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Colorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Colorado Rapids win
51.1%
model 53.4%
Draw
27.1%
model 26.3%
Seattle Sounders FC win
21.7%
model 20.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (419 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 13.1%
  2. 1-1 12.4%
  3. 2-0 10.7%
  4. 2-1 9.4%
  5. 0-0 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.544.3% Under 2.555.7%
BTTS yes46.7% BTTS no53.3%
Colorado Rapids 1+79.3% Colorado Rapids 2+46.7%
Seattle Sounders FC 1+58.2% Seattle Sounders FC 2+21.7%

Expected goals 1.58 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
58/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Not both teams to score
GG/NG · usually 39%
51.6% fair odds 1.94
strong signal · 14437 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Colorado Rapids or draw at HT
Double chance 1HT
83.9% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Colorado Rapids have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 27.1% for the draw and 21.7% for Seattle Sounders FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.57 for Colorado Rapids and 0.87 for Seattle Sounders FC.

Why Colorado Rapids

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Seattle Sounders FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Seattle Sounders FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Colorado Rapids, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Seattle Sounders FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Colorado Rapids: 61% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 7.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Seattle Sounders FC: 42% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Colorado Rapids's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Colorado Rapids are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.1%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.61–0.89 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.41–0.92 1-1 13% 41% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids to win 53.9% 51.2% 45.4% 1.13× 1.95
Draw 25.9% 27.1% 24.9% 1.09× 3.69
Seattle Sounders FC to win 20.1% 23.6% 29.9% 0.79× 4.23
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids & not both score 32.5% 30.9% 21.1% 1.46× 3.24
Colorado Rapids & both teams score 21.4% 21.7% 24.4% 0.89× 4.61
Draw & both teams score 17.2% 18.1% 19.1% 0.95× 5.52
Seattle Sounders FC & not both score 11.2% 12.7% 12.3% 1.03× 7.88
Draw & not both score 8.8% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.07
Seattle Sounders FC & both teams score 8.9% 7.6% 17.8% 0.43× 13.07
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids & over 1.5 41.1% 42.9% 37.1% 1.16× 2.33
Colorado Rapids & under 3.5 38.7% 36.6% 28.3% 1.29× 2.74
Colorado Rapids & over 2.5 30.5% 31.8% 30.9% 1.03× 3.15
Colorado Rapids & under 2.5 23.5% 21.8% 14.5% 1.50× 4.58
Draw & under 2.5 21.0% 21.8% 16.0% 1.36× 4.58
Draw & under 3.5 21.0% 21.8% 16.0% 1.36× 4.58
Draw & over 1.5 17.2% 17.7% 19.1% 0.93× 5.64
Colorado Rapids & over 3.5 15.3% 17.7% 17.2% 1.03× 5.64
Seattle Sounders FC & under 3.5 16.2% 17.7% 18.8% 0.94× 5.64
Colorado Rapids & under 1.5 12.8% 12.4% 8.4% 1.48× 8.06
Seattle Sounders FC & over 1.5 13.4% 12.4% 23.5% 0.53× 8.06
Seattle Sounders FC & over 2.5 10.1% 12.4% 20.3% 0.61× 8.06
Seattle Sounders FC & under 2.5 10.0% 12.4% 9.7% 1.28× 8.06
Draw & under 1.5 8.8% 7.6% 5.8% 1.30× 13.20
Seattle Sounders FC & under 1.5 6.8% 7.6% 6.5% 1.16× 13.21
Draw & over 2.5 4.9% 4.4% 8.9% 0.49× 22.79
Draw & over 3.5 4.9% 4.4% 8.9% 0.49× 22.79
Seattle Sounders FC & over 3.5 4.0% 4.4% 11.2% 0.39× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids (1UP) 66.4% 69.8% 1.43
Seattle Sounders FC (1UP) 36.4% 38.4% 2.61
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids (2UP) 53.9% 52.8% 1.89
Seattle Sounders FC (2UP) 20.1% 22.7% 4.41
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids to win 2nd half 43.0% 41.4% 2.42
2nd half drawn 36.8% 36.5% 2.74
Seattle Sounders FC to win 2nd half 20.2% 23.5% 4.26
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (+2.5) 87.6% 87.4% 89.5% 0.98× 1.14
Colorado Rapids (+0.5) 79.9% 78.0% 70.1% 1.11× 1.28
