Como v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Como

14:00 UTC

Juventus

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 939h before kick-off

Como win

49.2%

model 46.3%

Draw

23.1%

model 24.7%

Juventus win

27.8%

model 29.0%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
1-0 9.6%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 7.7%
0-1 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.4%	Under 2.5	46.6%
BTTS yes	56.1%	BTTS no	43.9%
Como 1+	79.8%	Como 2+	47.5%
Juventus 1+	70.3%	Juventus 2+	34.3%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

87%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 47%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both halves over 1.5

Both halves O1.5 · usually 87%

81.5% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 709 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Como carry the stronger rating, 1722 Elo against 1677.
Como have created 2.20 xG a match over their last five while Juventus have allowed 0.58.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
At home Como average 2.69 xG a match.
Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Juventus were missing 1.39 expected goal involvements a match against 0.96.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.87).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Como have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for Juventus and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.60 for Como and 1.22 for Juventus.

Why Como

Como carry the stronger rating, 1722 Elo against 1677. Como have created 2.20 xG a match over their last five while Juventus have allowed 0.58. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. At home Como average 2.69 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Juventus were missing 1.39 expected goal involvements a match against 0.96.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Juventus can win

Juventus have created 1.87 xG a match over their last five while Como have allowed 1.45. Away from home Juventus average 2.13 xG a match.

Key players

Como's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Tasos Douvikas (0.48), Nico Paz (0.40), Assane Diao (0.32). Juventus's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kenan Yildiz (0.43), Randal Kolo Muani (0.43), Dusan Vlahovic (0.38).

Availability

1 of Como's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Como's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Juventus's top three contributors did not start their last match. 45% of Juventus's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Como: 62% possession, 22.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.49 xG a match from set pieces. Juventus: 58% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.62 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Como are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Como are finishing below their chances — 4.0 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 6.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWDWWWLDW last 10 scored 18 from 22.0 xG conceded 8 from 14.5 xG

Juventus are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 6.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

WLDWWDLWDL last 10 scored 12 from 18.7 xG conceded 12 from 5.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462529	1.60–1.22	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332740	1.20–1.34	1-1 13%	47%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win	38.6%	36.4%	33.7%	1.08×	2.75
Como to win	35.2%	36.3%	40.0%	0.91×	2.75
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus & not both score	20.6%	21.8%	20.6%	1.06×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	18.6%	0.96×	5.57
Como & not both score	18.6%	18.0%	22.6%	0.80×	5.57
Juventus & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.57
Como & both teams score	16.6%	18.0%	17.5%	1.02×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.3%	7.9%	1.05×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus & over 1.5	29.0%	26.1%	24.6%	1.06×	3.84
Juventus & under 3.5	27.6%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.84
Como & over 1.5	26.1%	26.1%	29.9%	0.87×	3.84
Como & under 3.5	25.5%	26.1%	29.6%	0.88×	3.84
Juventus & over 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	18.1%	1.19×	4.63
Como & over 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Juventus & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Como & under 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Juventus & over 3.5	11.0%	12.8%	7.5%	1.72×	7.79
Como & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Como & over 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Juventus & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.9%	1.00×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (1UP)	55.0%	52.7%	50.5%	1.04×	1.90
Como (1UP)	52.0%	52.6%	55.3%	0.95×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (2UP)	38.6%	37.5%	36.2%	1.04×	2.67
Como (2UP)	35.2%	37.3%	41.8%	0.89×	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.1%	36.1%	35.0%	1.03×	2.77
Como to win 2nd half	34.3%	34.3%	35.0%	0.98×	2.91
Juventus to win 2nd half	29.5%	25.8%	30.2%	0.86×	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	84.4%	85.1%	0.99×	1.19
Juventus over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	52.6%	50.0%	1.05×	1.90
Juventus under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	47.4%	50.0%	0.95×	2.11
Juventus over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	15.6%	14.9%	1.05×	6.41

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	82.4%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Como over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	57.9%	53.7%	1.08×	1.73
Como under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	42.1%	46.3%	0.91×	2.38
Como over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	17.6%	18.5%	0.95×	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Juventus (+1.5)	84.6%	82.5%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Juventus (+0.5)	64.8%	63.0%	60.0%	1.05×	1.59
Como (+0.5)	61.4%	62.9%	66.3%	0.95×	1.59
Juventus (-0.5)	38.6%	37.1%	33.7%	1.10×	2.70
Como (-0.5)	35.2%	37.0%	40.0%	0.93×	2.70
Como (-1.5)	15.4%	17.5%	17.5%	0.99×	5.73
Como (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to concede	72.3%	76.7%	71.6%	1.07×	1.30
Juventus clean sheet	27.7%	23.3%	28.4%	0.82×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus clean sheet in 1st half	62.3%	65.1%	57.9%	1.12×	1.54
Juventus to concede in 1st half	37.7%	34.9%	42.1%	0.83×	2.87

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to concede in 2nd half	55.6%	57.3%	53.7%	1.07×	1.75
Juventus clean sheet in 2nd half	44.4%	42.7%	46.3%	0.92×	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 6.5 corners	82.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Juventus under 5.5 corners	72.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Juventus over 2.5 corners	72.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Juventus under 4.5 corners	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Juventus over 3.5 corners	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Juventus under 3.5 corners	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Juventus over 4.5 corners	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Juventus under 2.5 corners	27.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Juventus over 5.5 corners	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Juventus over 6.5 corners	17.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Juventus under 2.5 goals	84.4%	81.5%	88.1%	0.92×	1.23
Juventus over 0.5 goals	74.3%	71.9%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Juventus under 1.5 goals	60.6%	63.2%	65.0%	0.97×	1.58
Juventus over 1.5 goals	39.4%	36.8%	35.0%	1.05×	2.71
Juventus under 0.5 goals	25.7%	28.1%	30.4%	0.92×	3.56
Juventus over 2.5 goals	15.6%	18.5%	11.9%	1.56×	5.40
Juventus over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.78

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus under 1.5 in 1st half	86.8%	89.3%	89.9%	0.99×	1.12
Juventus under 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	55.5%	58.8%	0.94×	1.80
Juventus over 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	44.5%	41.2%	1.08×	2.25
Juventus over 1.5 in 1st half	13.2%	10.7%	10.1%	1.06×	9.32

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus scores equally in both	38.9%	37.4%	43.4%	0.86×	2.68
Juventus scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.7%	32.8%	1.03×	2.97
Juventus scores more in 1st half	27.5%	26.3%	23.9%	1.10×	3.80

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (away no bet)	57.4%	57.4%	60.2%	0.95×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.6%	42.6%	39.8%	1.07×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus even goals	53.3%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90
Juventus odd goals	46.7%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.2%	87.9%	87.3%	1.01×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.8%	12.1%	12.7%	0.95×	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.0%	57.7%	60.2%	0.96×	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.0%	42.3%	39.8%	1.06×	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.8%	51.1%	53.4%	0.96×	1.96
Juventus to score 2+ in a row	31.2%	29.1%	27.8%	1.05×	3.43
Como to score 2+ in a row	28.6%	25.2%	31.7%	0.80×	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.3%	17.9%	0.91×	6.15
Juventus to score 3+ in a row	9.8%	5.6%	7.9%	0.71×	17.76
Como to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.6%	10.1%	0.55×	17.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como corners (+3.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Juventus corners (+3.5)	79.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Como corners (+2.5)	79.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Juventus corners (+2.5)	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Como corners (+1.5)	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Juventus corners (+1.5)	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Como corners (-1.5)	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juventus corners (-1.5)	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Como corners (-2.5)	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Como corners (-3.5)	20.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Juventus corners (-2.5)	20.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Juventus corners (-3.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	23.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.72
0-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.50
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.50
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.51
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.50
2-0	5.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.78×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.31
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2nd half DNB)	53.8%	53.0%	53.7%	0.99×	1.89
Juventus (2nd half DNB)	46.2%	47.1%	46.3%	1.02×	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus leading at HT (DNB)	59.1%	57.5%	48.9%	1.18×	1.74
Como leading at HT (DNB)	40.9%	42.5%	51.1%	0.83×	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or Juventus (12)	73.9%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Juventus or draw (X2)	64.8%	63.7%	60.0%	1.06×	1.57
Como or draw (1X)	61.4%	63.6%	66.3%	0.96×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw at HT	77.0%	79.1%	71.6%	1.10×	1.27
Como or draw at HT	66.8%	66.6%	72.8%	0.92×	1.50
Como or Juventus at HT	56.2%	57.1%	55.4%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus or draw (1UP)	64.8%	71.8%	65.5%	1.10×	1.39
Como or draw (1UP)	61.4%	71.6%	71.6%	1.00×	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	74.2%	69.8%	1.06×	1.35
Juventus or draw in 2nd half	65.7%	65.7%	65.0%	1.01×	1.52
Como or Juventus in 2nd half	63.9%	63.9%	65.0%	0.98×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.1%	61.5%	63.5%	0.97×	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.9%	38.5%	36.5%	1.05×	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (DNB)	52.3%	50.9%	45.7%	1.12×	1.96
Como (DNB)	47.7%	49.1%	54.3%	0.90×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score first	47.7%	46.0%	43.6%	1.05×	2.17
Como to score first	45.2%	45.9%	48.6%	0.95×	2.18
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.7%	51.3%	49.2%	1.04×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.3%	48.7%	50.8%	0.96×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.3%	41.6%	37.4%	1.11×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	38.4%	38.4%	40.1%	0.96×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.5%	85.6%	86.5%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.5%	14.4%	13.5%	1.07×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.3%	73.7%	74.9%	0.98×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.7%	26.3%	25.1%	1.05×	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.7%	60.1%	62.7%	0.96×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.7%	21.1%	20.3%	1.04×	4.74
Both score 1st half only	12.6%	10.7%	12.3%	0.87×	9.36
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.8%	4.9%	1.37×	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.4%	83.2%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.6%	16.8%	17.1%	0.98×	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.5%	52.7%	52.8%	1.00×	1.90
A half without a goal	47.5%	47.3%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.2%	48.4%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.9%	26.6%	27.0%	0.98×	3.76
4-6 goals	25.5%	26.6%	23.8%	1.12×	3.76
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	1.0%	1.91×	54.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.9%	34.7%	0.97×	2.95
Juventus to score exactly 0	25.7%	27.4%	30.4%	0.90×	3.66
Juventus to score exactly 2	23.7%	22.3%	23.2%	0.96×	4.48
Juventus to score 3+	15.6%	19.6%	11.9%	1.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Como to score exactly 0	27.7%	26.5%	28.4%	0.94×	3.77
Como to score exactly 2	22.8%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.29
Como to score 3+	13.9%	14.3%	15.0%	0.95×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.8%	42.9%	44.6%	0.96×	2.33
Juventus leading at HT	33.2%	33.4%	27.2%	1.23×	3.00
Como leading at HT	23.0%	20.9%	28.4%	0.74×	4.78

