Chongqing Tonglianglong v Qingdao Hainiu — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Chongqing Tonglianglong

07:30 UTC

Qingdao Hainiu

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,161h before kick-off

Chongqing Tonglianglong win

48.6%

model 47.9%

Draw

28.0%

model 27.7%

Qingdao Hainiu win

23.4%

model 24.4%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
1-0 12.8%
0-0 9.7%
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.5%	Under 2.5	57.5%
BTTS yes	47.0%	BTTS no	53.0%
Chongqing Tonglianglong 1+	76.2%	Chongqing Tonglianglong 2+	42.0%
Qingdao Hainiu 1+	61.2%	Qingdao Hainiu 2+	24.4%

Expected goals 1.43 – 0.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Chongqing Tonglianglong carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1353.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Chongqing Tonglianglong have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 23.4% for Qingdao Hainiu. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Chongqing Tonglianglong and 0.95 for Qingdao Hainiu.

Why Chongqing Tonglianglong

Chongqing Tonglianglong carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1353.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Qingdao Hainiu can win

Nothing in the data singles out Qingdao Hainiu.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Chongqing Tonglianglong, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Qingdao Hainiu, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Chongqing Tonglianglong: 46% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Qingdao Hainiu: 46% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Chongqing Tonglianglong are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	502722	1.46–0.89	1-0 14%	42%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win	50.2%	51.4%	46.0%	1.12×	1.94
Draw	27.5%	27.8%	26.2%	1.06×	3.59
Qingdao Hainiu to win	22.4%	24.5%	28.0%	0.87×	4.08

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong & not both score	31.3%	29.6%	23.2%	1.28×	3.37
Chongqing Tonglianglong & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	23.0%	0.78×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Qingdao Hainiu & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	9.8%	1.35×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.0%	13.3%	4.3%	3.06×	7.54
Qingdao Hainiu & both teams score	9.2%	8.4%	18.5%	0.45×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong & under 3.5	37.8%	34.8%	27.3%	1.27×	2.87
Chongqing Tonglianglong & over 1.5	36.6%	34.8%	36.4%	0.96×	2.87
Chongqing Tonglianglong & over 2.5	26.4%	26.0%	29.4%	0.89×	3.84
Chongqing Tonglianglong & under 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	16.9%	1.28×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.8%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.63
Qingdao Hainiu & under 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Chongqing Tonglianglong & under 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	9.8%	1.32×	7.76
Qingdao Hainiu & over 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	23.7%	0.54×	7.76
Chongqing Tonglianglong & over 3.5	12.4%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.76
Qingdao Hainiu & under 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	7.3%	1.77×	7.76
Qingdao Hainiu & over 2.5	10.6%	12.9%	21.0%	0.61×	7.76
Draw & under 1.5	10.0%	12.9%	4.3%	2.98×	7.76
Qingdao Hainiu & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	4.6%	1.74×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.85
Draw & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.85
Qingdao Hainiu & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	12.3%	0.39×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (1UP)	62.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Qingdao Hainiu (1UP)	38.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (2UP)	50.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Qingdao Hainiu (2UP)	22.4%	23.7%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win 2nd half	39.9%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	38.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Qingdao Hainiu to win 2nd half	21.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.0%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Qingdao Hainiu under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Qingdao Hainiu over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Qingdao Hainiu over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.0%	8.2%	—	—	12.20

