betaider.com
Sign in

Cobresal v Audax Italiano — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cobresal win
45.3%
model 44.3%
Draw
23.7%
model 21.3%
Audax Italiano win
30.9%
model 34.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 11.4%
  2. 0-1 10.1%
  3. 1-1 10.0%
  4. 2-1 8.9%
  5. 1-2 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.552.1% Under 2.547.9%
BTTS yes53.7% BTTS no46.3%
Cobresal 1+77.4% Cobresal 2+43.8%
Audax Italiano 1+72.0% Audax Italiano 2+36.3%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
2-5 goals
Multi goal · usually 64%
68.0% fair odds 1.47
moderate signal · 2774 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Audax Italiano not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 83%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Cobresal.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Cobresal have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Audax Italiano and 23.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Cobresal and 1.27 for Audax Italiano.

Why Cobresal

Nothing in the data singles out Cobresal.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.27. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Audax Italiano can win

Audax Italiano carry the stronger rating, 1473 Elo against 1417.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cobresal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Audax Italiano, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cobresal: 41% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Audax Italiano: 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cobresal are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.4%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.49–1.27 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.69–1.29 1-0 10% 57% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to win 48.7% 47.4% 49.0% 0.97× 2.11
Audax Italiano to win 31.2% 30.4% 30.0% 1.01× 3.29
Draw 20.1% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal & both teams score 24.4% 21.8% 22.4% 0.97× 4.59
Cobresal & not both score 24.3% 21.8% 26.8% 0.81× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 16.9% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
Audax Italiano & both teams score 16.0% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.57
Audax Italiano & not both score 15.2% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.57
Draw & not both score 3.2% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.52
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal & over 1.5 38.3% 34.9% 36.1% 0.97× 2.87
Cobresal & over 2.5 31.0% 30.7% 29.3% 1.05× 3.25
Cobresal & under 3.5 31.1% 30.7% 34.1% 0.90× 3.25
Audax Italiano & over 1.5 22.8% 21.6% 20.0% 1.08× 4.63
Audax Italiano & under 3.5 21.6% 21.6% 23.4% 0.92× 4.63
Audax Italiano & over 2.5 18.6% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.55
Cobresal & under 2.5 17.6% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Cobresal & over 3.5 17.6% 18.0% 15.1% 1.19× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.9% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 12.4% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 12.4% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Audax Italiano & under 2.5 12.6% 12.8% 13.7% 0.94× 7.79
Cobresal & under 1.5 10.4% 12.8% 13.2% 0.97× 7.79
Audax Italiano & over 3.5 9.6% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Audax Italiano & under 1.5 8.4% 7.9% 10.2% 0.77× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 3.2% 4.8% 4.9% 0.98× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (1UP) 64.1% 63.0% — — 1.59
Audax Italiano (1UP) 49.2% 44.0% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (2UP) 48.7% 50.2% — — 1.99
Audax Italiano (2UP) 31.2% 30.2% — — 3.31
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to win 2nd half 39.2% 36.5% — — 2.74
2nd half drawn 32.1% 34.0% — — 2.94
Audax Italiano to win 2nd half 28.7% 26.1% — — 3.83
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.7% 84.1% — — 1.19
Audax Italiano over 0.5 in 2nd half 54.0% 52.5% — — 1.91
Audax Italiano under 0.5 in 2nd half 46.0% 47.5% — — 2.11
Audax Italiano over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.3% 15.9% — — 6.28
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 2nd half 74.9% 74.5% — — 1.34
Cobresal over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.9% 63.1% — — 1.59
Cobresal under 0.5 in 2nd half 38.1% 36.9% — — 2.71
Cobresal over 1.5 in 2nd half 25.1% 25.5% — — 3.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (+2.5) 89.4% 88.5% 89.5% 0.99× 1.13
Audax Italiano (+1.5) 75.2% 78.5% 76.8% 1.02× 1.27
Cobresal (+0.5) 68.8% 68.7% 70.0% 0.98× 1.46
Audax Italiano (+0.5) 51.3% 52.4% 51.0% 1.03× 1.91
Cobresal (-0.5) 48.7% 47.6% 49.0% 0.97× 2.10
Audax Italiano (-0.5) 31.2% 31.3% 30.0% 1.04× 3.19
Cobresal (-1.5) 24.8% 21.5% 23.2% 0.93× 4.65
Cobresal (-2.5) 10.6% 11.5% 10.5% 1.10× 8.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to concede 81.6% 81.5% 78.5% 1.04× 1.23
Audax Italiano clean sheet 18.4% 18.5% 21.5% 0.86× 5.39
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to concede in 1st half 51.7% 50.8% — — 1.97
