Cienciano del Cusco v Atlético Grau — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cienciano del Cusco

18:00 UTC

Atlético Grau

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 31h before kick-off

Cienciano del Cusco win

51.1%

model 52.1%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.3%

Atlético Grau win

22.2%

model 22.6%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.5%
1-1 11.8%
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.1%
0-0 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.9%	Under 2.5	58.1%
BTTS yes	44.5%	BTTS no	55.5%
Cienciano del Cusco 1+	77.4%	Cienciano del Cusco 2+	43.7%
Atlético Grau 1+	58.2%	Atlético Grau 2+	21.7%

Expected goals 1.49 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 49%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Atlético Grau not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Cienciano del Cusco carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1462.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cienciano del Cusco have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for Atlético Grau. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Cienciano del Cusco and 0.87 for Atlético Grau.

Why Cienciano del Cusco

Cienciano del Cusco carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1462.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atlético Grau can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cienciano del Cusco, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Grau, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cienciano del Cusco: 55% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Grau: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cienciano del Cusco's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cienciano del Cusco are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.5%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522523	1.49–0.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	492724	1.34–0.83	1-0 16%	37%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to win	49.1%	47.4%	49.8%	0.95×	2.11
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.58
Atlético Grau to win	23.8%	24.5%	25.4%	0.97×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco & not both score	32.6%	29.6%	26.4%	1.12×	3.38
Cienciano del Cusco & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	16.2%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Atlético Grau & not both score	15.3%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.57
Draw & not both score	10.9%	13.3%	7.8%	1.70×	7.54
Atlético Grau & both teams score	8.4%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco & under 3.5	39.1%	34.9%	33.7%	1.04×	2.87
Cienciano del Cusco & over 1.5	33.3%	30.8%	38.0%	0.81×	3.25
Cienciano del Cusco & under 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	19.2%	1.36×	3.84
Cienciano del Cusco & over 2.5	23.0%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Atlético Grau & under 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	19.4%	1.11×	4.63
Cienciano del Cusco & under 1.5	15.8%	18.0%	12.0%	1.51×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Atlético Grau & over 1.5	13.8%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Atlético Grau & under 2.5	14.0%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.9%	12.8%	7.8%	1.65×	7.79
Atlético Grau & under 1.5	10.0%	12.8%	8.2%	1.57×	7.79
Cienciano del Cusco & over 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.62
Atlético Grau & over 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Atlético Grau & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (1UP)	60.7%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Atlético Grau (1UP)	37.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (2UP)	49.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Atlético Grau (2UP)	23.8%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cienciano del Cusco to win 2nd half	38.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Atlético Grau to win 2nd half	21.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.0%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (+2.5)	91.5%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Atlético Grau (+1.5)	77.0%	78.5%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
Cienciano del Cusco (+0.5)	76.2%	78.5%	74.6%	1.05×	1.27
Atlético Grau (+0.5)	50.9%	52.4%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
Cienciano del Cusco (-0.5)	49.1%	47.6%	49.8%	0.96×	2.10
Atlético Grau (-0.5)	23.8%	21.5%	25.4%	0.85×	4.65
Cienciano del Cusco (-1.5)	23.0%	21.5%	24.6%	0.87×	4.65
Cienciano del Cusco (-2.5)	8.5%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to concede	73.7%	76.7%	80.1%	0.96×	1.30
Atlético Grau clean sheet	26.3%	23.3%	19.9%	1.17×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 1st half	56.3%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Atlético Grau to concede in 1st half	43.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to concede in 2nd half	53.3%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 2nd half	46.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 6.5 corners	94.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Grau under 5.5 corners	88.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Atlético Grau under 4.5 corners	79.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Grau under 3.5 corners	64.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Atlético Grau over 2.5 corners	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Atlético Grau under 2.5 corners	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Atlético Grau over 3.5 corners	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Atlético Grau over 4.5 corners	21.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Atlético Grau over 5.5 corners	11.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Atlético Grau over 6.5 corners	5.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Atlético Grau under 2.5 goals	94.8%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Atlético Grau under 1.5 goals	79.8%	76.3%	71.6%	1.07×	1.31
Atlético Grau over 0.5 goals	56.4%	59.4%	65.9%	0.90×	1.68
Atlético Grau under 0.5 goals	43.6%	40.6%	34.1%	1.19×	2.46
Atlético Grau over 1.5 goals	20.2%	23.7%	28.4%	0.83×	4.21
Atlético Grau over 2.5 goals	5.2%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.09
Atlético Grau over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 1st half	95.6%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 1st half	4.4%	4.0%	—	—	24.97