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu (+2.5)	90.0%	88.6%	89.3%	0.99×	1.13
Chongqing Tonglianglong (+0.5)	77.6%	78.4%	72.0%	1.09×	1.28
Qingdao Hainiu (+1.5)	74.6%	73.8%	74.7%	0.99×	1.36
Chongqing Tonglianglong (-0.5)	50.2%	52.4%	46.0%	1.14×	1.91
Qingdao Hainiu (+0.5)	49.8%	47.6%	54.0%	0.88×	2.10
Chongqing Tonglianglong (-1.5)	25.4%	26.2%	25.3%	1.04×	3.81
Qingdao Hainiu (-0.5)	22.4%	21.6%	28.0%	0.77×	4.63
Chongqing Tonglianglong (-2.5)	10.0%	11.4%	10.7%	1.07×	8.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu to concede	76.8%	78.9%	86.1%	0.92×	1.27
Qingdao Hainiu clean sheet	23.2%	21.1%	13.9%	1.52×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu to concede in 1st half	46.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Qingdao Hainiu clean sheet in 1st half	53.3%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu to concede in 2nd half	56.5%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Qingdao Hainiu clean sheet in 2nd half	43.5%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu under 6.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Qingdao Hainiu over 2.5 corners	78.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Qingdao Hainiu under 5.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Qingdao Hainiu over 3.5 corners	61.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Qingdao Hainiu under 4.5 corners	54.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Qingdao Hainiu over 4.5 corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Qingdao Hainiu under 3.5 corners	38.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Qingdao Hainiu over 5.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Qingdao Hainiu under 2.5 corners	22.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Qingdao Hainiu over 6.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Qingdao Hainiu under 2.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	83.1%	1.11×	1.08
Qingdao Hainiu under 1.5 goals	77.8%	76.2%	60.8%	1.25×	1.31
Qingdao Hainiu over 0.5 goals	58.7%	59.4%	72.7%	0.82×	1.68
Qingdao Hainiu under 0.5 goals	41.3%	40.6%	27.3%	1.48×	2.46
Qingdao Hainiu over 1.5 goals	22.2%	23.8%	39.2%	0.61×	4.21
Qingdao Hainiu over 2.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	16.9%	0.46×	13.02
Qingdao Hainiu over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.11

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Qingdao Hainiu under 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Qingdao Hainiu over 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Qingdao Hainiu over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu scores equally in both	49.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Qingdao Hainiu scores more in 2nd half	31.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Qingdao Hainiu scores more in 1st half	19.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (away no bet)	64.6%	62.0%	63.7%	0.97×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.4%	38.0%	36.3%	1.05×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu even goals	58.5%	56.9%	54.7%	1.04×	1.76
Qingdao Hainiu odd goals	41.5%	43.1%	45.3%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score 2+ in a row	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Qingdao Hainiu to score 2+ in a row	16.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score 3+ in a row	13.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Qingdao Hainiu to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.54

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (+3.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Qingdao Hainiu corners (+3.5)	83.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (+2.5)	77.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Qingdao Hainiu corners (+2.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (+1.5)	68.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Qingdao Hainiu corners (+1.5)	65.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (-1.5)	34.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Qingdao Hainiu corners (-1.5)	31.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (-2.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Qingdao Hainiu corners (-2.5)	22.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (-3.5)	16.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Qingdao Hainiu corners (-3.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	32.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.5%	11.4%	9.8%	1.17×	8.74
1-1	12.8%	11.4%	12.3%	0.93×	8.74
0-0	10.0%	11.4%	4.3%	2.64×	8.74
2-0	10.2%	11.4%	7.3%	1.57×	8.74
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	4.6%	1.63×	13.50
1-2	5.5%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
3-0	5.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.29
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.51×	58.32
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.51×	58.32
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.32
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.29
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.51×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (2nd half DNB)	64.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Qingdao Hainiu (2nd half DNB)	35.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong leading at HT (DNB)	67.3%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Qingdao Hainiu leading at HT (DNB)	32.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw (1X)	77.6%	75.5%	72.0%	1.05×	1.33
Chongqing Tonglianglong or Qingdao Hainiu (12)	72.5%	72.2%	73.8%	0.98×	1.39
Qingdao Hainiu or draw (X2)	49.8%	48.6%	54.0%	0.90×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw at HT	82.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Qingdao Hainiu or draw at HT	63.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Chongqing Tonglianglong or Qingdao Hainiu at HT	53.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw (1UP)	77.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Qingdao Hainiu or draw (1UP)	49.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw in 2nd half	78.4%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Chongqing Tonglianglong or Qingdao Hainiu in 2nd half	61.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Qingdao Hainiu or draw in 2nd half	60.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.5%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.5%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (DNB)	69.2%	67.3%	62.2%	1.08×	1.49
Qingdao Hainiu (DNB)	30.8%	32.7%	37.8%	0.86×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score first	56.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Qingdao Hainiu to score first	33.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	10.0%	9.4%	—	—	10.64

