Comerciantes Unidos v Sport Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Comerciantes Unidos

20:00 UTC

Sport Boys

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 465h before kick-off

Comerciantes Unidos win

44.2%

model 44.1%

Draw

27.9%

model 26.3%

Sport Boys win

27.9%

model 29.7%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.8%
1-1 12.4%
0-1 10.1%
2-1 8.7%
0-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.8%	Under 2.5	57.2%
BTTS yes	47.5%	BTTS no	52.5%
Comerciantes Unidos 1+	73.9%	Comerciantes Unidos 2+	38.9%
Sport Boys 1+	64.9%	Sport Boys 2+	28.2%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 49%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sport Boys not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 88%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Comerciantes Unidos.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Comerciantes Unidos have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for Sport Boys and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.05 for Sport Boys.

Why Comerciantes Unidos

Nothing in the data singles out Comerciantes Unidos.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. A combined 2.39 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sport Boys can win

Sport Boys carry the stronger rating, 1515 Elo against 1451. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Comerciantes Unidos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sport Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Comerciantes Unidos: 57% possession, 18.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Boys: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Comerciantes Unidos are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.8%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442630	1.35–1.05	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432730	1.25–0.99	1-0 14%	39%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to win	42.8%	42.9%	49.8%	0.86×	2.33
Sport Boys to win	29.8%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.58
Draw	27.4%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos & not both score	27.0%	25.2%	26.4%	0.95×	3.97
Sport Boys & not both score	18.5%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Comerciantes Unidos & both teams score	15.8%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Sport Boys & both teams score	11.3%	13.3%	13.2%	1.00×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	7.8%	1.70×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos & under 3.5	33.8%	30.8%	33.7%	0.91×	3.25
Comerciantes Unidos & over 1.5	29.0%	26.1%	38.0%	0.68×	3.84
Sport Boys & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	19.4%	1.11×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.7%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Comerciantes Unidos & under 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	19.2%	1.13×	4.63
Comerciantes Unidos & over 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
Sport Boys & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Sport Boys & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	11.1%	1.63×	5.56
Comerciantes Unidos & under 1.5	13.8%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Sport Boys & over 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
Sport Boys & under 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	8.2%	1.57×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	7.8%	1.65×	7.79
Comerciantes Unidos & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Sport Boys & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	6.2%	1.29×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (1UP)	56.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Sport Boys (1UP)	44.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (2UP)	42.8%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Sport Boys (2UP)	29.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Comerciantes Unidos to win 2nd half	34.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Sport Boys to win 2nd half	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Sport Boys under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sport Boys over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Sport Boys over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	12.8%	—	—	7.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys (+2.5)	93.5%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Sport Boys (+1.5)	81.2%	82.6%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Comerciantes Unidos (+0.5)	70.2%	73.6%	74.6%	0.99×	1.36
Sport Boys (+0.5)	57.2%	57.1%	50.2%	1.14×	1.75
Comerciantes Unidos (-0.5)	42.8%	42.9%	49.8%	0.86×	2.33
Sport Boys (-0.5)	29.8%	26.4%	25.4%	1.04×	3.79
Comerciantes Unidos (-1.5)	18.8%	17.4%	24.6%	0.71×	5.73
Comerciantes Unidos (-2.5)	6.5%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys to concede	71.4%	76.7%	80.1%	0.96×	1.31
Sport Boys clean sheet	28.6%	23.3%	19.9%	1.17×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys clean sheet in 1st half	58.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Sport Boys to concede in 1st half	41.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys to concede in 2nd half	51.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sport Boys clean sheet in 2nd half	49.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys under 6.5 corners	84.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sport Boys under 5.5 corners	74.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sport Boys over 2.5 corners	72.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sport Boys under 4.5 corners	61.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Sport Boys over 3.5 corners	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sport Boys under 3.5 corners	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Sport Boys over 4.5 corners	38.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Sport Boys under 2.5 corners	27.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sport Boys over 5.5 corners	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Sport Boys over 6.5 corners	15.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Sport Boys under 2.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Sport Boys under 1.5 goals	73.9%	71.9%	71.6%	1.00×	1.39
Sport Boys over 0.5 goals	62.9%	63.2%	65.9%	0.96×	1.58
Sport Boys under 0.5 goals	37.1%	36.8%	34.1%	1.08×	2.72
Sport Boys over 1.5 goals	26.1%	28.1%	28.4%	0.99×	3.55
Sport Boys over 2.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	13.07
Sport Boys over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Sport Boys under 0.5 in 1st half	67.3%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Sport Boys over 0.5 in 1st half	32.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Sport Boys over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys scores equally in both	46.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Sport Boys scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sport Boys scores more in 1st half	20.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (away no bet)	60.9%	61.9%	66.6%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.1%	38.1%	33.4%	1.14×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys even goals	56.9%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Sport Boys odd goals	43.1%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	8.7%	—	—	11.53

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.8%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Comerciantes Unidos to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Sport Boys to score 2+ in a row	20.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+ in a row	9.1%	5.5%	—	—	18.04
Sport Boys to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.07

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sport Boys corners (+3.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+2.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sport Boys corners (+2.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Comerciantes Unidos corners (+1.5)	68.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Sport Boys corners (+1.5)	66.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-1.5)	33.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sport Boys corners (-1.5)	31.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-2.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sport Boys corners (-2.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Comerciantes Unidos corners (-3.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Sport Boys corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	45.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	17.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.8%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.71
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-1	11.0%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.72
0-0	10.1%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.72
1-2	6.5%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (2nd half DNB)	56.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Sport Boys (2nd half DNB)	44.0%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT (DNB)	59.4%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Sport Boys leading at HT (DNB)	40.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or Sport Boys (12)	72.6%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (1X)	70.2%	72.1%	74.6%	0.97×	1.39
Sport Boys or draw (X2)	57.2%	57.1%	50.2%	1.14×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw at HT	78.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Sport Boys or draw at HT	69.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Comerciantes Unidos or Sport Boys at HT	52.1%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw (1UP)	70.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Sport Boys or draw (1UP)	57.2%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos or draw in 2nd half	73.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sport Boys or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Comerciantes Unidos or Sport Boys in 2nd half	60.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (DNB)	59.0%	58.1%	66.3%	0.88×	1.72
Sport Boys (DNB)	41.1%	41.9%	33.7%	1.24×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score first	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Sport Boys to score first	39.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.1%	9.2%	—	—	10.83

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.6%	55.0%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.4%	45.0%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.5%	44.3%	37.7%	1.18×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.7%	34.6%	42.8%	0.81×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.1%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.7%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.3%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	10.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.60

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	44.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	34.9%	30.8%	27.5%	1.12×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.1%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys to score exactly 0	37.1%	35.9%	34.1%	1.05×	2.78
Sport Boys to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Sport Boys to score exactly 2	18.2%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
Sport Boys to score 3+	7.9%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 0	28.6%	26.6%	19.9%	1.33×	3.77
Comerciantes Unidos to score exactly 2	22.4%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Comerciantes Unidos to score 3+	13.2%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Comerciantes Unidos leading at HT	30.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Sport Boys leading at HT	21.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos -1: 2	57.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Comerciantes Unidos -1: X	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Comerciantes Unidos -1: 1	18.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys (0:1)	57.2%	55.8%	50.2%	1.11×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.0%	24.2%	25.4%	0.96×	4.13
Comerciantes Unidos (0:1)	18.8%	17.8%	24.6%	0.72×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys (0:2)	81.2%	82.9%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.10
Comerciantes Unidos (0:2)	6.5%	7.7%	11.4%	0.67×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys (0:3)	93.5%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	41.93
Comerciantes Unidos (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.75
Comerciantes Unidos (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.86

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (1:0)	70.2%	72.4%	74.6%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Sport Boys (1:0)	10.7%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos (2:0)	89.3%	88.5%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	5.6%	1.14×	15.65
Sport Boys (2:0)	3.0%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.6%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to concede	62.9%	63.7%	65.9%	0.97×	1.57
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet	37.1%	36.3%	34.1%	1.07×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 1st half	67.3%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 1st half	32.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet in 2nd half	55.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Comerciantes Unidos to concede in 2nd half	44.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 6.5 corners	82.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 corners	74.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Comerciantes Unidos under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Comerciantes Unidos under 4.5 corners	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 corners	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 corners	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Comerciantes Unidos over 4.5 corners	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Comerciantes Unidos over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 corners	25.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Comerciantes Unidos over 6.5 corners	17.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 3.5 goals	96.2%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Comerciantes Unidos under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 goals	71.4%	74.2%	80.1%	0.93×	1.35
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 goals	64.4%	63.6%	52.7%	1.21×	1.57
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 goals	35.6%	36.4%	47.3%	0.77×	2.75
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 goals	28.6%	25.8%	19.9%	1.29×	3.88
Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	22.5%	0.57×	7.85
Comerciantes Unidos over 3.5 goals	3.8%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos under 1.5 in 1st half	89.8%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Comerciantes Unidos under 0.5 in 1st half	58.4%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Comerciantes Unidos over 0.5 in 1st half	41.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Comerciantes Unidos over 1.5 in 1st half	10.2%	9.7%	—	—	10.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos scores equally in both	40.7%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Comerciantes Unidos scores more in 2nd half	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Comerciantes Unidos scores more in 1st half	24.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys (home no bet)	52.1%	51.4%	50.4%	1.02×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.9%	48.6%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos even goals	54.1%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Comerciantes Unidos odd goals	45.9%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	24.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Sport Boys at HT / Sport Boys at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Sport Boys at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Sport Boys at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Sport Boys at HT / Comerciantes Unidos at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Comerciantes Unidos at HT / Sport Boys at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos to score last	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Sport Boys to score last	39.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	10.1%	8.6%	—	—	11.58

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.9%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 1 at any time	56.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sport Boys to lead by 1 at any time	44.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 2 at any time	23.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Sport Boys to lead by 2 at any time	14.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Comerciantes Unidos to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Sport Boys to lead by 3 at any time	3.9%	1.6%	—	—	61.47

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos most corners	45.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sport Boys most corners	42.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.0%	72.3%	63.9%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.2%	63.3%	70.8%	0.89×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.4%	63.3%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.0%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.1%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.2%	39.2%	46.2%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.2%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.2%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.9%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.26
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.8%	1.41×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Comerciantes Unidos never behind	45.5%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Sport Boys never behind	33.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	85.7%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.9%	87.6%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	71.6%	1.15×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.1%	66.3%	72.5%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.9%	33.7%	27.5%	1.22×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	28.4%	0.62×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.1%	12.4%	7.8%	1.59×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	14.3%	0.54×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.3%	92.4%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.4%	75.9%	63.1%	1.20×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.7%	51.9%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.3%	48.1%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.6%	24.1%	36.9%	0.65×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.7%	7.6%	16.7%	0.46×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.9%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys not to score in both halves	85.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Comerciantes Unidos not to score in both halves	78.8%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Comerciantes Unidos to score in both halves	21.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Sport Boys to score in both halves	14.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.4%	46.6%	53.8%	0.87×	2.15
Only Comerciantes Unidos scores	27.0%	26.1%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Only Sport Boys scores	18.5%	16.0%	12.3%	1.30×	6.23
Neither team scores	10.1%	11.0%	7.8%	1.41×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.9%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.2%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.1%	12.1%	7.8%	1.55×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.4%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.7%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	26.9%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys not to win both halves	94.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Comerciantes Unidos not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Comerciantes Unidos to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Sport Boys to win both halves	5.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys to win neither half	57.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Comerciantes Unidos to win either half	54.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Comerciantes Unidos to win neither half	45.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sport Boys to win either half	42.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sport Boys not to win to nil	81.5%	83.1%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
Comerciantes Unidos not to win to nil	73.0%	75.3%	73.6%	1.02×	1.33
Comerciantes Unidos to win to nil	27.0%	24.7%	26.4%	0.93×	4.05
Sport Boys to win to nil	18.5%	16.9%	12.3%	1.37×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.4%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.59
Comerciantes Unidos by 1	24.0%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Sport Boys by 1	19.1%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Comerciantes Unidos by 2	12.3%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.51
Sport Boys by 2	7.7%	7.2%	5.6%	1.28×	13.91
Comerciantes Unidos by 3+	6.5%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.91
Sport Boys by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.88