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Clermont Foot v Guingamp — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Clermont Foot win
41.1%
model 40.9%
Draw
27.3%
model 27.8%
Guingamp win
31.6%
model 31.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.2%
  2. 1-0 10.8%
  3. 0-1 9.1%
  4. 0-0 8.8%
  5. 2-1 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.545.1% Under 2.554.9%
BTTS yes50.7% BTTS no49.3%
Clermont Foot 1+73.9% Clermont Foot 2+38.8%
Guingamp 1+68.0% Guingamp 2+31.5%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
100%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Clermont Foot.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Clermont Foot have an estimated 41.1% win probability, against 31.6% for Guingamp and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Clermont Foot and 1.14 for Guingamp.

Why Clermont Foot

Nothing in the data singles out Clermont Foot.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.34 to 1.14. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Guingamp can win

Nothing in the data singles out Guingamp.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Clermont Foot, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Guingamp, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Clermont Foot: 45% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Guingamp: 57% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Clermont Foot are the model's most likely outcome at 41.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.31–1.12 1-1 13% 44% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot to win 40.5% 43.0% 42.5% 1.01× 2.33
Guingamp to win 31.3% 30.4% 29.8% 1.02× 3.29
Draw 28.2% 27.9% 27.8% 1.00× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot & not both score 23.4% 21.9% 23.8% 0.92× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 18.9% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Guingamp & not both score 17.7% 17.9% 17.7% 1.01× 5.58
Clermont Foot & both teams score 17.1% 17.9% 18.8% 0.95× 5.58
Guingamp & both teams score 13.5% 13.3% 12.3% 1.08× 7.54
Draw & not both score 9.3% 8.4% 9.1% 0.92× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot & under 3.5 30.5% 30.8% 29.4% 1.05× 3.24
Clermont Foot & over 1.5 29.4% 26.0% 30.0% 0.87× 3.84
Guingamp & under 3.5 24.2% 21.6% 23.1% 0.94× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 22.7% 21.6% 20.8% 1.04× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 22.7% 21.6% 20.8% 1.04× 4.62
Clermont Foot & over 2.5 21.8% 21.6% 24.2% 0.90× 4.62
Guingamp & over 1.5 21.8% 21.6% 20.2% 1.07× 4.62
Clermont Foot & under 2.5 18.7% 18.0% 18.5% 0.97× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.9% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Guingamp & over 2.5 16.3% 18.0% 16.3% 1.10× 5.56
Guingamp & under 2.5 14.9% 12.9% 13.7% 0.94× 7.77
Clermont Foot & under 1.5 11.1% 12.9% 12.6% 1.02× 7.77
Clermont Foot & over 3.5 10.1% 12.9% 13.2% 0.97× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 9.3% 7.9% 9.1% 0.87× 12.70
Guingamp & under 1.5 9.4% 7.9% 9.8% 0.80× 12.70
Guingamp & over 3.5 7.0% 7.9% 6.9% 1.14× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 5.6% 7.9% 7.2% 1.09× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 5.6% 7.9% 7.2% 1.09× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot (1UP) 55.5% 58.0% 1.72
Guingamp (1UP) 47.4% 43.3% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot (2UP) 40.5% 47.5% 2.11
Guingamp (2UP) 31.3% 31.0% 3.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.3% 36.3% 2.75
Clermont Foot to win 2nd half 33.1% 34.3% 2.92
Guingamp to win 2nd half 28.6% 26.4% 3.79
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp (+2.5) 93.4% 92.1% 92.2% 1.00× 1.09
Guingamp (+1.5) 81.4% 82.4% 80.8% 1.02× 1.21
Clermont Foot (+0.5) 68.7% 68.7% 70.2% 0.98× 1.46
Guingamp (+0.5) 59.5% 57.0% 57.5% 0.99× 1.75
Clermont Foot (-0.5) 40.5% 43.0% 42.5% 1.01× 2.33
Guingamp (-0.5) 31.3% 31.3% 29.8% 1.05× 3.20
Clermont Foot (-1.5) 18.6% 17.6% 19.2% 0.92× 5.68
Clermont Foot (-2.5) 6.6% 7.9% 7.8% 1.01× 12.65
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp to concede 73.0% 76.5% 73.4% 1.04× 1.31
Guingamp clean sheet 27.0% 23.5% 26.6% 0.88× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp clean sheet in 1st half 57.0% 57.9% 1.73
Guingamp to concede in 1st half 43.0% 42.1% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp over 2.5 corners 83.5% 81.5% 1.23
Guingamp under 6.5 corners 71.4% 71.5% 1.40
Guingamp over 3.5 corners 70.0% 71.5% 1.40
Guingamp under 5.5 corners 59.2% 57.1% 1.75
Guingamp over 4.5 corners 55.1% 57.1% 1.75
Guingamp under 4.5 corners 44.9% 42.9% 2.33
Guingamp over 5.5 corners 40.8% 42.9% 2.33
Guingamp under 3.5 corners 30.0% 28.5% 3.51
Guingamp over 6.5 corners 28.6% 28.5% 3.52
