Charlton Athletic v Queens Park Rangers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Charlton Athletic

0–0

19:00 UTC

Queens Park Rangers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 9 Sep, 11:32 · 7h before kick-off

Charlton Athletic win

30.5%

model 34.0%

Draw

30.4%

model 30.2%

Queens Park Rangers win

39.1%

model 35.8%

313039

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (574 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.4%
0-0 9.8%
0-1 8.8%
1-0 8.5%
1-2 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.6%	Under 2.5	54.4%
BTTS yes	52.5%	BTTS no	47.5%
Charlton Athletic 1+	70.8%	Charlton Athletic 2+	34.9%
Queens Park Rangers 1+	71.8%	Queens Park Rangers 2+	36.1%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

49/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Queens Park Rangers (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 1062 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Queens Park Rangers (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 81%

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 457 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Queens Park Rangers have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 30.5% for Charlton Athletic and 30.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Charlton Athletic and 1.27 for Queens Park Rangers.

Why Charlton Athletic

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.23 to 1.27. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Queens Park Rangers can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Queens Park Rangers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Queens Park Rangers: 46% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Queens Park Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	343036	1.23–1.27	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
ai-blend-oos	353134	1.26–1.23	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	363133	1.19–1.14	1-1 15%	41%	49%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	363133	1.20–1.16	1-1 15%	42%	49%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to win	35.6%	36.3%	43.4%	0.84×	2.75
Queens Park Rangers to win	33.1%	30.4%	29.1%	1.05×	3.29
Draw	31.4%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic & not both score	20.6%	21.8%	23.2%	0.94×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.58
Queens Park Rangers & not both score	19.0%	17.9%	15.2%	1.18×	5.58
Charlton Athletic & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	20.3%	0.66×	7.54
Queens Park Rangers & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.3%	13.3%	7.3%	1.83×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	32.4%	0.80×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.2%	26.0%	21.7%	1.20×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.2%	26.0%	21.7%	1.20×	3.84
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5	25.7%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
Queens Park Rangers & under 3.5	25.7%	26.0%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Queens Park Rangers & over 1.5	23.6%	21.6%	21.5%	1.01×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Queens Park Rangers & over 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Queens Park Rangers & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	7.3%	1.77×	7.76
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.65
Queens Park Rangers & under 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.65
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.65
Queens Park Rangers & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (1UP)	51.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Queens Park Rangers (1UP)	49.0%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (2UP)	35.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Queens Park Rangers (2UP)	33.1%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Queens Park Rangers to win 2nd half	30.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half	29.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (+2.5)	94.8%	92.1%	92.0%	1.00×	1.09
Queens Park Rangers (+1.5)	84.2%	82.5%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Charlton Athletic (+0.5)	67.0%	68.7%	70.9%	0.97×	1.46
Queens Park Rangers (+0.5)	64.4%	62.9%	56.6%	1.11×	1.59
Charlton Athletic (-0.5)	35.6%	37.1%	43.4%	0.85×	2.70
Queens Park Rangers (-0.5)	33.1%	31.3%	29.1%	1.08×	3.20
Charlton Athletic (-1.5)	15.8%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.70
Charlton Athletic (-2.5)	5.2%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede	69.7%	72.5%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet	30.3%	27.5%	22.4%	1.23×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 1st half	59.9%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 1st half	40.1%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half	50.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 2nd half	49.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 corners	82.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 corners	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Queens Park Rangers under 6.5 corners	64.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Queens Park Rangers over 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Queens Park Rangers under 5.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Queens Park Rangers over 5.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Queens Park Rangers under 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Queens Park Rangers over 6.5 corners	35.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 corners	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 corners	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 goals	97.1%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 goals	89.2%	87.9%	90.5%	0.97×	1.14
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 goals	68.4%	68.0%	69.9%	0.97×	1.47
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 goals	68.1%	68.0%	69.6%	0.98×	1.47
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 goals	31.9%	32.0%	30.4%	1.05×	3.13
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.0%	30.1%	1.06×	3.13
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	9.5%	1.28×	8.24
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 goals	2.9%	2.5%	2.2%	1.12×	40.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half	63.3%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half	36.7%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers scores equally in both	42.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Queens Park Rangers scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Queens Park Rangers scores more in 1st half	21.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (away no bet)	53.1%	51.5%	61.1%	0.84×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	46.9%	48.5%	38.9%	1.25×	2.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers even goals	55.1%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Queens Park Rangers odd goals	44.9%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Queens Park Rangers to score 2+ in a row	24.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.71
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+ in a row	6.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.78

