Cincinnati v Nashville SC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cincinnati

21:00 UTC

Nashville SC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 346h before kick-off

Cincinnati win

26.7%

model 26.4%

Draw

22.2%

model 23.0%

Nashville SC win

51.1%

model 50.6%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.4%
0-2 6.9%
2-1 6.6%
0-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.4%	Under 2.5	35.6%
BTTS yes	64.4%	BTTS no	35.6%
Cincinnati 1+	74.5%	Cincinnati 2+	39.7%
Nashville SC 1+	85.8%	Nashville SC 2+	58.0%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nashville SC (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 30%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nashville SC carry the stronger rating, 1663 Elo against 1529.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Nashville SC have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Cincinnati and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for Cincinnati and 1.95 for Nashville SC.

Why Cincinnati

Nothing in the data singles out Cincinnati.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Nashville SC can win

Nashville SC carry the stronger rating, 1663 Elo against 1529. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cincinnati, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Nashville SC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cincinnati: 51% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Nashville SC: 52% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Nashville SC are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262351	1.37–1.95	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262252	1.41–2.06	1-1 10%	67%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to win	52.2%	51.5%	30.0%	1.72×	1.94
Cincinnati to win	25.6%	27.9%	45.3%	0.62×	3.59
Draw	22.2%	24.4%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC & both teams score	31.3%	29.6%	18.0%	1.64×	3.38
Nashville SC & not both score	20.9%	21.8%	12.1%	1.81×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Cincinnati & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.57
Cincinnati & not both score	9.1%	8.3%	21.1%	0.40×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC & over 1.5	46.3%	45.0%	23.7%	1.90×	2.22
Nashville SC & over 2.5	39.6%	34.9%	20.5%	1.70×	2.87
Nashville SC & under 3.5	26.5%	26.1%	18.8%	1.38×	3.84
Nashville SC & over 3.5	25.7%	26.1%	11.3%	2.31×	3.84
Cincinnati & over 1.5	21.7%	21.6%	37.2%	0.58×	4.63
Cincinnati & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	31.0%	0.58×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Cincinnati & under 3.5	14.8%	12.8%	28.4%	0.45×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.1%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Nashville SC & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	9.6%	1.34×	7.79
Cincinnati & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Cincinnati & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.63
Nashville SC & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Cincinnati & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	8.2%	0.58×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (1UP)	69.2%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Cincinnati (1UP)	47.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (2UP)	52.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Cincinnati (2UP)	25.6%	25.0%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to win 2nd half	46.3%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	29.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.85
Cincinnati to win 2nd half	23.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Nashville SC under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Nashville SC over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
Nashville SC under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (+2.5)	96.0%	96.3%	89.4%	1.08×	1.04
Nashville SC (+1.5)	88.6%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Nashville SC (+0.5)	74.4%	73.7%	54.7%	1.35×	1.36
Nashville SC (-0.5)	52.2%	52.4%	30.0%	1.75×	1.91
Cincinnati (+0.5)	47.8%	47.6%	70.0%	0.68×	2.10
Cincinnati (-0.5)	25.6%	26.3%	45.3%	0.58×	3.80
Cincinnati (-1.5)	11.4%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.67
Cincinnati (-2.5)	4.0%	3.7%	10.6%	0.35×	27.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to concede	75.5%	78.7%	82.3%	0.96×	1.27
Nashville SC clean sheet	24.5%	21.3%	17.7%	1.20×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC clean sheet in 1st half	54.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Nashville SC to concede in 1st half	45.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to concede in 2nd half	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Nashville SC clean sheet in 2nd half	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC over 2.5 corners	83.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Nashville SC over 3.5 corners	71.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Nashville SC under 6.5 corners	69.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Nashville SC under 5.5 corners	57.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Nashville SC over 4.5 corners	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Nashville SC under 4.5 corners	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Nashville SC over 5.5 corners	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Nashville SC over 6.5 corners	30.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Nashville SC under 3.5 corners	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Nashville SC under 2.5 corners	16.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC over 0.5 goals	87.3%	87.8%	73.3%	1.20×	1.14
Nashville SC under 3.5 goals	84.6%	81.5%	94.0%	0.87×	1.23
Nashville SC under 2.5 goals	66.0%	68.0%	83.3%	0.82×	1.47
Nashville SC over 1.5 goals	61.0%	63.2%	38.8%	1.63×	1.58
Nashville SC under 1.5 goals	39.0%	36.8%	61.2%	0.60×	2.71
Nashville SC over 2.5 goals	34.0%	32.0%	16.7%	1.92×	3.12
Nashville SC over 3.5 goals	15.4%	18.5%	6.0%	3.10×	5.40
Nashville SC under 0.5 goals	12.7%	12.2%	26.7%	0.46×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC under 1.5 in 1st half	80.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Nashville SC over 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Nashville SC under 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Nashville SC over 1.5 in 1st half	20.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC scores more in 2nd half	45.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Nashville SC scores equally in both	29.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Nashville SC scores more in 1st half	24.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (away no bet)	53.5%	51.7%	64.6%	0.80×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.5%	48.3%	35.4%	1.37×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC even goals	50.8%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Nashville SC odd goals	49.2%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.7%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.3%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.2%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.8%	27.6%	—	—	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Nashville SC to score 2+ in a row	50.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Cincinnati to score 2+ in a row	28.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Nashville SC to score 3+ in a row	22.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Cincinnati to score 3+ in a row	8.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.90