Guingamp under 2.5 corners 16.5% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp under 3.5 goals 97.3% 97.6% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Guingamp under 2.5 goals 89.7% 87.9% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Guingamp under 1.5 goals 69.3% 68.0% 68.3% 1.00× 1.47
Guingamp over 0.5 goals 67.3% 68.0% 67.2% 1.01× 1.47
Guingamp under 0.5 goals 32.7% 32.0% 32.8% 0.98× 3.12
Guingamp over 1.5 goals 30.7% 32.0% 31.7% 1.01× 3.12
Guingamp over 2.5 goals 10.3% 12.1% 12.5% 0.97× 8.27
Guingamp over 3.5 goals 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 0.88× 40.84
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp under 1.5 in 1st half 92.5% 94.1% 1.06
Guingamp under 0.5 in 1st half 64.0% 64.6% 1.55
Guingamp over 0.5 in 1st half 36.0% 35.4% 2.83
Guingamp over 1.5 in 1st half 7.5% 5.9% 17.04
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot (away no bet) 58.9% 57.6% 60.4% 0.95× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 41.1% 42.4% 39.6% 1.07× 2.36
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp even goals 55.4% 56.9% 54.2% 1.05× 1.76
Guingamp odd goals 44.6% 43.1% 45.8% 0.94× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.9% 88.0% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.1% 12.0% 8.33
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 57.3% 59.8% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 42.7% 40.2% 2.49
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 49.5% 46.0% 2.17
Clermont Foot to score 2+ in a row 30.5% 28.7% 3.48
Guingamp to score 2+ in a row 23.7% 19.5% 5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.7% 16.4% 6.11
Clermont Foot to score 3+ in a row 9.6% 5.7% 17.58
Guingamp to score 3+ in a row 6.3% 5.6% 17.85
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp corners (+3.5) 91.3% 89.6% 1.12
Guingamp corners (+2.5) 85.9% 84.5% 1.18
Guingamp corners (+1.5) 78.4% 74.9% 1.34
Clermont Foot corners (+3.5) 74.3% 70.7% 1.41
Clermont Foot corners (+2.5) 64.6% 61.9% 1.62
Clermont Foot corners (+1.5) 53.5% 52.5% 1.91
Guingamp corners (-1.5) 46.5% 47.5% 2.11
Guingamp corners (-2.5) 35.4% 38.1% 2.63
Guingamp corners (-3.5) 25.7% 29.3% 3.42
Clermont Foot corners (-1.5) 21.6% 25.1% 3.98
Clermont Foot corners (-2.5) 14.1% 15.5% 6.45
Clermont Foot corners (-3.5) 8.7% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.9% 41.7% 2.40
9-11 corners 29.3% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 23.8% 25.6% 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.0% 80.8% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 76.2% 76.5% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 67.7% 67.7% 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 64.3% 63.4% 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 57.8% 57.7% 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.1% 53.3% 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 46.9% 46.7% 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 42.2% 42.3% 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 35.7% 36.6% 2.73
Over 10.5 corners 32.3% 32.3% 3.09
Over 11.5 corners 23.8% 23.5% 4.25
Over 12.5 corners 17.0% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.4% 11.5% 11.8% 0.97× 8.73
1-0 11.1% 11.4% 12.6% 0.91× 8.74
0-0 9.3% 7.4% 9.1% 0.82× 13.47
0-1 9.4% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.47
2-1 8.5% 7.4% 8.2% 0.91× 13.47
1-2 7.2% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.47
2-0 7.6% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.47
0-2 5.5% 7.4% 4.0% 1.86× 13.47
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 5.8% 0.29× 58.50
0-3 2.1% 1.7% 3.7% 0.46× 58.51
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.70× 58.52
1-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.51
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.9% 1.85× 58.52
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.51
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.78× 58.52
3-0 3.3% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.50
3-1 3.7% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.50
3-2 2.1% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.51
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.11× 58.52
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.70× 58.52
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 2.0% 0.85× 58.52
4-1 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.52
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.39× 58.52
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.78× 58.52
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 11.11× 58.52
Any other score 1.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot leading at HT (DNB) 57.3% 57.3% 1.75
Guingamp leading at HT (DNB) 42.7% 42.7% 2.34
