Como v AC Milan — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 14 January 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425
Serie A
xG
Shots
12 – 12
On target
4 – 6
Shots in box
9 – 10
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.81 – 0.21
Goals − xG
-0.64 – +0.51
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Como 1.64 xGAC Milan 1.49 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Como attacking right
AC Milan attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 AC Milan |
Emerson | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Rafael Leão |
| 5' |
 Como |
Gabriel Strefezza | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Alieu Fadera |
| 7' |
Como |
Marc-Oliver Kempf | 0.06 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Lucas Da Cunha |
| 8' |
AC Milan |
Youssouf Fofana | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Rafael Leão |
| 12' |
Como |
Gabriel Strefezza | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Alieu Fadera |
| 20' |
AC Milan |
Tijjani Reijnders | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Rafael Leão |
| 20' |
AC Milan |
Álvaro Morata | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 26' |
AC Milan |
Youssouf Fofana | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 34' |
Como |
Assane Diao | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Alieu Fadera |
| 45' |
Como |
Lucas Da Cunha | 0.05 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 46' |
Como |
Assane Diao | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Lucas Da Cunha |
| 51' |
AC Milan |
Alejandro Jiménez | 0.39 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 51' |
AC Milan |
Tijjani Reijnders | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 51' |
Como |
Assane Diao | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Maxence Caqueret |
| 59' |
AC Milan |
Alejandro Jiménez | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Tijjani Reijnders |
| 59' |
Como |
Assane Diao | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Maxence Caqueret |
| 66' |
AC Milan |
Matteo Gabbia | 0.10 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Tijjani Reijnders |
| 70' |
AC Milan |
Matteo Gabbia | 0.03 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Tijjani Reijnders |
| 70' |
AC Milan |
Theo Hernández | 0.07 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 75' |
AC Milan |
Rafael Leão | 0.32 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Tammy Abraham |
| 83' |
Como |
Alberto Dossena | 0.13 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Marc-Oliver Kempf |
| 85' |
Como |
Patrick Cutrone | 0.58 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Marc-Oliver Kempf |
| 91' |
Como |
Andrea Belotti | 0.51 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Alieu Fadera |
| 91' |
Como |
Andrea Belotti | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Simone Verdi |
Players
AC Milan
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Leão AML | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 0.52 |
| Tijjani Reijnders AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| Theo Hernández DL | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Emerson DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| Fikayo Tomori DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| Mike Maignan GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Youssouf Fofana DMC | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Malick Thiaw DC | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Álvaro Morata FW | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Ismael Bennacer DMC | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Christian Pulisic AMR | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Alejandro Jiménez Sub | 43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Tammy Abraham Sub | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Yunus Musah Sub | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Matteo Gabbia Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Francesco Camarda Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Como
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cutrone FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Assane Diao AMC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Marc-Oliver Kempf DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| Lucas Da Cunha MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.61 |
| Jean Butez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Edoardo Goldaniga DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Alieu Fadera DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| Ignace Van der Brempt DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Alberto Dossena DC | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yannick Engelhardt MC | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Gabriel Strefezza AMC | 47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Maxence Caqueret Sub | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Máximo Perrone Sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Alessandro Gabrielloni Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Andrea Belotti Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Simone Verdi Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |