Chornomorets Odesa v Obolon Kyiv — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Chornomorets Odesa

10:00 UTC

Obolon Kyiv

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 214h before kick-off

Chornomorets Odesa win

56.7%

model 57.1%

Draw

30.6%

model 30.1%

Obolon Kyiv win

12.7%

model 12.9%

573113

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,259 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 17.6%
0-0 15.0%
2-0 13.9%
1-1 12.6%
2-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	32.8%	Under 2.5	67.2%
BTTS yes	34.8%	BTTS no	65.2%
Chornomorets Odesa 1+	76.5%	Chornomorets Odesa 2+	42.5%
Obolon Kyiv 1+	43.4%	Obolon Kyiv 2+	11.2%

Expected goals 1.45 – 0.57. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Chornomorets Odesa clean sheet

Home clean sheet · usually 32%

59.8% fair odds 1.67

strong signal · 4252 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Chornomorets Odesa under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 80%

82.3% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 13958 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Chornomorets Odesa have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Obolon Kyiv have allowed 1.35.
At home Chornomorets Odesa average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Chornomorets Odesa have only 0 matches on record.
Obolon Kyiv have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Chornomorets Odesa have an estimated 56.7% win probability, against 30.6% for the draw and 12.7% for Obolon Kyiv. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.45 for Chornomorets Odesa and 0.57 for Obolon Kyiv.

Why Chornomorets Odesa

Chornomorets Odesa have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Obolon Kyiv have allowed 1.35. At home Chornomorets Odesa average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.6%. A combined 2.02 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Obolon Kyiv can win

Obolon Kyiv have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Chornomorets Odesa have allowed 1.35. Away from home Obolon Kyiv average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Chornomorets Odesa, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Obolon Kyiv, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Chornomorets Odesa: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Obolon Kyiv: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Chornomorets Odesa are the model's most likely outcome at 56.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 17.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	573013	1.45–0.57	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	543412	1.23–0.45	1-0 21%	24%	27%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa to win	57.1%	58.3%	44.4%	1.31×	1.72
Draw	30.1%	31.5%	25.0%	1.26×	3.17
Obolon Kyiv to win	12.9%	13.1%	30.6%	0.43×	7.66

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa & not both score	41.6%	40.6%	24.4%	1.67×	2.46
Chornomorets Odesa & both teams score	15.4%	18.1%	20.1%	0.90×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	15.1%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Draw & not both score	15.0%	12.7%	7.3%	1.74×	7.88
Obolon Kyiv & not both score	8.6%	7.6%	16.0%	0.48×	13.07
Obolon Kyiv & both teams score	4.3%	4.2%	14.6%	0.29×	23.91

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa & under 3.5	46.2%	46.3%	30.3%	1.53×	2.16
Chornomorets Odesa & over 1.5	39.4%	36.6%	34.1%	1.07×	2.74
Chornomorets Odesa & under 2.5	31.6%	31.8%	17.5%	1.81×	3.15
Draw & under 2.5	27.6%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Draw & under 3.5	27.6%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Chornomorets Odesa & over 2.5	25.5%	26.4%	26.9%	0.98×	3.79
Chornomorets Odesa & under 1.5	17.6%	17.7%	10.4%	1.71×	5.64
Draw & over 1.5	15.1%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Draw & under 1.5	15.0%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.05
Obolon Kyiv & under 3.5	11.6%	12.4%	21.6%	0.57×	8.06
Chornomorets Odesa & over 3.5	10.8%	12.4%	14.2%	0.88×	8.06
Obolon Kyiv & over 1.5	7.0%	7.6%	23.1%	0.33×	13.21
Obolon Kyiv & under 1.5	5.9%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.21
Obolon Kyiv & under 2.5	8.1%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.21
Obolon Kyiv & over 2.5	4.8%	4.4%	18.4%	0.24×	22.79
Draw & over 2.5	2.5%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.80
Draw & over 3.5	2.5%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.80
Obolon Kyiv & over 3.5	1.3%	4.4%	9.0%	0.49×	22.80

