Chongqing Tonglianglong v Shandong Taishan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Chongqing Tonglianglong

11:35 UTC

Shandong Taishan

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 853h before kick-off

Chongqing Tonglianglong win

32.7%

model 32.9%

Draw

28.3%

model 27.7%

Shandong Taishan win

38.9%

model 39.4%

332839

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
0-1 10.2%
1-0 9.1%
0-0 8.5%
1-2 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.2%	Under 2.5	53.8%
BTTS yes	51.7%	BTTS no	48.3%
Chongqing Tonglianglong 1+	69.7%	Chongqing Tonglianglong 2+	33.5%
Shandong Taishan 1+	73.6%	Shandong Taishan 2+	38.4%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Shandong Taishan carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1458.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shandong Taishan have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.7% for Chongqing Tonglianglong and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.19 for Chongqing Tonglianglong and 1.33 for Shandong Taishan.

Why Chongqing Tonglianglong

Nothing in the data singles out Chongqing Tonglianglong.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.19 to 1.33. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Shandong Taishan can win

Shandong Taishan carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1458. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Chongqing Tonglianglong, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Shandong Taishan, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Chongqing Tonglianglong: 46% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shandong Taishan: 50% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Shandong Taishan are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	342838	1.21–1.30	1-1 13%	46%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan to win	38.3%	36.3%	28.0%	1.30×	2.75
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win	33.9%	30.4%	46.0%	0.66×	3.29
Draw	27.8%	27.9%	26.2%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan & not both score	21.3%	21.8%	9.8%	2.23×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Chongqing Tonglianglong & not both score	18.6%	17.9%	23.2%	0.77×	5.58
Shandong Taishan & both teams score	17.1%	17.9%	18.5%	0.97×	5.58
Chongqing Tonglianglong & both teams score	15.3%	17.9%	23.0%	0.78×	5.58
Draw & not both score	8.6%	8.4%	4.3%	1.94×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan & over 1.5	28.2%	26.0%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Shandong Taishan & under 3.5	28.3%	26.0%	15.9%	1.63×	3.84
Chongqing Tonglianglong & under 3.5	25.4%	26.0%	27.3%	0.95×	3.84
Chongqing Tonglianglong & over 1.5	24.5%	21.6%	36.4%	0.59×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.8%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.63
Shandong Taishan & over 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	21.0%	1.03×	4.63
Chongqing Tonglianglong & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	29.4%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Shandong Taishan & under 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	7.3%	2.47×	5.56
Chongqing Tonglianglong & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	16.9%	1.07×	5.56
Shandong Taishan & under 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	4.6%	2.83×	7.76
Shandong Taishan & over 3.5	10.0%	12.9%	12.3%	1.05×	7.76
Chongqing Tonglianglong & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	9.8%	0.81×	12.65
Chongqing Tonglianglong & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	18.9%	0.42×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	4.3%	1.83×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (1UP)	54.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Chongqing Tonglianglong (1UP)	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (2UP)	38.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Chongqing Tonglianglong (2UP)	33.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Shandong Taishan to win 2nd half	34.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win 2nd half	28.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Shandong Taishan over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Shandong Taishan under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Shandong Taishan over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (+2.5)	95.2%	96.3%	89.3%	1.08×	1.04
Shandong Taishan (+1.5)	85.5%	88.5%	74.7%	1.18×	1.13
Shandong Taishan (+0.5)	66.1%	68.7%	54.0%	1.27×	1.46
Chongqing Tonglianglong (+0.5)	61.7%	62.9%	72.0%	0.87×	1.59
Shandong Taishan (-0.5)	38.3%	37.1%	28.0%	1.32×	2.70
Chongqing Tonglianglong (-0.5)	33.9%	31.3%	46.0%	0.68×	3.19
Chongqing Tonglianglong (-1.5)	14.5%	11.5%	25.3%	0.45×	8.72
Chongqing Tonglianglong (-2.5)	4.8%	3.7%	10.7%	0.35×	26.75

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan to concede	70.2%	76.6%	86.1%	0.89×	1.31
Shandong Taishan clean sheet	29.8%	23.4%	13.9%	1.69×	4.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Shandong Taishan to concede in 1st half	40.6%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan clean sheet in 2nd half	50.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Shandong Taishan to concede in 2nd half	49.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan over 2.5 corners	81.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Shandong Taishan under 6.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Shandong Taishan over 3.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Shandong Taishan under 5.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Shandong Taishan over 4.5 corners	50.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Shandong Taishan under 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Shandong Taishan over 5.5 corners	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Shandong Taishan under 3.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Shandong Taishan over 6.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Shandong Taishan under 2.5 corners	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.5%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Shandong Taishan under 2.5 goals	85.6%	87.8%	83.1%	1.06×	1.14
Shandong Taishan over 0.5 goals	72.9%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Shandong Taishan under 1.5 goals	62.5%	63.1%	60.8%	1.04×	1.59
Shandong Taishan over 1.5 goals	37.5%	36.9%	39.2%	0.94×	2.71
Shandong Taishan under 0.5 goals	27.1%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.56
Shandong Taishan over 2.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	16.9%	0.72×	8.22
Shandong Taishan over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Shandong Taishan under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Shandong Taishan over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Shandong Taishan over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan scores equally in both	39.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Shandong Taishan scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Shandong Taishan scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (away no bet)	54.9%	51.6%	63.7%	0.81×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	45.1%	48.4%	36.3%	1.33×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan even goals	53.7%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.89
Shandong Taishan odd goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.2%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Shandong Taishan to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score 2+ in a row	26.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Shandong Taishan to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.59
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.73

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan corners (+3.5)	84.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (+3.5)	83.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Shandong Taishan corners (+2.5)	76.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (+2.5)	75.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Shandong Taishan corners (+1.5)	67.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (+1.5)	65.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Shandong Taishan corners (-1.5)	34.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (-1.5)	32.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Shandong Taishan corners (-2.5)	24.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (-2.5)	23.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Shandong Taishan corners (-3.5)	16.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Chongqing Tonglianglong corners (-3.5)	16.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	20.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.2%	11.4%	12.3%	0.93×	8.74
0-1	10.1%	11.4%	4.6%	2.51×	8.74
0-0	8.6%	7.4%	4.3%	1.71×	13.50
1-0	9.3%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.50
0-2	6.9%	7.4%	3.0%	2.50×	13.50
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.50
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.51×	58.31
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.51×	58.31
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.32
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.30
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.51×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (2nd half DNB)	54.4%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Chongqing Tonglianglong (2nd half DNB)	45.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan leading at HT (DNB)	50.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
Chongqing Tonglianglong leading at HT (DNB)	49.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong or Shandong Taishan (12)	72.2%	72.2%	73.8%	0.98×	1.39
Shandong Taishan or draw (X2)	66.1%	69.6%	54.0%	1.29×	1.44
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw (1X)	61.7%	63.7%	72.0%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan or draw at HT	72.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw at HT	72.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Chongqing Tonglianglong or Shandong Taishan at HT	54.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan or draw (1UP)	66.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw (1UP)	61.7%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan or draw in 2nd half	71.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Chongqing Tonglianglong or Shandong Taishan in 2nd half	62.6%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.5%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Neither half drawn	34.5%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (DNB)	53.1%	50.9%	37.8%	1.35×	1.96
Chongqing Tonglianglong (DNB)	46.9%	49.1%	62.2%	0.79×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan to score first	47.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score first	44.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.6%	51.3%	63.1%	0.81×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.4%	48.7%	36.9%	1.32×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.8%	41.6%	28.0%	1.49×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	38.4%	38.5%	51.0%	0.75×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.2%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.00