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot or Guingamp (12) 71.8% 72.1% 72.2% 1.00× 1.39
Clermont Foot or draw (1X) 68.7% 69.6% 70.2% 0.99× 1.44
Guingamp or draw (X2) 59.5% 57.0% 57.5% 0.99× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot or draw at HT 77.1% 79.9% 1.25
Guingamp or draw at HT 69.3% 66.4% 1.51
Clermont Foot or Guingamp at HT 53.7% 47.7% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot or draw (1UP) 68.7% 75.9% 1.32
Guingamp or draw (1UP) 59.5% 62.9% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot or draw in 2nd half 71.4% 73.6% 1.36
Guingamp or draw in 2nd half 66.9% 65.7% 1.52
Clermont Foot or Guingamp in 2nd half 61.7% 63.7% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.4% 69.4% 1.44
Neither half drawn 33.6% 30.6% 3.27
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot (DNB) 56.4% 58.2% 58.7% 0.99× 1.72
Guingamp (DNB) 43.6% 41.8% 41.3% 1.01× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot to score first 48.9% 45.7% 2.19
Guingamp to score first 41.8% 41.8% 2.40
No goal scored 9.3% 7.6% 13.23
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.4% 51.4% 50.3% 1.02× 1.94
Both teams to score 49.6% 48.6% 49.7% 0.98× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 42.9% 41.6% 40.9% 1.02× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 36.2% 38.5% 38.0% 1.01× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.4% 12.3% 11.8% 1.04× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.4% 9.5% 0.88× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.4% 85.7% 85.5% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.6% 14.3% 14.5% 0.99× 6.98
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.2% 74.3% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.8% 25.7% 3.90
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 62.6% 66.8% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 21.9% 20.9% 4.79
Both score 1st half only 11.6% 10.5% 9.50
Both score in both halves 4.0% 4.9% 20.28
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.4% 82.9% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 15.6% 17.1% 5.85
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 51.6% 53.3% 1.88
A goal in each half 48.4% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.5% 47.4% 41.8% 1.13× 2.11
0-1 goals 29.8% 26.5% 31.2% 0.85× 3.78
4-6 goals 21.5% 22.8% 25.2% 0.90× 4.38
7+ goals 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 0.91× 55.13
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp to score exactly 1 36.6% 36.0% 35.7% 1.01× 2.78
Guingamp to score exactly 0 32.7% 33.8% 32.8% 1.03× 2.95
Guingamp to score exactly 2 20.4% 22.4% 19.4% 1.16× 4.47
Guingamp to score 3+ 10.3% 12.8% 12.5% 1.03× 7.82
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot to score exactly 1 35.4% 35.6% 33.7% 1.06× 2.81
Clermont Foot to score exactly 0 27.0% 26.5% 26.6% 1.00× 3.77
Clermont Foot to score exactly 2 23.1% 23.3% 22.2% 1.05× 4.30
Clermont Foot to score 3+ 14.5% 14.4% 17.8% 0.80× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.3% 52.3% 1.91
Clermont Foot leading at HT 30.7% 33.6% 2.98
Guingamp leading at HT 22.9% 20.1% 4.97
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot -1: 2 59.5% 56.7% 1.76
Clermont Foot -1: X 21.9% 23.6% 4.24
Clermont Foot -1: 1 18.6% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp (0:1) 59.5% 55.9% 57.5% 0.97× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 21.9% 24.3% 23.4% 1.04× 4.12
Clermont Foot (0:1) 18.6% 17.8% 19.2% 0.93× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp (0:2) 81.4% 82.8% 80.8% 1.02× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.0% 11.0% 11.5% 0.95× 9.11
Clermont Foot (0:2) 6.6% 7.7% 7.8% 0.98× 12.96
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp (0:3) 93.4% 92.6% 92.2% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.7% 2.4% 4.3% 0.55× 42.00
Clermont Foot (0:3) 1.9% 2.4% 3.7% 0.64× 42.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp (0:4) 98.1% 98.1% 96.3% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.4% 1.2% 3.1% 0.39× 83.44
Clermont Foot (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 1.56× 83.56
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot (1:0) 68.7% 69.9% 70.2% 1.00× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.6% 17.0% 17.5% 0.97× 5.87
Guingamp (1:0) 12.6% 12.8% 12.5% 1.03× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot (2:0) 87.4% 88.4% 87.5% 1.01× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.7% 6.4% 7.1% 0.91× 15.51
Guingamp (2:0) 3.9% 2.3% 5.5% 0.41× 44.26
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.0% 48.1% 2.08
Halves equal 27.5% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot to concede 67.3% 66.5% 67.2% 0.99× 1.50
Clermont Foot clean sheet 32.7% 33.5% 32.8% 1.02× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot clean sheet in 1st half 64.0% 64.7% 1.55
Clermont Foot to concede in 1st half 36.0% 35.3% 2.83
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot under 6.5 corners 86.6% 86.3% 1.16
Clermont Foot under 5.5 corners 77.5% 76.6% 1.31
Clermont Foot over 2.5 corners 70.0% 71.9% 1.39
Clermont Foot under 4.5 corners 64.5% 62.3% 1.61
Clermont Foot over 3.5 corners 52.0% 52.8% 1.90
Clermont Foot under 3.5 corners 48.0% 47.2% 2.12
Clermont Foot over 4.5 corners 35.5% 37.7% 2.65
Clermont Foot under 2.5 corners 30.0% 28.1% 3.56
Clermont Foot over 5.5 corners 22.5% 23.4% 4.27
Clermont Foot over 6.5 corners 13.4% 13.7% 7.28
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot under 3.5 goals 95.6% 96.3% 93.4% 1.03× 1.04
Clermont Foot under 2.5 goals 85.5% 87.2% 82.2% 1.06× 1.15
Clermont Foot over 0.5 goals 73.0% 74.2% 73.4% 1.01× 1.35
Clermont Foot under 1.5 goals 62.4% 63.4% 60.2% 1.05× 1.58
Clermont Foot over 1.5 goals 37.6% 36.6% 39.8% 0.92× 2.74
Clermont Foot under 0.5 goals 27.0% 25.8% 26.6% 0.97× 3.88
Clermont Foot over 2.5 goals 14.5% 12.8% 17.8% 0.72× 7.83
Clermont Foot over 3.5 goals 4.4% 3.7% 6.6% 0.55× 27.39
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot under 1.5 in 1st half 89.0% 90.0% 1.11
Clermont Foot under 0.5 in 1st half 57.0% 57.5% 1.74
Clermont Foot over 0.5 in 1st half 43.0% 42.5% 2.35
Clermont Foot over 1.5 in 1st half 11.0% 10.0% 9.99
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp (home no bet) 52.5% 51.6% 51.7% 1.00× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 47.5% 48.4% 48.3% 1.00× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot even goals 53.6% 50.6% 53.4% 0.95× 1.98
Clermont Foot odd goals 46.4% 49.4% 46.6% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.5% 38.3% 2.61
HT 1-0 20.4% 24.2% 4.14
HT 0-1 16.2% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 9.2% 7.1% 14.14
HT 2-0 5.8% 7.0% 14.20
HT 0-2 3.6% 2.3% 43.80
Any other HT score 3.0% 2.3% 43.84
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.3% 43.88
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.3% 43.92
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.3% 44.03
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot at HT / Clermont Foot at FT 23.4% 21.8% 4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.2% 16.8% 5.94
Guingamp at HT / Guingamp at FT 16.3% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Clermont Foot at FT 15.1% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Guingamp at FT 13.0% 12.7% 7.90
Clermont Foot at HT / Draw at FT 5.3% 6.0% 16.64
Guingamp at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% 28.81
Clermont Foot at HT / Guingamp at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.91
Guingamp at HT / Clermont Foot at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.91
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot to score last 49.0% 46.8% 2.14
Guingamp to score last 41.7% 40.3% 2.48
No goal scored 9.3% 7.6% 13.23
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.7% 92.5% 1.08
Clermont Foot to lead by 1 at any time 55.5% 55.1% 1.82
Guingamp to lead by 1 at any time 47.4% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.2% 39.2% 2.55
Clermont Foot to lead by 2 at any time 23.9% 19.6% 5.10
Guingamp to lead by 2 at any time 17.4% 15.0% 6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.2% 10.4% 9.60
Clermont Foot to lead by 3 at any time 8.1% 6.6% 15.20
Guingamp to lead by 3 at any time 5.1% 6.5% 15.35
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp most corners 58.0% 55.4% 1.80
Clermont Foot most corners 31.1% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 11.0% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.0% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.8% 83.5% 78.8% 1.06× 1.20
2-6 goals 68.9% 69.0% 66.9% 1.03× 1.45
1-3 goals 68.0% 69.0% 64.0% 1.08× 1.45
2-5 goals 66.4% 69.0% 62.6% 1.10× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.3% 63.4% 56.6% 1.12× 1.58
2-3 goals 47.5% 48.7% 41.8% 1.16× 2.06
1-2 goals 47.0% 48.7% 43.7% 1.11× 2.06
3-6 goals 42.5% 43.6% 45.5% 0.96× 2.30
3-5 goals 40.0% 39.2% 41.2% 0.95× 2.55
3-4 goals 33.8% 35.4% 35.2% 1.00× 2.83
4-6 goals 21.5% 24.5% 25.2% 0.97× 4.09
4-5 goals 18.9% 18.6% 20.9% 0.89× 5.37
5-6 goals 8.7% 8.8% 10.5% 0.84× 11.43
7+ goals 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% 1.27× 39.46
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clermont Foot never behind 43.4% 48.2% 2.07