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (1UP)	66.5%	69.8%	59.8%	1.17×	1.43
Obolon Kyiv (1UP)	25.6%	25.6%	50.4%	0.51×	3.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (2UP)	57.1%	59.6%	45.2%	1.32×	1.68
Obolon Kyiv (2UP)	12.9%	15.9%	34.2%	0.47×	6.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa to win 2nd half	44.4%	41.5%	37.7%	1.10×	2.41
2nd half drawn	41.7%	41.4%	32.7%	1.27×	2.42
Obolon Kyiv to win 2nd half	13.9%	13.5%	29.7%	0.45×	7.42

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.3%	94.4%	82.3%	1.15×	1.06
Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	74.5%	46.6%	1.60×	1.34
Obolon Kyiv over 0.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	25.5%	53.4%	0.48×	3.92
Obolon Kyiv over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.7%	5.6%	17.7%	0.32×	17.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	78.4%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Chornomorets Odesa over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	58.4%	58.7%	1.00×	1.71
Chornomorets Odesa under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	41.6%	41.4%	1.01×	2.40
Chornomorets Odesa over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	21.6%	22.6%	0.96×	4.62

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (+2.5)	87.9%	87.4%	90.1%	0.97×	1.14
Chornomorets Odesa (+0.5)	87.1%	87.4%	69.4%	1.26×	1.14
Obolon Kyiv (+1.5)	69.7%	67.9%	77.7%	0.87×	1.47
Chornomorets Odesa (-0.5)	57.1%	58.3%	44.4%	1.31×	1.71
Obolon Kyiv (+0.5)	42.9%	41.7%	55.6%	0.75×	2.40
Chornomorets Odesa (-1.5)	30.3%	32.1%	22.3%	1.44×	3.12
Obolon Kyiv (-0.5)	12.9%	12.6%	30.6%	0.41×	7.94
Chornomorets Odesa (-2.5)	12.1%	12.6%	9.9%	1.27×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to concede	76.5%	78.9%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
Obolon Kyiv clean sheet	23.5%	21.1%	23.3%	0.91×	4.74

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	53.9%	51.8%	1.04×	1.86
Obolon Kyiv to concede in 1st half	46.3%	46.1%	48.2%	0.96×	2.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to concede in 2nd half	56.2%	58.7%	58.7%	1.00×	1.70
Obolon Kyiv clean sheet in 2nd half	43.8%	41.3%	41.4%	1.00×	2.42

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv under 3.5 goals	99.7%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Obolon Kyiv under 2.5 goals	98.0%	97.3%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Obolon Kyiv under 1.5 goals	88.8%	87.1%	66.3%	1.31×	1.15
Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 goals	56.6%	58.9%	31.7%	1.86×	1.70
Obolon Kyiv over 0.5 goals	43.4%	41.1%	68.3%	0.60×	2.43
Obolon Kyiv over 1.5 goals	11.2%	12.9%	33.7%	0.38×	7.77
Obolon Kyiv over 2.5 goals	2.0%	2.7%	13.0%	0.21×	37.13
Obolon Kyiv over 3.5 goals	0.3%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	37.17

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv under 1.5 in 1st half	97.8%	95.4%	89.4%	1.07×	1.05
Obolon Kyiv under 0.5 in 1st half	79.6%	75.2%	59.0%	1.28×	1.33
Obolon Kyiv over 0.5 in 1st half	20.4%	24.8%	41.0%	0.60×	4.04
Obolon Kyiv over 1.5 in 1st half	2.2%	4.6%	10.6%	0.44×	21.62

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv scores equally in both	61.1%	56.9%	40.6%	1.40×	1.76
Obolon Kyiv scores more in 2nd half	23.9%	23.6%	36.5%	0.64×	4.25
Obolon Kyiv scores more in 1st half	15.0%	17.1%	22.9%	0.74×	5.86

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (away no bet)	65.5%	66.9%	64.0%	1.04×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	34.5%	33.1%	36.0%	0.92×	3.02

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv even goals	66.0%	66.0%	55.7%	1.18×	1.52
Obolon Kyiv odd goals	34.0%	34.0%	44.3%	0.77×	2.94

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.2%	90.8%	82.7%	1.10×	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.8%	9.2%	17.3%	0.53×	10.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.5%	53.1%	33.8%	1.57×	1.88
Not both halves under 1.5	47.5%	46.9%	66.2%	0.71×	2.13

