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Cobresal v Everton de Viña del Mar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cobresal win
30.4%
model 31.6%
Draw
19.5%
model 20.0%
Everton de Viña del Mar win
50.2%
model 48.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-1 10.0%
  2. 1-2 9.3%
  3. 1-1 9.0%
  4. 1-0 8.2%
  5. 2-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.558.6% Under 2.541.4%
BTTS yes58.4% BTTS no41.6%
Cobresal 1+73.4% Cobresal 2+38.2%
Everton de Viña del Mar 1+82.0% Everton de Viña del Mar 2+51.1%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 goals
Away goals O/U · usually 32%
51.1% fair odds 1.96
strong signal · 624 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Cobresal not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 73%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Everton de Viña del Mar carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1417.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Everton de Viña del Mar have an estimated 50.2% win probability, against 30.4% for Cobresal and 19.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Cobresal and 1.72 for Everton de Viña del Mar.

Why Cobresal

Nothing in the data singles out Cobresal.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.5%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Everton de Viña del Mar can win

Everton de Viña del Mar carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cobresal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Everton de Viña del Mar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cobresal: 41% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Everton de Viña del Mar: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Everton de Viña del Mar are the model's most likely outcome at 50.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 10.0%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.33–1.72 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.35–1.56 0-1 10% 56% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to win 44.3% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.33
Cobresal to win 35.0% 36.3% 49.0% 0.74× 2.75
Draw 20.7% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar & not both score 22.4% 21.8% 16.8% 1.29× 4.59
Everton de Viña del Mar & both teams score 21.9% 21.8% 13.4% 1.62× 4.59
Cobresal & both teams score 17.5% 18.0% 22.4% 0.80× 5.56
Cobresal & not both score 17.5% 18.0% 26.8% 0.67× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 17.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
Draw & not both score 3.5% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.51
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar & over 1.5 33.9% 30.8% 20.0% 1.54× 3.25
Everton de Viña del Mar & under 3.5 29.4% 26.1% 23.4% 1.11× 3.84
Everton de Viña del Mar & over 2.5 27.2% 26.1% 16.6% 1.57× 3.84
Cobresal & over 1.5 25.7% 26.1% 36.1% 0.72× 3.84
Cobresal & under 3.5 24.2% 21.6% 34.1% 0.63× 4.63
Cobresal & over 2.5 20.8% 21.6% 29.3% 0.74× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 17.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
Everton de Viña del Mar & under 2.5 17.0% 18.0% 13.7% 1.32× 5.56
Everton de Viña del Mar & over 3.5 14.9% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
Cobresal & under 2.5 14.3% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.0% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.0% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Cobresal & over 3.5 10.8% 12.8% 15.1% 0.85× 7.79
Everton de Viña del Mar & under 1.5 10.4% 12.8% 10.2% 1.25× 7.79
Cobresal & under 1.5 9.3% 7.9% 13.2% 0.60× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 0.98× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (1UP) 60.3% 62.7% — — 1.59
Cobresal (1UP) 52.4% 52.3% — — 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (2UP) 44.3% 47.2% — — 2.12
Cobresal (2UP) 35.0% 37.2% — — 2.69
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to win 2nd half 38.4% 36.5% — — 2.74
2nd half drawn 32.5% 34.0% — — 2.94
Cobresal to win 2nd half 29.2% 26.1% — — 3.83
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.9% 79.4% — — 1.26
Everton de Viña del Mar over 0.5 in 2nd half 60.8% 60.2% — — 1.66
Everton de Viña del Mar under 0.5 in 2nd half 39.2% 39.8% — — 2.51
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.1% 20.6% — — 4.85
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.9% 82.4% — — 1.21
Cobresal over 0.5 in 2nd half 53.7% 55.0% — — 1.82
Cobresal under 0.5 in 2nd half 46.3% 45.0% — — 2.22
Cobresal over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.1% 17.6% — — 5.67
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (+2.5) 94.8% 92.1% 89.5% 1.03× 1.09
Everton de Viña del Mar (+1.5) 85.3% 88.5% 76.8% 1.15× 1.13
Everton de Viña del Mar (+0.5) 65.0% 63.0% 51.0% 1.24× 1.59
Cobresal (+0.5) 55.7% 57.0% 70.0% 0.81× 1.75
Everton de Viña del Mar (-0.5) 44.3% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.33
Cobresal (-0.5) 35.0% 37.0% 49.0% 0.76× 2.70
Cobresal (-1.5) 14.7% 11.6% 23.2% 0.50× 8.66
Cobresal (-2.5) 5.2% 7.9% 10.5% 0.75× 12.72
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to concede 74.1% 76.7% 78.5% 0.98× 1.30
Everton de Viña del Mar clean sheet 25.9% 23.3% 21.5% 1.09× 4.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar clean sheet in 1st half 55.9% 56.4% — — 1.77
Everton de Viña del Mar to concede in 1st half 44.1% 43.6% — — 2.29
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to concede in 2nd half 53.7% 54.6% — — 1.83
Everton de Viña del Mar clean sheet in 2nd half 46.3% 45.4% — — 2.20
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar over 2.5 corners 84.3% 81.4% — — 1.23
Everton de Viña del Mar over 3.5 corners 71.4% 71.6% — — 1.40
Everton de Viña del Mar under 6.5 corners 69.4% 67.6% — — 1.48
Everton de Viña del Mar under 5.5 corners 57.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Everton de Viña del Mar over 4.5 corners 56.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
Everton de Viña del Mar under 4.5 corners 43.1% 42.8% — — 2.34
Everton de Viña del Mar over 5.5 corners 42.8% 42.8% — — 2.34
Everton de Viña del Mar over 6.5 corners 30.6% 32.4% — — 3.09
Everton de Viña del Mar under 3.5 corners 28.6% 28.4% — — 3.52
Everton de Viña del Mar under 2.5 corners 15.7% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar under 3.5 goals 92.7% 92.4% 97.1% 0.95× 1.08
Everton de Viña del Mar under 2.5 goals 79.4% 76.3% 88.3% 0.86× 1.31
Everton de Viña del Mar over 0.5 goals 79.0% 76.3% 68.5% 1.11× 1.31
Everton de Viña del Mar under 1.5 goals 53.8% 53.5% 68.5% 0.78× 1.87
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 goals 46.2% 46.5% 31.5% 1.48× 2.15
Everton de Viña del Mar under 0.5 goals 21.0% 23.7% 31.5% 0.75× 4.21
Everton de Viña del Mar over 2.5 goals 20.6% 23.7% 11.7% 2.03× 4.21
Everton de Viña del Mar over 3.5 goals 7.3% 7.7% 2.9% 2.61× 13.07
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar under 1.5 in 1st half 87.0% 89.2% — — 1.12
Everton de Viña del Mar under 0.5 in 1st half 53.6% 55.9% — — 1.79
Everton de Viña del Mar over 0.5 in 1st half 46.4% 44.1% — — 2.27
Everton de Viña del Mar over 1.5 in 1st half 13.0% 10.8% — — 9.28
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar scores more in 2nd half 41.4% 43.6% — — 2.29
Everton de Viña del Mar scores equally in both 35.2% 37.3% — — 2.68
Everton de Viña del Mar scores more in 1st half 23.4% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (away no bet) 62.8% 61.9% 69.8% 0.89× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 37.2% 38.1% 30.2% 1.26× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar even goals 52.2% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
Everton de Viña del Mar odd goals 47.8% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.7% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.3% 16.8% — — 5.94
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 58.9% 55.0% — — 1.82
Everton de Viña del Mar to score 2+ in a row 36.9% 36.5% — — 2.74
Cobresal to score 2+ in a row 29.6% 25.0% — — 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.4% 19.5% — — 5.13
Everton de Viña del Mar to score 3+ in a row 12.9% 12.2% — — 8.22
Cobresal to score 3+ in a row 8.9% 5.5% — — 18.07
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal corners (+3.5) 81.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (+3.5) 80.6% 79.8% — — 1.25
Cobresal corners (+2.5) 74.5% 70.8% — — 1.41
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (+2.5) 73.1% 70.8% — — 1.41
Cobresal corners (+1.5) 65.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (+1.5) 64.2% 61.9% — — 1.62
Cobresal corners (-1.5) 35.8% 38.1% — — 2.62
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (-1.5) 34.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Cobresal corners (-2.5) 26.9% 29.2% — — 3.42
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (-2.5) 25.5% 29.2% — — 3.42
Cobresal corners (-3.5) 19.4% 20.2% — — 4.94
Everton de Viña del Mar corners (-3.5) 18.2% 20.2% — — 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 39.6% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 31.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.2% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 77.9% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 69.0% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 68.8% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 60.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 59.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 51.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 49.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 41.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 39.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 31.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 31.0% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 22.1% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 10.4% 11.5% 10.2% 1.12× 8.72
1-0 9.3% 7.4% 13.2% 0.56× 13.51
1-1 9.5% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
1-2 8.9% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
0-2 6.6% 7.4% 3.7% 2.02× 13.51
2-1 7.8% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
2-0 5.0% 1.7% 7.1% 0.24× 58.29
0-0 3.5% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.30
0-3 3.4% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.30
0-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
1-3 4.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.29
1-4 1.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
2-3 3.1% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.30
2-4 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.31
3-0 2.2% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.31
3-1 3.5% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.30
3-2 2.7% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.31
4-1 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
Any other score 3.4% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (2nd half DNB) 56.8% 59.4% — — 1.68
Cobresal (2nd half DNB) 43.2% 40.6% — — 2.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar leading at HT (DNB) 52.3% 56.1% — — 1.78
Cobresal leading at HT (DNB) 47.7% 43.9% — — 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal or Everton de Viña del Mar (12) 79.3% 75.5% 78.8% 0.96× 1.32
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw (X2) 65.0% 63.7% 51.0% 1.25× 1.57
Cobresal or draw (1X) 55.7% 57.0% 70.0% 0.82× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw at HT 71.9% 74.5% — — 1.34
Cobresal or draw at HT 69.2% 67.3% — — 1.49
Cobresal or Everton de Viña del Mar at HT 58.8% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw (1UP) 65.0% 71.8% — — 1.39
Cobresal or draw (1UP) 55.7% 62.9% — — 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar or draw in 2nd half 70.8% 73.9% — — 1.35
Cobresal or Everton de Viña del Mar in 2nd half 67.5% 66.0% — — 1.52
Cobresal or draw in 2nd half 61.6% 63.5% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.4% 61.3% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.6% 38.7% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (DNB) 55.8% 58.1% 38.0% 1.53× 1.72
Cobresal (DNB) 44.2% 41.9% 62.0% 0.68× 2.38
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to score first 51.7% 53.3% — — 1.88
Cobresal to score first 44.8% 41.8% — — 2.39
No goal scored 3.5% 4.4% — — 22.90
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 56.6% 55.0% 52.0% 1.06× 1.82
Not both teams to score 43.4% 45.0% 48.0% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.1% 44.3% 42.9% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 34.8% 34.6% 38.0% 0.91× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 9.5% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
Not both score & over 2.5 8.6% 8.3% 10.2% 0.81× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 81.9% 82.6% 84.6% 0.98× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 18.1% 17.4% 15.4% 1.13× 5.76
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.0% 67.3% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.0% 32.7% — — 3.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.6% 54.9% — — 1.82
Both score 2nd half only 25.3% 26.7% — — 3.74
Both score 1st half only 13.5% 10.7% — — 9.30
Both score in both halves 6.7% 6.8% — — 14.77
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.9% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.1% 18.9% — — 5.28
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.4% 57.0% — — 1.76
A half without a goal 43.6% 43.0% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.5% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 30.4% 30.7% 26.8% 1.14× 3.26
0-1 goals 23.2% 22.9% 27.8% 0.82× 4.36
7+ goals 2.9% 1.8% 2.4% 0.76× 54.27
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to score exactly 1 32.8% 33.8% 37.3% 0.91× 2.96
Everton de Viña del Mar to score exactly 2 25.6% 27.4% 20.0% 1.37× 3.65
Everton de Viña del Mar to score exactly 0 21.0% 22.3% 31.5% 0.71× 4.49
Everton de Viña del Mar to score 3+ 20.6% 22.3% 11.7% 1.90× 4.49
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to score exactly 1 35.0% 32.6% 31.7% 1.03× 3.07
Cobresal to score exactly 0 25.9% 26.6% 21.5% 1.24× 3.77
Cobresal to score exactly 2 23.6% 23.3% 26.3% 0.88× 4.29
Cobresal to score 3+ 15.5% 18.8% 21.0% 0.90× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.2% 42.5% — — 2.35
Everton de Viña del Mar leading at HT 30.8% 32.7% — — 3.06
Cobresal leading at HT 28.1% 25.5% — — 3.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar -1: 1 55.7% 56.7% — — 1.76
Everton de Viña del Mar -1: X 23.1% 23.5% — — 4.25
Everton de Viña del Mar -1: 2 21.2% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:1) 65.0% 61.5% 51.0% 1.21× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 20.3% 24.2% 26.1% 0.93× 4.13
Cobresal (0:1) 14.7% 13.7% 23.2% 0.59× 7.28
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:2) 85.3% 87.1% 76.8% 1.13× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.5% 7.7% 12.9% 0.59× 13.04
Cobresal (0:2) 5.2% 7.6% 10.5% 0.73× 13.08
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:3) 94.8% 92.7% 89.5% 1.04× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 3.7% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 41.98
Cobresal (0:3) 1.5% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 42.07
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (0:4) 98.5% 98.1% 94.6% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 4.1% 0.29× 81.84
Cobresal (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.5% 0.83× 81.93
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (1:0) 55.7% 58.3% 70.0% 0.83× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 23.1% 21.7% 20.0% 1.08× 4.61
Everton de Viña del Mar (1:0) 21.2% 21.7% 10.2% 2.12× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (2:0) 78.8% 80.5% 89.8% 0.90× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 12.7% 10.3% 6.3% 1.62× 9.71