Audax Italiano clean sheet in 1st half 48.3% 49.2% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to concede in 2nd half 61.9% 61.7% — — 1.62
Audax Italiano clean sheet in 2nd half 38.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 6.5 corners 79.7% 76.1% — — 1.32
Audax Italiano over 2.5 corners 77.0% 76.0% — — 1.32
Audax Italiano under 5.5 corners 68.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Audax Italiano over 3.5 corners 61.1% 61.7% — — 1.62
Audax Italiano under 4.5 corners 55.0% 53.1% — — 1.88
Audax Italiano over 4.5 corners 45.0% 46.9% — — 2.13
Audax Italiano under 3.5 corners 38.9% 38.3% — — 2.61
Audax Italiano over 5.5 corners 31.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Audax Italiano under 2.5 corners 23.0% 24.0% — — 4.18
Audax Italiano over 6.5 corners 20.3% 23.9% — — 4.18
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 3.5 goals 95.8% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Audax Italiano under 2.5 goals 85.9% 87.8% 88.3% 0.99× 1.14
Audax Italiano over 0.5 goals 72.6% 71.8% 68.5% 1.05× 1.39
Audax Italiano under 1.5 goals 62.9% 63.2% 68.5% 0.92× 1.58
Audax Italiano over 1.5 goals 37.1% 36.8% 31.5% 1.17× 2.72
Audax Italiano under 0.5 goals 27.4% 28.2% 31.5% 0.90× 3.55
Audax Italiano over 2.5 goals 14.1% 12.2% 11.7% 1.04× 8.19
Audax Italiano over 3.5 goals 4.2% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.75
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano under 1.5 in 1st half 90.5% 93.9% — — 1.07
Audax Italiano under 0.5 in 1st half 59.6% 62.5% — — 1.60
Audax Italiano over 0.5 in 1st half 40.4% 37.5% — — 2.67
Audax Italiano over 1.5 in 1st half 9.5% 6.1% — — 16.29
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano scores equally in both 39.6% 37.4% — — 2.67
Audax Italiano scores more in 2nd half 38.2% 37.4% — — 2.68
Audax Italiano scores more in 1st half 22.2% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (away no bet) 70.7% 68.3% 69.8% 0.98× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 29.3% 31.7% 30.2% 1.05× 3.16
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano even goals 53.8% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
Audax Italiano odd goals 46.2% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 81.7% 83.1% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 18.3% 16.9% — — 5.92
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 68.0% 67.9% — — 1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals 32.0% 32.1% — — 3.11
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 60.5% 59.9% — — 1.67
Cobresal to score 2+ in a row 41.1% 38.7% — — 2.59
Audax Italiano to score 2+ in a row 27.3% 24.9% — — 4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.9% 19.5% — — 5.12
Cobresal to score 3+ in a row 15.6% 16.1% — — 6.21
Audax Italiano to score 3+ in a row 7.7% 5.5% — — 18.16
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal corners (+3.5) 87.5% 84.5% — — 1.18
Cobresal corners (+2.5) 81.2% 79.8% — — 1.25
Audax Italiano corners (+3.5) 76.9% 74.8% — — 1.34
Cobresal corners (+1.5) 73.1% 70.8% — — 1.41
Audax Italiano corners (+2.5) 68.2% 65.9% — — 1.52
Audax Italiano corners (+1.5) 58.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Cobresal corners (-1.5) 41.8% 42.8% — — 2.33
Cobresal corners (-2.5) 31.8% 34.1% — — 2.93
Audax Italiano corners (-1.5) 26.9% 29.2% — — 3.42
Cobresal corners (-3.5) 23.1% 25.2% — — 3.97
Audax Italiano corners (-2.5) 18.8% 20.2% — — 4.95
Audax Italiano corners (-3.5) 12.5% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 39.7% 34.0% — — 2.94
12+ corners 30.6% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 77.1% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 70.7% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 69.4% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 60.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 60.3% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 50.3% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 49.7% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 39.7% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 39.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 30.6% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 29.3% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 22.9% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 10.4% 11.5% 13.2% 0.87× 8.72
0-1 8.4% 7.4% 10.2% 0.72× 13.51
1-1 9.2% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
2-1 9.4% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
1-2 7.1% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
2-0 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
3-1 5.3% 7.4% 4.6% 1.60× 13.51
0-0 3.2% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.30
0-2 4.2% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
0-3 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
1-3 3.1% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.30
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
2-3 2.6% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.30
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.31
3-0 4.1% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.30
3-2 3.4% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.31
4-1 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