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau scores equally in both	51.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Atlético Grau scores more in 2nd half	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Atlético Grau scores more in 1st half	18.6%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (away no bet)	64.4%	61.9%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.6%	38.1%	33.4%	1.14×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau even goals	59.5%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Atlético Grau odd goals	40.5%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.7%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.76

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	50.4%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.6%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.9%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Cienciano del Cusco to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Atlético Grau to score 2+ in a row	15.0%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Atlético Grau to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	39.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+3.5)	96.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+2.5)	92.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+1.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Grau corners (+3.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-1.5)	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Atlético Grau corners (+2.5)	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-2.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atlético Grau corners (+1.5)	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-3.5)	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Atlético Grau corners (-1.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Atlético Grau corners (-2.5)	7.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Atlético Grau corners (-3.5)	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.3%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.8%	13.8%	12.0%	1.16×	7.24
1-1	12.2%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-0	10.9%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.72
0-1	10.0%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.72
2-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.4%	1.54×	8.72
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
1-2	5.3%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	4.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.29
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (2nd half DNB)	63.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Atlético Grau (2nd half DNB)	36.4%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT (DNB)	66.2%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Atlético Grau leading at HT (DNB)	33.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1X)	76.2%	75.5%	74.6%	1.01×	1.32
Cienciano del Cusco or Atlético Grau (12)	72.9%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Atlético Grau or draw (X2)	50.9%	52.6%	50.2%	1.05×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw at HT	82.5%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Atlético Grau or draw at HT	65.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Cienciano del Cusco or Atlético Grau at HT	51.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1UP)	76.2%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Atlético Grau or draw (1UP)	50.9%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw in 2nd half	78.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Grau or draw in 2nd half	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Cienciano del Cusco or Atlético Grau in 2nd half	60.1%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (DNB)	67.3%	67.4%	66.3%	1.02×	1.48
Atlético Grau (DNB)	32.7%	32.6%	33.7%	0.97×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score first	54.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Atlético Grau to score first	34.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	10.9%	9.5%	—	—	10.57

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.9%	55.0%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.1%	45.0%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	51.0%	47.2%	37.7%	1.25×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	28.9%	33.3%	42.8%	0.78×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.2%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.8%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.2%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Both score 1st half only	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.6%	4.8%	—	—	20.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.7%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.5%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	42.5%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	36.8%	35.0%	27.5%	1.27×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.7%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score exactly 0	43.6%	37.3%	34.1%	1.10×	2.68
Atlético Grau to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Atlético Grau to score exactly 2	15.0%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
Atlético Grau to score 3+	5.2%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.73

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 0	26.3%	26.5%	19.9%	1.33×	3.77
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 2	23.5%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+	15.1%	18.8%	22.5%	0.84×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT	34.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Atlético Grau leading at HT	17.5%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco -1: 2	50.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Cienciano del Cusco -1: X	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Cienciano del Cusco -1: 1	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:1)	50.9%	51.3%	50.2%	1.02×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	26.0%	27.0%	25.4%	1.06×	3.70
Cienciano del Cusco (0:1)	23.0%	24.2%	24.6%	0.98×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:2)	77.0%	79.4%	75.4%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.6%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.09
Cienciano del Cusco (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	11.4%	0.67×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:3)	91.5%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.27
Cienciano del Cusco (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.69
Cienciano del Cusco (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.83

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (1:0)	76.2%	78.5%	74.6%	1.05×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Atlético Grau (1:0)	7.4%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (2:0)	92.6%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	5.6%	1.14×	15.68
Atlético Grau (2:0)	1.8%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede	56.4%	60.6%	65.9%	0.92×	1.65
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet	43.6%	39.4%	34.1%	1.16×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 1st half	71.7%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 1st half	28.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 2nd half	60.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 2nd half	39.3%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 corners	72.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cienciano del Cusco under 6.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cienciano del Cusco over 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cienciano del Cusco under 5.5 corners	56.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cienciano del Cusco over 5.5 corners	44.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cienciano del Cusco under 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cienciano del Cusco over 6.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 corners	27.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 goals	95.3%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 goals	84.9%	82.2%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 goals	73.7%	74.2%	80.1%	0.93×	1.35
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 goals	61.4%	63.6%	52.7%	1.21×	1.57
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 goals	38.6%	36.4%	47.3%	0.77×	2.75
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 goals	26.3%	25.8%	19.9%	1.29×	3.88
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 goals	15.1%	17.8%	22.5%	0.79×	5.62
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 goals	4.7%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 1st half	56.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 1st half	43.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	9.8%	—	—	10.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco scores equally in both	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 2nd half	36.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 1st half	24.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	51.5%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
Atlético Grau (home no bet)	46.7%	48.5%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco even goals	53.5%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Cienciano del Cusco odd goals	46.5%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	28.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Atlético Grau at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	10.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Atlético Grau at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Atlético Grau at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score last	54.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Grau to score last	34.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	10.9%	8.9%	—	—	11.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.1%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 1 at any time	60.7%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Atlético Grau to lead by 1 at any time	37.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 2 at any time	27.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Atlético Grau to lead by 2 at any time	10.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
Atlético Grau to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	—	—	62.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco most corners	70.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Atlético Grau most corners	20.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.6%	72.3%	63.9%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.5%	63.3%	70.8%	0.89×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.9%	63.3%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.3%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.2%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.2%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.5%	35.2%	46.2%	0.76×	2.84
3-4 goals	29.9%	30.2%	37.1%	0.81×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.7%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.1%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.32
5-6 goals	6.2%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.8%	1.41×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco never behind	51.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Grau never behind	28.3%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	85.7%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.1%	87.6%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	71.6%	1.15×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	63.2%	61.7%	72.5%	0.85×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.2%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.8%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	36.8%	38.3%	27.5%	1.39×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	28.4%	0.62×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.9%	12.4%	7.8%	1.59×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	14.3%	0.54×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.6%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.3%	92.4%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.4%	75.9%	63.1%	1.20×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.0%	51.8%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.0%	48.2%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.6%	24.1%	36.9%	0.65×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.7%	7.6%	16.7%	0.46×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.4%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to score in both halves	88.9%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Cienciano del Cusco not to score in both halves	76.7%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Cienciano del Cusco to score in both halves	23.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Atlético Grau to score in both halves	11.1%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.1%	46.6%	53.8%	0.87×	2.15
Only Cienciano del Cusco scores	32.6%	33.3%	26.4%	1.26×	3.01
Only Atlético Grau scores	15.3%	16.0%	12.3%	1.30×	6.24
Neither team scores	10.9%	11.0%	7.8%	1.42×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	25.8%	24.9%	19.9%	1.25×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	19.4%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	10.9%	12.1%	7.8%	1.55×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	10.5%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	9.2%	0.48×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.05

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.7%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Cienciano del Cusco not to win both halves	87.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Cienciano del Cusco to win both halves	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Atlético Grau to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to win neither half	64.4%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Cienciano del Cusco to win either half	59.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Cienciano del Cusco to win neither half	40.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Atlético Grau to win either half	35.6%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau not to win to nil	84.7%	83.1%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
Cienciano del Cusco not to win to nil	67.4%	69.7%	73.6%	0.95×	1.44
Cienciano del Cusco to win to nil	32.6%	30.3%	26.4%	1.15×	3.30
Atlético Grau to win to nil	15.3%	16.9%	12.3%	1.37×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.59
Cienciano del Cusco by 1	26.0%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Atlético Grau by 1	16.4%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Cienciano del Cusco by 2	14.6%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.50
Cienciano del Cusco by 3+	8.5%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.90
Atlético Grau by 2	5.6%	7.2%	5.6%	1.28×	13.92
Atlético Grau by 3+	1.8%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.92