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.3%	42.8%	58.6%	0.73×	2.34
Chornomorets Odesa to score 2+ in a row	38.2%	37.1%	36.9%	1.00×	2.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.89
Chornomorets Odesa to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.75
Obolon Kyiv to score 2+ in a row	7.9%	7.7%	28.6%	0.27×	12.93
Obolon Kyiv to score 3+ in a row	1.1%	3.1%	9.1%	0.34×	32.43

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	17.6%	15.5%	10.4%	1.50×	6.45
0-0	15.0%	11.2%	7.3%	1.54×	8.91
2-0	13.9%	11.2%	7.2%	1.57×	8.91
1-1	12.6%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.45
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
3-0	6.7%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.45
0-2	2.2%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.34
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.35
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.35
1-2	3.1%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.34
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.35
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.35
2-2	2.3%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.35
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.35
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	2.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.34
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.34
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (2nd half DNB)	76.2%	71.8%	55.9%	1.28×	1.39
Obolon Kyiv (2nd half DNB)	23.8%	28.2%	44.1%	0.64×	3.55

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa leading at HT (DNB)	77.4%	76.9%	56.7%	1.36×	1.30
Obolon Kyiv leading at HT (DNB)	22.6%	23.1%	43.3%	0.53×	4.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa or draw (1X)	87.1%	86.9%	69.4%	1.25×	1.15
Chornomorets Odesa or Obolon Kyiv (12)	69.9%	68.5%	75.0%	0.91×	1.46
Obolon Kyiv or draw (X2)	42.9%	41.7%	55.6%	0.75×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa or draw at HT	88.6%	87.3%	74.1%	1.18×	1.15
Obolon Kyiv or draw at HT	61.0%	62.9%	66.2%	0.95×	1.59
Chornomorets Odesa or Obolon Kyiv at HT	50.4%	53.8%	59.7%	0.90×	1.86

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa or draw (1UP)	87.1%	90.4%	74.2%	1.22×	1.11
Obolon Kyiv or draw (1UP)	42.9%	50.5%	63.9%	0.79×	1.98

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa or draw in 2nd half	86.1%	86.5%	70.3%	1.23×	1.16
Chornomorets Odesa or Obolon Kyiv in 2nd half	58.3%	58.7%	67.3%	0.87×	1.71
Obolon Kyiv or draw in 2nd half	55.6%	58.5%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.9%	65.3%	58.9%	1.11×	1.53
Neither half drawn	31.1%	34.7%	41.1%	0.84×	2.88

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (DNB)	81.6%	81.2%	59.2%	1.37×	1.23
Obolon Kyiv (DNB)	18.4%	18.8%	40.8%	0.46×	5.33

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa to score first	61.0%	64.0%	51.2%	1.25×	1.56
Obolon Kyiv to score first	24.0%	17.1%	42.9%	0.40×	5.84
No goal scored	15.0%	7.2%	5.9%	1.22×	13.90

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	65.1%	63.2%	47.6%	1.33×	1.58
Both teams to score	34.9%	36.8%	52.4%	0.70×	2.72

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.6%	48.5%	37.1%	1.31×	2.06
Both score & over 2.5	22.2%	25.0%	40.9%	0.61×	4.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	10.6%	11.9%	10.6%	1.12×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.2%	92.1%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	4.8%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.68

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.2%	74.0%	70.2%	1.05×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.8%	26.1%	29.8%	0.87×	3.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	75.0%	66.0%	57.8%	1.14×	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	15.3%	18.3%	23.8%	0.77×	5.46
Both score 1st half only	8.2%	6.9%	12.5%	0.56×	14.43
Both score in both halves	1.5%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.3%	93.2%	81.5%	1.14×	1.07
Both teams to score by HT	9.7%	6.8%	18.5%	0.37×	14.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	59.8%	57.5%	41.1%	1.40×	1.74
A goal in each half	40.2%	42.5%	58.9%	0.72×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
0-1 goals	38.5%	35.3%	25.2%	1.40×	2.83
4-6 goals	14.1%	14.9%	27.0%	0.55×	6.70
7+ goals	0.5%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.81