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.2%	85.6%	78.4%	1.09×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.8%	14.4%	21.6%	0.67×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.7%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.0%	—	—	19.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	47.3%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
0-1 goals	28.0%	26.6%	18.2%	1.46×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.1%	22.8%	36.9%	0.62×	4.38
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan to score exactly 1	35.4%	36.0%	33.7%	1.07×	2.78
Shandong Taishan to score exactly 0	27.1%	27.4%	27.3%	1.00×	3.65
Shandong Taishan to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.4%	22.6%	0.99×	4.47
Shandong Taishan to score 3+	14.4%	12.9%	16.9%	0.76×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.6%	34.2%	1.04×	2.81
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score exactly 0	29.8%	26.5%	13.9%	1.91×	3.77
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score exactly 2	21.8%	23.2%	26.2%	0.89×	4.31
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score 3+	12.3%	14.4%	26.2%	0.55×	6.95

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Shandong Taishan leading at HT	27.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Chongqing Tonglianglong leading at HT	27.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan -1: 1	61.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Shandong Taishan -1: X	20.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Shandong Taishan -1: 2	17.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (0:1)	66.1%	65.2%	54.0%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.4%	17.8%	21.0%	0.85×	5.62
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:1)	14.5%	13.8%	25.3%	0.55×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (0:2)	85.5%	86.9%	74.7%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.95
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	10.7%	0.35×	26.33

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (0:3)	95.2%	96.6%	89.3%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.07
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	5.0%	0.47×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	95.0%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	3.9%	0.31×	83.64
Chongqing Tonglianglong (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.72

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (1:0)	61.7%	65.1%	72.0%	0.90×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	20.9%	21.8%	16.4%	1.33×	4.58
Shandong Taishan (1:0)	17.4%	17.0%	11.8%	1.43×	5.89

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong (2:0)	82.6%	84.6%	88.2%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.3%	10.4%	7.1%	1.47×	9.63
Shandong Taishan (2:0)	6.1%	6.4%	5.0%	1.29×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to concede	72.9%	73.1%	72.7%	1.01×	1.37
Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet	27.1%	26.9%	27.3%	0.98×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Chongqing Tonglianglong to concede in 1st half	40.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to concede in 2nd half	54.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet in 2nd half	45.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 2.5 corners	80.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 6.5 corners	76.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 3.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 5.5 corners	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 4.5 corners	50.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 4.5 corners	49.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 5.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 3.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 6.5 corners	23.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 2.5 corners	19.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 3.5 goals	96.5%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 2.5 goals	87.7%	87.2%	73.8%	1.18×	1.15
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 0.5 goals	70.2%	74.2%	86.1%	0.86×	1.35
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 1.5 goals	65.9%	67.9%	47.8%	1.42×	1.47
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 1.5 goals	34.1%	32.1%	52.2%	0.62×	3.11
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 0.5 goals	29.8%	25.8%	13.9%	1.86×	3.88
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 2.5 goals	12.3%	12.8%	26.2%	0.49×	7.82
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 3.5 goals	3.5%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	27.29

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 1.5 in 1st half	90.4%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
Chongqing Tonglianglong under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Chongqing Tonglianglong over 1.5 in 1st half	9.6%	4.8%	—	—	21.00

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong scores equally in both	41.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Chongqing Tonglianglong scores more in 2nd half	34.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Chongqing Tonglianglong scores more in 1st half	23.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan (home no bet)	58.0%	56.6%	51.7%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.0%	43.4%	48.3%	0.90×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong even goals	54.4%	50.6%	48.3%	1.05×	1.98
Chongqing Tonglianglong odd goals	45.6%	49.4%	51.7%	0.95×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	18.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-0	18.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-1	9.7%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
Any other HT score	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan at HT / Shandong Taishan at FT	20.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Chongqing Tonglianglong at HT / Chongqing Tonglianglong at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Shandong Taishan at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Chongqing Tonglianglong at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Chongqing Tonglianglong at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Shandong Taishan at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Chongqing Tonglianglong at HT / Shandong Taishan at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Shandong Taishan at HT / Chongqing Tonglianglong at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan to score last	47.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score last	44.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.26

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Shandong Taishan to lead by 1 at any time	54.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Chongqing Tonglianglong to lead by 1 at any time	50.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Shandong Taishan to lead by 2 at any time	22.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Chongqing Tonglianglong to lead by 2 at any time	19.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Shandong Taishan to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.09
Chongqing Tonglianglong to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.16

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan most corners	45.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Chongqing Tonglianglong most corners	43.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	84.7%	1.03×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.4%	74.7%	1.12×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.6%	72.4%	77.9%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.7%	68.9%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.9%	68.9%	55.1%	1.25×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.4%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.6%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.5%	48.6%	36.0%	1.35×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.5%	43.6%	56.0%	0.78×	2.30
3-5 goals	41.7%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.9%	35.3%	39.0%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	23.1%	24.5%	36.9%	0.66×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.2%	24.5%	29.8%	0.82×	4.08
5-6 goals	9.6%	8.8%	17.3%	0.51×	11.30
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shandong Taishan never behind	41.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Chongqing Tonglianglong never behind	37.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	46.2%	1.10×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	53.8%	0.91×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	88.8%	1.07×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.4%	92.2%	95.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.9%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.5%	77.3%	59.2%	1.31×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	81.8%	0.89×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.0%	52.6%	40.1%	1.31×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.0%	47.4%	59.9%	0.79×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	18.2%	1.51×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.5%	22.7%	40.8%	0.56×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	11.1%	12.4%	21.2%	0.58×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	8.6%	7.8%	4.3%	1.80×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	11.2%	0.41×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.4%	97.2%	87.6%	1.11×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.2%	86.7%	73.7%	1.18×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.8%	67.5%	49.6%	1.36×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.2%	61.9%	76.7%	0.81×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.8%	38.1%	23.3%	1.63×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.2%	32.5%	50.4%	0.65×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.8%	13.3%	26.3%	0.50×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.6%	2.8%	12.4%	0.23×	35.79
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	4.4%	0.63×	35.88

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong not to score in both halves	79.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Shandong Taishan not to score in both halves	77.9%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Shandong Taishan to score in both halves	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Chongqing Tonglianglong to score in both halves	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.6%	53.9%	63.1%	0.85×	1.86
Only Shandong Taishan scores	21.3%	22.3%	9.8%	2.27×	4.49
Only Chongqing Tonglianglong scores	18.6%	16.0%	23.2%	0.69×	6.23
Neither team scores	8.6%	7.2%	4.3%	1.66×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	24.9%	22.1%	1.13×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.4%	17.4%	14.1%	1.24×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.5%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.6%	7.6%	4.3%	1.77×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	10.3%	0.75×	13.08
6 or more goals	4.3%	4.5%	11.2%	0.40×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	35.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	19.2%	15.3%	—	—	6.54
3+ goals in 1st half	8.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	23.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong not to win both halves	92.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Shandong Taishan not to win both halves	90.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Shandong Taishan to win both halves	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win both halves	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win neither half	52.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Shandong Taishan to win either half	51.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Shandong Taishan to win neither half	48.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win either half	47.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chongqing Tonglianglong not to win to nil	81.4%	83.1%	76.8%	1.08×	1.20
Shandong Taishan not to win to nil	78.7%	78.1%	90.2%	0.87×	1.28
Shandong Taishan to win to nil	21.3%	21.9%	9.8%	2.24×	4.57
Chongqing Tonglianglong to win to nil	18.6%	16.9%	23.2%	0.73×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.8%	27.9%	26.2%	1.06×	3.59
Shandong Taishan by 1	20.9%	24.2%	16.4%	1.47×	4.14
Chongqing Tonglianglong by 1	19.4%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.90
Shandong Taishan by 2	11.3%	11.8%	7.1%	1.67×	8.50
Chongqing Tonglianglong by 2	9.7%	7.2%	14.8%	0.49×	13.80
Shandong Taishan by 3+	6.1%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.81
Chongqing Tonglianglong by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	10.7%	0.26×	36.61