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Cienciano del Cusco v Sport Huancayo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cienciano del Cusco win
53.6%
model 54.3%
Draw
23.2%
model 21.5%
Sport Huancayo win
23.2%
model 24.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 9.8%
  2. 2-1 9.8%
  3. 1-0 8.9%
  4. 2-0 8.1%
  5. 3-1 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.560.2% Under 2.539.8%
BTTS yes59.2% BTTS no40.8%
Cienciano del Cusco 1+85.2% Cienciano del Cusco 2+56.9%
Sport Huancayo 1+70.0% Sport Huancayo 2+33.9%

Expected goals 1.91 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
3-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 50%
58.5% fair odds 1.71
moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Cienciano del Cusco not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Cienciano del Cusco carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1440.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Cienciano del Cusco have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for Sport Huancayo and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.91 for Cienciano del Cusco and 1.20 for Sport Huancayo.

Why Cienciano del Cusco

Cienciano del Cusco carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1440.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sport Huancayo can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cienciano del Cusco, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sport Huancayo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cienciano del Cusco: 55% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Huancayo: 52% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cienciano del Cusco are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.91–1.20 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.11–1.20 2-1 10% 64% 61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to win 58.6% 54.0% 49.8% 1.08× 1.85
Sport Huancayo to win 21.5% 24.5% 25.4% 0.96× 4.09
Draw 19.9% 19.4% 25.0% 0.78× 5.15
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco & both teams score 31.8% 29.6% 23.6% 1.26× 3.38
Cienciano del Cusco & not both score 26.8% 25.2% 26.4% 0.95× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 16.7% 18.0% 17.4% 1.03× 5.57
Sport Huancayo & both teams score 12.6% 13.3% 13.2% 1.00× 7.54
Sport Huancayo & not both score 8.8% 8.3% 12.3% 0.68× 12.00
Draw & not both score 3.3% 4.9% 7.8% 0.63× 20.52
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco & over 1.5 50.5% 48.8% 38.0% 1.28× 2.05
Cienciano del Cusco & over 2.5 42.4% 40.3% 30.8% 1.31× 2.48
Cienciano del Cusco & under 3.5 31.6% 30.7% 33.7% 0.91× 3.25
Cienciano del Cusco & over 3.5 27.0% 26.1% 16.3% 1.60× 3.84
Draw & over 1.5 16.7% 18.0% 17.4% 1.04× 5.56
Sport Huancayo & over 1.5 16.7% 18.0% 17.4% 1.04× 5.56
Cienciano del Cusco & under 2.5 16.1% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.56
Sport Huancayo & over 2.5 14.1% 12.8% 14.5% 0.89× 7.79
Sport Huancayo & under 3.5 14.0% 12.8% 19.4% 0.66× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 12.1% 12.8% 18.8% 0.68× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 12.1% 12.8% 18.8% 0.68× 7.79
Cienciano del Cusco & under 1.5 8.0% 7.9% 12.0% 0.66× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.8% 7.9% 6.3% 1.25× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.8% 7.9% 6.3% 1.25× 12.63
Sport Huancayo & under 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 11.1% 0.72× 12.63
Sport Huancayo & over 3.5 7.5% 7.9% 6.2% 1.29× 12.63
Sport Huancayo & under 1.5 4.7% 4.8% 8.2% 0.59× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 3.3% 4.8% 7.8% 0.62× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (1UP) 72.9% 75.2% — — 1.33
Sport Huancayo (1UP) 41.6% 38.6% — — 2.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (2UP) 58.6% 54.9% — — 1.82
Sport Huancayo (2UP) 21.5% 23.7% — — 4.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to win 2nd half 47.7% 45.2% — — 2.21
2nd half drawn 30.0% 33.9% — — 2.95
Sport Huancayo to win 2nd half 22.3% 24.3% — — 4.11
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 2nd half 83.7% 84.2% — — 1.19
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 2nd half 51.4% 52.4% — — 1.91
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 2nd half 48.6% 47.6% — — 2.10
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 2nd half 16.3% 15.8% — — 6.32
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 2nd half 70.0% 74.2% — — 1.35
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.1% 70.7% — — 1.42
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.9% 29.3% — — 3.41
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 2nd half 30.0% 25.8% — — 3.88