Everton de Viña del Mar (2:0) 8.5% 6.4% 4.1% 1.54× 15.65
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.7% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 28.3% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.0% 24.4% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede 79.0% 76.1% 68.5% 1.11× 1.31
Cobresal clean sheet 21.0% 23.9% 31.5% 0.76× 4.18
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal clean sheet in 1st half 53.6% 55.9% — — 1.79
Cobresal to concede in 1st half 46.4% 44.1% — — 2.27
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede in 2nd half 60.8% 59.7% — — 1.68
Cobresal clean sheet in 2nd half 39.2% 40.3% — — 2.48
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal over 2.5 corners 84.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
Cobresal over 3.5 corners 72.3% 71.9% — — 1.39
Cobresal under 6.5 corners 68.3% 66.7% — — 1.50
Cobresal over 4.5 corners 58.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cobresal under 5.5 corners 56.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cobresal over 5.5 corners 44.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cobresal under 4.5 corners 42.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cobresal over 6.5 corners 31.7% 33.3% — — 3.01
Cobresal under 3.5 corners 27.7% 28.1% — — 3.56
Cobresal under 2.5 corners 15.1% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 3.5 goals 95.2% 96.4% 91.0% 1.06× 1.04
Cobresal under 2.5 goals 84.5% 82.2% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
Cobresal over 0.5 goals 74.1% 74.2% 78.5% 0.95× 1.35
Cobresal under 1.5 goals 60.9% 63.6% 52.9% 1.20× 1.57
Cobresal over 1.5 goals 39.1% 36.4% 47.1% 0.77× 2.75
Cobresal under 0.5 goals 25.9% 25.8% 21.5% 1.20× 3.88
Cobresal over 2.5 goals 15.5% 17.8% 21.0% 0.85× 5.62
Cobresal over 3.5 goals 4.8% 3.6% 9.0% 0.40× 27.47
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 1st half 88.4% 90.1% — — 1.11
Cobresal under 0.5 in 1st half 55.9% 56.2% — — 1.78
Cobresal over 0.5 in 1st half 44.1% 43.8% — — 2.28
Cobresal over 1.5 in 1st half 11.6% 9.9% — — 10.13
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal scores equally in both 38.8% 38.1% — — 2.62
Cobresal scores more in 2nd half 36.3% 38.1% — — 2.63
Cobresal scores more in 1st half 24.8% 21.1% — — 4.75
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar (home no bet) 68.1% 64.2% 58.6% 1.10× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 31.9% 35.8% 41.4% 0.86× 2.79
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal even goals 53.3% 50.8% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Cobresal odd goals 46.7% 49.2% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.6% 28.5% — — 3.51
HT 0-1 19.0% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 1-0 17.7% 18.6% — — 5.39
HT 1-1 10.5% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-2 5.8% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 2-0 5.1% 6.9% — — 14.58
Any other HT score 4.6% 2.4% — — 42.12
HT 1-2 3.4% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 2-1 3.2% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.36
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar at HT / Everton de Viña del Mar at FT 24.2% 21.7% — — 4.62
Cobresal at HT / Cobresal at FT 19.9% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Everton de Viña del Mar at FT 16.9% 16.8% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Cobresal at FT 13.0% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.2% 12.7% — — 7.90
Cobresal at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% — — 16.55
Everton de Viña del Mar at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
Cobresal at HT / Everton de Viña del Mar at FT 3.1% 3.5% — — 28.92
Everton de Viña del Mar at HT / Cobresal at FT 2.1% 3.5% — — 28.96
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to score last 51.6% 52.1% — — 1.92
Cobresal to score last 44.9% 40.1% — — 2.49
No goal scored 3.5% 4.4% — — 22.90
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.5% 95.6% — — 1.05
Everton de Viña del Mar to lead by 1 at any time 60.3% 61.1% — — 1.64
Cobresal to lead by 1 at any time 52.4% 50.6% — — 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 48.9% 44.4% — — 2.25
Everton de Viña del Mar to lead by 2 at any time 28.1% 25.3% — — 3.95
Cobresal to lead by 2 at any time 21.1% 19.5% — — 5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.8% 14.8% — — 6.74
Everton de Viña del Mar to lead by 3 at any time 10.8% 10.6% — — 9.47
Cobresal to lead by 3 at any time 7.0% 6.6% — — 15.06
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal most corners 45.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Everton de Viña del Mar most corners 44.1% 43.6% — — 2.30
Corners level 10.2% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 89.0% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.5% 78.7% 81.2% 0.97× 1.27
2-6 goals 73.9% 72.3% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.3% 68.8% 64.4% 1.07× 1.45
1-3 goals 63.2% 63.3% 66.3% 0.95× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.8% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 52.8% 53.2% 50.7% 1.05× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.2% 48.4% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 43.5% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
