Comerciantes Unidos v ADT — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Comerciantes Unidos

18:00 UTC

ADT

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 127h before kick-off

Comerciantes Unidos win

55.7%

model 57.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.8%

ADT win

22.2%

model 21.1%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 11.0%
1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.7%
0-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.5%	Under 2.5	45.5%
BTTS yes	53.3%	BTTS no	46.7%
Comerciantes Unidos 1+	84.2%	Comerciantes Unidos 2+	55.0%
ADT 1+	63.9%	ADT 2+	27.1%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 73%

77.7% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1766 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Comerciantes Unidos not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Comerciantes Unidos carry the stronger rating, 1451 Elo against 1391.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Comerciantes Unidos have an estimated 55.7% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.2% for ADT. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.02 for ADT.

Why Comerciantes Unidos

Comerciantes Unidos carry the stronger rating, 1451 Elo against 1391.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why ADT can win

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Comerciantes Unidos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for ADT, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Comerciantes Unidos: 57% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADT: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Comerciantes Unidos are the model's most likely outcome at 55.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.0%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	572221	1.84–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592220	1.84–0.95	1-0 12%	53%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to win	58.7%	54.0%	49.8%	1.08×	1.85
Draw	21.8%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09
ADT to win	19.5%	19.4%	25.4%	0.77×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos & not both score	33.1%	29.6%	26.4%	1.12×	3.38
Comerciantes Unidos & both teams score	25.6%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
ADT & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
ADT & both teams score	9.3%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	11.99
Draw & not both score	5.8%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos & over 1.5	46.9%	45.0%	38.0%	1.18×	2.22
Comerciantes Unidos & under 3.5	38.5%	34.9%	33.7%	1.04×	2.87
Comerciantes Unidos & over 2.5	36.5%	34.9%	30.8%	1.13×	2.87
Comerciantes Unidos & under 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	19.2%	1.13×	4.63
Comerciantes Unidos & over 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.3%	1.33×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
ADT & under 3.5	15.0%	18.0%	19.4%	0.93×	5.56
ADT & over 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Comerciantes Unidos & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
ADT & over 2.5	10.5%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
ADT & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
ADT & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
ADT & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (1UP)	71.0%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
ADT (1UP)	36.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (2UP)	58.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
ADT (2UP)	19.5%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to win 2nd half	46.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	33.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
ADT to win 2nd half	19.9%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
ADT under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
ADT over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
ADT over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (+2.5)	84.2%	82.6%	88.6%	0.93×	1.21
Comerciantes Unidos (+0.5)	80.5%	82.6%	74.6%	1.11×	1.21
ADT (+1.5)	66.3%	68.7%	75.4%	0.91×	1.46
Comerciantes Unidos (-0.5)	58.7%	57.1%	49.8%	1.15×	1.75
ADT (+0.5)	41.3%	42.9%	50.2%	0.86×	2.33
Comerciantes Unidos (-1.5)	33.7%	31.3%	24.6%	1.27×	3.19
ADT (-0.5)	19.5%	17.4%	25.4%	0.69×	5.73
Comerciantes Unidos (-2.5)	15.8%	17.4%	11.4%	1.53×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede	84.0%	81.5%	80.1%	1.02×	1.23
ADT clean sheet	16.0%	18.5%	19.9%	0.93×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede in 1st half	54.6%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
ADT clean sheet in 1st half	45.4%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede in 2nd half	64.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
ADT clean sheet in 2nd half	35.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 6.5 corners	84.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
ADT under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
ADT over 2.5 corners	72.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
ADT under 4.5 corners	61.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
ADT over 3.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
ADT under 3.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
ADT over 4.5 corners	38.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
ADT under 2.5 corners	27.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
ADT over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
ADT over 6.5 corners	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
ADT under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
ADT under 1.5 goals	75.6%	76.2%	71.6%	1.07×	1.31
ADT over 0.5 goals	61.2%	63.2%	65.9%	0.96×	1.58
ADT under 0.5 goals	38.8%	36.8%	34.1%	1.08×	2.72
ADT over 1.5 goals	24.4%	23.8%	28.4%	0.84×	4.21
ADT over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.07
ADT over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
ADT under 0.5 in 1st half	68.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
ADT over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
ADT over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT scores equally in both	47.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
ADT scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
ADT scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (away no bet)	72.9%	68.4%	66.6%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.1%	31.6%	33.4%	0.95×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT even goals	57.5%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
ADT odd goals	42.5%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Comerciantes Unidos to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
ADT to score 2+ in a row	16.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
ADT to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+3.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
ADT corners (+3.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+2.5)	79.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
ADT corners (+2.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+1.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
ADT corners (+1.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-1.5)	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
ADT corners (-1.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-2.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
ADT corners (-2.5)	20.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-3.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
ADT corners (-3.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.8%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.71
1-1	10.3%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
2-0	10.4%	11.5%	7.4%	1.54×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	5.8%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
3-0	6.4%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
3-1	6.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.30
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (2nd half DNB)	70.2%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
ADT (2nd half DNB)	29.8%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT (DNB)	72.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
ADT leading at HT (DNB)	27.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (1X)	80.5%	80.6%	74.6%	1.08×	1.24
Comerciantes Unidos or ADT (12)	78.2%	75.5%	75.0%	1.01×	1.32
ADT or draw (X2)	41.3%	46.0%	50.2%	0.92×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw at HT	83.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Comerciantes Unidos or ADT at HT	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
ADT or draw at HT	57.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (1UP)	80.5%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
ADT or draw (1UP)	41.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw in 2nd half	80.1%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Comerciantes Unidos or ADT in 2nd half	66.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
ADT or draw in 2nd half	53.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (DNB)	75.0%	74.6%	66.3%	1.13×	1.34
ADT (DNB)	25.0%	25.4%	33.7%	0.75×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score first	62.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
ADT to score first	32.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	5.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.0%	51.3%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.0%	48.7%	46.2%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.6%	41.6%	42.8%	0.97×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.1%	38.4%	37.7%	1.02×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	8.7%	1.42×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.6%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.4%	14.4%	14.3%	1.01×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.8%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	45.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.0%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.9%	22.9%	27.5%	0.83×	4.36
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	1.8%	1.02×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score exactly 0	38.8%	35.9%	34.1%	1.05×	2.78
ADT to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
ADT to score exactly 2	17.4%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
ADT to score 3+	7.1%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 1	29.3%	26.6%	33.0%	0.81×	3.77
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+	27.9%	26.6%	22.5%	1.18×	3.77
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 0	16.0%	18.8%	19.9%	0.94×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT	42.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
ADT leading at HT	16.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos -1: 2	41.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Comerciantes Unidos -1: 1	33.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Comerciantes Unidos -1: X	25.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:1)	41.3%	42.5%	50.2%	0.85×	2.35
Comerciantes Unidos (0:1)	33.7%	30.2%	24.6%	1.22×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	25.0%	24.2%	25.4%	0.96×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:2)	66.3%	72.2%	75.4%	0.96×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.9%	15.2%	13.4%	1.14×	6.56
Comerciantes Unidos (0:2)	15.8%	15.2%	11.4%	1.33×	6.57

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:3)	84.2%	85.4%	88.6%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.7%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.20
Comerciantes Unidos (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	4.0%	1.45×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:4)	93.9%	94.6%	96.0%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.45
Comerciantes Unidos (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (1:0)	80.5%	81.4%	74.6%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.1%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.87
ADT (1:0)	6.4%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (2:0)	93.6%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.63
ADT (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.82

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede	61.2%	63.6%	65.9%	0.96×	1.57
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet	38.8%	36.4%	34.1%	1.07×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 1st half	68.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 1st half	31.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 2nd half	56.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 2nd half	43.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 6.5 corners	81.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 corners	75.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Comerciantes Unidos under 5.5 corners	70.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Comerciantes Unidos under 4.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Comerciantes Unidos over 4.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Comerciantes Unidos over 5.5 corners	29.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 corners	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Comerciantes Unidos over 6.5 corners	18.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 goals	88.6%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	80.1%	1.03×	1.22
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 goals	72.1%	74.2%	77.5%	0.96×	1.35
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	47.3%	1.13×	1.88
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 goals	45.3%	46.8%	52.7%	0.89×	2.14
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 goals	27.9%	25.8%	22.5%	1.15×	3.88
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	19.9%	0.89×	5.62
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 goals	11.4%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 1st half	81.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 1st half	18.7%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos scores more in 2nd half	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Comerciantes Unidos scores equally in both	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Comerciantes Unidos scores more in 1st half	27.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.7%	51.4%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
ADT (home no bet)	47.3%	48.6%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos even goals	51.3%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Comerciantes Unidos odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.0%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	24.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	36.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
ADT at HT / ADT at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
Draw at HT / ADT at FT	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
ADT at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
ADT at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / ADT at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score last	62.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
ADT to score last	32.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	5.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 1 at any time	71.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 2 at any time	40.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
ADT to lead by 1 at any time	36.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
ADT to lead by 2 at any time	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
ADT to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	62.77

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos most corners	47.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
ADT most corners	40.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.3%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.8%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.8%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.9%	63.3%	63.9%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.2%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.3%	48.4%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.6%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.7%	39.2%	37.1%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.0%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.0%	24.5%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.6%	14.8%	12.7%	1.17×	6.76
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos never behind	57.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
ADT never behind	23.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.1%	87.6%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.1%	77.3%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.6%	66.3%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.6%	52.5%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.4%	47.5%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.4%	33.7%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.9%	22.7%	27.5%	0.83×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.9%	12.4%	14.3%	0.87×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.1%	92.4%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.3%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.8%	67.5%	65.1%	1.04×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.9%	61.9%	63.1%	0.98×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.1%	38.1%	36.9%	1.03×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.2%	32.5%	34.9%	0.93×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.7%	18.9%	16.7%	1.13×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to score in both halves	86.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Comerciantes Unidos not to score in both halves	64.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Comerciantes Unidos to score in both halves	35.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
ADT to score in both halves	13.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.0%	53.8%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Comerciantes Unidos scores	33.1%	33.3%	26.4%	1.26×	3.00
Only ADT scores	10.2%	11.0%	12.3%	0.89×	9.07
Neither team scores	5.8%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.5%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.1%	17.5%	19.9%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	17.4%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.6%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.8%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Comerciantes Unidos not to win both halves	80.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Comerciantes Unidos to win both halves	19.8%	16.7%	—	—	6.00
ADT to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.87

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to win either half	69.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
ADT to win neither half	66.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
ADT to win either half	33.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Comerciantes Unidos to win neither half	30.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win to nil	89.8%	88.1%	87.7%	1.01×	1.14
Comerciantes Unidos not to win to nil	66.9%	69.7%	73.6%	0.95×	1.44
Comerciantes Unidos to win to nil	33.1%	30.3%	26.4%	1.15×	3.30
ADT to win to nil	10.2%	11.9%	12.3%	0.96×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos by 1	25.0%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Draw	21.8%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Comerciantes Unidos by 2	17.9%	17.0%	13.4%	1.27×	5.87
Comerciantes Unidos by 3+	15.8%	17.0%	11.4%	1.49×	5.87
ADT by 1	13.1%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.50
ADT by 2	4.8%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.82
ADT by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.92