Colo Colo v La Serena — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Colo Colo

20:00 UTC

La Serena

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 801h before kick-off

Colo Colo win

78.6%

model 73.4%

Draw

10.7%

model 13.3%

La Serena win

10.7%

model 13.3%

791111

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.0%
2-0 8.7%
3-1 8.1%
3-0 7.8%
1-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	71.9%	Under 2.5	28.1%
BTTS yes	59.1%	BTTS no	40.9%
Colo Colo 1+	93.2%	Colo Colo 2+	74.9%
La Serena 1+	64.6%	La Serena 2+	27.8%

Expected goals 2.69 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Colo Colo (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

La Serena (0:4)

Handicap 0:4 · usually 95%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 64 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1692 Elo against 1463.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Colo Colo have an estimated 78.6% win probability, against 10.7% for La Serena and 10.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.69 for Colo Colo and 1.04 for La Serena.

Why Colo Colo

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1692 Elo against 1463. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.7%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why La Serena can win

Nothing in the data singles out La Serena.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Colo Colo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for La Serena, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Colo Colo: 59% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. La Serena: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Colo Colo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Colo Colo are the model's most likely outcome at 78.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	731313	2.69–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	761212	2.91–1.06	2-1 8%	76%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win	76.0%	78.1%	49.0%	1.59×	1.28
Draw	12.1%	13.4%	21.2%	0.63×	7.45
La Serena to win	11.8%	13.4%	30.0%	0.45×	7.45

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & both teams score	42.3%	40.1%	22.4%	1.79×	2.49
Colo Colo & not both score	33.7%	29.6%	26.8%	1.10×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
La Serena & both teams score	7.3%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.00
La Serena & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	16.8%	0.29×	20.49
Draw & not both score	0.9%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & over 1.5	69.6%	68.0%	36.1%	1.88×	1.47
Colo Colo & over 2.5	61.6%	54.6%	29.3%	1.87×	1.83
Colo Colo & over 3.5	45.3%	45.0%	15.1%	2.98×	2.22
Colo Colo & under 3.5	30.7%	30.7%	34.1%	0.90×	3.25
Colo Colo & under 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
La Serena & over 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	20.0%	0.40×	12.63
La Serena & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.63
La Serena & under 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	23.4%	0.34×	12.63
Colo Colo & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
La Serena & under 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	13.7%	0.35×	20.82
La Serena & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82
La Serena & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	0.9%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.84

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1UP)	85.6%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
La Serena (1UP)	31.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2UP)	76.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
La Serena (2UP)	11.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win 2nd half	62.5%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
La Serena to win 2nd half	14.3%	11.4%	—	—	8.79

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
La Serena under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
La Serena over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
La Serena over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (+0.5)	88.2%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
Colo Colo (-0.5)	76.0%	78.5%	49.0%	1.60×	1.27
La Serena (+2.5)	64.8%	63.0%	89.5%	0.70×	1.59
Colo Colo (-1.5)	55.4%	57.0%	23.2%	2.46×	1.75
La Serena (+1.5)	44.6%	43.0%	76.8%	0.56×	2.33
Colo Colo (-2.5)	35.2%	37.0%	10.5%	3.53×	2.70
La Serena (+0.5)	24.0%	21.5%	51.0%	0.42×	4.65
La Serena (-0.5)	11.8%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede	94.5%	91.8%	78.5%	1.17×	1.09
La Serena clean sheet	5.5%	8.2%	21.5%	0.38×	12.17

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede in 1st half	71.4%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
La Serena clean sheet in 1st half	28.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to concede in 2nd half	80.9%	80.4%	—	—	1.24
La Serena clean sheet in 2nd half	19.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 6.5 corners	92.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
La Serena under 5.5 corners	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
La Serena under 4.5 corners	74.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
La Serena over 2.5 corners	60.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
La Serena under 3.5 corners	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
La Serena over 3.5 corners	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
La Serena under 2.5 corners	39.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
La Serena over 4.5 corners	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
La Serena over 5.5 corners	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
La Serena over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
La Serena under 2.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
La Serena under 1.5 goals	71.3%	71.8%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
La Serena over 0.5 goals	65.4%	68.0%	68.5%	0.99×	1.47
La Serena under 0.5 goals	34.6%	32.0%	31.5%	1.02×	3.12
La Serena over 1.5 goals	28.7%	28.2%	31.5%	0.90×	3.55
La Serena over 2.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	11.7%	0.65×	13.05
La Serena over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
La Serena under 0.5 in 1st half	65.4%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
La Serena over 0.5 in 1st half	34.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
La Serena over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena scores equally in both	44.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
La Serena scores more in 2nd half	34.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
La Serena scores more in 1st half	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (away no bet)	86.2%	84.4%	69.8%	1.21×	1.19
Draw (away no bet)	13.8%	15.6%	30.2%	0.52×	6.41

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena even goals	56.0%	56.9%	53.7%	1.06×	1.76
La Serena odd goals	44.0%	43.1%	46.3%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	66.7%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Both halves over 1.5 goals	33.3%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.9%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	78.6%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Colo Colo to score 2+ in a row	71.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Either team to score 3+ in a row	45.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Colo Colo to score 3+ in a row	42.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
La Serena to score 2+ in a row	16.9%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
La Serena to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.95

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo corners (+3.5)	97.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Colo Colo corners (+2.5)	96.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Colo Colo corners (+1.5)	93.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo corners (-1.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Colo Colo corners (-2.5)	67.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Colo Colo corners (-3.5)	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
La Serena corners (+3.5)	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
La Serena corners (+2.5)	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
La Serena corners (+1.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
La Serena corners (-1.5)	6.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
La Serena corners (-2.5)	3.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.47
La Serena corners (-3.5)	2.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	43.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	71.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	65.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	28.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	17.2%	13.8%	3.4%	4.05×	7.23
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
1-0	6.5%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
3-0	7.8%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.51
3-1	8.2%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
4-0	5.6%	7.4%	2.4%	3.03×	13.51
4-1	6.0%	7.4%	1.7%	4.34×	13.51
1-1	4.8%	1.7%	9.3%	0.19×	58.29
0-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-1	3.0%	1.7%	10.2%	0.17×	58.30
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-2	3.1%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-2	4.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.29
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-2	3.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2nd half DNB)	81.3%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
La Serena (2nd half DNB)	18.7%	18.1%	—	—	5.54

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT (DNB)	81.9%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
La Serena leading at HT (DNB)	18.1%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw (1X)	88.2%	86.6%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
Colo Colo or La Serena (12)	87.9%	86.6%	78.8%	1.10×	1.16
La Serena or draw (X2)	24.0%	21.9%	51.0%	0.43×	4.56

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw at HT	87.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Colo Colo or La Serena at HT	70.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
La Serena or draw at HT	42.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw (1UP)	88.2%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
La Serena or draw (1UP)	31.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw in 2nd half	85.7%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Colo Colo or La Serena in 2nd half	76.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
La Serena or draw in 2nd half	37.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	52.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	47.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (DNB)	86.5%	87.1%	62.0%	1.40×	1.15
La Serena (DNB)	13.5%	12.9%	38.0%	0.34×	7.73

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score first	72.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
La Serena to score first	26.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	0.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.8%	56.6%	52.0%	1.09×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.2%	43.4%	48.0%	0.90×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.0%	47.4%	42.9%	1.10×	2.11
Not both score & over 2.5	19.7%	21.5%	10.2%	2.10×	4.64
Not both score & under 2.5	19.4%	21.5%	38.0%	0.57×	4.64
Both score & under 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	9.3%	0.51×	21.01

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.4%	79.7%	84.6%	0.94×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.6%	20.3%	15.4%	1.32×	4.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	9.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	72.6%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
A half without a goal	27.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	45.4%	47.2%	26.8%	1.76×	2.12
2-3 goals	33.6%	30.7%	43.4%	0.71×	3.25
7+ goals	10.6%	16.9%	2.4%	6.93×	5.91
0-1 goals	10.4%	16.9%	27.8%	0.61×	5.92

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
La Serena to score exactly 0	34.6%	33.8%	31.5%	1.08×	2.96
La Serena to score exactly 2	19.5%	19.5%	20.0%	0.98×	5.12
La Serena to score 3+	9.2%	8.6%	11.7%	0.73×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score 3+	55.6%	44.6%	21.0%	2.12×	2.24
Colo Colo to score exactly 2	23.1%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.29
Colo Colo to score exactly 1	15.9%	18.8%	31.7%	0.59×	5.32
Colo Colo to score exactly 0	5.5%	10.3%	21.5%	0.48×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT	57.6%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Draw at HT	29.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
La Serena leading at HT	12.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.52

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo -1: 1	55.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Colo Colo -1: 2	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Colo Colo -1: X	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:1)	55.4%	55.8%	23.2%	2.41×	1.79
La Serena (0:1)	24.0%	24.2%	51.0%	0.48×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:2)	44.6%	39.1%	76.8%	0.51×	2.56
Colo Colo (0:2)	35.2%	38.0%	10.5%	3.62×	2.63
Draw (0:2)	20.2%	20.2%	12.9%	1.56×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:3)	64.8%	66.4%	89.5%	0.74×	1.51
Colo Colo (0:3)	19.3%	16.3%	5.4%	3.04×	6.12
Draw (0:3)	16.0%	16.2%	5.4%	3.02×	6.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena (0:4)	80.7%	86.7%	94.6%	0.92×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	10.2%	9.8%	4.1%	2.35×	10.26
Colo Colo (0:4)	9.1%	4.7%	1.5%	3.19×	21.39

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1:0)	88.2%	86.2%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.1%	6.9%	20.0%	0.35×	14.49
La Serena (1:0)	3.7%	3.3%	10.2%	0.32×	30.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2:0)	96.3%	96.8%	89.8%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.76
La Serena (2:0)	1.0%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.86

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.6%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	18.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.42

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to concede	65.4%	66.6%	68.5%	0.97×	1.50
Colo Colo clean sheet	34.6%	33.4%	31.5%	1.06×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet in 1st half	65.4%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Colo Colo to concede in 1st half	34.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet in 2nd half	52.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Colo Colo to concede in 2nd half	47.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 2.5 corners	95.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo over 3.5 corners	89.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Colo Colo over 4.5 corners	81.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Colo Colo over 5.5 corners	71.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Colo Colo over 6.5 corners	60.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Colo Colo under 6.5 corners	39.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Colo Colo under 5.5 corners	28.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Colo Colo under 4.5 corners	18.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Colo Colo under 3.5 corners	10.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Colo Colo under 2.5 corners	5.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.2%	78.5%	1.17×	1.08
Colo Colo over 1.5 goals	78.7%	77.8%	47.1%	1.65×	1.29
Colo Colo under 3.5 goals	66.8%	67.9%	91.0%	0.75×	1.47
Colo Colo over 2.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	21.0%	2.80×	1.71
Colo Colo under 2.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	79.0%	0.52×	2.42
Colo Colo over 3.5 goals	33.2%	32.1%	9.0%	3.55×	3.12
Colo Colo under 1.5 goals	21.3%	22.2%	52.9%	0.42×	4.50
Colo Colo under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.8%	21.5%	0.36×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 1st half	71.4%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 1st half	64.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 1st half	35.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.81
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 1st half	28.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo scores more in 2nd half	46.9%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Colo Colo scores more in 1st half	28.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Colo Colo scores equally in both	24.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.7%	51.4%	41.4%	1.24×	1.95
La Serena (home no bet)	49.3%	48.6%	58.6%	0.83×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo even goals	50.2%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Colo Colo odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 2-0	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Any other HT score	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-1	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-1	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.33

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo at HT / Colo Colo at FT	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Draw at HT / Colo Colo at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
La Serena at HT / La Serena at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Draw at HT / La Serena at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
La Serena at HT / Colo Colo at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Colo Colo at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
La Serena at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Colo Colo at HT / La Serena at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score last	72.4%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
La Serena to score last	26.7%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	0.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Colo Colo to lead by 1 at any time	85.6%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	70.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Colo Colo to lead by 2 at any time	62.9%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Colo Colo to lead by 3 at any time	39.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
La Serena to lead by 1 at any time	31.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
La Serena to lead by 2 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
La Serena to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo most corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
La Serena most corners	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Corners level	5.8%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.7%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
1-5 goals	78.2%	78.7%	87.3%	0.90×	1.27
2-5 goals	68.7%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.1%	68.8%	50.7%	1.36×	1.45
1-4 goals	62.6%	63.3%	81.2%	0.78×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	45.1%	1.18×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.2%	53.2%	58.3%	0.91×	1.88
4-6 goals	45.4%	48.4%	26.8%	1.81×	2.06
1-3 goals	43.1%	43.6%	66.3%	0.66×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.1%	39.2%	21.2%	1.85×	2.55
2-3 goals	33.6%	35.2%	43.4%	0.81×	2.84
5-6 goals	25.8%	30.2%	12.0%	2.53×	3.31
1-2 goals	23.4%	24.5%	42.4%	0.58×	4.09
7+ goals	10.6%	14.8%	2.4%	6.07×	6.76

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo never behind	67.5%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
La Serena never behind	13.5%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	48.1%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.9%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd goals in 2nd half	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Even goals in 2nd half	49.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.1%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.6%	87.6%	72.2%	1.21×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	79.1%	77.3%	92.0%	0.84×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	75.7%	77.3%	52.9%	1.46×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	63.6%	61.7%	85.9%	0.72×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	56.0%	58.6%	29.0%	2.02×	1.71
Under 3.5 goals	44.0%	41.4%	71.0%	0.58×	2.42
Over 4.5 goals	36.4%	38.3%	14.1%	2.71×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	24.3%	22.7%	47.1%	0.48×	4.40
Over 5.5 goals	20.9%	22.7%	8.0%	2.82×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	10.4%	12.4%	27.8%	0.45×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	0.9%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	88.2%	86.7%	97.4%	0.89×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.0%	86.7%	65.6%	1.32×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	75.3%	75.9%	91.4%	0.83×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.8%	67.5%	38.1%	1.77×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	54.7%	51.9%	83.4%	0.62×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	45.3%	48.1%	16.6%	2.89×	2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.2%	32.5%	61.9%	0.53×	3.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	24.7%	24.1%	8.6%	2.82×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.0%	13.3%	34.4%	0.39×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	11.8%	13.3%	2.6%	5.13×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	76.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	50.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 1st half	49.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Over 2.5 in 1st half	23.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.97

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.3%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	66.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	59.8%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	33.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	9.7%	10.1%	—	—	9.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to score in both halves	83.7%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Colo Colo to score in both halves	57.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Colo Colo not to score in both halves	42.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
La Serena to score in both halves	16.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.8%	60.2%	52.0%	1.16×	1.66
Only Colo Colo scores	33.7%	33.3%	26.8%	1.24×	3.00
Only La Serena scores	4.5%	4.6%	16.8%	0.28×	21.54
Neither team scores	0.9%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	20.9%	22.6%	8.0%	2.80×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.7%	17.5%	24.1%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	19.6%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.5%	17.5%	6.3%	2.75×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	13.9%	12.1%	19.5%	0.62×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.5%	7.6%	23.2%	0.33×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	0.9%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	31.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	26.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
3+ goals in 1st half	23.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	18.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	66.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
1 goal in 2nd half	23.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.36
No goals in 2nd half	9.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.71

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to win both halves	98.2%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Colo Colo not to win both halves	64.4%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Colo Colo to win both halves	35.6%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
La Serena to win both halves	1.8%	2.7%	—	—	36.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win either half	84.4%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
La Serena to win neither half	74.7%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
La Serena to win either half	25.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Colo Colo to win neither half	15.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.21

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
La Serena not to win to nil	95.5%	96.1%	83.2%	1.16×	1.04
Colo Colo not to win to nil	66.3%	69.7%	73.2%	0.95×	1.44
Colo Colo to win to nil	33.7%	30.3%	26.8%	1.13×	3.30
La Serena to win to nil	4.5%	3.9%	16.8%	0.23×	25.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo by 3+	35.2%	34.6%	10.5%	3.30×	2.89
Colo Colo by 1	20.6%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Colo Colo by 2	20.2%	24.1%	12.9%	1.86×	4.15
Draw	12.1%	11.8%	21.2%	0.55×	8.51
La Serena by 1	8.1%	7.2%	20.0%	0.36×	13.91
La Serena by 2	2.7%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.89
La Serena by 3+	1.0%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.94