Seattle Sounders FC (+1.5) 70.9% 73.3% 76.7% 0.95× 1.36
Colorado Rapids (-0.5) 53.9% 51.8% 45.4% 1.14× 1.93
Seattle Sounders FC (+0.5) 46.1% 48.2% 54.6% 0.88× 2.07
Colorado Rapids (-1.5) 29.1% 26.7% 23.3% 1.15× 3.74
Seattle Sounders FC (-0.5) 20.1% 22.0% 29.9% 0.74× 4.55
Colorado Rapids (-2.5) 12.4% 12.6% 10.5% 1.19× 7.94
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to concede 80.0% 82.8% 82.0% 1.01× 1.21
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet 20.0% 17.2% 18.0% 0.96× 5.82
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet in 1st half 50.1% 53.7% 1.86
Seattle Sounders FC to concede in 1st half 49.9% 46.3% 2.16
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 6.5 corners 83.6% 81.4% 1.23
Seattle Sounders FC under 5.5 corners 73.8% 71.6% 1.40
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 corners 72.7% 71.6% 1.40
Seattle Sounders FC under 4.5 corners 60.5% 61.8% 1.62
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 corners 55.7% 57.1% 1.75
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 corners 44.3% 42.9% 2.33
Seattle Sounders FC over 4.5 corners 39.5% 38.2% 2.62
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 corners 27.3% 28.4% 3.52
Seattle Sounders FC over 5.5 corners 26.2% 28.4% 3.52
Seattle Sounders FC over 6.5 corners 16.4% 18.6% 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 goals 98.7% 97.3% 93.9% 1.04× 1.03
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 goals 94.0% 92.2% 83.3% 1.11× 1.09
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 goals 77.8% 76.4% 61.3% 1.25× 1.31
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 goals 58.7% 58.9% 73.2% 0.80× 1.70
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 goals 41.3% 41.1% 26.8% 1.53× 2.43
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 goals 22.2% 23.6% 38.7% 0.61× 4.23
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 goals 6.0% 7.8% 16.7% 0.47× 12.75
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 goals 1.3% 2.7% 6.1% 0.44× 37.15
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 in 1st half 95.0% 95.2% 1.05
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 in 1st half 70.2% 68.3% 1.46
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 in 1st half 29.8% 31.7% 3.16
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 in 1st half 5.0% 4.8% 20.64
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids (away no bet) 67.5% 66.9% 64.6% 1.04× 1.50
Draw (away no bet) 32.5% 33.1% 35.4% 0.94× 3.02
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC even goals 58.5% 56.4% 53.6% 1.05× 1.77
Seattle Sounders FC odd goals 41.5% 43.6% 46.4% 0.94× 2.29
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.1% 86.9% 1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.9% 13.1% 7.61
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 58.9% 59.8% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 41.1% 40.2% 2.49
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.7% 51.4% 1.94
Colorado Rapids to score 2+ in a row 41.2% 42.6% 2.35
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.1% 17.0% 5.87
Colorado Rapids to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 17.0% 5.89
Seattle Sounders FC to score 2+ in a row 15.8% 17.0% 5.89
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+ in a row 3.2% 3.1% 31.92
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids corners (+3.5) 92.2% 89.6% 1.12
Colorado Rapids corners (+2.5) 87.6% 84.5% 1.18
Colorado Rapids corners (+1.5) 81.4% 79.8% 1.25
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+3.5) 66.1% 65.8% 1.52
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+2.5) 56.5% 57.1% 1.75
Colorado Rapids corners (-1.5) 53.8% 52.5% 1.91
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+1.5) 46.2% 47.5% 2.10
Colorado Rapids corners (-2.5) 43.5% 42.9% 2.33
Colorado Rapids corners (-3.5) 33.9% 34.2% 2.93
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-1.5) 18.6% 20.2% 4.95
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-2.5) 12.4% 15.5% 6.45
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-3.5) 7.8% 10.4% 9.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 35.5% 33.9% 2.95
0-8 corners 35.3% 33.9% 2.95
9-11 corners 29.2% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 74.3% 72.6% 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 72.6% 72.6% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 64.7% 63.3% 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 64.5% 63.3% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 55.3% 57.9% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 54.6% 53.2% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 45.4% 46.8% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 44.7% 42.1% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 35.3% 36.7% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 35.5% 36.7% 2.73
Over 12.5 corners 27.4% 27.4% 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 25.7% 27.4% 3.65
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 12.8% 11.2% 8.4% 1.34× 8.91
1-1 12.3% 11.2% 10.3% 1.09× 8.91
2-0 10.7% 11.2% 6.3% 1.78× 8.91
0-0 8.8% 7.4% 5.8% 1.27× 13.45
0-1 6.8% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.45
1-2 5.2% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.45
2-1 9.5% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.45
3-0 5.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.45
3-1 5.1% 7.4% 4.9% 1.51× 13.45
0-2 3.2% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.34
0-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 0.94× 58.35
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.14× 58.35
1-3 1.5% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.34
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.25× 58.35
2-2 4.2% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.34
2-3 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.71× 58.34
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.35
3-2 2.2% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.34
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 0.65× 58.35
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.49× 58.35
4-0 2.3% 1.7% 1.3% 1.36× 58.34
4-1 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.71× 58.34
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.35
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.14× 58.35
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.74× 58.35
Any other score 2.6% 1.7% 4.7% 0.37× 58.34
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids leading at HT (DNB) 70.1% 74.0% 1.35
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT (DNB) 29.9% 26.1% 3.84
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw (1X) 79.9% 76.4% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Colorado Rapids or Seattle Sounders FC (12) 74.1% 72.9% 75.1% 0.97× 1.37
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (X2) 46.1% 48.8% 54.6% 0.89× 2.05
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw at HT 83.4% 83.9% 1.19
Seattle Sounders FC or draw at HT 61.1% 62.9% 1.59
Colorado Rapids or Seattle Sounders FC at HT 55.5% 57.1% 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw (1UP) 79.9% 82.8% 1.21
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1UP) 46.1% 55.2% 1.81
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids or draw in 2nd half 79.8% 76.5% 1.31
Colorado Rapids or Seattle Sounders FC in 2nd half 63.2% 63.5% 1.57
Seattle Sounders FC or draw in 2nd half 57.0% 58.6% 1.71
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.3% 60.5% 1.65
Neither half drawn 35.7% 39.5% 2.53
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids (DNB) 72.8% 72.5% 60.3% 1.20× 1.38
Seattle Sounders FC (DNB) 27.2% 27.5% 39.7% 0.69× 3.64
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids to score first 58.9% 61.1% 1.64
Seattle Sounders FC to score first 32.4% 31.6% 3.16
No goal scored 8.8% 6.4% 15.59
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 52.5% 51.6% 38.9% 1.32× 1.94
Both teams to score 47.5% 48.4% 61.1% 0.79× 2.07
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 42.3% 41.6% 29.9% 1.39× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 35.2% 38.0% 50.9% 0.75× 2.63
Both score & under 2.5 12.3% 11.9% 10.3% 1.15× 8.41
Not both score & over 2.5 10.2% 11.9% 9.2% 1.30× 8.41
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.4% 85.7% 79.5% 1.08× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.6% 14.3% 20.5% 0.70× 7.01