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers corners (+3.5)	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Queens Park Rangers corners (+2.5)	73.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5)	68.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Queens Park Rangers corners (+1.5)	66.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5)	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Queens Park Rangers corners (-1.5)	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5)	33.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Queens Park Rangers corners (-2.5)	31.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5)	26.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Queens Park Rangers corners (-3.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5)	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	41.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
0-8 corners	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	25.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	65.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	34.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.8%	11.4%	14.5%	0.79×	8.74
0-0	11.3%	11.4%	7.3%	1.57×	8.74
0-1	9.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
1-0	9.9%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.50
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.50
2-0	6.9%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.50
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.50
0-2	6.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.50
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.01×	58.32
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.87×	58.31
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.32
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.69×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	2.01×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.23×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.03×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.06×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (2nd half DNB)	50.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Charlton Athletic (2nd half DNB)	49.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB)	53.7%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT (DNB)	46.3%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic or Queens Park Rangers (12)	68.6%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Charlton Athletic or draw (1X)	67.0%	69.6%	70.9%	0.98×	1.44
Queens Park Rangers or draw (X2)	64.4%	63.7%	56.6%	1.13×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT	75.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Queens Park Rangers or draw at HT	72.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Charlton Athletic or Queens Park Rangers at HT	52.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP)	67.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1UP)	64.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers or draw in 2nd half	70.2%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Charlton Athletic or Queens Park Rangers in 2nd half	60.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.0%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.0%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (DNB)	51.8%	50.9%	59.9%	0.85×	1.97
Queens Park Rangers (DNB)	48.2%	49.1%	40.1%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score first	45.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Queens Park Rangers to score first	43.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	11.3%	9.8%	—	—	10.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.9%	51.3%	45.6%	1.13×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.1%	48.7%	54.4%	0.89×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.8%	41.7%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.2%	34.4%	40.0%	0.86×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	14.8%	12.3%	14.5%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.1%	8.3%	8.5%	0.98×	12.00

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.4%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.6%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.0%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.6%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.4%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.00

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.0%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	15.0%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	47.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.6%	47.3%	50.5%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.6%	30.7%	25.8%	1.19×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.8%	20.3%	22.5%	0.90×	4.92
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 0	31.9%	33.7%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 2	20.8%	22.4%	20.7%	1.08×	4.47
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+	10.8%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0	30.3%	32.6%	22.4%	1.46×	3.07
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2	21.6%	23.2%	24.6%	0.94×	4.31
Charlton Athletic to score 3+	11.9%	14.4%	16.2%	0.89×	6.95

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Charlton Athletic leading at HT	28.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT	24.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic -1: 2	64.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Charlton Athletic -1: X	19.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.73
Charlton Athletic -1: 1	15.8%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:1)	64.4%	61.6%	56.6%	1.09×	1.62
Draw (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.62
Charlton Athletic (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:2)	84.2%	82.9%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.6%	10.9%	11.4%	0.96×	9.17
Charlton Athletic (0:2)	5.2%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:3)	94.8%	92.7%	92.0%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.06
Charlton Athletic (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.63
Charlton Athletic (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.72

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (1:0)	67.0%	70.0%	70.9%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.88
Queens Park Rangers (1:0)	14.2%	12.8%	11.8%	1.08×	7.83

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic (2:0)	85.8%	88.4%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.7%	6.5%	8.6%	0.75×	15.47
Queens Park Rangers (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.57

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.6%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	29.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede	68.1%	66.6%	69.6%	0.96×	1.50
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	31.9%	33.4%	30.4%	1.10×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half	63.3%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half	36.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 2nd half	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Charlton Athletic to concede in 2nd half	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners	80.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners	58.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners	54.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners	45.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners	41.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners	19.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.3%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals	88.1%	87.2%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals	69.7%	67.9%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals	66.5%	67.9%	59.3%	1.14×	1.47
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals	33.5%	32.1%	40.7%	0.79×	3.11
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals	30.3%	32.1%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.82
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.7%	5.1%	0.71×	27.30

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half	59.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half	40.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	4.7%	—	—	21.08

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic scores equally in both	41.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Charlton Athletic scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Charlton Athletic scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (home no bet)	51.3%	51.5%	51.3%	1.00×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.7%	48.5%	48.7%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals	54.6%	50.6%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Charlton Athletic odd goals	45.4%	49.4%	49.6%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	19.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-1	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	20.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Charlton Athletic at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic to score last	45.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Queens Park Rangers to score last	43.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	11.3%	9.1%	—	—	10.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.7%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time	51.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 1 at any time	49.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time	20.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.12
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 2 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time	6.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.19

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers most corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Charlton Athletic most corners	42.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Corners level	9.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	88.9%	0.98×	1.15
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	68.4%	68.9%	72.9%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.9%	68.9%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.2%	68.9%	70.3%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.4%	64.9%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.6%	48.6%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.4%	48.6%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.3%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.1%	39.2%	44.6%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.5%	35.3%	39.1%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.8%	18.7%	22.5%	0.83×	5.33
4-5 goals	17.6%	18.7%	19.9%	0.94×	5.34
5-6 goals	7.8%	8.8%	8.1%	1.09×	11.32
7+ goals	1.0%	2.6%	1.4%	1.87×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlton Athletic never behind	39.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Queens Park Rangers never behind	37.5%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.2%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.8%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.6%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.2%	77.4%	76.2%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.4%	66.3%	74.2%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.7%	51.5%	1.14×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.3%	48.5%	0.85×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.6%	33.7%	25.8%	1.31×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	20.8%	22.6%	23.8%	0.95×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.08
Over 4.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	3.9%	1.16×	21.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.0%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.8%	72.5%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.4%	55.6%	65.2%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.6%	44.4%	34.8%	1.28×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.2%	27.5%	31.6%	0.87×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.0%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.83
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.4%	1.99×	35.89

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to score in both halves	81.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves	19.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Queens Park Rangers to score in both halves	18.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.1%	50.6%	54.4%	0.93×	1.98
Only Charlton Athletic scores	20.6%	22.3%	23.2%	0.96×	4.49
Only Queens Park Rangers scores	19.0%	16.0%	15.2%	1.05×	6.23
Neither team scores	11.3%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.11

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.3%	17.4%	18.6%	0.94×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.0%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	11.3%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	5.6%	1.38×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.5%	3.9%	1.13×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.3%	—	—	6.55
3+ goals in 1st half	7.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	33.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win both halves	92.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves	91.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Charlton Athletic to win both halves	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Queens Park Rangers to win both halves	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to win neither half	53.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Charlton Athletic to win neither half	50.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Charlton Athletic to win either half	49.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Queens Park Rangers to win either half	46.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win to nil	81.0%	83.1%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil	79.4%	78.1%	76.8%	1.02×	1.28
Charlton Athletic to win to nil	20.6%	21.9%	23.2%	0.94×	4.57
Queens Park Rangers to win to nil	19.0%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.4%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Charlton Athletic by 1	19.8%	16.9%	24.2%	0.70×	5.90
Queens Park Rangers by 1	18.9%	16.9%	17.4%	0.98×	5.91
Charlton Athletic by 2	10.6%	11.8%	11.4%	1.04×	8.50
Queens Park Rangers by 2	9.7%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.80
Charlton Athletic by 3+	5.2%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.82
Queens Park Rangers by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.62

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.