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (+2.5) 81.9% 82.6% 88.6% 0.93× 1.21
Cienciano del Cusco (+0.5) 78.5% 78.5% 74.6% 1.05× 1.27
Sport Huancayo (+1.5) 64.3% 63.0% 75.4% 0.84× 1.59
Cienciano del Cusco (-0.5) 58.6% 57.1% 49.8% 1.15× 1.75
Sport Huancayo (+0.5) 41.4% 42.9% 50.2% 0.86× 2.33
Cienciano del Cusco (-1.5) 35.7% 37.0% 24.6% 1.50× 2.70
Sport Huancayo (-0.5) 21.5% 21.5% 25.4% 0.85× 4.65
Cienciano del Cusco (-2.5) 18.1% 17.4% 11.4% 1.53× 5.74
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede 87.9% 86.3% 80.1% 1.08× 1.16
Sport Huancayo clean sheet 12.1% 13.7% 19.9% 0.69× 7.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede in 1st half 59.7% 56.6% — — 1.77
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 1st half 40.3% 43.4% — — 2.30
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede in 2nd half 70.0% 71.1% — — 1.41
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 2nd half 30.0% 28.9% — — 3.46
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 6.5 corners 88.3% 85.2% — — 1.17
Sport Huancayo under 5.5 corners 79.9% 76.1% — — 1.32
Sport Huancayo under 4.5 corners 67.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 corners 67.0% 67.6% — — 1.48
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 corners 51.4% 53.1% — — 1.88
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 corners 48.6% 46.9% — — 2.13
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 corners 33.0% 32.4% — — 3.09
Sport Huancayo over 4.5 corners 32.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Sport Huancayo over 5.5 corners 20.1% 23.9% — — 4.18
Sport Huancayo over 6.5 corners 11.7% 14.8% — — 6.78
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 goals 96.6% 97.5% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 goals 87.9% 87.8% 92.0% 0.95× 1.14
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 goals 70.0% 68.0% 65.9% 1.03× 1.47
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 goals 66.2% 68.0% 71.6% 0.95× 1.47
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals 33.8% 32.0% 28.4% 1.13× 3.13
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 goals 30.0% 32.0% 34.1% 0.94× 3.13
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 goals 12.1% 12.2% 8.0% 1.53× 8.20
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 goals 3.4% 2.5% 2.5% 0.99× 39.80
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 1st half 91.5% 93.9% — — 1.07
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 1st half 61.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 1st half 38.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 1st half 8.5% 6.1% — — 16.39
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo scores equally in both 41.4% 43.6% — — 2.29
Sport Huancayo scores more in 2nd half 36.9% 37.3% — — 2.68
Sport Huancayo scores more in 1st half 21.7% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (away no bet) 74.6% 68.5% 66.6% 1.03× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 25.4% 31.5% 33.4% 0.94× 3.17
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo even goals 54.5% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Sport Huancayo odd goals 45.5% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 76.8% 80.8% — — 1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals 23.2% 19.2% — — 5.22
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 74.4% 67.8% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 25.6% 32.2% — — 3.11
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 67.2% 62.5% — — 1.60
Cienciano del Cusco to score 2+ in a row 53.1% 50.9% — — 1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row 29.7% 25.0% — — 4.00
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+ in a row 24.5% 19.6% — — 5.11
Sport Huancayo to score 2+ in a row 23.0% 19.5% — — 5.12
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ in a row 5.7% 5.5% — — 18.32
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+3.5) 94.2% 89.6% — — 1.12
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+2.5) 90.3% 89.6% — — 1.12
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+1.5) 84.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Sport Huancayo corners (+3.5) 63.6% 61.9% — — 1.62
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-1.5) 57.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Sport Huancayo corners (+2.5) 53.3% 52.4% — — 1.91
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-2.5) 46.7% 47.6% — — 2.10
Sport Huancayo corners (+1.5) 42.5% 42.8% — — 2.33
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-3.5) 36.4% 38.1% — — 2.62
Sport Huancayo corners (-1.5) 15.3% 20.2% — — 4.95
Sport Huancayo corners (-2.5) 9.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Sport Huancayo corners (-3.5) 5.8% 10.4% — — 9.60