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to score exactly 0	56.6%	53.7%	31.7%	1.70×	1.86
Obolon Kyiv to score exactly 1	32.2%	32.3%	34.6%	0.93×	3.09
Obolon Kyiv to score exactly 2	9.2%	8.6%	20.8%	0.41×	11.63
Obolon Kyiv to score 3+	2.0%	4.1%	13.0%	0.32×	24.20

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.2%	33.1%	0.97×	3.10
Chornomorets Odesa to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.9%	24.0%	0.95×	4.38
Chornomorets Odesa to score exactly 0	23.5%	22.9%	23.3%	0.98×	4.38
Chornomorets Odesa to score 3+	17.8%	18.1%	19.7%	0.92×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.6%	46.2%	40.3%	1.14×	2.17
Chornomorets Odesa leading at HT	39.0%	37.1%	33.8%	1.10×	2.69
Obolon Kyiv leading at HT	11.4%	12.7%	25.9%	0.49×	7.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa -1: 2	42.9%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Chornomorets Odesa -1: 1	30.3%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Chornomorets Odesa -1: X	26.7%	26.8%	—	—	3.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:1)	42.9%	41.1%	55.6%	0.74×	2.44
Chornomorets Odesa (0:1)	30.3%	31.0%	22.3%	1.39×	3.23
Draw (0:1)	26.7%	27.2%	22.2%	1.23×	3.68

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:2)	69.7%	69.9%	77.7%	0.90×	1.43
Draw (0:2)	18.2%	15.7%	12.3%	1.27×	6.38
Chornomorets Odesa (0:2)	12.1%	11.4%	9.9%	1.14×	8.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:3)	87.9%	88.6%	90.1%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	6.5%	5.9%	1.10×	15.39
Chornomorets Odesa (0:3)	3.9%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv (0:4)	96.1%	97.7%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.67
Chornomorets Odesa (0:4)	1.0%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (1:0)	87.1%	85.9%	69.4%	1.24×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.5%	7.5%	17.0%	0.44×	13.38
Obolon Kyiv (1:0)	3.4%	3.4%	13.6%	0.25×	29.03

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa (2:0)	96.6%	96.6%	86.4%	1.12×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	2.8%	2.8%	8.1%	0.34×	35.91
Obolon Kyiv (2:0)	0.6%	2.8%	5.4%	0.51×	35.95

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.8%	48.5%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
Halves equal	32.6%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa clean sheet	56.6%	59.8%	31.7%	1.89×	1.67
Chornomorets Odesa to concede	43.4%	40.2%	68.3%	0.59×	2.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa clean sheet in 1st half	79.6%	76.0%	59.0%	1.29×	1.32
Chornomorets Odesa to concede in 1st half	20.4%	24.0%	41.0%	0.59×	4.16

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa clean sheet in 2nd half	71.1%	73.4%	46.6%	1.58×	1.36
Chornomorets Odesa to concede in 2nd half	28.9%	26.6%	53.4%	0.50×	3.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.4%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Chornomorets Odesa under 2.5 goals	82.2%	82.3%	80.3%	1.03×	1.22
Chornomorets Odesa over 0.5 goals	76.5%	78.2%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Chornomorets Odesa under 1.5 goals	57.5%	57.9%	56.3%	1.03×	1.73
Chornomorets Odesa over 1.5 goals	42.5%	42.1%	43.7%	0.96×	2.38
Chornomorets Odesa under 0.5 goals	23.5%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Chornomorets Odesa over 2.5 goals	17.8%	17.7%	19.7%	0.90×	5.65
Chornomorets Odesa over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	7.6%	1.01×	13.08

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	87.7%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Chornomorets Odesa under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	53.9%	51.8%	1.04×	1.86
Chornomorets Odesa over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	46.1%	48.2%	0.96×	2.17
Chornomorets Odesa over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	12.3%	14.1%	0.87×	8.11

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	37.1%	38.0%	0.98×	2.69
Chornomorets Odesa scores equally in both	37.2%	37.1%	37.1%	1.00×	2.69
Chornomorets Odesa scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.8%	24.9%	1.11×	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	70.0%	64.6%	44.9%	1.44×	1.55
Obolon Kyiv (home no bet)	30.0%	35.4%	55.1%	0.64×	2.83