Guingamp never behind 35.2% 44.4% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.7% 50.8% 49.8% 1.02× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.3% 49.2% 50.2% 0.98× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.8% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.2% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.3% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.7% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.3% 95.5% 93.7% 1.02× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 90.7% 92.3% 90.9% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 90.1% 92.3% 87.7% 1.05× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 77.3% 77.4% 72.9% 1.06× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 70.2% 72.5% 68.8% 1.05× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 56.3% 58.8% 52.6% 1.12× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 43.7% 41.2% 47.4% 0.87× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 29.8% 27.5% 31.2% 0.88× 3.64
Over 3.5 goals 22.7% 22.6% 27.1% 0.84× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 9.9% 7.7% 12.3% 0.63× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 9.3% 7.7% 9.1% 0.85× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.7% 4.5% 6.3% 0.71× 22.23
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.7% 97.3% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.0% 97.2% 93.3% 1.04× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.6% 86.8% 85.6% 1.01× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 71.3% 72.6% 66.0% 1.10× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 59.4% 55.5% 60.3% 0.92× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 40.6% 44.5% 39.7% 1.12× 2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 28.7% 27.4% 34.0% 0.81× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.4% 13.2% 14.4% 0.92× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.0% 2.8% 6.7% 0.41× 36.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.3% 2.7% 2.1% 1.32× 36.38
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.8% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.1% 70.9% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.5% 63.6% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.5% 36.4% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.9% 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.2% 7.3% 13.77
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.0% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.6% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 58.5% 54.7% 1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 41.5% 45.3% 2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 20.1% 4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.0% 17.1% 5.86
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp not to score in both halves 82.4% 84.4% 1.19
Clermont Foot not to score in both halves 77.4% 78.3% 1.28
Clermont Foot to score in both halves 22.6% 21.8% 4.60
Guingamp to score in both halves 17.6% 15.6% 6.41
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.6% 50.4% 49.7% 1.01× 1.98
Only Clermont Foot scores 23.4% 22.4% 23.8% 0.94× 4.47
Only Guingamp scores 17.7% 16.1% 17.7% 0.91× 6.22
Neither team scores 9.3% 7.2% 9.1% 0.79× 13.89
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.5% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 22.6% 20.5% 1.11× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 20.5% 22.6% 22.3% 1.01× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 12.8% 12.1% 14.9% 0.81× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 9.3% 7.6% 9.1% 0.84× 13.09
Exactly 5 goals 6.2% 7.6% 6.2% 1.24× 13.10
6 or more goals 3.7% 4.4% 6.3% 0.70× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 41.5% 43.9% 2.28
1 goal in 2nd half 34.1% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 24.4% 23.2% 4.32
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp not to win both halves 93.4% 94.0% 1.06
Clermont Foot not to win both halves 89.8% 88.1% 1.14
Clermont Foot to win both halves 10.2% 11.9% 8.40
Guingamp to win both halves 6.6% 6.0% 16.66
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp to win neither half 55.1% 59.4% 1.69
Clermont Foot to win either half 53.6% 55.0% 1.82
Clermont Foot to win neither half 46.4% 45.0% 2.22
Guingamp to win either half 44.9% 40.6% 2.46
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Guingamp not to win to nil 82.3% 83.0% 82.3% 1.01× 1.21
Clermont Foot not to win to nil 76.6% 78.0% 76.2% 1.02× 1.28
Clermont Foot to win to nil 23.4% 22.0% 23.8% 0.92× 4.55
Guingamp to win to nil 17.7% 17.0% 17.7% 0.96× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.2% 27.8% 27.8% 1.00× 3.60
Clermont Foot by 1 21.9% 24.1% 23.4% 1.03× 4.14
Guingamp by 1 18.6% 17.0% 17.5% 0.97× 5.90
Clermont Foot by 2 12.0% 11.8% 11.5% 1.02× 8.47
Guingamp by 2 8.7% 7.3% 7.1% 1.02× 13.79
Clermont Foot by 3+ 6.6% 7.2% 7.8% 0.92× 13.80
Guingamp by 3+ 3.9% 2.7% 5.5% 0.49× 37.01
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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