betaider.com
Sign in

Chelsea v Crystal Palace — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 27 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

2–1
2.73 – 0.96 xG
Shots
9 – 13
On target
3 – 5
Shots in box
8 – 9
xG per shot
0.30 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.81 – 0.13
Goals − xG
-0.73 – +0.04
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Mykhailo Mudryk 12' — goalMichael Olise 45' — goalNoni Madueke 88' — goal
Chelsea 2.73 xGCrystal Palace 0.96 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Eberechi Eze 4' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Joachim Andersen 6' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 7' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ian Maatsen 8' — Blocked Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Mykhailo Mudryk 12' — Goal (0.56 xG, Open Play)Christopher Nkunku 15' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Mykhailo Mudryk 21' — Saved Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Eberechi Eze 28' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ian Maatsen 33' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Mykhailo Mudryk 42' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 45' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Eberechi Eze 52' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Jean-Philippe Mateta 54' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 55' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Eberechi Eze 59' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Jackson 73' — Missed Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 80' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Michael Olise 80' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Armando Broja 82' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Noni Madueke 88' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Michael Olise 93' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Matheus França 96' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Chelsea attacking right Crystal Palace attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Crystal Palace Eberechi Eze 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
6' Crystal Palace Joachim Andersen 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Chris Richards
7' Crystal Palace Michael Olise 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Eberechi Eze
8' Chelsea Ian Maatsen 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mykhailo Mudryk
12' Chelsea Mykhailo Mudryk 0.56 Open Play Right Foot Goal Malo Gusto
15' Chelsea Christopher Nkunku 0.05 Set Piece Missed Shot Conor Gallagher
21' Chelsea Mykhailo Mudryk 0.43 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nicolas Jackson
28' Crystal Palace Eberechi Eze 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jean-Philippe Mateta
33' Chelsea Ian Maatsen 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Malo Gusto
42' Chelsea Mykhailo Mudryk 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Christopher Nkunku
45' Crystal Palace Michael Olise 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Goal Jordan Ayew
52' Crystal Palace Eberechi Eze 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
54' Crystal Palace Jean-Philippe Mateta 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Michael Olise
55' Crystal Palace Michael Olise 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Eberechi Eze
59' Crystal Palace Eberechi Eze 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jean-Philippe Mateta
73' Chelsea Nicolas Jackson 0.41 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Conor Gallagher
80' Crystal Palace Michael Olise 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jeffrey Schlupp
80' Crystal Palace Michael Olise 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
82' Chelsea Armando Broja 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Thiago Silva
88' Chelsea Noni Madueke 0.76 Left Foot Goal
93' Crystal Palace Michael Olise 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Eberechi Eze
96' Crystal Palace Matheus França 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Michael Olise

Players

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Michael Olise FWR 90 1 0 6 2 0.62 0.09 0.68
Eberechi Eze MC 90 0 0 4 3 0.24 0.12 0.23
Jean-Philippe Mateta FW 90 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.15 0.22
Joachim Andersen DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.18
Marc Guehi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Chris Richards MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Dean Henderson GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Tyrick Mitchell DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Jefferson Lerma MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nathaniel Clyne DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Jordan Ayew FWL 82 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.35 0.36
Jeffrey Schlupp Sub 8 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.15
Matheus França Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02

Chelsea

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nicolas Jackson FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.41 0.43 0.84
Axel Disasi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.80
Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.28
Conor Gallagher DMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.46 0.98
Djordje Petrovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Malo Gusto DR 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.62 1.19
Moisés Caicedo DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.04
Mykhailo Mudryk AML 74 1 0 3 1 1.07 0.32 1.38
Christopher Nkunku AMC 74 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.07 1.01
Ian Maatsen AMR 61 0 0 2 0 0.37 0.00 0.45
Levi Colwill DL 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.75
Thiago Silva Sub 29 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
Romeo Lavia Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Noni Madueke Sub 16 1 0 1 0 0.76 0.00 0.00
Armando Broja Sub 16 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Alfie Gilchrist Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide