Chelsea v Nottingham Forest — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 2 September 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
21 – 7
On target
2 – 3
Shots in box
11 – 4
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.23 – 0.65
Goals − xG
-2.28 – -0.15
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Chelsea 2.28 xGNottingham Forest 1.15 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Chelsea attacking right
Nottingham Forest attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0' |
 Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 1' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ben Chilwell |
| 15' |
Chelsea |
Conor Gallagher | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 21' |
Chelsea |
Ben Chilwell | 0.13 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Raheem Sterling |
| 25' | Nottingham Forest | Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.55 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 30' | Nottingham Forest | Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.09 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Scott McKenna |
| 34' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Ben Chilwell |
| 36' |
Chelsea |
Ben Chilwell | 0.08 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 38' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Conor Gallagher |
| 42' | Nottingham Forest | Orel Mangala | 0.02 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 44' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Enzo Fernández |
| 47' | Nottingham Forest | Anthony Elanga | 0.37 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Taiwo Awoniyi |
| 47' | Nottingham Forest | Ryan Yates | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Taiwo Awoniyi |
| 48' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 48' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Raheem Sterling |
| 50' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 52' |
Chelsea |
Moisés Caicedo | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 53' |
Chelsea |
Axel Disasi | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 55' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.57 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Enzo Fernández |
| 63' |
Chelsea |
Axel Disasi | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Thiago Silva |
| 77' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 82' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.61 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 85' |
Chelsea |
Thiago Silva | 0.02 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Enzo Fernández |
| 86' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Ian Maatsen |
| 87' |
Chelsea |
Ian Maatsen | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 88' | Nottingham Forest | Anthony Elanga | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Scott McKenna |
| 94' | Nottingham Forest | Anthony Elanga | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Cheikhou Kouyaté |
| 95' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Axel Disasi |
Players
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Yates MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Willy Boly DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Joe Worrall DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Matt Turner GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Scott McKenna DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Ola Aina DML | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Orel Mangala MC | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Serge Aurier DMR | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi FW | 70 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Danilo AMC | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Anthony Elanga Sub | 43 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| Chris Wood Sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nuno Tavares Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gonzalo Montiel Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cheikhou Kouyaté Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.38 | 0.02 | 1.68 |
| Raheem Sterling AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 1.65 |
| Enzo Fernández AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.20 | 0.65 | 1.05 |
| Axel Disasi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.82 |
| Thiago Silva DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| Levi Colwill DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Robert Sánchez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Moisés Caicedo MC | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Malo Gusto DMR | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Ben Chilwell DML | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| Conor Gallagher MC | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| Noni Madueke Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Cole Palmer Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| Ian Maatsen Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| Mykhailo Mudryk Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |