Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Chicago Fire

21:00 UTC

Columbus Crew

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 322h before kick-off

Chicago Fire win

55.6%

model 55.6%

Draw

22.2%

model 23.3%

Columbus Crew win

22.2%

model 21.1%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.0%
1-0 8.9%
3-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.8%	Under 2.5	42.2%
BTTS yes	57.3%	BTTS no	42.7%
Chicago Fire 1+	85.1%	Chicago Fire 2+	56.8%
Columbus Crew 1+	66.7%	Columbus Crew 2+	30.1%

Expected goals 1.91 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Chicago Fire (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Chicago Fire not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Chicago Fire carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1402.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Chicago Fire have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.2% for Columbus Crew. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.91 for Chicago Fire and 1.10 for Columbus Crew.

Why Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Columbus Crew can win

Nothing in the data singles out Columbus Crew.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Chicago Fire, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Columbus Crew, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Chicago Fire: 46% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Columbus Crew: 60% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Chicago Fire are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562321	1.91–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	612118	2.16–1.12	2-1 10%	64%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to win	60.7%	58.2%	45.3%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	21.0%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09
Columbus Crew to win	18.3%	19.4%	30.0%	0.65×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire & both teams score	32.2%	29.6%	24.4%	1.22×	3.38
Chicago Fire & not both score	28.4%	25.2%	21.1%	1.19×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Columbus Crew & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.54
Columbus Crew & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	12.1%	0.69×	12.01
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire & over 1.5	53.0%	48.9%	37.2%	1.31×	2.05
Chicago Fire & over 2.5	44.2%	40.3%	31.0%	1.30×	2.48
Chicago Fire & under 3.5	32.6%	30.7%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
Chicago Fire & over 3.5	28.0%	26.1%	17.0%	1.53×	3.84
Chicago Fire & under 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Columbus Crew & over 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Columbus Crew & over 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Columbus Crew & under 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Chicago Fire & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Columbus Crew & under 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Columbus Crew & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.81
Columbus Crew & under 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (1UP)	74.4%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Columbus Crew (1UP)	38.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (2UP)	60.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Columbus Crew (2UP)	18.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to win 2nd half	49.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	30.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Columbus Crew to win 2nd half	20.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Columbus Crew under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Columbus Crew over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Columbus Crew over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	13.3%	—	—	7.52

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Chicago Fire under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Chicago Fire over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Chicago Fire under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (+0.5)	81.7%	82.5%	70.0%	1.18×	1.21
Columbus Crew (+2.5)	80.1%	82.5%	89.4%	0.92×	1.21
Columbus Crew (+1.5)	61.7%	62.9%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
Chicago Fire (-0.5)	60.7%	62.9%	45.3%	1.39×	1.59
Columbus Crew (+0.5)	39.3%	37.1%	54.7%	0.68×	2.70
Chicago Fire (-1.5)	38.3%	37.1%	23.2%	1.60×	2.70
Chicago Fire (-2.5)	19.9%	17.5%	10.6%	1.65×	5.73
Columbus Crew (-0.5)	18.3%	17.5%	30.0%	0.58×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede	88.5%	86.3%	82.3%	1.05×	1.16
Columbus Crew clean sheet	11.5%	13.7%	17.7%	0.77×	7.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede in 1st half	60.5%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Columbus Crew clean sheet in 1st half	39.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede in 2nd half	70.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Columbus Crew clean sheet in 2nd half	29.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 6.5 corners	78.2%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Columbus Crew over 2.5 corners	77.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Columbus Crew under 5.5 corners	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Columbus Crew over 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Columbus Crew under 4.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Columbus Crew over 4.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Columbus Crew under 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Columbus Crew over 5.5 corners	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Columbus Crew under 2.5 corners	22.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Columbus Crew over 6.5 corners	21.8%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Columbus Crew under 2.5 goals	89.7%	87.8%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Columbus Crew under 1.5 goals	69.2%	68.0%	61.2%	1.11×	1.47
Columbus Crew over 0.5 goals	67.3%	68.0%	73.3%	0.93×	1.47
Columbus Crew under 0.5 goals	32.7%	32.0%	26.7%	1.20×	3.13
Columbus Crew over 1.5 goals	30.8%	32.0%	38.8%	0.82×	3.13
Columbus Crew over 2.5 goals	10.3%	12.2%	16.7%	0.73×	8.21
Columbus Crew over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Columbus Crew under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Columbus Crew over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Columbus Crew over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	6.2%	—	—	16.13

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew scores equally in both	43.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Columbus Crew scores more in 2nd half	35.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Columbus Crew scores more in 1st half	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (away no bet)	74.2%	68.5%	64.6%	1.06×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.8%	31.5%	35.4%	0.89×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew even goals	55.3%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Columbus Crew odd goals	44.7%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.3%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Chicago Fire to score 2+ in a row	54.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.4%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Chicago Fire to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Columbus Crew to score 2+ in a row	20.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Columbus Crew to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.6%	—	—	37.99

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Columbus Crew corners (+2.5)	81.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Chicago Fire corners (+3.5)	80.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Columbus Crew corners (+1.5)	72.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Chicago Fire corners (+2.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Chicago Fire corners (+1.5)	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Columbus Crew corners (-1.5)	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Columbus Crew corners (-2.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Chicago Fire corners (-1.5)	27.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Columbus Crew corners (-3.5)	19.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Chicago Fire corners (-2.5)	18.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Chicago Fire corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 7.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
2-0	8.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-0	7.7%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
Any other score	7.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.51
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-1	3.7%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	3.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.30
4-1	3.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.30
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (2nd half DNB)	71.2%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Columbus Crew (2nd half DNB)	28.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire leading at HT (DNB)	72.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Columbus Crew leading at HT (DNB)	27.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire or draw (1X)	81.7%	80.6%	70.0%	1.15×	1.24
Chicago Fire or Columbus Crew (12)	79.0%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Columbus Crew or draw (X2)	39.3%	41.8%	54.7%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire or draw at HT	82.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Chicago Fire or Columbus Crew at HT	63.0%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Columbus Crew or draw at HT	54.1%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire or draw (1UP)	81.7%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Columbus Crew or draw (1UP)	39.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire or draw in 2nd half	79.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Chicago Fire or Columbus Crew in 2nd half	69.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Columbus Crew or draw in 2nd half	50.4%	54.2%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.6%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.4%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (DNB)	76.8%	74.8%	60.2%	1.24×	1.34
Columbus Crew (DNB)	23.2%	25.2%	39.8%	0.63×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to score first	63.1%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Columbus Crew to score first	32.6%	27.7%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.02

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.0%	56.6%	61.3%	0.92×	1.77
Not both teams to score	40.0%	43.4%	38.7%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.5%	47.2%	51.1%	0.92×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.8%	33.3%	29.5%	1.13×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	13.2%	12.4%	9.2%	1.34×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.4%	82.6%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.6%	17.4%	20.5%	0.85×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.25
Both score in both halves	7.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.1%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	36.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.2%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	36.6%	35.1%	33.0%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.6%	20.2%	20.2%	1.00×	4.95
7+ goals	4.9%	1.9%	4.1%	0.46×	54.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Columbus Crew to score exactly 0	32.7%	33.8%	26.7%	1.27×	2.96
Columbus Crew to score exactly 2	20.4%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Columbus Crew to score 3+	10.3%	12.9%	16.7%	0.77×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to score 3+	36.7%	35.6%	25.0%	1.42×	2.81
Chicago Fire to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Chicago Fire to score exactly 1	24.9%	23.3%	31.1%	0.75×	4.29
Chicago Fire to score exactly 0	11.5%	14.3%	17.7%	0.81×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire leading at HT	45.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	37.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Columbus Crew leading at HT	17.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire -1: 2	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Chicago Fire -1: 1	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Chicago Fire -1: X	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:1)	39.3%	37.4%	54.7%	0.68×	2.68
Chicago Fire (0:1)	38.3%	37.3%	23.2%	1.61×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:2)	61.7%	67.0%	76.8%	0.87×	1.49
Chicago Fire (0:2)	19.9%	15.3%	10.6%	1.44×	6.54
Draw (0:2)	18.4%	15.3%	12.7%	1.20×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:3)	80.1%	85.3%	89.4%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.2%	9.9%	6.7%	1.49×	10.10
Chicago Fire (0:3)	8.7%	5.8%	4.1%	1.43×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:4)	91.3%	94.5%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.5%	4.6%	2.0%	2.28×	21.63
Chicago Fire (0:4)	3.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (1:0)	81.7%	81.4%	70.0%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.3%	12.7%	17.1%	0.74×	7.88
Columbus Crew (1:0)	7.0%	6.9%	13.0%	0.53×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire (2:0)	93.0%	94.0%	87.0%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.9%	2.3%	8.6%	0.27×	43.58
Columbus Crew (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to concede	67.3%	66.7%	73.3%	0.91×	1.50
Chicago Fire clean sheet	32.7%	33.3%	26.7%	1.25×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Chicago Fire to concede in 1st half	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire clean sheet in 2nd half	51.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Chicago Fire to concede in 2nd half	48.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire under 6.5 corners	85.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Chicago Fire under 5.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Chicago Fire over 2.5 corners	71.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Chicago Fire under 4.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Chicago Fire over 3.5 corners	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Chicago Fire under 3.5 corners	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Chicago Fire over 4.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Chicago Fire under 2.5 corners	29.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Chicago Fire over 5.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Chicago Fire over 6.5 corners	14.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Chicago Fire under 3.5 goals	82.7%	82.2%	90.6%	0.91×	1.22
Chicago Fire over 1.5 goals	63.6%	63.6%	51.3%	1.24×	1.57
Chicago Fire under 2.5 goals	63.3%	63.6%	75.0%	0.85×	1.57
Chicago Fire over 2.5 goals	36.7%	36.4%	25.0%	1.45×	2.75
Chicago Fire under 1.5 goals	36.4%	36.4%	48.7%	0.75×	2.75
Chicago Fire over 3.5 goals	17.3%	17.8%	9.4%	1.90×	5.63
Chicago Fire under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire under 1.5 in 1st half	76.2%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Chicago Fire over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Chicago Fire under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Chicago Fire over 1.5 in 1st half	23.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire scores more in 2nd half	43.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Chicago Fire scores equally in both	29.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Chicago Fire scores more in 1st half	27.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.5%	51.4%	45.3%	1.14×	1.95
Columbus Crew (home no bet)	46.5%	48.6%	54.7%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire even goals	50.7%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Chicago Fire odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	23.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
Any other HT score	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-1	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.89
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.14

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire at HT / Chicago Fire at FT	39.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Chicago Fire at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Columbus Crew at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.38
Draw at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	7.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.44
Chicago Fire at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Columbus Crew at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Columbus Crew at HT / Chicago Fire at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Chicago Fire at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to score last	63.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Columbus Crew to score last	32.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.02

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Chicago Fire to lead by 1 at any time	74.4%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Chicago Fire to lead by 2 at any time	45.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Columbus Crew to lead by 1 at any time	38.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Chicago Fire to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Columbus Crew to lead by 2 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Columbus Crew to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.80

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew most corners	50.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Chicago Fire most corners	37.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.3%	83.4%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.7%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.4%	72.4%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.0%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.7%	59.1%	56.3%	1.05×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.3%	53.2%	57.4%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.2%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.6%	39.2%	33.0%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.1%	35.2%	34.2%	1.03×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.1%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.4%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.31
7+ goals	4.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.03

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire never behind	57.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Columbus Crew never behind	21.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.6%	87.6%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.4%	82.3%	79.8%	1.03×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	76.7%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.6%	61.7%	60.2%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.5%	58.6%	63.0%	0.93×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	41.5%	41.4%	37.0%	1.12×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	36.4%	38.3%	39.8%	0.96×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	23.4%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	15.6%	17.7%	20.2%	0.88×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	11.4%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.7%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.0%	86.7%	87.8%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.3%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.5%	72.4%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.3%	51.9%	48.2%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.7%	48.1%	51.8%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.5%	27.6%	25.2%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.7%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.0%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.3%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.3%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.7%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to score in both halves	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Chicago Fire not to score in both halves	57.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Chicago Fire to score in both halves	42.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Columbus Crew to score in both halves	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.0%	60.2%	61.3%	0.98×	1.66
Only Chicago Fire scores	28.4%	26.0%	21.1%	1.24×	3.84
Only Columbus Crew scores	7.3%	7.1%	12.1%	0.59×	14.03
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.61

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.7%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.2%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.4%	12.1%	14.5%	0.83×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.4%	12.1%	10.9%	1.11×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
No goals in 1st half	25.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.9%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	15.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Chicago Fire not to win both halves	77.1%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Chicago Fire to win both halves	22.9%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Columbus Crew to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire to win either half	72.6%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Columbus Crew to win neither half	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Columbus Crew to win either half	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Chicago Fire to win neither half	27.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to win to nil	92.7%	92.1%	87.9%	1.05×	1.09
Chicago Fire not to win to nil	71.6%	75.3%	78.9%	0.95×	1.33
Chicago Fire to win to nil	28.4%	24.7%	21.1%	1.17×	4.05
Columbus Crew to win to nil	7.3%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chicago Fire by 1	22.4%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Draw	21.0%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
Chicago Fire by 3+	19.9%	17.1%	10.6%	1.61×	5.86
Chicago Fire by 2	18.4%	17.1%	12.7%	1.34×	5.87
Columbus Crew by 1	11.3%	11.7%	17.1%	0.69×	8.51
Columbus Crew by 2	4.9%	2.7%	8.6%	0.32×	36.78
Columbus Crew by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.87