Colo Colo v Universidad de Concepción — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Colo Colo

20:00 UTC

Universidad de Concepción

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Colo Colo win

82.2%

model 80.9%

Draw

10.6%

model 11.0%

Universidad de Concepción win

7.2%

model 8.0%

82117

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (26 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.2%
3-0 11.0%
1-0 10.0%
2-1 8.4%
3-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.3%	Under 2.5	33.7%
BTTS yes	45.8%	BTTS no	54.2%
Colo Colo 1+	93.4%	Colo Colo 2+	75.5%
Universidad de Concepción 1+	50.1%	Universidad de Concepción 2+	15.4%

Expected goals 2.72 – 0.70. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Colo Colo (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1692 Elo against 1417.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Colo Colo have an estimated 82.2% win probability, against 10.6% for the draw and 7.2% for Universidad de Concepción. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.72 for Colo Colo and 0.69 for Universidad de Concepción.

Why Colo Colo

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1692 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.6%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad de Concepción can win

Nothing in the data singles out Universidad de Concepción.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Colo Colo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad de Concepción, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Colo Colo: 59% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad de Concepción: 47% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Colo Colo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Colo Colo are the model's most likely outcome at 82.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.2%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	81118	2.72–0.70	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	84106	2.87–0.63	2-0 12%	68%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win	83.8%	81.8%	49.0%	1.67×	1.22
Draw	9.7%	8.2%	21.2%	0.39×	12.14
Universidad de Concepción to win	6.5%	8.1%	30.0%	0.27×	12.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & not both score	51.0%	48.1%	26.8%	1.79×	2.08
Colo Colo & both teams score	32.9%	29.6%	22.4%	1.32×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	7.6%	8.3%	16.6%	0.50×	12.00
Universidad de Concepción & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	16.8%	0.29×	20.51
Universidad de Concepción & both teams score	2.9%	4.9%	13.4%	0.36×	20.53
Draw & not both score	2.1%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & over 1.5	74.3%	67.8%	36.1%	1.88×	1.47
Colo Colo & over 2.5	61.9%	54.7%	29.3%	1.87×	1.83
Colo Colo & over 3.5	42.2%	40.3%	15.1%	2.66×	2.48
Colo Colo & under 3.5	41.7%	40.3%	34.1%	1.18×	2.48
Colo Colo & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
Colo Colo & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Universidad de Concepción & under 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	23.4%	0.34×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.1%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82
Universidad de Concepción & over 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	20.0%	0.24×	20.82
Universidad de Concepción & over 2.5	3.0%	4.8%	16.6%	0.29×	20.82
Universidad de Concepción & under 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	13.7%	0.35×	20.82
Universidad de Concepción & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	2.1%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.83
Universidad de Concepción & over 3.5	1.2%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1UP)	89.3%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Universidad de Concepción (1UP)	20.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2UP)	83.8%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Universidad de Concepción (2UP)	6.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.52

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win 2nd half	69.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
2nd half drawn	22.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Universidad de Concepción to win 2nd half	8.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.4%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.6%	8.0%	—	—	12.49

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (+0.5)	93.5%	92.1%	70.0%	1.32×	1.09
Colo Colo (-0.5)	83.8%	82.6%	49.0%	1.68×	1.21
Colo Colo (-1.5)	63.7%	63.0%	23.2%	2.72×	1.59
Universidad de Concepción (+2.5)	58.2%	57.1%	89.5%	0.64×	1.75
Colo Colo (-2.5)	41.8%	42.9%	10.5%	4.09×	2.33
Universidad de Concepción (+1.5)	36.3%	37.0%	76.8%	0.48×	2.70
Universidad de Concepción (+0.5)	16.2%	17.4%	51.0%	0.34×	5.74
Universidad de Concepción (-0.5)	6.5%	7.9%	30.0%	0.26×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede	94.3%	91.8%	78.5%	1.17×	1.09
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet	5.7%	8.2%	21.5%	0.38×	12.16

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede in 1st half	70.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 1st half	29.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.07

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede in 2nd half	80.5%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 2nd half	19.5%	19.8%	—	—	5.06

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 6.5 corners	88.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Universidad de Concepción under 5.5 corners	80.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Universidad de Concepción under 4.5 corners	67.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad de Concepción over 4.5 corners	32.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad de Concepción over 5.5 corners	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Universidad de Concepción over 6.5 corners	11.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	88.3%	1.10×	1.03
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 goals	86.7%	87.8%	68.5%	1.28×	1.14
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 goals	53.0%	53.5%	31.5%	1.70×	1.87
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 goals	47.0%	46.5%	68.5%	0.68×	2.15
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.2%	31.5%	0.39×	8.20
Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	11.7%	0.21×	39.83
Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 1st half	97.3%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 1st half	77.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 1st half	22.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 1st half	2.7%	3.8%	—	—	26.52

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción scores equally in both	58.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Universidad de Concepción scores more in 2nd half	25.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Universidad de Concepción scores more in 1st half	16.0%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (away no bet)	89.6%	85.0%	69.8%	1.22×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	10.4%	15.0%	30.2%	0.50×	6.67

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción even goals	64.1%	59.2%	53.7%	1.10×	1.69
Universidad de Concepción odd goals	35.9%	40.9%	46.3%	0.88×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.8%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.2%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.0%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	76.6%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Colo Colo to score 2+ in a row	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row	47.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Colo Colo to score 3+ in a row	46.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Universidad de Concepción to score 2+ in a row	7.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.20
Universidad de Concepción to score 3+ in a row	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.43

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo corners (+3.5)	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Colo Colo corners (+2.5)	94.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo corners (+1.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo corners (-1.5)	70.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Colo Colo corners (-2.5)	61.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Colo Colo corners (-3.5)	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Universidad de Concepción corners (+3.5)	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Universidad de Concepción corners (+2.5)	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Universidad de Concepción corners (+1.5)	29.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Universidad de Concepción corners (-1.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Universidad de Concepción corners (-2.5)	5.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Universidad de Concepción corners (-3.5)	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.48

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	45.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	81.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	63.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	54.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	36.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	16.3%	13.8%	3.4%	4.05×	7.24
2-0	12.4%	11.5%	7.1%	1.62×	8.71
3-0	11.9%	11.5%	3.9%	2.94×	8.71
1-0	9.5%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
4-0	8.5%	7.4%	2.4%	3.04×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
4-1	5.4%	7.4%	1.7%	4.33×	13.51
0-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.31
0-1	2.8%	1.7%	10.2%	0.17×	58.30
0-2	0.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.32
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-1	4.5%	1.7%	9.3%	0.19×	58.29
1-2	1.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.31
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	2.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.31
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2nd half DNB)	89.1%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Universidad de Concepción (2nd half DNB)	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.85

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT (DNB)	89.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Universidad de Concepción leading at HT (DNB)	11.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw (1X)	93.5%	91.9%	70.0%	1.31×	1.09
Colo Colo or Universidad de Concepción (12)	90.3%	91.8%	78.8%	1.16×	1.09
Universidad de Concepción or draw (X2)	16.2%	18.2%	51.0%	0.36×	5.48

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw at HT	92.3%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Colo Colo or Universidad de Concepción at HT	70.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Universidad de Concepción or draw at HT	37.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw (1UP)	93.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Universidad de Concepción or draw (1UP)	20.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw in 2nd half	91.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Colo Colo or Universidad de Concepción in 2nd half	77.6%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Universidad de Concepción or draw in 2nd half	30.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	53.3%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	46.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (DNB)	92.8%	93.3%	62.0%	1.50×	1.07
Universidad de Concepción (DNB)	7.2%	6.7%	38.0%	0.18×	15.00

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score first	80.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Universidad de Concepción to score first	17.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
No goal scored	2.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.6%	55.0%	48.0%	1.14×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.4%	45.0%	52.0%	0.87×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	38.8%	38.5%	42.9%	0.90×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	29.2%	33.3%	10.2%	3.25×	3.00
Not both score & under 2.5	27.4%	33.3%	38.0%	0.88×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	4.5%	4.7%	9.3%	0.51×	21.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.6%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.4%	14.4%	15.4%	0.93×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.3%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.7%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.7%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
A half without a goal	33.3%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.0%	35.1%	26.8%	1.31×	2.85
2-3 goals	39.1%	35.1%	43.4%	0.81×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.5%	17.0%	27.8%	0.61×	5.90
7+ goals	6.4%	7.6%	2.4%	3.12×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 0	53.0%	47.2%	31.5%	1.50×	2.12
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 1	33.6%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 2	10.7%	12.9%	20.0%	0.64×	7.77
Universidad de Concepción to score 3+	2.7%	4.6%	11.7%	0.39×	21.89