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 40.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
12+ corners 30.4% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.4% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 77.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 70.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 69.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 60.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 59.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 50.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 49.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 40.1% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 39.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 30.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 29.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 22.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 8.9% 7.4% 11.2% 0.66× 13.51
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.51
1-0 8.0% 7.4% 12.0% 0.62× 13.51
2-0 8.1% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.51
3-1 6.9% 7.4% 5.3% 1.41× 13.51
Any other score 7.0% 7.4% 2.7% 2.72× 13.51
1-2 5.6% 7.4% 7.6% 0.97× 13.51
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.51
3-0 5.7% 7.4% 5.1% 1.46× 13.51
0-1 4.7% 1.7% 8.2% 0.21× 58.29
0-0 3.3% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 58.30
0-2 2.6% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.58× 58.31
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.16× 58.32
1-3 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.31
1-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
2-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.31
2-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
3-2 4.1% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.30
3-3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.37× 58.32
4-0 3.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.30
4-1 3.6% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.30
4-2 2.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.58× 58.31
4-3 0.9% 1.7% 0.4% 4.73× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.2% 9.47× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (2nd half DNB) 68.1% 67.1% — — 1.49
Sport Huancayo (2nd half DNB) 31.9% 32.9% — — 3.04
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT (DNB) 70.2% 74.1% — — 1.35
Sport Huancayo leading at HT (DNB) 29.8% 25.9% — — 3.87
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or Sport Huancayo (12) 80.1% 80.6% 75.0% 1.07× 1.24
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1X) 78.5% 75.5% 74.6% 1.01× 1.32
Sport Huancayo or draw (X2) 41.4% 46.0% 50.2% 0.92× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw at HT 81.2% 84.0% — — 1.19
Cienciano del Cusco or Sport Huancayo at HT 63.1% 60.9% — — 1.64
Sport Huancayo or draw at HT 55.7% 57.4% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1UP) 78.5% 83.7% — — 1.20
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP) 41.6% 52.7% — — 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco or draw in 2nd half 77.7% 75.7% — — 1.32
Cienciano del Cusco or Sport Huancayo in 2nd half 70.0% 66.1% — — 1.51
Sport Huancayo or draw in 2nd half 52.3% 54.8% — — 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 56.3% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 43.7% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (DNB) 73.2% 71.4% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Sport Huancayo (DNB) 26.8% 28.6% 33.7% 0.85× 3.50
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score first 61.6% 63.8% — — 1.57
Sport Huancayo to score first 35.1% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 3.3% 4.4% — — 22.93
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 61.1% 56.6% 53.8% 1.05× 1.77
Not both teams to score 38.9% 43.4% 46.2% 0.94× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.3% 47.2% 42.8% 1.10× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 26.8% 33.3% 37.7% 0.88× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 12.1% 12.4% 8.7% 1.42× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 8.9% 8.3% 11.2% 0.74× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.9% 79.8% 85.7% 0.93× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 21.1% 20.2% 14.3% 1.41× 4.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 64.1% 66.0% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 35.9% 34.0% — — 2.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 49.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Both score 2nd half only 27.7% 26.8% — — 3.73
Both score 1st half only 14.5% 10.8% — — 9.29
Both score in both halves 8.2% 6.8% — — 14.70
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.3% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 22.7% 19.0% — — 5.25
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 64.0% 59.5% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 36.0% 40.5% — — 2.47
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.7% 42.2% 44.2% 0.95× 2.37
4-6 goals 37.1% 35.0% 26.8% 1.31× 2.85
0-1 goals 16.0% 20.2% 27.5% 0.73× 4.95
7+ goals 5.2% 7.6% 1.8% 4.19× 13.18
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.9% 37.7% 0.95× 2.79
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 0 30.0% 33.8% 34.1% 0.99× 2.96
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 2 21.7% 22.3% 20.7% 1.08× 4.49
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ 12.1% 12.9% 8.0% 1.62× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+ 35.4% 35.5% 22.5% 1.58× 2.81
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.6% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 1 25.5% 26.6% 33.0% 0.81× 3.77
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 0 12.1% 14.3% 19.9% 0.72× 7.00
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT 44.3% 42.6% — — 2.35
Draw at HT 36.9% 39.1% — — 2.56
Sport Huancayo leading at HT 18.8% 16.0% — — 6.25
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco -1: 2 41.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Cienciano del Cusco -1: 1 35.7% 37.4% — — 2.68
Cienciano del Cusco -1: X 22.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:1) 41.4% 42.6% 50.2% 0.85× 2.35
Cienciano del Cusco (0:1) 35.7% 37.3% 24.6% 1.51× 2.68
Draw (0:1) 22.9% 24.2% 25.4% 0.96× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:2) 64.3% 67.2% 75.4% 0.89× 1.49
Cienciano del Cusco (0:2) 18.1% 15.3% 11.4% 1.34× 6.55
Draw (0:2) 17.6% 15.3% 13.4% 1.14× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:3) 81.9% 85.3% 88.6% 0.96× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 10.4% 9.9% 7.6% 1.29× 10.15
Cienciano del Cusco (0:3) 7.7% 5.8% 4.0% 1.46× 17.24
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (0:4) 92.3% 94.5% 96.0% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.9% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 81.42
Cienciano del Cusco (0:4) 2.8% 1.2% 1.6% 0.75× 81.66
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (1:0) 78.5% 78.6% 74.6% 1.05× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 13.2% 12.7% 17.9% 0.71× 7.87
Sport Huancayo (1:0) 8.3% 6.9% 7.6% 0.91× 14.48
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (2:0) 91.7% 94.0% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.7% 6.4% 5.6% 1.14× 15.68
Sport Huancayo (2:0) 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 1.05× 43.77
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.4% 50.1% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 28.0% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.6% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede 70.0% 66.7% 65.9% 1.01× 1.50
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet 30.0% 33.3% 34.1% 0.98× 3.01
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 1st half 61.8% 63.1% — — 1.59
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 1st half 38.2% 36.9% — — 2.71
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 2nd half 51.4% 52.5% — — 1.91
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 2nd half 48.6% 47.5% — — 2.10
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 corners 88.7% 86.2% — — 1.16
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 corners 78.3% 76.5% — — 1.31
Cienciano del Cusco over 4.5 corners 65.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Cienciano del Cusco under 6.5 corners 60.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Cienciano del Cusco over 5.5 corners 52.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
Cienciano del Cusco under 5.5 corners 47.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Cienciano del Cusco over 6.5 corners 39.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Cienciano del Cusco under 4.5 corners 34.3% 33.3% — — 3.00
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 corners 21.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 corners 11.3% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 goals 87.9% 87.3% 80.1% 1.09× 1.15
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 goals 83.6% 82.2% 92.4% 0.89× 1.22
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 goals 64.6% 63.6% 77.5% 0.82× 1.57
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 goals 62.4% 63.6% 47.3% 1.35× 1.57
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 goals 37.6% 36.4% 52.7% 0.69× 2.75
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 goals 35.4% 36.4% 22.5% 1.62× 2.75
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 goals 16.4% 17.8% 7.6% 2.34× 5.62
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 goals 12.1% 12.7% 19.9% 0.64× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 1st half 76.9% 76.4% — — 1.31
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 1st half 59.7% 56.4% — — 1.77
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 1st half 40.3% 43.6% — — 2.29
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 1st half 23.1% 23.6% — — 4.25
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 2nd half 42.8% 41.7% — — 2.40
Cienciano del Cusco scores equally in both 29.4% 27.9% — — 3.58
Cienciano del Cusco scores more in 1st half 27.8% 27.9% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (home no bet) 51.9% 51.4% 50.4% 1.02× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 48.1% 48.6% 49.6% 0.98× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco even goals 50.7% 50.7% 50.5% 1.00× 1.97
Cienciano del Cusco odd goals 49.3% 49.3% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 24.9% 24.4% — — 4.09
HT 1-0 22.7% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 12.1% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 1-1 10.8% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 10.3% 11.0% — — 9.12
Any other HT score 7.6% 6.9% — — 14.54
HT 2-1 4.9% 2.4% — — 42.10
HT 0-2 2.9% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 1-2 2.6% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.34
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT 37.4% 41.3% — — 2.42
Draw at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT 17.8% 16.8% — — 5.96
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 11.1% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 8.4% 6.1% — — 16.45
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% — — 28.86
Sport Huancayo at HT / Draw at FT 4.3% 3.5% — — 28.88
Sport Huancayo at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT 3.4% 3.5% — — 28.91
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 2.0% 3.5% — — 28.97
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score last 61.6% 62.0% — — 1.61
Sport Huancayo to score last 35.2% 38.5% — — 2.60
No goal scored 3.3% 4.4% — — 22.93
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.7% 95.6% — — 1.05
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 1 at any time 72.9% 74.1% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 57.3% 54.9% — — 1.82
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 2 at any time 43.6% 39.2% — — 2.55
Sport Huancayo to lead by 1 at any time 41.6% 39.2% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 25.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 3 at any time 21.7% 19.5% — — 5.13
Sport Huancayo to lead by 2 at any time 14.1% 10.6% — — 9.41
Sport Huancayo to lead by 3 at any time 4.0% 1.6% — — 61.40
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco most corners 67.9% 64.5% — — 1.55
Sport Huancayo most corners 22.8% 25.9% — — 3.86
Corners level 9.3% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.9% 83.4% 87.1% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 78.8% 78.7% 70.8% 1.11× 1.27
1-4 goals 72.7% 72.3% 78.1% 0.93× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.1% 72.3% 67.4% 1.07× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.0% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 59.2% 59.1% 49.6% 1.19× 1.69
1-3 goals 54.4% 53.2% 63.9% 0.83× 1.88
3-5 goals 52.5% 53.2% 46.2% 1.15× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.7% 43.6% 44.2% 0.99× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 37.1% 1.17× 2.29
4-6 goals 37.1% 39.2% 26.8% 1.46× 2.55
1-2 goals 32.4% 35.2% 41.1% 0.86× 2.84
4-5 goals 30.4% 35.2% 23.4% 1.51× 2.84
5-6 goals 18.8% 18.8% 12.7% 1.49× 5.31
7+ goals 5.2% 8.9% 1.8% 4.89× 11.28
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco never behind 55.1% 62.2% — — 1.61
Sport Huancayo never behind 23.8% 25.2% — — 3.96
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.3% 50.9% 46.7% 1.09× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.7% 49.1% 53.3% 0.92× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.0% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 47.0% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.8% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.2% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.7% 95.4% 92.2% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 88.1% 87.6% 94.7% 0.92× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 84.0% 82.3% 72.5% 1.14× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 76.0% 77.3% 85.7% 0.90× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 64.4% 61.7% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 57.7% 58.6% 71.6% 0.82× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 42.3% 41.4% 28.4% 1.45× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 35.6% 38.3% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 24.0% 22.7% 14.3% 1.59× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 16.0% 17.7% 27.5% 0.64× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 11.9% 12.4% 5.3% 2.36× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 3.3% 4.6% 7.8% 0.59× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.5% 92.4% 98.1% 0.94× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 86.5% 86.7% 94.2% 0.92× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 80.1% 81.1% 65.1% 1.25× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 70.6% 72.3% 83.3% 0.87× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.3% 51.9% 36.9% 1.41× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.7% 48.1% 63.1% 0.76× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 29.4% 27.7% 16.7% 1.66× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 19.9% 18.9% 34.9% 0.54× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 13.5% 13.3% 5.8% 2.30× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.5% 7.6% 1.9% 4.04× 13.20
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.6% 85.7% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.1% 78.0% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 59.6% 64.8% — — 1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half 40.4% 35.2% — — 2.84
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.9% 22.0% — — 4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half 16.4% 14.3% — — 7.02
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.6% 85.3% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.7% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 57.2% 55.3% — — 1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 42.8% 44.7% — — 2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.3% 31.4% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.4% 14.7% — — 6.80
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo not to score in both halves 80.4% 84.2% — — 1.19
Cienciano del Cusco not to score in both halves 58.2% 58.1% — — 1.72
Cienciano del Cusco to score in both halves 41.8% 41.9% — — 2.39
Sport Huancayo to score in both halves 19.6% 15.8% — — 6.34
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 61.1% 60.2% 53.8% 1.12× 1.66
Only Cienciano del Cusco scores 26.8% 26.1% 26.4% 0.99× 3.84
Only Sport Huancayo scores 8.8% 7.1% 12.3% 0.58× 13.99
Neither team scores 3.3% 4.6% 7.8% 0.59× 21.59
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 19.6% 17.5% 21.4% 0.82× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 18.3% 17.5% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 12.8% 12.1% 19.9% 0.61× 8.26
Exactly 5 goals 12.1% 12.1% 9.2% 1.31× 8.26
6 or more goals 11.9% 12.1% 5.3% 2.31× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 3.3% 4.5% 7.8% 0.57× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.8% 35.7% — — 2.80
No goals in 1st half 24.9% 21.5% — — 4.65
2 goals in 1st half 24.0% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 16.4% 15.6% — — 6.40
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 57.2% 54.2% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 28.3% 29.1% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 14.4% 14.6% — — 6.87
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo not to win both halves 95.8% 97.2% — — 1.03
Cienciano del Cusco not to win both halves 79.0% 75.7% — — 1.32
Cienciano del Cusco to win both halves 21.0% 24.3% — — 4.12
Sport Huancayo to win both halves 4.2% 2.8% — — 35.53
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to win either half 70.9% 72.9% — — 1.37
Sport Huancayo to win neither half 63.1% 65.0% — — 1.54
Sport Huancayo to win either half 36.9% 35.0% — — 2.86
Cienciano del Cusco to win neither half 29.1% 27.1% — — 3.70
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo not to win to nil 91.2% 92.1% 87.7% 1.05× 1.09
Cienciano del Cusco not to win to nil 73.2% 75.3% 73.6% 1.02× 1.33
Cienciano del Cusco to win to nil 26.8% 24.7% 26.4% 0.93× 4.05
Sport Huancayo to win to nil 8.8% 7.9% 12.3% 0.64× 12.62
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cienciano del Cusco by 1 22.9% 24.1% 25.4% 0.95× 4.15
Draw 19.9% 17.1% 25.0% 0.68× 5.86
Cienciano del Cusco by 3+ 18.1% 17.1% 11.4% 1.49× 5.87
Cienciano del Cusco by 2 17.6% 17.0% 13.4% 1.27× 5.87
Sport Huancayo by 1 13.2% 11.8% 17.9% 0.66× 8.50
Sport Huancayo by 2 5.7% 7.2% 5.6% 1.28× 13.92
Sport Huancayo by 3+ 2.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.25× 36.89
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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