Clermont Foot v Metz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 4 December 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Clermont Foot

20:00 UTC

Metz

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 1,017h before kick-off

Clermont Foot win

27.9%

model 28.5%

Draw

27.9%

model 28.0%

Metz win

44.2%

model 43.5%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
0-1 12.8%
0-0 9.9%
1-0 9.8%
1-2 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.8%	Under 2.5	59.2%
BTTS yes	46.4%	BTTS no	53.6%
Clermont Foot 1+	63.4%	Clermont Foot 2+	26.6%
Metz 1+	73.0%	Metz 2+	37.7%

Expected goals 1.01 – 1.31. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Metz or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 57%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Clermont Foot not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 76%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Metz.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Metz have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for Clermont Foot and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.01 for Clermont Foot and 1.31 for Metz.

Why Clermont Foot

Nothing in the data singles out Clermont Foot.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. A combined 2.32 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Metz can win

Nothing in the data singles out Metz.

Key players

Metz's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Gauthier Hein (0.40), Habib Diallo (0.27), Giorgi Kvilitaia (0.25).

Availability

No lineup on record for Clermont Foot, so availability is unknown. 1 of Metz's top three contributors did not start their last match. Metz changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Clermont Foot: 49% possession, 5.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Metz: 49% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.36 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Metz are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Metz are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.4 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LLDDLLDLLD last 10 scored 10 from 11.1 xG conceded 23 from 18.6 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292843	1.01–1.31	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	232849	0.86–1.40	0-1 15%	39%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz to win	49.4%	47.4%	29.8%	1.59×	2.11
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	27.7%	1.01×	3.58
Clermont Foot to win	23.1%	24.4%	42.7%	0.57×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz & not both score	31.7%	29.6%	17.6%	1.68×	3.38
Metz & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.57
Clermont Foot & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	24.0%	0.55×	7.53
Draw & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	9.1%	1.45×	7.54
Clermont Foot & both teams score	8.9%	8.3%	18.8%	0.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz & under 3.5	38.2%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
Metz & over 1.5	34.8%	30.8%	20.1%	1.53×	3.25
Metz & over 2.5	24.6%	21.6%	16.3%	1.33×	4.63
Metz & under 2.5	24.7%	21.6%	13.7%	1.58×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	20.7%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	20.7%	1.05×	4.63
Clermont Foot & under 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	29.6%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
Metz & under 1.5	14.5%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
Clermont Foot & over 1.5	14.2%	12.8%	29.9%	0.43×	7.79
Clermont Foot & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	18.7%	0.69×	7.79
Clermont Foot & over 2.5	10.3%	12.8%	24.2%	0.53×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Metz & over 3.5	11.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Clermont Foot & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	12.9%	0.61×	12.63
Clermont Foot & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (1UP)	61.6%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Clermont Foot (1UP)	38.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (2UP)	49.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Clermont Foot (2UP)	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz to win 2nd half	41.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	38.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Clermont Foot to win 2nd half	20.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Metz over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Metz under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Metz over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.2%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Clermont Foot under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Clermont Foot over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Clermont Foot over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.8%	6.2%	—	—	16.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (+2.5)	98.1%	96.3%	92.2%	1.04×	1.04
Metz (+1.5)	92.4%	92.1%	81.0%	1.14×	1.09
Metz (+0.5)	76.9%	78.5%	57.3%	1.37×	1.27
Clermont Foot (+0.5)	50.6%	52.4%	70.2%	0.75×	1.91
Metz (-0.5)	49.4%	47.6%	29.8%	1.60×	2.10
Clermont Foot (-0.5)	23.1%	21.5%	42.7%	0.50×	4.65
Clermont Foot (-1.5)	7.6%	7.9%	19.0%	0.42×	12.68
Clermont Foot (-2.5)	1.9%	3.7%	7.8%	0.47×	27.19

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz to concede	57.8%	62.4%	73.4%	0.85×	1.60
Metz clean sheet	42.2%	37.6%	26.6%	1.41×	2.66

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz clean sheet in 1st half	69.0%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Metz to concede in 1st half	31.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz clean sheet in 2nd half	61.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Metz to concede in 2nd half	38.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz over 2.5 corners	81.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Metz under 6.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Metz over 3.5 corners	67.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Metz under 5.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Metz over 4.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Metz under 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Metz over 5.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Metz under 3.5 corners	32.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Metz over 6.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Metz under 2.5 corners	18.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.4%	97.3%	0.95×	1.08
Metz under 2.5 goals	83.4%	81.5%	87.7%	0.93×	1.23
Metz over 0.5 goals	75.2%	76.2%	67.0%	1.14×	1.31
Metz under 1.5 goals	59.3%	59.4%	68.4%	0.87×	1.68
Metz over 1.5 goals	40.7%	40.6%	31.6%	1.28×	2.47
Metz under 0.5 goals	24.8%	23.8%	33.0%	0.72×	4.21
Metz over 2.5 goals	16.6%	18.5%	12.3%	1.51×	5.40
Metz over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	2.7%	2.80×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Metz under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Metz over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Metz over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.30

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Metz scores equally in both	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Metz scores more in 1st half	22.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.4%	51.7%	39.3%	1.32×	1.93
Clermont Foot (away no bet)	45.6%	48.3%	60.7%	0.80×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz even goals	53.1%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
Metz odd goals	46.9%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.9%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.1%	8.2%	—	—	12.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Metz to score 2+ in a row	34.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Clermont Foot to score 2+ in a row	15.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Metz to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Clermont Foot to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.74

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Clermont Foot corners (+3.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Metz corners (+2.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Clermont Foot corners (+2.5)	72.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Metz corners (+1.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Clermont Foot corners (+1.5)	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Metz corners (-1.5)	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Clermont Foot corners (-1.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Metz corners (-2.5)	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Clermont Foot corners (-2.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Metz corners (-3.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Clermont Foot corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	36.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	27.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.5%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.72
1-1	12.7%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
0-0	10.5%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-2	10.2%	11.5%	4.0%	2.90×	8.72
1-0	8.9%	7.4%	12.9%	0.57×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
2-1	5.4%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.29
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
2-0	3.9%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.30
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	11.28×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (2nd half DNB)	67.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Clermont Foot (2nd half DNB)	32.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz leading at HT (DNB)	62.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Clermont Foot leading at HT (DNB)	37.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz or draw (X2)	76.9%	75.6%	57.3%	1.32×	1.32
Clermont Foot or Metz (12)	72.5%	72.1%	72.3%	1.00×	1.39
Clermont Foot or draw (1X)	50.6%	52.6%	70.2%	0.75×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz or draw at HT	80.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Clermont Foot or draw at HT	67.6%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Clermont Foot or Metz at HT	51.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz or draw (1UP)	76.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Clermont Foot or draw (1UP)	50.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz or draw in 2nd half	79.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Clermont Foot or Metz in 2nd half	61.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Clermont Foot or draw in 2nd half	58.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	31.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (DNB)	68.1%	67.4%	41.1%	1.64×	1.48
Clermont Foot (DNB)	31.9%	32.6%	58.9%	0.55×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz to score first	55.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Clermont Foot to score first	34.2%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	10.5%	9.4%	—	—	10.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.5%	55.0%	50.5%	1.09×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.5%	45.0%	49.5%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.1%	44.3%	41.2%	1.08×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.9%	34.5%	38.0%	0.91×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.4%	11.7%	1.06×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.3%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.7%	11.0%	14.4%	0.76×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.1%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.46

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.3%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	41.6%	1.13×	2.12
0-1 goals	34.0%	30.7%	31.6%	0.97×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.4%	20.2%	25.1%	0.81×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	2.0%	0.93×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.8%	35.6%	0.95×	2.95
Metz to score exactly 0	24.8%	22.3%	33.0%	0.68×	4.48
Metz to score exactly 2	24.1%	22.3%	19.5%	1.15×	4.48
Metz to score 3+	16.6%	19.6%	12.3%	1.59×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	33.9%	1.05×	2.81
Clermont Foot to score exactly 0	42.2%	35.3%	26.6%	1.33×	2.84
Clermont Foot to score exactly 2	15.7%	18.8%	22.0%	0.85×	5.33
Clermont Foot to score 3+	5.7%	10.3%	17.8%	0.58×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Metz leading at HT	32.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Clermont Foot leading at HT	19.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz -1: 1	50.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Metz -1: X	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Metz -1: 2	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (0:1)	76.9%	73.7%	57.3%	1.29×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	15.6%	17.8%	23.9%	0.75×	5.62
Clermont Foot (0:1)	7.6%	9.2%	19.0%	0.49×	10.82

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (0:2)	92.4%	90.7%	81.0%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.7%	7.7%	11.4%	0.67×	13.06
Clermont Foot (0:2)	1.9%	3.7%	7.8%	0.48×	26.77

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (0:3)	98.1%	96.6%	92.2%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	4.3%	0.56×	42.14
Clermont Foot (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	3.6%	0.65×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (0:4)	99.6%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Clermont Foot (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.8%	1.60×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	3.0%	0.40×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot (1:0)	50.6%	53.9%	70.2%	0.77×	1.86
Draw (1:0)	25.2%	25.0%	17.6%	1.42×	4.00
Metz (1:0)	24.1%	21.7%	12.3%	1.76×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot (2:0)	75.9%	80.4%	87.7%	0.92×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	14.9%	10.3%	7.0%	1.48×	9.70
Metz (2:0)	9.2%	6.4%	5.5%	1.17×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	28.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot to concede	75.2%	76.0%	67.0%	1.13×	1.32
Clermont Foot clean sheet	24.8%	24.0%	33.0%	0.73×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Clermont Foot to concede in 1st half	42.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot to concede in 2nd half	56.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Clermont Foot clean sheet in 2nd half	43.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot under 6.5 corners	79.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Clermont Foot over 2.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Clermont Foot under 5.5 corners	68.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Clermont Foot over 3.5 corners	62.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Clermont Foot under 4.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Clermont Foot over 4.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Clermont Foot under 3.5 corners	38.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Clermont Foot over 5.5 corners	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Clermont Foot under 2.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Clermont Foot over 6.5 corners	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot under 3.5 goals	98.8%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Clermont Foot under 2.5 goals	94.3%	92.2%	82.2%	1.12×	1.08
Clermont Foot under 1.5 goals	78.6%	77.7%	60.3%	1.29×	1.29
Clermont Foot over 0.5 goals	57.8%	58.6%	73.4%	0.80×	1.71
Clermont Foot under 0.5 goals	42.2%	41.4%	26.6%	1.56×	2.42
Clermont Foot over 1.5 goals	21.4%	22.3%	39.7%	0.56×	4.49
Clermont Foot over 2.5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	17.8%	0.44×	12.90
Clermont Foot over 3.5 goals	1.2%	3.6%	6.5%	0.55×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Clermont Foot under 0.5 in 1st half	69.0%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Clermont Foot over 0.5 in 1st half	31.0%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Clermont Foot over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	5.1%	—	—	19.58

