Charlotte FC v CF Montréal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Charlotte FC

23:30 UTC

CF Montréal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 84h before kick-off

Charlotte FC win

60.5%

model 61.4%

Draw

21.6%

model 20.5%

CF Montréal win

17.9%

model 18.1%

602218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.7%
1-1 9.2%
2-0 8.5%
3-1 7.2%
1-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.7%	Under 2.5	34.3%
BTTS yes	61.5%	BTTS no	38.5%
Charlotte FC 1+	89.3%	Charlotte FC 2+	65.4%
CF Montréal 1+	68.4%	CF Montréal 2+	32.0%

Expected goals 2.23 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

57/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Charlotte FC (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Charlotte FC carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1389.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Charlotte FC have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.9% for CF Montréal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.23 for Charlotte FC and 1.15 for CF Montréal.

Why Charlotte FC

Charlotte FC carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1389. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why CF Montréal can win

Nothing in the data singles out CF Montréal.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Charlotte FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Charlotte FC: 46% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CF Montréal: 53% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Charlotte FC are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	612118	2.23–1.15	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	681913	2.38–0.97	2-0 10%	65%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win	68.2%	64.9%	45.3%	1.43×	1.54
Draw	18.5%	19.4%	24.8%	0.78×	5.16
CF Montréal to win	13.2%	13.5%	30.0%	0.45×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC & both teams score	34.2%	29.6%	24.4%	1.22×	3.37
Charlotte FC & not both score	34.0%	29.6%	21.1%	1.41×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	19.2%	0.69×	7.53
CF Montréal & both teams score	7.9%	8.3%	18.0%	0.46×	12.01
CF Montréal & not both score	5.3%	8.3%	12.1%	0.69×	12.02
Draw & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC & over 1.5	60.3%	54.6%	37.2%	1.47×	1.83
Charlotte FC & over 2.5	50.3%	48.8%	31.0%	1.57×	2.05
Charlotte FC & under 3.5	35.5%	34.9%	28.4%	1.23×	2.87
Charlotte FC & over 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	17.0%	1.81×	3.25
Charlotte FC & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
CF Montréal & over 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
CF Montréal & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
CF Montréal & under 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Charlotte FC & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
CF Montréal & under 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.81
CF Montréal & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	11.3%	0.43×	20.81
CF Montréal & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (1UP)	79.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
CF Montréal (1UP)	32.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (2UP)	68.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
CF Montréal (2UP)	13.2%	14.1%	—	—	7.12

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win 2nd half	55.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
2nd half drawn	28.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
CF Montréal to win 2nd half	15.8%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.4%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.6%	13.1%	—	—	7.62

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Charlotte FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Charlotte FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Charlotte FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (+0.5)	86.8%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
CF Montréal (+2.5)	74.1%	73.7%	89.4%	0.82×	1.36
Charlotte FC (-0.5)	68.2%	68.7%	45.3%	1.52×	1.46
CF Montréal (+1.5)	53.9%	52.4%	76.8%	0.68×	1.91
Charlotte FC (-1.5)	46.1%	47.6%	23.2%	2.05×	2.10
CF Montréal (+0.5)	31.8%	31.3%	54.7%	0.57×	3.19
Charlotte FC (-2.5)	25.9%	26.3%	10.6%	2.49×	3.80
CF Montréal (-0.5)	13.2%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede	90.7%	91.7%	82.3%	1.11×	1.09
CF Montréal clean sheet	9.3%	8.3%	17.7%	0.47×	12.01

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede in 1st half	64.0%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half	36.0%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede in 2nd half	74.2%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
CF Montréal clean sheet in 2nd half	25.8%	28.3%	—	—	3.53

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal over 2.5 corners	85.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
CF Montréal over 3.5 corners	74.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
CF Montréal under 6.5 corners	65.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
CF Montréal over 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal under 5.5 corners	53.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
CF Montréal over 5.5 corners	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
CF Montréal under 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
CF Montréal over 6.5 corners	34.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
CF Montréal under 3.5 corners	26.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
CF Montréal under 2.5 corners	14.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
CF Montréal under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
CF Montréal under 1.5 goals	74.8%	71.9%	61.2%	1.17×	1.39
CF Montréal over 0.5 goals	62.0%	63.2%	73.3%	0.86×	1.58
CF Montréal under 0.5 goals	38.0%	36.8%	26.7%	1.38×	2.72
CF Montréal over 1.5 goals	25.2%	28.1%	38.8%	0.73×	3.55
CF Montréal over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.06
CF Montréal over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half	67.9%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half	32.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal scores equally in both	47.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
CF Montréal scores more in 2nd half	33.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
CF Montréal scores more in 1st half	19.9%	18.3%	—	—	5.48