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa even goals	52.8%	50.9%	52.8%	0.96×	1.96
Chornomorets Odesa odd goals	47.2%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.0%	38.0%	29.3%	1.30×	2.63
HT 1-0	26.3%	25.9%	20.7%	1.25×	3.86
HT 0-1	9.4%	8.0%	16.3%	0.49×	12.52
HT 2-0	8.3%	8.0%	7.1%	1.12×	12.54
HT 1-1	6.3%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.55
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.46
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.50
HT 0-2	1.1%	2.5%	4.9%	0.50×	40.53
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.55
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa at HT / Chornomorets Odesa at FT	34.3%	34.3%	25.8%	1.33×	2.92
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.4%	20.9%	14.1%	1.48×	4.78
Draw at HT / Chornomorets Odesa at FT	21.1%	20.9%	14.7%	1.42×	4.79
Draw at HT / Obolon Kyiv at FT	6.1%	6.5%	11.6%	0.56×	15.49
Obolon Kyiv at HT / Obolon Kyiv at FT	6.1%	6.5%	17.4%	0.37×	15.49
Chornomorets Odesa at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.6%	5.1%	0.71×	27.52
Obolon Kyiv at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.53
Obolon Kyiv at HT / Chornomorets Odesa at FT	1.7%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.59
Chornomorets Odesa at HT / Obolon Kyiv at FT	0.7%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.62

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa to score last	61.4%	60.3%	51.4%	1.17×	1.66
Obolon Kyiv to score last	23.6%	24.1%	42.7%	0.56×	4.16
No goal scored	15.0%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.57

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.0%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Chornomorets Odesa to lead by 1 at any time	66.5%	68.9%	59.8%	1.15×	1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.3%	37.4%	48.2%	0.78×	2.67
Chornomorets Odesa to lead by 2 at any time	34.1%	31.7%	28.2%	1.12×	3.15
Obolon Kyiv to lead by 1 at any time	25.6%	24.9%	50.4%	0.49×	4.01
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	11.1%	19.5%	0.57×	9.05
Chornomorets Odesa to lead by 3 at any time	13.4%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.05
Obolon Kyiv to lead by 2 at any time	5.3%	7.4%	20.3%	0.36×	13.54
Obolon Kyiv to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	2.6%	7.4%	0.35×	38.70

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.3%	82.1%	86.4%	0.95×	1.22
1-4 goals	79.6%	77.9%	78.0%	1.00×	1.28
1-3 goals	70.4%	72.2%	63.3%	1.14×	1.39
2-6 goals	61.0%	62.7%	72.4%	0.87×	1.60
2-5 goals	59.8%	58.9%	68.5%	0.86×	1.70
2-4 goals	56.1%	58.9%	60.1%	0.98×	1.70
1-2 goals	52.2%	52.9%	41.2%	1.28×	1.89
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
3-6 goals	32.3%	34.7%	49.0%	0.71×	2.88
3-5 goals	31.1%	34.7%	45.1%	0.77×	2.88
3-4 goals	27.4%	28.5%	36.8%	0.78×	3.51
4-6 goals	14.1%	13.5%	27.0%	0.50×	7.42
4-5 goals	12.9%	13.5%	23.0%	0.59×	7.42
5-6 goals	4.9%	2.3%	12.3%	0.18×	44.18
7+ goals	0.5%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chornomorets Odesa never behind	59.4%	61.5%	49.6%	1.24×	1.63
Obolon Kyiv never behind	18.5%	20.3%	40.2%	0.51×	4.93

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	54.2%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	45.8%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.7%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	40.3%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.0%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.0%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.05

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.3%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	85.4%	87.8%	70.6%	1.24×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	85.0%	87.8%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	67.2%	67.7%	48.5%	1.39×	1.48
Over 1.5 goals	61.5%	62.0%	74.8%	0.83×	1.61
Under 1.5 goals	38.5%	38.0%	25.2%	1.51×	2.63
Over 2.5 goals	32.8%	32.3%	51.5%	0.63×	3.09
Under 0.5 goals	15.0%	12.2%	7.3%	1.67×	8.21
Over 3.5 goals	14.6%	12.2%	29.4%	0.41×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	1.7%	4.0%	6.3%	0.63×	25.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.2%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.0%	92.0%	82.8%	1.11×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	82.2%	81.5%	62.3%	1.31×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.0%	52.0%	32.9%	1.58×	1.92
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.0%	48.0%	67.1%	0.71×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	17.8%	18.5%	37.7%	0.49×	5.40
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.0%	8.0%	17.2%	0.46×	12.52
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.8%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.71
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.73