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.4%	51.4%	36.9%	1.39×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.6%	48.6%	63.1%	0.77×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.5%	44.2%	28.0%	1.58×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.7%	34.4%	51.0%	0.67×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	9.1%	0.92×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.5%	89.1%	78.4%	1.14×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.5%	10.9%	21.6%	0.51×	9.13

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Both score 2nd half only	20.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.2%	5.0%	—	—	20.08

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.0%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	14.0%	13.9%	—	—	7.18

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.3%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.6%	30.7%	18.2%	1.69×	3.25
4-6 goals	20.0%	20.3%	36.9%	0.55×	4.92
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu to score exactly 0	41.3%	37.1%	27.3%	1.36×	2.70
Qingdao Hainiu to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	33.7%	1.07×	2.78
Qingdao Hainiu to score exactly 2	16.2%	19.6%	22.6%	0.87×	5.10
Qingdao Hainiu to score 3+	6.0%	8.5%	16.9%	0.51×	11.74

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score exactly 1	33.9%	32.6%	34.2%	0.95×	3.07
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.2%	26.2%	0.89×	4.30
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score exactly 0	23.2%	23.2%	13.9%	1.67×	4.31
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score 3+	18.2%	18.9%	26.2%	0.72×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Chongqing Tonglianglong leading at HT	36.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Qingdao Hainiu leading at HT	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong -1: 2	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Chongqing Tonglianglong -1: 1	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Chongqing Tonglianglong -1: X	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu (0:1)	49.8%	46.0%	54.0%	0.85×	2.17
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	25.3%	1.07×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.8%	24.3%	21.0%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu (0:2)	74.6%	75.8%	74.7%	1.01×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.4%	15.2%	14.8%	1.03×	6.56
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:2)	10.0%	10.9%	10.7%	1.02×	9.18

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu (0:3)	90.0%	90.9%	89.3%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.29
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	5.0%	0.47×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu (0:4)	96.8%	98.1%	95.0%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	3.9%	0.31×	83.48
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.65

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (1:0)	77.6%	78.5%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.8%	12.8%	16.4%	0.78×	7.82
Qingdao Hainiu (1:0)	7.5%	6.9%	11.8%	0.59×	14.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (2:0)	92.5%	93.9%	88.2%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	7.1%	0.91×	15.52
Qingdao Hainiu (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	5.0%	0.46×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to concede	58.7%	60.9%	72.7%	0.84×	1.64
Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet	41.3%	39.1%	27.3%	1.43×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet in 1st half	70.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Chongqing Tonglianglong to concede in 1st half	29.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet in 2nd half	58.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Chongqing Tonglianglong to concede in 2nd half	41.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 6.5 corners	78.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 5.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 3.5 corners	63.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 4.5 corners	52.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 4.5 corners	47.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 3.5 corners	36.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 5.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 6.5 corners	21.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 2.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 2.5 goals	81.8%	82.1%	73.8%	1.11×	1.22
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 0.5 goals	76.8%	77.7%	86.1%	0.90×	1.29
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 1.5 goals	57.1%	58.8%	47.8%	1.23×	1.70
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 1.5 goals	42.9%	41.2%	52.2%	0.79×	2.43
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 0.5 goals	23.2%	22.3%	13.9%	1.60×	4.49
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 2.5 goals	18.2%	17.9%	26.2%	0.68×	5.58
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	10.5%	0.74×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 1.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 1.5 in 1st half	13.1%	10.2%	—	—	9.76

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Chongqing Tonglianglong scores equally in both	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Chongqing Tonglianglong scores more in 1st half	25.5%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.1%	56.6%	48.3%	1.17×	1.77
Qingdao Hainiu (home no bet)	44.9%	43.4%	51.7%	0.84×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong even goals	52.7%	50.6%	48.3%	1.05×	1.98
Chongqing Tonglianglong odd goals	47.3%	49.4%	51.7%	0.95×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	23.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	13.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-0	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong at HT / Chongqing Tonglianglong at FT	29.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Chongqing Tonglianglong at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Qingdao Hainiu at HT / Qingdao Hainiu at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Qingdao Hainiu at FT	9.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Chongqing Tonglianglong at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Qingdao Hainiu at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Qingdao Hainiu at HT / Chongqing Tonglianglong at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Chongqing Tonglianglong at HT / Qingdao Hainiu at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score last	56.1%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Qingdao Hainiu to score last	33.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	10.0%	8.8%	—	—	11.38

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.0%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Chongqing Tonglianglong to lead by 1 at any time	62.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Qingdao Hainiu to lead by 1 at any time	38.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Chongqing Tonglianglong to lead by 2 at any time	30.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Chongqing Tonglianglong to lead by 3 at any time	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Qingdao Hainiu to lead by 2 at any time	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Qingdao Hainiu to lead by 3 at any time	2.6%	1.6%	—	—	61.80

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong most corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Qingdao Hainiu most corners	43.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	84.7%	1.03×	1.15
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.4%	74.7%	1.12×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.0%	68.9%	55.1%	1.25×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.4%	68.9%	77.9%	0.88×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.2%	68.9%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.5%	59.1%	60.8%	0.97×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.4%	48.6%	36.0%	1.35×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.6%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.6%	43.6%	56.0%	0.78×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.4%	39.2%	49.0%	0.80×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.7%	35.3%	39.0%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.0%	18.7%	36.9%	0.51×	5.33
4-5 goals	17.8%	18.7%	29.8%	0.63×	5.34
5-6 goals	7.9%	8.8%	17.3%	0.51×	11.31
7+ goals	1.0%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong never behind	52.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Qingdao Hainiu never behind	27.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.8%	46.2%	1.10×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.2%	53.8%	0.91×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	88.8%	1.07×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	78.8%	1.17×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.0%	87.6%	95.7%	0.92×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.0%	77.4%	59.2%	1.31×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.4%	66.3%	81.8%	0.81×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.4%	58.7%	40.1%	1.46×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.6%	41.3%	59.9%	0.69×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.6%	33.7%	18.2%	1.85×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	21.0%	22.6%	40.8%	0.56×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	10.0%	12.4%	4.3%	2.86×	8.08
Over 4.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	21.2%	0.37×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	11.2%	0.41×	21.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	87.6%	1.11×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.8%	86.7%	73.7%	1.18×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.5%	72.5%	49.6%	1.46×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.9%	55.6%	76.7%	0.72×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.1%	44.4%	23.3%	1.91×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.5%	27.5%	50.4%	0.55×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.2%	13.3%	26.3%	0.50×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.5%	2.8%	12.4%	0.23×	35.82
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	4.4%	0.63×	35.89

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.70

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.7%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu not to score in both halves	87.7%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Chongqing Tonglianglong not to score in both halves	73.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score in both halves	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Qingdao Hainiu to score in both halves	12.3%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.6%	50.6%	63.1%	0.80×	1.98
Only Chongqing Tonglianglong scores	31.3%	33.3%	23.2%	1.43×	3.01
Only Qingdao Hainiu scores	13.2%	11.0%	9.8%	1.12×	9.10
Neither team scores	10.0%	11.0%	4.3%	2.54×	9.11

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	24.9%	22.1%	1.13×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.6%	22.6%	14.1%	1.60×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.1%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	10.0%	12.1%	4.3%	2.79×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	5.7%	7.6%	10.3%	0.75×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.3%	4.5%	11.2%	0.40×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.3%	—	—	6.55
3+ goals in 1st half	7.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.7%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	34.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	25.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Chongqing Tonglianglong not to win both halves	85.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win both halves	14.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Qingdao Hainiu to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu to win neither half	64.7%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win either half	61.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win neither half	38.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Qingdao Hainiu to win either half	35.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao Hainiu not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	90.2%	0.98×	1.13
Chongqing Tonglianglong not to win to nil	68.7%	69.7%	76.8%	0.91×	1.43
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win to nil	31.3%	30.3%	23.2%	1.30×	3.31
Qingdao Hainiu to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	9.8%	1.21×	8.44

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	26.2%	1.06×	3.59
Chongqing Tonglianglong by 1	24.8%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Chongqing Tonglianglong by 2	15.4%	16.9%	14.8%	1.14×	5.91
Qingdao Hainiu by 1	14.8%	11.8%	16.4%	0.72×	8.49
Chongqing Tonglianglong by 3+	10.0%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.50
Qingdao Hainiu by 2	5.6%	7.2%	7.1%	1.03×	13.82
Qingdao Hainiu by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.70