Any other score 3.9% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (2nd half DNB) 57.7% 59.5% — — 1.68
Audax Italiano (2nd half DNB) 42.3% 40.5% — — 2.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal leading at HT (DNB) 61.0% 66.2% — — 1.51
Audax Italiano leading at HT (DNB) 39.0% 33.8% — — 2.96
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal or Audax Italiano (12) 79.9% 75.5% 78.8% 0.96× 1.32
Cobresal or draw (1X) 68.8% 69.6% 70.0% 0.99× 1.44
Audax Italiano or draw (X2) 51.3% 52.6% 51.0% 1.03× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal or draw at HT 76.6% 79.6% — — 1.26
Audax Italiano or draw at HT 63.5% 60.9% — — 1.64
Cobresal or Audax Italiano at HT 59.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal or draw (1UP) 68.8% 76.5% — — 1.31
Audax Italiano or draw (1UP) 51.3% 58.6% — — 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal or draw in 2nd half 71.3% 73.9% — — 1.35
Cobresal or Audax Italiano in 2nd half 67.9% 66.0% — — 1.52
Audax Italiano or draw in 2nd half 60.8% 63.5% — — 1.58
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 61.4% 61.3% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 38.6% 38.7% — — 2.58
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (DNB) 60.9% 62.6% 62.0% 1.01× 1.60
Audax Italiano (DNB) 39.1% 37.4% 38.0% 0.98× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to score first 54.9% 53.5% — — 1.87
Audax Italiano to score first 41.9% 41.6% — — 2.40
No goal scored 3.2% 4.4% — — 22.95
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.3% 55.0% 52.0% 1.06× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.7% 45.0% 48.0% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.1% 44.3% 42.9% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 33.5% 34.6% 38.0% 0.91× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 9.2% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
Not both score & over 2.5 9.2% 8.3% 10.2% 0.81× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 81.3% 82.6% 84.6% 0.98× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 18.7% 17.4% 15.4% 1.13× 5.75
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.2% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.8% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.7% 54.8% — — 1.82
Both score 2nd half only 25.8% 26.7% — — 3.74
Both score 1st half only 13.6% 10.8% — — 9.30
Both score in both halves 7.0% 6.8% — — 14.76
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.4% 81.0% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.6% 19.0% — — 5.28
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.8% 57.1% — — 1.75
A half without a goal 42.2% 42.9% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.1% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 31.7% 30.7% 26.8% 1.15× 3.25
0-1 goals 22.0% 22.9% 27.8% 0.82× 4.36
7+ goals 3.3% 1.8% 2.4% 0.76× 54.23
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano to score exactly 1 35.5% 35.9% 37.3% 0.96× 2.79
Audax Italiano to score exactly 0 27.4% 27.5% 31.5% 0.87× 3.64
Audax Italiano to score exactly 2 22.9% 22.3% 20.0% 1.11× 4.49
Audax Italiano to score 3+ 14.1% 12.9% 11.7% 1.10× 7.75
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to score exactly 1 31.2% 32.6% 31.7% 1.03× 3.07
Cobresal to score exactly 2 26.4% 26.6% 26.3% 1.01× 3.77
Cobresal to score 3+ 24.1% 23.3% 21.0% 1.11× 4.29
Cobresal to score exactly 0 18.4% 18.8% 21.5% 0.88× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.1% 42.5% — — 2.36
Cobresal leading at HT 36.5% 39.1% — — 2.56
Audax Italiano leading at HT 23.4% 20.4% — — 4.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal -1: 2 51.3% 52.1% — — 1.92
Cobresal -1: 1 24.8% 23.5% — — 4.25
Cobresal -1: X 23.9% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:1) 51.3% 51.3% 51.0% 1.01× 1.95
Cobresal (0:1) 24.8% 24.2% 23.2% 1.05× 4.13
Draw (0:1) 23.9% 24.2% 26.1% 0.93× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:2) 75.2% 79.3% 76.8% 1.03× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.2% 11.0% 12.9% 0.85× 9.09
Cobresal (0:2) 10.6% 11.0% 10.5% 1.05× 9.11
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:3) 89.4% 90.6% 89.5% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 6.9% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.25
Cobresal (0:3) 3.7% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 41.97
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (0:4) 96.3% 98.1% 94.6% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.6% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.68
Cobresal (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 0.83× 81.85
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (1:0) 68.8% 70.2% 70.0% 1.00× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.7% 17.1% 20.0% 0.86× 5.85
Audax Italiano (1:0) 12.5% 12.7% 10.2% 1.24× 7.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (2:0) 87.5% 88.5% 89.8% 0.99× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.3% 6.4% 6.3% 1.01× 15.65
Audax Italiano (2:0) 4.2% 2.3% 4.1% 0.55× 43.66
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.6% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 28.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 20.8% 24.4% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede 72.6% 73.0% 68.5% 1.07× 1.37