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC corners (+3.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Nashville SC corners (+2.5)	83.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Nashville SC corners (+1.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cincinnati corners (+3.5)	74.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cincinnati corners (+2.5)	65.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cincinnati corners (+1.5)	55.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Nashville SC corners (-1.5)	44.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Nashville SC corners (-2.5)	34.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Nashville SC corners (-3.5)	25.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Cincinnati corners (-1.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cincinnati corners (-2.5)	16.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Cincinnati corners (-3.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.50
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.50
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
Any other score	7.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.56×	13.51
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-3	6.4%	7.4%	3.4%	2.19×	13.51
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-3	4.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.29
0-4	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
1-0	3.9%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
1-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
2-0	3.1%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
2-3	4.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.29
2-4	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.31
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.31
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.32
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (2nd half DNB)	66.0%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Cincinnati (2nd half DNB)	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC leading at HT (DNB)	60.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Cincinnati leading at HT (DNB)	39.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati or Nashville SC (12)	77.8%	75.6%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Nashville SC or draw (X2)	74.4%	72.1%	54.7%	1.32×	1.39
Cincinnati or draw (1X)	47.8%	48.5%	70.0%	0.69×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC or draw at HT	75.4%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Cincinnati or Nashville SC at HT	62.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Cincinnati or draw at HT	62.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC or draw (1UP)	74.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cincinnati or draw (1UP)	47.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC or draw in 2nd half	76.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Cincinnati or Nashville SC in 2nd half	70.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Cincinnati or draw in 2nd half	53.7%	54.2%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.7%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (DNB)	67.1%	67.4%	39.8%	1.69×	1.48
Cincinnati (DNB)	32.9%	32.6%	60.2%	0.54×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to score first	57.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Cincinnati to score first	39.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.3%	58.4%	61.3%	0.95×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.7%	41.6%	38.7%	1.08×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.8%	47.6%	51.1%	0.93×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	23.2%	27.8%	29.5%	0.94×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	9.2%	1.34×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.0%	80.7%	79.5%	1.02×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.0%	19.3%	20.5%	0.94×	5.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.7%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.3%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.1%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	29.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score in both halves	10.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.56

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	25.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	33.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.9%	42.1%	43.0%	0.98×	2.37
4-6 goals	39.4%	35.1%	33.0%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.5%	16.9%	20.2%	0.84×	5.91
7+ goals	6.2%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to score 3+	34.0%	33.8%	16.7%	2.03×	2.96
Nashville SC to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	22.2%	1.23×	3.65
Nashville SC to score exactly 1	26.2%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.66
Nashville SC to score exactly 0	12.7%	12.9%	26.7%	0.48×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
Cincinnati to score exactly 0	24.5%	23.3%	17.7%	1.32×	4.29
Cincinnati to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	26.4%	0.88×	4.29
Cincinnati to score 3+	16.8%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC leading at HT	37.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Draw at HT	37.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Cincinnati leading at HT	24.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC -1: 1	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Nashville SC -1: 2	31.2%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Nashville SC -1: X	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (0:1)	74.4%	71.2%	54.7%	1.30×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	14.2%	13.7%	22.2%	0.62×	7.28
Cincinnati (0:1)	11.4%	13.7%	23.2%	0.59×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (0:2)	88.6%	87.1%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	12.7%	0.60×	13.04
Cincinnati (0:2)	4.0%	3.8%	10.6%	0.35×	26.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (0:3)	96.0%	96.6%	89.4%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	42.08
Cincinnati (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	82.01
Cincinnati (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (1:0)	47.8%	49.2%	70.0%	0.70×	2.03
Nashville SC (1:0)	31.2%	30.0%	13.0%	2.31×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	17.1%	1.27×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (2:0)	68.8%	71.0%	87.0%	0.82×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	15.9%	15.8%	8.6%	1.84×	6.34
Nashville SC (2:0)	15.3%	15.8%	4.5%	3.49×	6.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.3%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	22.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede	87.3%	85.6%	73.3%	1.17×	1.17
Cincinnati clean sheet	12.7%	14.4%	26.7%	0.54×	6.92

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cincinnati clean sheet in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede in 2nd half	71.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cincinnati clean sheet in 2nd half	29.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 6.5 corners	82.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cincinnati over 2.5 corners	73.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cincinnati under 5.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cincinnati under 4.5 corners	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cincinnati over 3.5 corners	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cincinnati under 3.5 corners	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cincinnati over 4.5 corners	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cincinnati over 5.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Cincinnati under 2.5 corners	26.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Cincinnati over 6.5 corners	17.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Cincinnati under 2.5 goals	83.2%	82.2%	75.0%	1.10×	1.22
Cincinnati over 0.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Cincinnati under 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	48.7%	1.20×	1.71
Cincinnati over 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	51.3%	0.81×	2.42
Cincinnati under 0.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	17.7%	1.26×	4.49
Cincinnati over 2.5 goals	16.8%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.62
Cincinnati over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	9.7%	—	—	10.26

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati scores equally in both	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cincinnati scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cincinnati scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC (home no bet)	70.2%	66.7%	54.7%	1.22×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	29.8%	33.3%	45.3%	0.74×	3.00

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati even goals	53.0%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Cincinnati odd goals	47.0%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	19.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-0	14.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 1-2	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC at HT / Nashville SC at FT	30.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Draw at HT / Nashville SC at FT	17.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Cincinnati at HT / Cincinnati at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Cincinnati at FT	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Cincinnati at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Nashville SC at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Cincinnati at HT / Nashville SC at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Nashville SC at HT / Cincinnati at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to score last	57.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Cincinnati to score last	39.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Nashville SC to lead by 1 at any time	69.2%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cincinnati to lead by 1 at any time	47.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Nashville SC to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Nashville SC to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Cincinnati to lead by 2 at any time	18.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Cincinnati to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC most corners	55.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Cincinnati most corners	33.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.6%	83.4%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.3%	83.4%	75.9%	1.10×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.4%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.6%	68.8%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.0%	63.3%	56.3%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.7%	59.1%	58.7%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.5%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
1-3 goals	50.8%	53.2%	57.4%	0.93×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.9%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.30
4-6 goals	39.4%	39.2%	33.0%	1.19×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.8%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.1%	30.2%	34.2%	0.89×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.6%	24.5%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
7+ goals	6.2%	8.9%	4.1%	2.19×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC never behind	49.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Cincinnati never behind	27.2%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	86.2%	87.6%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	78.8%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	60.2%	1.10×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.4%	52.5%	63.0%	0.83×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	45.6%	47.5%	37.0%	1.28×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	39.8%	0.85×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	21.2%	1.30×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.06
Under 1.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	20.2%	0.61×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.2%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.2%	81.1%	87.8%	0.92×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.3%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	67.0%	67.4%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.2%	55.8%	48.2%	1.16×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.8%	44.2%	51.8%	0.85×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.0%	32.6%	25.2%	1.29×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.7%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.8%	18.9%	12.2%	1.55×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.8%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.8%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to score in both halves	75.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Nashville SC not to score in both halves	60.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Nashville SC to score in both halves	39.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Cincinnati to score in both halves	25.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.3%	59.9%	61.3%	0.98×	1.67
Only Nashville SC scores	20.9%	22.2%	12.1%	1.84×	4.50
Only Cincinnati scores	9.1%	7.1%	21.1%	0.34×	14.02
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.70

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.2%	17.5%	19.7%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.8%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.8%	12.1%	10.9%	1.11×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	13.0%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.9%	7.6%	14.5%	0.52×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	60.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	26.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	13.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to win both halves	94.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Nashville SC not to win both halves	82.4%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Nashville SC to win both halves	17.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Cincinnati to win both halves	5.9%	5.9%	—	—	17.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Nashville SC to win either half	66.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cincinnati to win neither half	57.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Cincinnati to win either half	42.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Nashville SC to win neither half	33.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to win to nil	90.9%	92.1%	78.9%	1.17×	1.09
Nashville SC not to win to nil	79.1%	78.1%	87.9%	0.89×	1.28
Nashville SC to win to nil	20.9%	21.9%	12.1%	1.81×	4.58
Cincinnati to win to nil	9.1%	7.9%	21.1%	0.38×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.2%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
Nashville SC by 1	21.1%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.15
Nashville SC by 2	15.9%	17.0%	8.6%	1.99×	5.87
Nashville SC by 3+	15.3%	17.0%	4.5%	3.78×	5.87
Cincinnati by 1	14.2%	11.8%	22.2%	0.53×	8.50
Cincinnati by 2	7.4%	7.2%	12.7%	0.56×	13.91
Cincinnati by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	10.6%	0.26×	36.78