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score 3+	54.7%	43.4%	21.0%	2.07×	2.31
Colo Colo to score exactly 2	23.4%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.29
Colo Colo to score exactly 1	16.3%	18.8%	31.7%	0.59×	5.32
Colo Colo to score exactly 0	5.7%	10.3%	21.5%	0.48×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT	62.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Draw at HT	29.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
Universidad de Concepción leading at HT	7.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo -1: 1	63.7%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Colo Colo -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Colo Colo -1: 2	16.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:1)	63.7%	61.5%	23.2%	2.65×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Universidad de Concepción (0:1)	16.2%	17.8%	51.0%	0.35×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:2)	41.8%	38.7%	10.5%	3.69×	2.58
Universidad de Concepción (0:2)	36.3%	38.2%	76.8%	0.50×	2.62
Draw (0:2)	21.9%	20.3%	12.9%	1.57×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (0:3)	58.2%	69.9%	89.5%	0.78×	1.43
Colo Colo (0:3)	23.4%	19.9%	5.4%	3.70×	5.04
Draw (0:3)	18.4%	16.3%	5.4%	3.04×	6.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (0:4)	76.6%	80.7%	94.6%	0.85×	1.24
Draw (0:4)	12.2%	9.9%	4.1%	2.39×	10.08
Colo Colo (0:4)	11.3%	9.8%	1.5%	6.73×	10.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1:0)	93.5%	92.7%	70.0%	1.32×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.2%	6.9%	20.0%	0.34×	14.53
Universidad de Concepción (1:0)	1.3%	3.2%	10.2%	0.32×	30.92

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2:0)	98.7%	96.8%	89.8%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.86
Universidad de Concepción (2:0)	0.2%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.91

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	29.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet	53.0%	53.2%	31.5%	1.69×	1.88
Colo Colo to concede	47.0%	46.8%	68.5%	0.68×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet in 1st half	77.6%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Colo Colo to concede in 1st half	22.4%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet in 2nd half	68.4%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Colo Colo to concede in 2nd half	31.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 2.5 corners	94.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Colo Colo over 3.5 corners	88.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Colo Colo over 4.5 corners	79.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Colo Colo over 5.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Colo Colo over 6.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Colo Colo under 6.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Colo Colo under 5.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Colo Colo under 4.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Colo Colo under 3.5 corners	11.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Colo Colo under 2.5 corners	5.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 goals	94.3%	92.2%	78.5%	1.17×	1.08
Colo Colo over 1.5 goals	78.1%	77.8%	47.1%	1.65×	1.29
Colo Colo under 3.5 goals	67.7%	67.9%	91.0%	0.75×	1.47
Colo Colo over 2.5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	21.0%	2.54×	1.88
Colo Colo under 2.5 goals	45.3%	46.8%	79.0%	0.59×	2.14
Colo Colo over 3.5 goals	32.3%	32.1%	9.0%	3.55×	3.12
Colo Colo under 1.5 goals	21.9%	22.2%	52.9%	0.42×	4.50
Colo Colo under 0.5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	21.5%	0.36×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 1st half	65.0%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 1st half	35.0%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo scores more in 2nd half	46.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Colo Colo scores more in 1st half	28.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Colo Colo scores equally in both	24.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.0%	56.4%	41.4%	1.36×	1.77
Universidad de Concepción (home no bet)	40.0%	43.6%	58.6%	0.74×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo even goals	50.2%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Colo Colo odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 0-0	22.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 2-0	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
Any other HT score	13.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 0-1	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 0-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo at HT / Colo Colo at FT	59.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Draw at HT / Colo Colo at FT	21.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Draw at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Colo Colo at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Colo Colo at HT / Draw at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Draw at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Colo Colo at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	0.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.02

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score last	79.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Universidad de Concepción to score last	18.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.14
No goal scored	2.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Colo Colo to lead by 1 at any time	89.3%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	71.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Colo Colo to lead by 2 at any time	68.4%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	45.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Colo Colo to lead by 3 at any time	44.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 1 at any time	20.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 2 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.02
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 3 at any time	0.5%	1.5%	—	—	64.83

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo most corners	78.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Universidad de Concepción most corners	14.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	6.7%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.7%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.1%	78.7%	70.0%	1.12×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.4%	72.3%	81.2%	0.89×	1.38
3-6 goals	61.6%	63.3%	50.7%	1.25×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.1%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.2%	45.1%	1.18×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.5%	53.1%	66.3%	0.80×	1.88
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	40.0%	39.2%	26.8%	1.46×	2.55
2-3 goals	39.1%	39.2%	43.4%	0.90×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.2%	35.2%	21.2%	1.66×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.9%	30.2%	42.4%	0.71×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.1%	24.4%	12.0%	2.05×	4.09
7+ goals	6.4%	8.9%	2.4%	3.64×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo never behind	77.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Universidad de Concepción never behind	8.7%	4.7%	—	—	21.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	48.2%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.8%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.9%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	85.8%	87.6%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	72.2%	1.21×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.5%	72.5%	85.9%	0.84×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.0%	66.3%	52.9%	1.25×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.6%	52.5%	71.0%	0.74×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.4%	47.5%	29.0%	1.64×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.0%	33.7%	47.1%	0.72×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.5%	27.5%	14.1%	1.95×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.5%	12.4%	27.8%	0.45×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	14.2%	12.4%	8.0%	1.54×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	2.1%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.0%	92.4%	97.4%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.6%	81.1%	91.4%	0.89×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.5%	81.1%	65.6%	1.24×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.1%	67.5%	83.4%	0.81×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.2%	55.8%	38.1%	1.46×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.8%	44.2%	61.9%	0.71×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.9%	32.5%	16.6%	1.96×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.5%	18.9%	34.4%	0.55×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.4%	18.9%	8.6%	2.20×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.0%	7.6%	2.6%	2.93×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.6%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.7%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.4%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.5%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to score in both halves	92.9%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Colo Colo to score in both halves	57.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Colo Colo not to score in both halves	42.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Universidad de Concepción to score in both halves	7.1%	9.3%	—	—	10.74

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Colo Colo scores	51.0%	53.8%	26.8%	2.00×	1.86
Both teams score	43.4%	46.6%	52.0%	0.90×	2.15
Only Universidad de Concepción scores	3.6%	4.6%	16.8%	0.28×	21.58
Neither team scores	2.1%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.64

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.5%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.2%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	13.3%	12.1%	6.3%	1.91×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	12.4%	12.1%	23.2%	0.52×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	2.1%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	24.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	18.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	27.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	13.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to win both halves	99.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Colo Colo not to win both halves	57.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Colo Colo to win both halves	42.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Universidad de Concepción to win both halves	0.6%	2.7%	—	—	37.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win either half	88.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Universidad de Concepción to win neither half	84.5%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Universidad de Concepción to win either half	15.5%	16.1%	—	—	6.22
Colo Colo to win neither half	11.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to win to nil	96.4%	96.1%	83.2%	1.16×	1.04
Colo Colo to win to nil	51.0%	53.7%	26.8%	2.00×	1.86
Colo Colo not to win to nil	49.0%	46.3%	73.2%	0.63×	2.16
Universidad de Concepción to win to nil	3.6%	3.9%	16.8%	0.23×	25.86

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo by 3+	41.8%	34.9%	10.5%	3.33×	2.87
Colo Colo by 2	21.9%	24.1%	12.9%	1.86×	4.15
Colo Colo by 1	20.2%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Draw	9.7%	7.2%	21.2%	0.34×	13.90
Universidad de Concepción by 1	5.2%	7.2%	20.0%	0.36×	13.92
Universidad de Concepción by 2	1.1%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.94
Universidad de Concepción by 3+	0.2%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.97