Cobresal clean sheet 27.4% 27.0% 31.5% 0.86× 3.70
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal clean sheet in 1st half 59.6% 62.5% — — 1.60
Cobresal to concede in 1st half 40.4% 37.5% — — 2.67
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede in 2nd half 54.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
Cobresal clean sheet in 2nd half 46.0% 47.4% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal over 2.5 corners 84.1% 81.0% — — 1.24
Cobresal over 3.5 corners 71.1% 71.9% — — 1.39
Cobresal under 6.5 corners 69.8% 66.7% — — 1.50
Cobresal under 5.5 corners 57.6% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cobresal over 4.5 corners 56.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cobresal under 4.5 corners 43.5% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cobresal over 5.5 corners 42.4% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cobresal over 6.5 corners 30.2% 33.3% — — 3.01
Cobresal under 3.5 corners 28.9% 28.1% — — 3.56
Cobresal under 2.5 corners 15.9% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 3.5 goals 90.8% 92.2% 91.0% 1.01× 1.09
Cobresal over 0.5 goals 81.6% 82.2% 78.5% 1.05× 1.22
Cobresal under 2.5 goals 75.9% 77.8% 79.0% 0.98× 1.29
Cobresal over 1.5 goals 50.4% 53.2% 47.1% 1.13× 1.88
Cobresal under 1.5 goals 49.6% 46.8% 52.9% 0.88× 2.14
Cobresal over 2.5 goals 24.1% 22.2% 21.0% 1.06× 4.50
Cobresal under 0.5 goals 18.4% 17.8% 21.5% 0.83× 5.62
Cobresal over 3.5 goals 9.2% 7.8% 9.0% 0.86× 12.82
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 1st half 83.5% 84.2% — — 1.19
Cobresal over 0.5 in 1st half 51.7% 50.6% — — 1.98
Cobresal under 0.5 in 1st half 48.3% 49.4% — — 2.03
Cobresal over 1.5 in 1st half 16.5% 15.8% — — 6.34
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal scores more in 2nd half 39.7% 38.2% — — 2.62
Cobresal scores equally in both 33.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
Cobresal scores more in 1st half 26.5% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano (home no bet) 60.8% 60.0% 58.6% 1.02× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 39.2% 40.0% 41.4% 0.97× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal even goals 51.7% 50.8% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Cobresal odd goals 48.3% 49.2% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 28.5% 28.5% — — 3.51
HT 1-0 21.3% 24.4% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 15.2% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 1-1 10.5% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 7.6% 6.9% — — 14.54
Any other HT score 5.3% 6.9% — — 14.58
HT 2-1 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.16
HT 0-2 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.35
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal at HT / Cobresal at FT 29.2% 27.5% — — 3.64
Draw at HT / Cobresal at FT 16.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Audax Italiano at HT / Audax Italiano at FT 16.3% 16.8% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Audax Italiano at FT 12.6% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.8% 12.7% — — 7.90
Cobresal at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% — — 16.55
Audax Italiano at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
Audax Italiano at HT / Cobresal at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.94
Cobresal at HT / Audax Italiano at FT 2.4% 3.5% — — 28.95
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to score last 54.7% 52.2% — — 1.91
Audax Italiano to score last 42.1% 40.0% — — 2.50
No goal scored 3.2% 4.4% — — 22.95
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.8% 95.6% — — 1.05
Cobresal to lead by 1 at any time 64.1% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.5% 50.6% — — 1.98
Audax Italiano to lead by 1 at any time 49.2% 44.4% — — 2.25
Cobresal to lead by 2 at any time 32.0% 29.7% — — 3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.1% 14.9% — — 6.73
Audax Italiano to lead by 2 at any time 18.7% 14.9% — — 6.73
Cobresal to lead by 3 at any time 13.2% 10.6% — — 9.42
Audax Italiano to lead by 3 at any time 5.9% 6.6% — — 15.11
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal most corners 52.7% 51.7% — — 1.94
Audax Italiano most corners 36.6% 39.3% — — 2.54
Corners level 10.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 88.6% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.6% 78.7% 81.2% 0.97× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.7% 72.3% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.8% 68.8% 64.4% 1.07× 1.45
1-3 goals 61.9% 63.3% 66.3% 0.95× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.8% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 54.1% 53.2% 50.7% 1.05× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.1% 48.5% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 43.1% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
1-2 goals 39.5% 39.2% 42.4% 0.92× 2.55
3-4 goals 39.1% 39.2% 39.0% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 31.7% 35.2% 26.8% 1.31× 2.84
4-5 goals 26.7% 30.2% 21.2% 1.42× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.9% 14.8% 12.0% 1.24× 6.75
