Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Colorado Rapids

01:30 UTC

San Jose Earthquakes

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 843h before kick-off

Colorado Rapids win

58.4%

model 56.0%

Draw

22.9%

model 24.3%

San Jose Earthquakes win

18.7%

model 19.8%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-0 11.0%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.4%	Under 2.5	48.6%
BTTS yes	51.7%	BTTS no	48.3%
Colorado Rapids 1+	83.0%	Colorado Rapids 2+	52.8%
San Jose Earthquakes 1+	61.7%	San Jose Earthquakes 2+	25.0%

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Colorado Rapids have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for San Jose Earthquakes. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Colorado Rapids and 0.96 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Why Colorado Rapids

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why San Jose Earthquakes can win

Nothing in the data singles out San Jose Earthquakes.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Colorado Rapids, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for San Jose Earthquakes, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Colorado Rapids: 61% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 7.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. San Jose Earthquakes: 54% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Colorado Rapids are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	502525	1.67–1.12	1-1 12%	53%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to win	49.7%	47.5%	45.4%	1.05×	2.11
Draw	25.2%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
San Jose Earthquakes to win	25.0%	27.8%	29.9%	0.93×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids & not both score	26.0%	25.1%	21.1%	1.19×	3.98
Colorado Rapids & both teams score	23.8%	21.8%	24.4%	0.90×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
San Jose Earthquakes & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
San Jose Earthquakes & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids & over 1.5	40.0%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.87
Colorado Rapids & under 3.5	32.7%	30.8%	28.3%	1.09×	3.24
Colorado Rapids & over 2.5	31.4%	30.8%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.56
Colorado Rapids & under 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Colorado Rapids & over 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
San Jose Earthquakes & over 2.5	14.8%	12.9%	20.3%	0.64×	7.76
San Jose Earthquakes & under 2.5	10.2%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.76
Colorado Rapids & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.65
San Jose Earthquakes & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.65
San Jose Earthquakes & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (1UP)	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
San Jose Earthquakes (1UP)	43.3%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (2UP)	49.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
San Jose Earthquakes (2UP)	25.0%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to win 2nd half	40.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
San Jose Earthquakes to win 2nd half	24.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	86.6%	—	—	1.16
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	13.4%	—	—	7.44

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.3%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Colorado Rapids over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Colorado Rapids under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Colorado Rapids over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (+2.5)	88.4%	88.6%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Colorado Rapids (+0.5)	75.0%	73.8%	70.1%	1.05×	1.36
San Jose Earthquakes (+1.5)	73.1%	73.8%	76.7%	0.96×	1.36
San Jose Earthquakes (+0.5)	50.3%	52.4%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Colorado Rapids (-0.5)	49.7%	47.6%	45.4%	1.05×	2.10
Colorado Rapids (-1.5)	26.9%	26.2%	23.3%	1.13×	3.81
San Jose Earthquakes (-0.5)	25.0%	26.2%	29.9%	0.88×	3.81
Colorado Rapids (-2.5)	11.6%	11.4%	10.5%	1.09×	8.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to concede	81.2%	81.3%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet	18.8%	18.7%	18.0%	1.04×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet in 1st half	48.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
San Jose Earthquakes to concede in 1st half	51.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to concede in 2nd half	61.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet in 2nd half	38.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes over 2.5 corners	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
San Jose Earthquakes under 6.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 corners	67.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
San Jose Earthquakes under 5.5 corners	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
San Jose Earthquakes over 4.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
San Jose Earthquakes under 4.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
San Jose Earthquakes over 5.5 corners	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
San Jose Earthquakes under 3.5 corners	32.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
San Jose Earthquakes over 6.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
San Jose Earthquakes under 2.5 corners	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
San Jose Earthquakes under 2.5 goals	89.6%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 goals	69.1%	68.0%	61.3%	1.11×	1.47
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 goals	67.4%	68.0%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 goals	32.6%	32.0%	26.8%	1.19×	3.12
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 goals	30.9%	32.0%	38.7%	0.83×	3.13
San Jose Earthquakes over 2.5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	16.7%	0.73×	8.25
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	6.1%	0.41×	40.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
San Jose Earthquakes under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
San Jose Earthquakes over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.18

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes scores equally in both	43.2%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
San Jose Earthquakes scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
San Jose Earthquakes scores more in 1st half	21.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (away no bet)	66.3%	66.3%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.7%	33.7%	35.4%	0.95×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes even goals	55.3%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
San Jose Earthquakes odd goals	44.7%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Colorado Rapids to score 2+ in a row	41.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
San Jose Earthquakes to score 2+ in a row	22.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Colorado Rapids to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
San Jose Earthquakes to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.89

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids corners (+3.5)	84.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Colorado Rapids corners (+2.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+3.5)	77.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Colorado Rapids corners (+1.5)	70.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+2.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
San Jose Earthquakes corners (+1.5)	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Colorado Rapids corners (-1.5)	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Colorado Rapids corners (-2.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-1.5)	30.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Colorado Rapids corners (-3.5)	22.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-2.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
San Jose Earthquakes corners (-3.5)	15.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	68.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	39.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	30.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.50
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.50
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	4.9%	1.50×	13.50
0-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.50
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.50
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.50×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.74×	58.32
Any other score	3.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.30
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.32
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (2nd half DNB)	62.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
San Jose Earthquakes (2nd half DNB)	37.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids leading at HT (DNB)	64.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
San Jose Earthquakes leading at HT (DNB)	35.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw (1X)	75.0%	72.2%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
Colorado Rapids or San Jose Earthquakes (12)	74.8%	72.2%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
San Jose Earthquakes or draw (X2)	50.3%	52.5%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw at HT	79.7%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
San Jose Earthquakes or draw at HT	62.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Colorado Rapids or San Jose Earthquakes at HT	57.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw (1UP)	75.0%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
San Jose Earthquakes or draw (1UP)	50.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw in 2nd half	75.3%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Colorado Rapids or San Jose Earthquakes in 2nd half	65.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
San Jose Earthquakes or draw in 2nd half	59.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (DNB)	66.5%	67.2%	60.3%	1.12×	1.49
San Jose Earthquakes (DNB)	33.5%	32.8%	39.7%	0.83×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to score first	55.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
San Jose Earthquakes to score first	37.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.2%	54.9%	61.1%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.8%	45.1%	38.9%	1.16×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.3%	41.7%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.1%	38.4%	29.9%	1.29×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	9.2%	0.91×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.6%	82.9%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.4%	17.1%	20.5%	0.83×	5.84

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.7%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.87

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.4%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.6%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.3%	42.5%	1.11×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.2%	26.6%	33.1%	0.80×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.7%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.64

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 0	32.6%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.96
San Jose Earthquakes to score exactly 2	20.5%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.47
San Jose Earthquakes to score 3+	10.4%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to score exactly 1	31.4%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
Colorado Rapids to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Colorado Rapids to score 3+	23.5%	23.2%	25.2%	0.92×	4.31
Colorado Rapids to score exactly 0	18.8%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.32
Colorado Rapids leading at HT	37.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
San Jose Earthquakes leading at HT	20.3%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids -1: 2	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Colorado Rapids -1: 1	26.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Colorado Rapids -1: X	22.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:1)	50.3%	51.2%	54.6%	0.94×	1.95
Colorado Rapids (0:1)	26.9%	27.0%	23.3%	1.16×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:2)	73.1%	75.8%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.3%	15.2%	12.8%	1.19×	6.56
Colorado Rapids (0:2)	11.6%	10.9%	10.5%	1.04×	9.17

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:3)	88.4%	90.9%	89.5%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.28
Colorado Rapids (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes (0:4)	95.9%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.41
Colorado Rapids (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (1:0)	75.0%	72.6%	70.1%	1.04×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.2%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.89
San Jose Earthquakes (1:0)	9.9%	7.0%	13.2%	0.53×	14.37