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (away no bet)	78.6%	73.7%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.4%	26.3%	35.4%	0.74×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal even goals	57.2%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
CF Montréal odd goals	42.8%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.3%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.7%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Charlotte FC to score 2+ in a row	61.2%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Charlotte FC to score 3+ in a row	32.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row	15.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal corners (+3.5)	87.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
CF Montréal corners (+2.5)	81.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Charlotte FC corners (+3.5)	74.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
CF Montréal corners (+1.5)	74.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Charlotte FC corners (+2.5)	65.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Charlotte FC corners (+1.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
CF Montréal corners (-1.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
CF Montréal corners (-2.5)	34.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Charlotte FC corners (-1.5)	25.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
CF Montréal corners (-3.5)	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Charlotte FC corners (-2.5)	18.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Charlotte FC corners (-3.5)	12.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	63.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	36.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
2-0	10.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
Any other score	9.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
3-0	7.9%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.51
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-0	3.9%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-1	3.0%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	4.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.29
4-1	4.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.29
4-2	2.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (2nd half DNB)	77.9%	80.5%	—	—	1.24
CF Montréal (2nd half DNB)	22.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC leading at HT (DNB)	78.8%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB)	21.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw (1X)	86.8%	86.5%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
Charlotte FC or CF Montréal (12)	81.5%	80.6%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
CF Montréal or draw (X2)	31.8%	35.1%	54.7%	0.64×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw at HT	86.3%	88.1%	—	—	1.13
Charlotte FC or CF Montréal at HT	64.8%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
CF Montréal or draw at HT	49.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw (1UP)	86.8%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
CF Montréal or draw (1UP)	32.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw in 2nd half	84.2%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Charlotte FC or CF Montréal in 2nd half	71.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half	44.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	53.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (DNB)	83.7%	80.4%	60.2%	1.34×	1.24
CF Montréal (DNB)	16.3%	19.6%	39.8%	0.49×	5.10

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score first	68.3%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
CF Montréal to score first	27.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.7%	55.0%	61.3%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.3%	45.0%	38.7%	1.16×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.2%	44.4%	51.1%	0.87×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	26.5%	33.3%	29.5%	1.13×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	16.8%	21.5%	9.2%	2.33×	4.64
Both score & under 2.5	8.5%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.7%	82.6%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.3%	17.4%	20.5%	0.85×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	26.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	6.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.4%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.9%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	35.1%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.2%	42.1%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.6%	35.1%	33.0%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.9%	17.0%	20.2%	0.84×	5.88
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.20

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score exactly 0	38.0%	35.9%	26.7%	1.34×	2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 2	17.8%	19.6%	22.2%	0.88×	5.11
CF Montréal to score 3+	7.5%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score 3+	42.4%	35.3%	25.0%	1.41×	2.84
Charlotte FC to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Charlotte FC to score exactly 1	22.1%	23.3%	31.1%	0.75×	4.29
Charlotte FC to score exactly 0	9.3%	10.4%	17.7%	0.58×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC leading at HT	51.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Draw at HT	35.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
CF Montréal leading at HT	13.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC -1: 1	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Charlotte FC -1: 2	31.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Charlotte FC -1: X	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:1)	46.1%	46.1%	23.2%	1.99×	2.17
CF Montréal (0:1)	31.8%	30.1%	54.7%	0.55×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:2)	53.9%	58.2%	76.8%	0.76×	1.72
Charlotte FC (0:2)	25.9%	24.0%	10.6%	2.26×	4.17
Draw (0:2)	20.2%	20.3%	12.7%	1.59×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:3)	74.1%	77.8%	89.4%	0.87×	1.29
Draw (0:3)	13.6%	9.9%	6.7%	1.49×	10.06
Charlotte FC (0:3)	12.3%	9.9%	4.1%	2.44×	10.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:4)	87.7%	91.9%	95.9%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.3%	4.7%	2.0%	2.30×	21.47
Charlotte FC (0:4)	5.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.62

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (1:0)	86.8%	86.1%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.7%	6.9%	17.1%	0.40×	14.46
CF Montréal (1:0)	4.5%	3.3%	13.0%	0.25×	30.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (2:0)	95.5%	96.8%	87.0%	1.11×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.3%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.68
CF Montréal (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to concede	62.0%	63.6%	73.3%	0.87×	1.57
Charlotte FC clean sheet	38.0%	36.4%	26.7%	1.36×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC clean sheet in 1st half	67.9%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Charlotte FC to concede in 1st half	32.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC clean sheet in 2nd half	55.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Charlotte FC to concede in 2nd half	44.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 6.5 corners	78.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Charlotte FC over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Charlotte FC under 5.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Charlotte FC over 3.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Charlotte FC under 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Charlotte FC over 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Charlotte FC under 3.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Charlotte FC over 5.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Charlotte FC under 2.5 corners	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Charlotte FC over 6.5 corners	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.2%	82.3%	1.12×	1.08
Charlotte FC under 3.5 goals	78.4%	77.8%	90.6%	0.86×	1.29
Charlotte FC over 1.5 goals	68.7%	68.0%	51.3%	1.32×	1.47
Charlotte FC under 2.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	75.0%	0.78×	1.71
Charlotte FC over 2.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	25.0%	1.65×	2.42
Charlotte FC under 1.5 goals	31.3%	32.0%	48.7%	0.66×	3.12
Charlotte FC over 3.5 goals	21.6%	22.2%	9.4%	2.38×	4.50
Charlotte FC under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	17.7%	0.44×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 1.5 in 1st half	72.7%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Charlotte FC over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Charlotte FC under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Charlotte FC over 1.5 in 1st half	27.3%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC scores more in 2nd half	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Charlotte FC scores more in 1st half	28.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Charlotte FC scores equally in both	27.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.3%	56.4%	45.3%	1.25×	1.77
CF Montréal (home no bet)	41.7%	43.6%	54.7%	0.80×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC even goals	50.4%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Charlotte FC odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	24.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 2-0	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.42
HT 0-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 2-1	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.89
HT 0-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.15

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	45.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Draw at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT	6.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT	5.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Charlotte FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
CF Montréal at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Charlotte FC at HT / CF Montréal at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score last	68.4%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
CF Montréal to score last	27.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Charlotte FC to lead by 1 at any time	79.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Charlotte FC to lead by 2 at any time	53.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time	32.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Charlotte FC to lead by 3 at any time	29.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.90
CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal most corners	54.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Charlotte FC most corners	35.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.8%	83.4%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.8%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.5%	72.3%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.6%	59.1%	56.3%	1.05×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.1%	53.2%	57.4%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.7%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.2%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.6%	39.2%	33.0%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.1%	35.2%	34.2%	1.03×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.7%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.2%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	5.4%	8.9%	4.1%	2.18×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC never behind	63.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
CF Montréal never behind	16.5%	18.1%	—	—	5.51

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.8%	87.6%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.1%	87.6%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.0%	61.8%	60.2%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	63.0%	0.93×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	37.0%	1.12×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.0%	38.2%	39.8%	0.96×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	14.9%	12.4%	20.2%	0.62×	8.05
Over 5.5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.1%	86.7%	87.8%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.4%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.9%	67.5%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.1%	55.7%	48.2%	1.16×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.9%	44.3%	51.8%	0.85×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.1%	32.5%	25.2%	1.29×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.6%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.0%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.1%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.9%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.4%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to score in both halves	85.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Charlotte FC not to score in both halves	52.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Charlotte FC to score in both halves	47.5%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
CF Montréal to score in both halves	14.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.7%	58.6%	61.3%	0.96×	1.71
Only Charlotte FC scores	34.0%	33.3%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only CF Montréal scores	5.3%	7.1%	12.1%	0.59×	14.05
Neither team scores	3.9%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.62

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.2%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
6 or more goals	12.2%	12.1%	10.9%	1.11×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.9%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.9%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
No goals in 1st half	24.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
2 goals in 1st half	24.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.8%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	14.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Charlotte FC not to win both halves	71.5%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Charlotte FC to win both halves	28.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
CF Montréal to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win either half	78.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
CF Montréal to win neither half	72.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
CF Montréal to win either half	27.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Charlotte FC to win neither half	21.8%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win to nil	94.7%	92.1%	87.9%	1.05×	1.09
Charlotte FC not to win to nil	66.0%	69.6%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
Charlotte FC to win to nil	34.0%	30.4%	21.1%	1.44×	3.29
CF Montréal to win to nil	5.3%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC by 3+	25.9%	27.9%	10.6%	2.63×	3.59
Charlotte FC by 1	22.1%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Charlotte FC by 2	20.2%	24.1%	12.7%	1.89×	4.15
Draw	18.5%	17.1%	24.8%	0.69×	5.87
CF Montréal by 1	8.7%	7.2%	17.1%	0.42×	13.90
CF Montréal by 2	3.3%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.83
CF Montréal by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.90