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.5%	91.9%	88.4%	1.04×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.8%	78.0%	66.3%	1.18×	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	59.6%	70.7%	0.84×	1.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	40.4%	29.3%	1.38×	2.48
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.2%	22.0%	33.7%	0.65×	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.5%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.7%	85.2%	77.5%	1.10×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.3%	66.9%	82.3%	0.81×	1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	66.8%	50.2%	1.33×	1.50
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	33.2%	49.8%	0.67×	3.01
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.7%	33.1%	17.7%	1.87×	3.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.3%	14.8%	22.5%	0.66×	6.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv not to score in both halves	94.1%	89.0%	77.6%	1.15×	1.12
Chornomorets Odesa not to score in both halves	74.0%	72.6%	70.5%	1.03×	1.38
Chornomorets Odesa to score in both halves	26.0%	27.4%	29.5%	0.93×	3.65
Obolon Kyiv to score in both halves	5.9%	11.0%	22.4%	0.49×	9.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Chornomorets Odesa scores	41.6%	45.6%	24.4%	1.87×	2.19
Both teams score	34.9%	31.4%	52.4%	0.60×	3.18
Neither team scores	15.0%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.93
Only Obolon Kyiv scores	8.6%	7.1%	16.0%	0.44×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.7%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	23.5%	22.3%	17.9%	1.24×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	18.2%	17.6%	22.1%	0.80×	5.68
Exactly 0 goals	15.0%	12.3%	7.3%	1.68×	8.14
Exactly 4 goals	9.2%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	3.7%	4.0%	8.4%	0.48×	24.73
6 or more goals	1.7%	4.0%	6.3%	0.64×	24.75

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	43.0%	38.0%	29.3%	1.30×	2.63
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	15.7%	18.8%	22.2%	0.85×	5.33
3+ goals in 1st half	5.5%	8.1%	11.6%	0.70×	12.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	38.7%	32.5%	1.19×	2.59
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.1%	34.3%	49.8%	0.69×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	31.7%	34.3%	17.7%	1.94×	2.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv not to win both halves	98.3%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Chornomorets Odesa not to win both halves	82.3%	81.9%	86.8%	0.94×	1.22
Chornomorets Odesa to win both halves	17.7%	18.1%	13.2%	1.37×	5.53
Obolon Kyiv to win both halves	1.7%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.45

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv to win neither half	76.4%	80.7%	52.6%	1.53×	1.24
Chornomorets Odesa to win either half	65.8%	68.7%	58.3%	1.18×	1.46
Chornomorets Odesa to win neither half	34.2%	31.3%	41.7%	0.75×	3.19
Obolon Kyiv to win either half	23.6%	19.3%	47.4%	0.41×	5.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Obolon Kyiv not to win to nil	91.5%	92.3%	84.0%	1.10×	1.08
Chornomorets Odesa not to win to nil	58.4%	60.0%	75.6%	0.79×	1.67
Chornomorets Odesa to win to nil	41.6%	40.1%	24.4%	1.64×	2.50
Obolon Kyiv to win to nil	8.6%	7.7%	16.0%	0.48×	13.07

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.1%	29.2%	25.0%	1.17×	3.43
Chornomorets Odesa by 1	26.7%	27.3%	22.2%	1.23×	3.66
Chornomorets Odesa by 2	18.2%	17.2%	12.3%	1.40×	5.80
Chornomorets Odesa by 3+	12.1%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.45
Obolon Kyiv by 1	9.5%	7.3%	17.0%	0.43×	13.76
Obolon Kyiv by 2	2.8%	3.0%	8.1%	0.37×	33.46
Obolon Kyiv by 3+	0.6%	3.0%	5.4%	0.55×	33.48