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 75.1% 73.9% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.9% 26.1% 3.83
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.8% 60.7% 1.65
Both score 2nd half only 21.2% 23.4% 4.28
Both score 1st half only 11.3% 11.9% 8.43
Both score in both halves 3.7% 4.9% 20.60
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.0% 84.5% 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 15.0% 15.5% 6.47
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 50.1% 52.4% 1.91
A goal in each half 49.9% 47.6% 2.10
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.5% 46.5% 42.5% 1.09× 2.15
0-1 goals 28.3% 27.0% 20.5% 1.32× 3.70
4-6 goals 22.7% 23.5% 33.1% 0.71× 4.26
7+ goals 1.4% 2.0% 4.1% 0.49× 49.77
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 0 41.3% 39.4% 26.8% 1.47× 2.54
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 1 36.5% 36.0% 34.6% 1.04× 2.78
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 2 16.2% 18.2% 22.1% 0.82× 5.49
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+ 6.0% 8.6% 16.7% 0.51× 11.64
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids to score exactly 1 32.2% 32.2% 31.0% 1.04× 3.10
Colorado Rapids to score exactly 2 25.9% 26.4% 26.0% 1.02× 3.78
Colorado Rapids to score 3+ 21.9% 22.9% 25.2% 0.91× 4.38
Colorado Rapids to score exactly 0 20.0% 18.2% 18.0% 1.01× 5.51
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.5% 42.9% 2.33
Colorado Rapids leading at HT 38.9% 37.1% 2.69
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT 16.6% 16.1% 6.20
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids -1: 2 46.1% 48.2% 2.08
Colorado Rapids -1: 1 29.1% 26.8% 3.74
Colorado Rapids -1: X 24.8% 23.3% 4.29
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:1) 46.1% 47.5% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Colorado Rapids (0:1) 29.1% 27.2% 23.3% 1.17× 3.67
Draw (0:1) 24.8% 23.6% 22.2% 1.06× 4.24
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:2) 70.9% 75.0% 76.7% 0.98× 1.33
Draw (0:2) 16.8% 15.7% 12.8% 1.22× 6.38
Colorado Rapids (0:2) 12.4% 11.4% 10.5% 1.08× 8.81
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:3) 87.6% 88.6% 89.5% 0.99× 1.13
Draw (0:3) 8.1% 6.5% 6.6% 0.98× 15.40
Colorado Rapids (0:3) 4.3% 2.6% 4.0% 0.64× 39.14
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (0:4) 95.7% 97.7% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 3.0% 1.4% 2.1% 0.69× 70.66
Colorado Rapids (0:4) 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 0.69× 70.73
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids (1:0) 79.9% 76.9% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Draw (1:0) 13.4% 12.6% 16.8% 0.75× 7.97
Seattle Sounders FC (1:0) 6.8% 7.5% 13.2% 0.57× 13.40
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids (2:0) 93.2% 92.9% 86.8% 1.07× 1.08
Draw (2:0) 5.1% 6.6% 8.7% 0.76× 15.12
Seattle Sounders FC (2:0) 1.7% 2.8% 4.6% 0.61× 35.93
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.9% 48.2% 2.07
Halves equal 27.1% 26.2% 3.82
1st half highest scoring 26.9% 26.2% 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids to concede 58.7% 59.9% 73.2% 0.82× 1.67
Colorado Rapids clean sheet 41.3% 40.1% 26.8% 1.50× 2.49
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids clean sheet in 1st half 70.2% 67.8% 1.48
Colorado Rapids to concede in 1st half 29.8% 32.2% 3.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids over 2.5 corners 89.0% 86.3% 1.16
Colorado Rapids over 3.5 corners 78.8% 76.6% 1.31
Colorado Rapids over 4.5 corners 66.5% 66.7% 1.50
Colorado Rapids under 6.5 corners 59.0% 57.6% 1.74
Colorado Rapids over 5.5 corners 53.4% 52.6% 1.90
Colorado Rapids under 5.5 corners 46.6% 47.4% 2.11
Colorado Rapids over 6.5 corners 41.0% 42.4% 2.36
Colorado Rapids under 4.5 corners 33.5% 33.3% 3.01
Colorado Rapids under 3.5 corners 21.2% 23.4% 4.27
Colorado Rapids under 2.5 corners 11.0% 13.7% 7.31
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids under 3.5 goals 92.0% 92.3% 90.6% 1.02× 1.08
Colorado Rapids over 0.5 goals 80.0% 82.3% 82.0% 1.00× 1.22
Colorado Rapids under 2.5 goals 78.1% 78.2% 74.8% 1.05× 1.28
Colorado Rapids under 1.5 goals 52.2% 52.8% 48.9% 1.08× 1.89