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot scores equally in both	50.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Clermont Foot scores more in 2nd half	29.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
Clermont Foot scores more in 1st half	20.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz (home no bet)	64.2%	60.0%	51.9%	1.16×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.8%	40.0%	48.1%	0.83×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot even goals	58.9%	55.3%	53.2%	1.04×	1.81
Clermont Foot odd goals	41.1%	44.7%	46.8%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
HT 0-1	22.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	14.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 0-2	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz at HT / Metz at FT	27.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / Metz at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Clermont Foot at HT / Clermont Foot at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Clermont Foot at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Clermont Foot at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Metz at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Clermont Foot at HT / Metz at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.70
Metz at HT / Clermont Foot at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz to score last	55.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Clermont Foot to score last	34.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.5%	8.8%	—	—	11.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.5%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Metz to lead by 1 at any time	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.9%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Clermont Foot to lead by 1 at any time	38.0%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Metz to lead by 2 at any time	29.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Clermont Foot to lead by 2 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Metz to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Clermont Foot to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	62.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz most corners	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Clermont Foot most corners	40.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	84.8%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.6%	83.4%	78.7%	1.06×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.2%	72.4%	64.1%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.2%	68.8%	66.6%	1.03×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.2%	63.3%	62.3%	1.02×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.1%	59.1%	56.2%	1.05×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.2%	53.2%	43.8%	1.21×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.5%	41.6%	1.16×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.4%	39.2%	45.4%	0.86×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.5%	39.2%	41.2%	0.95×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.4%	35.2%	35.1%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.4%	18.8%	25.1%	0.75×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.4%	18.8%	20.8%	0.90×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.0%	8.9%	10.5%	0.85×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	2.0%	1.29×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Metz never behind	51.4%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Clermont Foot never behind	27.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.8%	82.3%	73.1%	1.13×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.0%	66.3%	68.4%	0.97×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.7%	61.7%	52.7%	1.17×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	39.3%	38.3%	47.3%	0.81×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.0%	33.7%	31.6%	1.07×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.2%	17.7%	26.9%	0.66×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	12.3%	0.63×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	6.2%	0.73×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.1%	97.2%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.1%	92.4%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.0%	75.9%	66.2%	1.15×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.6%	51.9%	59.9%	0.87×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.4%	48.1%	40.1%	1.20×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.0%	24.1%	33.8%	0.71×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.9%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.9%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	2.1%	1.36×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot not to score in both halves	88.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Metz not to score in both halves	75.7%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Metz to score in both halves	24.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Clermont Foot to score in both halves	12.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.5%	46.6%	49.5%	0.94×	2.15
Only Metz scores	31.7%	33.3%	17.6%	1.89×	3.00
Only Clermont Foot scores	14.2%	11.0%	24.0%	0.46×	9.05
Neither team scores	10.5%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	24.9%	21.3%	1.17×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.4%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.1%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.3%	12.1%	14.7%	0.82×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	10.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.14
6 or more goals	2.8%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goals in 2nd half	26.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Metz not to win both halves	86.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Metz to win both halves	13.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Clermont Foot to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.20

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot to win neither half	64.3%	65.2%	—	—	1.54
Metz to win either half	60.3%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Metz to win neither half	39.7%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Clermont Foot to win either half	35.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Clermont Foot not to win to nil	85.8%	88.1%	76.0%	1.16×	1.14
Metz not to win to nil	68.3%	69.7%	82.4%	0.85×	1.44
Metz to win to nil	31.7%	30.3%	17.6%	1.72×	3.30
Clermont Foot to win to nil	14.2%	11.9%	24.0%	0.50×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	27.7%	1.01×	3.59
Metz by 1	25.2%	27.9%	17.6%	1.58×	3.59
Clermont Foot by 1	15.6%	17.0%	23.9%	0.71×	5.87
Metz by 2	14.9%	11.8%	7.0%	1.68×	8.50
Metz by 3+	9.2%	7.2%	5.5%	1.32×	13.90
Clermont Foot by 2	5.7%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.92
Clermont Foot by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	7.8%	0.35×	36.85