7+ goals 3.3% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.12
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal never behind 47.6% 56.7% — — 1.76
Audax Italiano never behind 32.7% 36.3% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.4% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.6% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.5% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.5% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.8% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 91.8% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.8% 82.3% 85.9% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 78.0% 77.3% 72.2% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 65.1% 66.3% 71.0% 0.93× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 57.3% 58.6% 52.9% 1.11× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 42.7% 41.4% 47.1% 0.88× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 34.9% 33.7% 29.0% 1.16× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 22.0% 22.7% 27.8% 0.82× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 18.2% 17.7% 14.1% 1.25× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.6% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.9% 92.4% 91.4% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 78.1% 75.9% 83.4% 0.91× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 72.3% 72.4% 65.6% 1.10× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.0% 51.9% 61.9% 0.84× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.0% 48.1% 38.1% 1.26× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 27.7% 27.6% 34.4% 0.80× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 21.9% 24.1% 16.6% 1.45× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.1% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.4% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.60
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.0% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.5% 71.3% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.0% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.0% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 28.5% 28.7% — — 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.0% 11.0% — — 9.11
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.1% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.7% 77.8% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 51.3% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 48.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.3% 22.2% — — 4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.9% 17.1% — — 5.86
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano not to score in both halves 78.2% 78.5% — — 1.27
Cobresal not to score in both halves 68.0% 70.1% — — 1.43
Cobresal to score in both halves 32.0% 29.9% — — 3.34
Audax Italiano to score in both halves 21.8% 21.5% — — 4.65
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.3% 58.6% 52.0% 1.13× 1.71
Only Cobresal scores 24.3% 22.3% 26.8% 0.83× 4.49
Only Audax Italiano scores 15.2% 16.0% 16.8% 0.95× 6.24
Neither team scores 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.59
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 20.7% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 18.8% 17.5% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 16.7% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 10.0% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.13
6 or more goals 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 3.2% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.5% 37.3% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 28.5% 28.6% — — 3.49
2 goals in 1st half 22.0% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 13.0% 10.9% — — 9.19
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 51.3% 51.1% — — 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 31.8% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 16.9% 16.8% — — 5.97
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano not to win both halves 93.5% 94.2% — — 1.06
Cobresal not to win both halves 86.0% 87.9% — — 1.14
Cobresal to win both halves 14.0% 12.1% — — 8.26
Audax Italiano to win both halves 6.5% 5.8% — — 17.19
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to win either half 61.8% 64.9% — — 1.54
Audax Italiano to win neither half 54.3% 54.4% — — 1.84
Audax Italiano to win either half 45.7% 45.6% — — 2.19
Cobresal to win neither half 38.2% 35.1% — — 2.85
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Audax Italiano not to win to nil 84.8% 83.1% 83.2% 1.00× 1.20
Cobresal not to win to nil 75.7% 78.1% 73.2% 1.07× 1.28
Cobresal to win to nil 24.3% 21.9% 26.8% 0.82× 4.57
Audax Italiano to win to nil 15.2% 16.9% 16.8% 1.00× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal by 1 23.9% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Draw 20.1% 24.1% 21.2% 1.14× 4.15
Audax Italiano by 1 18.7% 17.1% 20.0% 0.85× 5.86
Cobresal by 2 14.2% 11.8% 12.9% 0.91× 8.50
Cobresal by 3+ 10.6% 11.8% 10.5% 1.12× 8.51
Audax Italiano by 2 8.3% 7.2% 6.3% 1.13× 13.91
Audax Italiano by 3+ 4.2% 2.7% 4.1% 0.65× 36.84
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide