Colo Colo v Universidad Católica — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Colo Colo

20:00 UTC

Universidad Católica

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 633h before kick-off

Colo Colo win

60.5%

model 61.8%

Draw

17.9%

model 16.8%

Universidad Católica win

21.6%

model 21.4%

601822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
1-0 8.4%
2-0 7.8%
3-1 7.2%
1-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.6%	Under 2.5	32.4%
BTTS yes	61.9%	BTTS no	38.1%
Colo Colo 1+	89.5%	Colo Colo 2+	65.7%
Universidad Católica 1+	70.8%	Universidad Católica 2+	34.9%

Expected goals 2.25 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Colo Colo over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 47%

69.0% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1692 Elo against 1621.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Colo Colo have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for Universidad Católica and 17.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.25 for Colo Colo and 1.23 for Universidad Católica.

Why Colo Colo

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1692 Elo against 1621. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.9%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad Católica can win

Nothing in the data singles out Universidad Católica.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Colo Colo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad Católica, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Colo Colo: 59% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad Católica: 47% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Colo Colo are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	621721	2.25–1.23	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	611622	2.44–1.41	2-1 9%	74%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win	61.4%	58.2%	49.0%	1.19×	1.72
Universidad Católica to win	22.3%	24.5%	30.0%	0.82×	4.09
Draw	16.3%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & both teams score	37.8%	33.3%	22.4%	1.49×	3.00
Colo Colo & not both score	23.6%	21.8%	26.8%	0.81×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	15.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Universidad Católica & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Universidad Católica & not both score	7.9%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	12.00
Draw & not both score	0.9%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & over 1.5	54.9%	48.9%	36.1%	1.35×	2.05
Colo Colo & over 2.5	48.5%	45.1%	29.3%	1.54×	2.22
Colo Colo & over 3.5	34.4%	30.8%	15.1%	2.03×	3.25
Colo Colo & under 3.5	27.0%	26.1%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
Universidad Católica & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Universidad Católica & over 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Colo Colo & under 2.5	12.9%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Universidad Católica & under 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Universidad Católica & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Colo Colo & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Universidad Católica & under 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Universidad Católica & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	0.9%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.84

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1UP)	76.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Universidad Católica (1UP)	44.3%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2UP)	61.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Universidad Católica (2UP)	22.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win 2nd half	50.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
2nd half drawn	26.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Universidad Católica to win 2nd half	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.0%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (+2.5)	78.5%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.27
Colo Colo (+0.5)	77.7%	78.5%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
Colo Colo (-0.5)	61.4%	62.9%	49.0%	1.28×	1.59
Universidad Católica (+1.5)	60.9%	62.9%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
Colo Colo (-1.5)	39.1%	37.1%	23.2%	1.60×	2.70
Universidad Católica (+0.5)	38.6%	37.1%	51.0%	0.73×	2.70
Universidad Católica (-0.5)	22.3%	21.5%	30.0%	0.72×	4.65
Colo Colo (-2.5)	21.5%	21.5%	10.5%	2.05×	4.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede	91.2%	91.6%	78.5%	1.17×	1.09
Universidad Católica clean sheet	8.8%	8.4%	21.5%	0.39×	11.94

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede in 1st half	64.9%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 1st half	35.1%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede in 2nd half	75.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 2nd half	25.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 6.5 corners	87.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Universidad Católica under 5.5 corners	78.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Universidad Católica over 2.5 corners	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad Católica under 4.5 corners	65.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad Católica over 3.5 corners	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Universidad Católica under 3.5 corners	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Universidad Católica over 4.5 corners	34.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad Católica under 2.5 corners	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad Católica over 5.5 corners	21.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Universidad Católica over 6.5 corners	12.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.4%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Universidad Católica under 2.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	88.3%	0.92×	1.23
Universidad Católica over 0.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	68.5%	1.11×	1.31
Universidad Católica under 1.5 goals	59.0%	59.4%	68.5%	0.87×	1.68
Universidad Católica over 1.5 goals	41.0%	40.6%	31.5%	1.29×	2.47
Universidad Católica under 0.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	31.5%	0.76×	4.21
Universidad Católica over 2.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	11.7%	1.58×	5.41
Universidad Católica over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	2.9%	2.61×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica scores more in 2nd half	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Universidad Católica scores equally in both	37.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Universidad Católica scores more in 1st half	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (away no bet)	79.0%	73.6%	69.8%	1.05×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.0%	26.4%	30.2%	0.88×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica even goals	53.0%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Universidad Católica odd goals	47.0%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	68.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.2%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	74.3%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Colo Colo to score 2+ in a row	59.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	36.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Colo Colo to score 3+ in a row	29.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Universidad Católica to score 2+ in a row	27.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Universidad Católica to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.19

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo corners (+3.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo corners (+2.5)	90.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo corners (+1.5)	84.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Universidad Católica corners (+3.5)	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Colo Colo corners (-1.5)	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad Católica corners (+2.5)	53.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Colo Colo corners (-2.5)	47.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Universidad Católica corners (+1.5)	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Colo Colo corners (-3.5)	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Universidad Católica corners (-1.5)	15.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Universidad Católica corners (-2.5)	9.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Universidad Católica corners (-3.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	11.3%	11.5%	3.4%	3.36×	8.72
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
1-0	6.5%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
3-1	7.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
1-1	6.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.51
3-2	5.1%	7.4%	2.0%	3.79×	13.51
0-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-1	4.3%	1.7%	10.2%	0.17×	58.30
0-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
4-1	4.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.29
4-2	3.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2nd half DNB)	68.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Universidad Católica (2nd half DNB)	31.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT (DNB)	70.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Universidad Católica leading at HT (DNB)	29.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or Universidad Católica (12)	83.7%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Colo Colo or draw (1X)	77.7%	75.5%	70.0%	1.08×	1.32
Universidad Católica or draw (X2)	38.6%	41.8%	51.0%	0.82×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw at HT	80.3%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Colo Colo or Universidad Católica at HT	66.8%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Universidad Católica or draw at HT	52.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw (1UP)	77.7%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Universidad Católica or draw (1UP)	44.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw in 2nd half	76.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Colo Colo or Universidad Católica in 2nd half	73.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Universidad Católica or draw in 2nd half	49.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.5%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	47.5%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (DNB)	73.3%	71.4%	62.0%	1.15×	1.40
Universidad Católica (DNB)	26.7%	28.6%	38.0%	0.75×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score first	62.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Universidad Católica to score first	36.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	0.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	67.6%	58.4%	52.0%	1.12×	1.71
Not both teams to score	32.4%	41.6%	48.0%	0.87×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	61.5%	50.4%	42.9%	1.17×	1.98
Not both score & under 2.5	20.1%	27.8%	38.0%	0.73×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	10.2%	1.21×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	71.4%	80.4%	84.6%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	28.6%	19.6%	15.4%	1.28×	5.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	57.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	42.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	41.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	30.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Both score 1st half only	15.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score in both halves	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	27.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
A half without a goal	29.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.0%	42.2%	26.8%	1.57×	2.37
2-3 goals	34.9%	30.8%	43.4%	0.71×	3.25
0-1 goals	11.6%	16.9%	27.8%	0.61×	5.91
7+ goals	9.4%	7.7%	2.4%	3.14×	13.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Universidad Católica to score exactly 0	24.5%	22.3%	31.5%	0.71×	4.49
Universidad Católica to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Universidad Católica to score 3+	16.8%	19.5%	11.7%	1.67×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score 3+	43.9%	35.2%	21.0%	1.68×	2.84
Colo Colo to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Colo Colo to score exactly 1	21.3%	23.3%	31.7%	0.73×	4.30
Colo Colo to score exactly 0	8.8%	10.4%	21.5%	0.48×	9.65

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT	47.1%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	33.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Universidad Católica leading at HT	19.7%	16.1%	—	—	6.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo -1: 1	39.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Colo Colo -1: 2	38.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Colo Colo -1: X	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:1)	39.1%	37.4%	23.2%	1.61×	2.68
Universidad Católica (0:1)	38.6%	37.4%	51.0%	0.73×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:2)	60.9%	67.0%	76.8%	0.87×	1.49
Colo Colo (0:2)	21.5%	20.3%	10.5%	1.93×	4.94
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	12.9%	1.18×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:3)	78.5%	80.7%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.4%	9.9%	5.4%	1.84×	10.13
Colo Colo (0:3)	10.1%	9.8%	5.4%	1.83×	10.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:4)	89.9%	92.1%	94.6%	0.97×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.0%	4.6%	4.1%	1.11×	21.65
Colo Colo (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.84×	81.52

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1:0)	77.7%	78.6%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.4%	12.7%	20.0%	0.64×	7.87
Universidad Católica (1:0)	8.9%	6.9%	10.2%	0.67×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2:0)	91.1%	94.0%	89.8%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	6.3%	1.01×	15.68
Universidad Católica (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	18.4%	18.4%	—	—	5.42

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to concede	75.5%	76.0%	68.5%	1.11×	1.32
Colo Colo clean sheet	24.5%	24.0%	31.5%	0.76×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Colo Colo to concede in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to concede in 2nd half	57.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Colo Colo clean sheet in 2nd half	43.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Colo Colo over 3.5 corners	79.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Colo Colo over 4.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Colo Colo under 6.5 corners	58.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Colo Colo over 5.5 corners	54.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Colo Colo under 5.5 corners	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Colo Colo over 6.5 corners	41.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Colo Colo under 4.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Colo Colo under 3.5 corners	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Colo Colo under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	78.5%	1.17×	1.09
Colo Colo under 3.5 goals	77.2%	77.8%	91.0%	0.85×	1.29
Colo Colo over 1.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	47.1%	1.44×	1.47
Colo Colo under 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	79.0%	0.74×	1.71
Colo Colo over 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	21.0%	1.97×	2.42
Colo Colo under 1.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	52.9%	0.61×	3.12
Colo Colo over 3.5 goals	22.8%	22.2%	9.0%	2.46×	4.50
Colo Colo under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	21.5%	0.36×	12.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 1st half	71.9%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 1st half	28.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo scores more in 2nd half	44.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Colo Colo scores more in 1st half	28.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Colo Colo scores equally in both	27.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (home no bet)	57.8%	56.4%	58.6%	0.96×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.2%	43.6%	41.4%	1.05×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo even goals	50.4%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Colo Colo odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
Any other HT score	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-1	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo at HT / Colo Colo at FT	40.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Draw at HT / Colo Colo at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Colo Colo at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Universidad Católica at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Universidad Católica at HT / Colo Colo at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Colo Colo at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score last	62.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Universidad Católica to score last	36.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	0.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Colo Colo to lead by 1 at any time	76.2%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Colo Colo to lead by 2 at any time	48.4%	44.4%	—	—	2.26
Universidad Católica to lead by 1 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Colo Colo to lead by 3 at any time	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Universidad Católica to lead by 2 at any time	16.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Universidad Católica to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo most corners	67.9%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Universidad Católica most corners	23.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.2%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.1%	83.4%	87.3%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.7%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.4%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-4 goals	65.1%	68.8%	81.2%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	64.3%	63.3%	50.7%	1.25×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	45.1%	1.18×	1.88
2-4 goals	54.4%	53.2%	58.3%	0.91×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.7%	48.4%	66.3%	0.73×	2.06
4-6 goals	44.0%	43.6%	26.8%	1.63×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
2-3 goals	34.9%	35.2%	43.4%	0.81×	2.84
4-5 goals	34.5%	35.2%	21.2%	1.66×	2.84
1-2 goals	25.4%	30.2%	42.4%	0.71×	3.31
5-6 goals	24.5%	24.5%	12.0%	2.05×	4.09
7+ goals	9.4%	8.9%	2.4%	3.65×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo never behind	54.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Universidad Católica never behind	22.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Even goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.1%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.4%	87.6%	72.2%	1.21×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	81.0%	82.3%	92.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	73.7%	72.5%	52.9%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.1%	66.3%	85.9%	0.77×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	29.0%	1.81×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	71.0%	0.67×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	33.9%	33.7%	14.1%	2.38×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	26.3%	27.5%	47.1%	0.58×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	19.0%	17.7%	8.0%	2.20×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	11.6%	12.4%	27.8%	0.45×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	0.9%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.6%	86.8%	97.4%	0.89×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.4%	86.7%	65.6%	1.32×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.7%	75.9%	91.4%	0.83×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.0%	67.5%	38.1%	1.77×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	57.8%	55.8%	83.4%	0.67×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	42.2%	44.2%	16.6%	2.66×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.0%	32.5%	61.9%	0.53×	3.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.3%	24.1%	8.6%	2.81×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.6%	13.3%	34.4%	0.39×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.4%	13.2%	2.6%	5.13×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.1%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 1st half	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.9%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.7%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.3%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Colo Colo not to score in both halves	51.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Colo Colo to score in both halves	48.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Universidad Católica to score in both halves	24.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	67.6%	59.8%	52.0%	1.15×	1.67
Only Colo Colo scores	23.6%	22.3%	26.8%	0.83×	4.49
Only Universidad Católica scores	7.9%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	14.00
Neither team scores	0.9%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	22.6%	24.1%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
6 or more goals	19.0%	17.5%	8.0%	2.17×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.0%	12.1%	6.3%	1.91×	8.25
Exactly 2 goals	14.6%	12.1%	19.5%	0.62×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.7%	12.1%	23.2%	0.52×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	0.9%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
3+ goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
No goals in 1st half	19.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
1 goal in 2nd half	24.8%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
No goals in 2nd half	10.3%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica not to win both halves	95.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Colo Colo not to win both halves	76.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Colo Colo to win both halves	23.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Universidad Católica to win both halves	4.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.41

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win either half	73.9%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Universidad Católica to win neither half	61.5%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Universidad Católica to win either half	38.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Colo Colo to win neither half	26.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica not to win to nil	92.1%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Colo Colo not to win to nil	76.4%	78.1%	73.2%	1.07×	1.28
Colo Colo to win to nil	23.6%	21.9%	26.8%	0.82×	4.57
Universidad Católica to win to nil	7.9%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo by 1	22.3%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Colo Colo by 3+	21.5%	24.1%	10.5%	2.30×	4.15
Colo Colo by 2	17.6%	17.0%	12.9%	1.32×	5.87
Draw	16.3%	17.0%	21.2%	0.80×	5.87
Universidad Católica by 1	13.4%	11.8%	20.0%	0.59×	8.50
Universidad Católica by 2	5.9%	7.2%	6.3%	1.13×	13.92
Universidad Católica by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.88