Colorado Rapids over 1.5 goals 47.8% 47.2% 51.1% 0.92× 2.12
Colorado Rapids over 2.5 goals 21.9% 21.8% 25.2% 0.87× 4.58
Colorado Rapids under 0.5 goals 20.0% 17.7% 18.0% 0.98× 5.65
Colorado Rapids over 3.5 goals 8.0% 7.7% 9.4% 0.81× 13.07
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids under 1.5 in 1st half 84.7% 81.1% 1.23
Colorado Rapids under 0.5 in 1st half 50.1% 53.8% 1.86
Colorado Rapids over 0.5 in 1st half 49.9% 46.2% 2.16
Colorado Rapids over 1.5 in 1st half 15.3% 18.9% 5.29
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 56.3% 56.0% 45.4% 1.23× 1.79
Seattle Sounders FC (home no bet) 43.7% 44.0% 54.6% 0.81× 2.27
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids even goals 52.0% 50.9% 51.0% 1.00× 1.96
Colorado Rapids odd goals 48.0% 49.1% 49.0% 1.00× 2.04
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 35.2% 34.7% 2.88
HT 1-0 24.2% 22.5% 4.44
HT 0-1 12.4% 10.9% 9.15
HT 1-1 8.7% 8.0% 12.53
HT 2-0 8.4% 8.0% 12.53
Any other HT score 3.9% 2.5% 40.41
HT 2-1 3.0% 2.5% 40.45
HT 0-2 2.2% 2.5% 40.48
HT 1-2 1.5% 2.5% 40.51
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.5% 40.56
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids at HT / Colorado Rapids at FT 32.7% 34.2% 2.93
Draw at HT / Colorado Rapids at FT 18.8% 17.3% 5.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.9% 17.3% 5.78
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT 10.1% 12.0% 8.34
Draw at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT 8.7% 6.5% 15.44
Colorado Rapids at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.6% 27.50
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.6% 27.52
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Colorado Rapids at FT 2.3% 3.6% 27.57
Colorado Rapids at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT 1.3% 3.6% 27.60
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids to score last 58.9% 56.5% 1.77
Seattle Sounders FC to score last 32.3% 34.2% 2.93
No goal scored 8.8% 6.4% 15.59
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.2% 93.6% 1.07
Colorado Rapids to lead by 1 at any time 66.4% 68.9% 1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 45.1% 46.5% 2.15
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 1 at any time 36.4% 37.3% 2.68
Colorado Rapids to lead by 2 at any time 34.7% 31.7% 3.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.8% 17.6% 5.68
Colorado Rapids to lead by 3 at any time 14.4% 11.1% 9.04
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 2 at any time 10.5% 11.0% 9.09
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 3 at any time 2.4% 2.6% 38.31
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids most corners 64.1% 60.5% 1.65
Seattle Sounders FC most corners 26.5% 31.1% 3.22
Corners level 9.4% 8.4% 11.88
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.1% 87.1% 83.2% 1.05× 1.15
1-4 goals 80.4% 82.1% 73.1% 1.12× 1.22
2-6 goals 70.3% 72.2% 75.5% 0.96× 1.39
2-5 goals 67.5% 68.2% 68.5% 1.00× 1.47
1-3 goals 67.1% 68.2% 57.2% 1.19× 1.47
2-4 goals 60.9% 62.7% 58.4% 1.07× 1.60
2-3 goals 47.5% 47.4% 42.5% 1.11× 2.11
1-2 goals 45.8% 47.4% 34.4% 1.38× 2.11
3-6 goals 44.1% 43.6% 55.9% 0.78× 2.30
3-5 goals 41.3% 43.6% 48.9% 0.89× 2.30
3-4 goals 34.7% 34.7% 38.8% 0.89× 2.88
4-6 goals 22.7% 23.7% 33.1% 0.72× 4.22
4-5 goals 20.0% 18.9% 26.1% 0.72× 5.30
5-6 goals 9.4% 8.9% 17.2% 0.52× 11.21
7+ goals 1.4% 2.3% 4.1% 0.55× 44.27
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rapids never behind 54.8% 61.3% 1.63
Seattle Sounders FC never behind 24.8% 25.9% 3.86
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 51.4% 50.1% 49.8% 1.00× 2.00
Odd number of goals 48.6% 49.9% 50.2% 1.00× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.3% 55.1% 1.82
Odd goals in 1st half 43.7% 44.9% 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.1% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.9% 48.4% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.8% 96.0% 88.9% 1.08× 1.04
Over 0.5 goals 91.2% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 89.2% 87.8% 78.8% 1.11× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 75.9% 77.0% 62.9% 1.22× 1.30
Over 1.5 goals 71.7% 72.4% 79.5% 0.91× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 54.5% 51.8% 40.1% 1.29× 1.93
Over 2.5 goals 45.5% 48.2% 59.9% 0.80× 2.08
Under 1.5 goals 28.3% 27.6% 20.5% 1.35× 3.62
Over 3.5 goals 24.1% 23.0% 37.1% 0.62× 4.34
Over 4.5 goals 10.8% 12.2% 21.2% 0.57× 8.21
Under 0.5 goals 8.8% 7.7% 5.8% 1.33× 12.91
Over 5.5 goals 4.2% 4.0% 11.1% 0.36× 25.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.6% 97.3% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.5% 97.3% 87.6% 1.11× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 87.5% 86.6% 74.8% 1.16× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 69.3% 67.1% 51.9% 1.29× 1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 61.6% 62.3% 74.5% 0.84× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 38.4% 37.7% 25.5% 1.48× 2.65
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 30.7% 32.9% 48.1% 0.69× 3.04
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 12.5% 13.4% 25.2% 0.53× 7.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.5% 2.7% 12.4% 0.22× 36.67
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.4% 2.7% 4.4% 0.61× 36.71
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.1% 91.8% 1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half 71.8% 73.8% 1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half 64.8% 65.2% 1.53
Under 0.5 in 1st half 35.2% 34.8% 2.87
Over 1.5 in 1st half 28.2% 26.2% 3.81
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.9% 8.2% 12.24
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.2% 82.5% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.3% 80.0% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.3% 57.0% 1.76
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.7% 43.0% 2.33
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.7% 20.0% 4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.8% 17.5% 5.72
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC not to score in both halves 87.7% 85.6% 1.17
Colorado Rapids not to score in both halves 70.0% 72.4% 1.38
Colorado Rapids to score in both halves 30.0% 27.6% 3.63
Seattle Sounders FC to score in both halves 12.3% 14.4% 6.95
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.5% 50.7% 61.1% 0.83× 1.97
Only Colorado Rapids scores 32.5% 31.4% 21.1% 1.49× 3.18
Only Seattle Sounders FC scores 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 0.91× 8.94
Neither team scores 8.8% 7.1% 5.8% 1.22× 14.09
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.2% 25.0% 19.7% 1.27× 4.00
Exactly 3 goals 21.4% 22.3% 22.9% 0.97× 4.49
Exactly 1 goals 19.6% 17.6% 14.8% 1.19× 5.68
Exactly 4 goals 13.3% 12.3% 16.0% 0.77× 8.14
Exactly 0 goals 8.8% 7.8% 5.8% 1.33× 12.88
Exactly 5 goals 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 0.76× 12.89
6 or more goals 4.2% 4.0% 11.1% 0.36× 24.73
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.7% 43.1% 2.32
1 goal in 2nd half 33.7% 34.3% 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 23.7% 20.6% 4.85
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC not to win both halves 96.6% 97.3% 1.03
Colorado Rapids not to win both halves 83.2% 81.9% 1.22
Colorado Rapids to win both halves 16.8% 18.1% 5.54
Seattle Sounders FC to win both halves 3.4% 2.7% 36.91
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win neither half 66.5% 68.7% 1.46
Colorado Rapids to win either half 65.1% 68.6% 1.46
Colorado Rapids to win neither half 34.9% 31.4% 3.19
Seattle Sounders FC to win either half 33.5% 31.3% 3.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC not to win to nil 88.8% 87.9% 87.7% 1.00× 1.14
Colorado Rapids not to win to nil 67.5% 69.5% 78.9% 0.88× 1.44
Colorado Rapids to win to nil 32.5% 30.5% 21.1% 1.45× 3.28
Seattle Sounders FC to win to nil 11.2% 12.1% 12.3% 0.99× 8.25
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 25.9% 27.3% 24.9% 1.10× 3.66
Colorado Rapids by 1 24.8% 23.4% 22.2% 1.05× 4.27
Colorado Rapids by 2 16.8% 17.2% 12.8% 1.34× 5.80
Seattle Sounders FC by 1 13.4% 11.8% 16.8% 0.70× 8.44
Colorado Rapids by 3+ 12.4% 11.8% 10.5% 1.12× 8.45
Seattle Sounders FC by 2 5.1% 7.3% 8.7% 0.83× 13.77
Seattle Sounders FC by 3+ 1.7% 3.0% 4.6% 0.65× 33.47
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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