1-2 goals 40.8% 43.6% 42.4% 1.03× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.7% 39.2% 39.0% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 30.4% 35.2% 26.8% 1.31× 2.84
4-5 goals 25.8% 30.2% 21.2% 1.42× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.1% 14.8% 12.0% 1.24× 6.75
7+ goals 2.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar never behind 44.1% 48.8% — — 2.05
Cobresal never behind 36.2% 44.1% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.3% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.7% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.8% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.2% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.5% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 92.5% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 83.0% 82.3% 85.9% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 76.8% 77.3% 72.2% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 66.7% 66.3% 71.0% 0.93× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 55.7% 58.6% 52.9% 1.11× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 44.3% 41.4% 47.1% 0.88× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 33.3% 33.7% 29.0% 1.16× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 23.2% 22.7% 27.8% 0.82× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 17.0% 17.7% 14.1% 1.25× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.9% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.7% 92.4% 91.4% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.7% 75.9% 83.4% 0.91× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.6% 72.3% 65.6% 1.10× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 57.1% 55.8% 61.9% 0.90× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 42.9% 44.2% 38.1% 1.16× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.4% 27.7% 34.4% 0.80× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.3% 24.1% 16.6% 1.45× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.3% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.61
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.8% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.4% 71.3% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.4% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.6% 31.4% — — 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.6% 28.7% — — 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.2% 10.9% — — 9.14
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.5% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.6% 79.5% — — 1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 50.2% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 49.8% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 20.5% — — 4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.5% 17.1% — — 5.86
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal not to score in both halves 76.3% 78.4% — — 1.28
Everton de Viña del Mar not to score in both halves 71.8% 73.8% — — 1.36
Everton de Viña del Mar to score in both halves 28.2% 26.2% — — 3.82
Cobresal to score in both halves 23.7% 21.6% — — 4.63
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 56.6% 58.6% 52.0% 1.13× 1.71
Only Everton de Viña del Mar scores 22.4% 22.2% 16.8% 1.32× 4.50
Only Cobresal scores 17.5% 16.0% 26.8% 0.60× 6.24
Neither team scores 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.58
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.1% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 19.7% 17.5% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 16.3% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.5% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 29.6% 28.7% — — 3.49
2 goals in 1st half 21.4% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 12.2% 10.8% — — 9.22
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 50.2% 51.0% — — 1.96
1 goal in 2nd half 32.3% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 17.5% 16.8% — — 5.96
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal not to win both halves 92.1% 94.1% — — 1.06
Everton de Viña del Mar not to win both halves 88.5% 88.0% — — 1.14
Everton de Viña del Mar to win both halves 11.5% 12.0% — — 8.33
Cobresal to win both halves 7.9% 5.9% — — 17.09
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar to win either half 57.7% 59.0% — — 1.69
Cobresal to win neither half 50.7% 54.3% — — 1.84
Cobresal to win either half 49.3% 45.7% — — 2.19
Everton de Viña del Mar to win neither half 42.3% 41.0% — — 2.44
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal not to win to nil 82.5% 83.1% 73.2% 1.14× 1.20
Everton de Viña del Mar not to win to nil 77.6% 78.1% 83.2% 0.94× 1.28
Everton de Viña del Mar to win to nil 22.4% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
Cobresal to win to nil 17.5% 16.9% 26.8% 0.63× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Everton de Viña del Mar by 1 23.1% 24.1% 20.0% 1.21× 4.15
Draw 20.7% 24.1% 21.2% 1.14× 4.15
Cobresal by 1 20.3% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Everton de Viña del Mar by 2 12.7% 11.8% 6.3% 1.85× 8.51
Cobresal by 2 9.5% 7.2% 12.9% 0.56× 13.90
Everton de Viña del Mar by 3+ 8.5% 7.2% 4.1% 1.73× 13.90
Cobresal by 3+ 5.2% 7.2% 10.5% 0.69× 13.92
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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