Chelsea v Newcastle United — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 11 March 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
12 – 11
On target
7 – 3
Shots in box
5 – 8
xG per shot
0.15 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.21
Goals − xG
+1.21 – +1.43
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Chelsea 1.79 xGNewcastle United 0.57 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Chelsea attacking right
Newcastle United attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' |
 Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 5' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.14 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Cole Palmer |
| 12' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Conor Gallagher |
| 13' |
 Newcastle United |
Fabian Schär | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 20' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Raheem Sterling |
| 21' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 25' |
Chelsea |
Moisés Caicedo | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 31' |
Newcastle United |
Anthony Gordon | 0.06 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 37' |
Newcastle United |
Joe Willock | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 39' |
Newcastle United |
Alexander Isak | 0.02 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Jacob Murphy |
| 42' |
Newcastle United |
Alexander Isak | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Bruno Guimarães |
| 46' |
Newcastle United |
Miguel Almirón | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Alexander Isak |
| 49' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Conor Gallagher |
| 53' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 56' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Enzo Fernández |
| 58' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.31 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 59' |
Newcastle United |
Alexander Isak | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Bruno Guimarães |
| 66' |
Newcastle United |
Dan Burn | 0.06 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Jacob Murphy |
| 75' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.93 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Conor Gallagher |
| 75' |
Newcastle United |
Valentino Livramento | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Joe Willock |
| 85' |
Newcastle United |
Sven Botman | 0.07 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Jacob Murphy |
| 89' |
Newcastle United |
Jacob Murphy | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Lewis Miley |
| 91' |
Chelsea |
Conor Gallagher | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Carney Chukwuemeka |
Players
Newcastle United
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Isak FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| Sven Botman DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Valentino Livramento DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Fabian Schär DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Martin Dubravka GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sean Longstaff MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Bruno Guimarães MC | 85 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| Joe Willock MC | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| Miguel Almirón FWR | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Dan Burn DL | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Jacob Murphy Sub | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Anthony Gordon FWL | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Emil Krafth Sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Elliot Anderson Sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Lewis Miley Sub | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| Joe White Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 1.42 |
| Cole Palmer AMR | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.09 | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| Enzo Fernández DMC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 1.36 |
| Moisés Caicedo DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 1.39 |
| Conor Gallagher AMC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1.01 | 1.03 |
| Djordje Petrovic GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Axel Disasi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Malo Gusto DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Marc Cucurella DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Trevoh Chalobah DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Raheem Sterling AML | 75 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.04 | 0.49 |
| Mykhailo Mudryk Sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| Cesare Casadei Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Carney Chukwuemeka Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |