
0-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.31
1-0	3.7%	1.7%	8.4%	0.21×	58.30
1-4	2.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.30
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
2-4	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	4.2%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	4.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.30
3-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.50×	58.31
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.31
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.74×	58.32

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati leading at HT (DNB)	52.3%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB)	47.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal or Cincinnati (12)	78.0%	75.5%	75.1%	1.00×	1.32
Cincinnati or draw (X2)	66.1%	69.6%	54.6%	1.27×	1.44
CF Montréal or draw (1X)	55.9%	57.0%	70.1%	0.81×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or draw at HT	69.5%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
CF Montréal or draw at HT	66.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
CF Montréal or Cincinnati at HT	63.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or draw (1UP)	66.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
CF Montréal or draw (1UP)	55.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal or Cincinnati in 2nd half	70.8%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Cincinnati or draw in 2nd half	69.8%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half	59.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	45.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (DNB)	56.5%	58.1%	39.7%	1.46×	1.72
CF Montréal (DNB)	43.5%	41.9%	60.3%	0.69×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score first	52.0%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
CF Montréal to score first	45.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.51

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	71.8%	62.5%	61.1%	1.02×	1.60
Not both teams to score	28.2%	37.5%	38.9%	0.96×	2.67

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	63.2%	50.3%	50.9%	0.99×	1.99
Not both score & under 2.5	19.1%	21.7%	29.9%	0.73×	4.61
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	9.2%	0.91×	11.99
Both score & under 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	10.3%	0.81×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	69.0%	71.3%	79.5%	0.90×	1.40
Both teams to score 2+	31.0%	28.7%	20.5%	1.40×	3.48

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	39.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Both score 2nd half only	31.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	16.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Both score in both halves	12.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	70.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	29.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.3%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	29.7%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.0%	42.1%	33.1%	1.27×	2.38
2-3 goals	37.6%	35.1%	42.5%	0.83×	2.85
0-1 goals	10.8%	16.9%	20.5%	0.82×	5.93
7+ goals	8.6%	7.6%	4.1%	1.85×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score 3+	32.4%	33.7%	16.7%	2.02×	2.96
Cincinnati to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
Cincinnati to score exactly 1	27.0%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Cincinnati to score exactly 0	13.5%	12.9%	26.8%	0.48×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
CF Montréal to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
CF Montréal to score 3+	25.5%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 0	17.4%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	36.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Cincinnati leading at HT	33.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
CF Montréal leading at HT	30.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati -1: 1	55.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Cincinnati -1: 2	25.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Cincinnati -1: X	19.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.73

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:1)	66.1%	65.2%	54.6%	1.19×	1.53
CF Montréal (0:1)	17.3%	17.8%	23.3%	0.76×	5.63
Draw (0:1)	16.6%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:2)	82.7%	82.9%	76.7%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	10.9%	12.8%	0.85×	9.18
CF Montréal (0:2)	7.2%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.98

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:3)	92.8%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.02
CF Montréal (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.54
CF Montréal (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (1:0)	55.9%	58.1%	70.1%	0.83×	1.72
Cincinnati (1:0)	25.0%	25.0%	13.2%	1.90×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (2:0)	75.0%	76.5%	86.8%	0.88×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	13.3%	10.4%	8.7%	1.20×	9.61
Cincinnati (2:0)	11.7%	10.4%	4.6%	2.27×	9.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.1%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede	86.5%	85.9%	73.2%	1.17×	1.16
CF Montréal clean sheet	13.5%	14.1%	26.8%	0.52×	7.12