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids (2:0)	90.1%	93.9%	86.8%	1.08×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.50
San Jose Earthquakes (2:0)	3.0%	2.3%	4.6%	0.50×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to concede	67.4%	66.6%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
Colorado Rapids clean sheet	32.6%	33.4%	26.8%	1.25×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Colorado Rapids to concede in 1st half	36.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids clean sheet in 2nd half	51.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Colorado Rapids to concede in 2nd half	49.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids over 2.5 corners	86.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Colorado Rapids over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Colorado Rapids under 6.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Colorado Rapids over 4.5 corners	60.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Colorado Rapids under 5.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Colorado Rapids over 5.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Colorado Rapids under 4.5 corners	39.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Colorado Rapids over 6.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Colorado Rapids under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Colorado Rapids under 2.5 corners	13.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids under 3.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Colorado Rapids over 0.5 goals	81.2%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Colorado Rapids under 2.5 goals	76.5%	77.7%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
Colorado Rapids under 1.5 goals	50.2%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
Colorado Rapids over 1.5 goals	49.8%	46.8%	51.1%	0.92×	2.14
Colorado Rapids over 2.5 goals	23.5%	22.3%	25.2%	0.88×	4.49
Colorado Rapids under 0.5 goals	18.8%	17.9%	18.0%	1.00×	5.58
Colorado Rapids over 3.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids under 1.5 in 1st half	83.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Colorado Rapids under 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Colorado Rapids over 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Colorado Rapids over 1.5 in 1st half	16.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Colorado Rapids scores equally in both	34.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Colorado Rapids scores more in 1st half	26.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.2%	51.4%	45.4%	1.13×	1.94
San Jose Earthquakes (home no bet)	49.8%	48.6%	54.6%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids even goals	51.8%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Colorado Rapids odd goals	48.2%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	22.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	13.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids at HT / Colorado Rapids at FT	30.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Draw at HT / Colorado Rapids at FT	16.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Colorado Rapids at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
San Jose Earthquakes at HT / Colorado Rapids at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Colorado Rapids at HT / San Jose Earthquakes at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to score last	55.9%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
San Jose Earthquakes to score last	37.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Colorado Rapids to lead by 1 at any time	64.7%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 1 at any time	43.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Colorado Rapids to lead by 2 at any time	33.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 2 at any time	15.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Colorado Rapids to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
San Jose Earthquakes to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.7%	—	—	60.25

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids most corners	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
San Jose Earthquakes most corners	39.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.15
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.9%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.7%	63.4%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.5%	53.1%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.6%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.4%	48.6%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.5%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.2%	30.3%	33.1%	0.91×	3.30
4-5 goals	24.2%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.7%	14.9%	17.2%	0.86×	6.73
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids never behind	50.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
San Jose Earthquakes never behind	28.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.2%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	78.8%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.4%	66.3%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.9%	52.6%	59.9%	0.88×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.1%	47.4%	40.1%	1.18×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.6%	33.7%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	21.2%	0.83×	5.66
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.8%	5.8%	1.33×	12.88
Over 5.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	11.1%	0.70×	12.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.4%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.1%	81.0%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.9%	67.5%	74.5%	0.91×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.6%	61.9%	51.9%	1.19×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.4%	38.1%	48.1%	0.79×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.1%	32.5%	25.5%	1.27×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.9%	19.0%	25.2%	0.75×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.6%	12.4%	0.62×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	4.4%	0.63×	35.85

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.4%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to score in both halves	82.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Colorado Rapids not to score in both halves	68.5%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Colorado Rapids to score in both halves	31.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
San Jose Earthquakes to score in both halves	17.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.2%	58.4%	61.1%	0.96×	1.71
Only Colorado Rapids scores	26.0%	26.0%	21.1%	1.23×	3.84
Only San Jose Earthquakes scores	12.2%	11.0%	12.3%	0.90×	9.10
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.4%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.1%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.4%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.09

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	21.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	19.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Colorado Rapids not to win both halves	84.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Colorado Rapids to win both halves	15.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
San Jose Earthquakes to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colorado Rapids to win either half	62.8%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
San Jose Earthquakes to win neither half	60.1%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
San Jose Earthquakes to win either half	39.9%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Colorado Rapids to win neither half	37.2%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Jose Earthquakes not to win to nil	87.8%	88.2%	87.7%	1.00×	1.13
Colorado Rapids not to win to nil	74.0%	75.4%	78.9%	0.96×	1.33
Colorado Rapids to win to nil	26.0%	24.6%	21.1%	1.17×	4.06
San Jose Earthquakes to win to nil	12.2%	11.8%	12.3%	0.97×	8.44

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.2%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
Colorado Rapids by 1	22.9%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Colorado Rapids by 2	15.3%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
San Jose Earthquakes by 1	15.2%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
Colorado Rapids by 3+	11.6%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.50
San Jose Earthquakes by 2	6.9%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.81
San Jose Earthquakes by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	4.6%	0.60×	36.66