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede in 1st half	55.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half	44.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal over 2.5 corners	90.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
CF Montréal over 3.5 corners	80.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
CF Montréal over 4.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
CF Montréal under 6.5 corners	56.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
CF Montréal over 5.5 corners	56.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
CF Montréal under 5.5 corners	43.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
CF Montréal over 6.5 corners	43.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
CF Montréal under 4.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
CF Montréal under 3.5 corners	19.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
CF Montréal under 2.5 corners	10.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 3.5 goals	90.0%	87.2%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
CF Montréal over 0.5 goals	82.6%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
CF Montréal under 2.5 goals	74.5%	74.3%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
CF Montréal over 1.5 goals	52.1%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
CF Montréal under 1.5 goals	47.9%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
CF Montréal over 2.5 goals	25.5%	25.7%	25.2%	1.02×	3.88
CF Montréal under 0.5 goals	17.4%	17.9%	18.0%	1.00×	5.58
CF Montréal over 3.5 goals	10.0%	12.8%	9.4%	1.36×	7.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half	82.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half	17.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (home no bet)	66.7%	63.9%	54.6%	1.17×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	33.3%	36.1%	45.4%	0.79×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal even goals	51.5%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
CF Montréal odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-0	15.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
Any other HT score	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 0-2	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 1-2	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati at HT / Cincinnati at FT	25.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT	20.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Cincinnati at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Cincinnati at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
CF Montréal at HT / Cincinnati at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Cincinnati at HT / CF Montréal at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score last	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
CF Montréal to score last	45.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.51

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Cincinnati to lead by 1 at any time	64.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.0%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time	55.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Cincinnati to lead by 2 at any time	34.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time	26.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Cincinnati to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal most corners	68.8%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Cincinnati most corners	22.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	8.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.6%	83.4%	75.5%	1.11×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.6%	78.6%	83.2%	0.95×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.5%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.0%	68.9%	73.1%	0.94×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.7%	63.4%	55.9%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.9%	59.1%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.6%	48.6%	57.2%	0.85×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	33.1%	1.32×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
2-3 goals	37.6%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.9%	35.3%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.0%	24.5%	34.4%	0.71×	4.08
5-6 goals	23.6%	24.5%	17.2%	1.43×	4.08
7+ goals	8.6%	8.8%	4.1%	2.14×	11.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati never behind	41.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
CF Montréal never behind	33.1%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	79.5%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.3%	82.3%	88.9%	0.93×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	59.9%	1.21×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	67.7%	66.2%	78.8%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	51.6%	52.6%	37.1%	1.42×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	48.4%	47.4%	62.9%	0.75×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	32.3%	33.8%	21.2%	1.59×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	40.1%	0.69×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	17.7%	17.7%	11.1%	1.59×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	20.5%	0.60×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.5%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.0%	86.7%	74.5%	1.16×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	79.3%	75.9%	87.6%	0.87×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.1%	67.4%	48.1%	1.40×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	60.0%	55.6%	74.8%	0.74×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	40.0%	44.4%	25.2%	1.76×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.9%	32.6%	51.9%	0.63×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	20.7%	24.1%	12.4%	1.95×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.0%	13.3%	25.5%	0.52×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.5%	7.6%	4.4%	1.72×	13.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.5%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.8%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	54.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to score in both halves	66.7%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Cincinnati not to score in both halves	61.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Cincinnati to score in both halves	38.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
CF Montréal to score in both halves	33.3%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	71.8%	66.4%	61.1%	1.09×	1.51
Only Cincinnati scores	14.7%	11.0%	12.3%	0.90×	9.09
Only CF Montréal scores	10.8%	11.0%	21.1%	0.52×	9.11
Neither team scores	2.7%	4.7%	5.8%	0.80×	21.49

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.7%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
6 or more goals	17.7%	17.4%	11.1%	1.57×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.9%	17.4%	19.7%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.5%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	8.1%	7.6%	14.8%	0.52×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	2.7%	4.5%	5.8%	0.76×	22.43

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
No goals in 2nd half	11.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win both halves	90.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Cincinnati not to win both halves	86.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Cincinnati to win both halves	13.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
CF Montréal to win both halves	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.46

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to win either half	60.4%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
CF Montréal to win either half	51.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
CF Montréal to win neither half	48.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Cincinnati to win neither half	39.6%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win to nil	89.2%	88.2%	78.9%	1.12×	1.13
Cincinnati not to win to nil	85.3%	88.1%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Cincinnati to win to nil	14.7%	11.9%	12.3%	0.97×	8.43
CF Montréal to win to nil	10.8%	11.8%	21.1%	0.56×	8.45

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.0%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Cincinnati by 1	19.1%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
CF Montréal by 1	16.6%	16.9%	22.2%	0.76×	5.91
Cincinnati by 2	13.3%	11.8%	8.7%	1.35×	8.49
Cincinnati by 3+	11.7%	11.8%	4.6%	2.57×	8.50
CF Montréal by 2	10.1%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.50
CF Montréal by 3+	7.2%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.81