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus -1: 1	61.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Juventus -1: X	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Juventus -1: 2	17.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:1)	64.8%	61.4%	60.0%	1.02×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.61
Como (0:1)	15.4%	17.8%	17.5%	1.01×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:2)	84.6%	83.0%	82.5%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	11.0%	10.0%	1.10×	9.11
Como (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.02
Como (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	81.98
Como (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (1:0)	61.4%	65.3%	66.3%	0.98×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	20.9%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61
Juventus (1:0)	17.7%	17.1%	14.4%	1.19×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2:0)	82.3%	84.6%	85.6%	0.99×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.3%	10.3%	8.7%	1.19×	9.73
Juventus (2:0)	6.4%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.8%	46.2%	1.06×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	27.0%	0.97×	3.81
Halves equal	25.4%	26.2%	26.9%	0.97×	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede	74.3%	73.2%	69.6%	1.05×	1.37
Como clean sheet	25.7%	26.8%	30.4%	0.88×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como clean sheet in 1st half	53.3%	55.5%	58.8%	0.94×	1.80
Como to concede in 1st half	46.7%	44.5%	41.2%	1.08×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede in 2nd half	51.7%	52.7%	50.0%	1.05×	1.90
Como clean sheet in 2nd half	48.3%	47.3%	50.0%	0.95×	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como over 2.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Como under 6.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Como under 5.5 corners	65.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Como over 3.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Como under 4.5 corners	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Como over 4.5 corners	47.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Como under 3.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Como over 5.5 corners	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Como over 6.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Como under 2.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Como under 2.5 goals	86.1%	87.2%	85.0%	1.03×	1.15
Como over 0.5 goals	72.3%	74.2%	71.6%	1.04×	1.35
Como under 1.5 goals	63.2%	63.6%	60.3%	1.05×	1.57
Como over 1.5 goals	36.8%	36.4%	39.7%	0.92×	2.75
Como under 0.5 goals	27.7%	25.8%	28.4%	0.91×	3.88
Como over 2.5 goals	13.9%	12.8%	15.0%	0.85×	7.84
Como over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	4.7%	0.78×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	94.7%	89.3%	1.06×	1.06
Como under 0.5 in 1st half	62.3%	64.9%	57.9%	1.12×	1.54
Como over 0.5 in 1st half	37.7%	35.1%	42.1%	0.83×	2.85
Como over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	5.3%	10.7%	0.49×	18.91

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	42.0%	36.2%	1.16×	2.38
Como scores equally in both	39.4%	37.9%	41.7%	0.91×	2.64
Como scores more in 1st half	19.9%	16.3%	22.2%	0.73×	6.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus (home no bet)	59.7%	56.5%	56.0%	1.01×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.3%	43.5%	44.0%	0.99×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como even goals	53.8%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Como odd goals	46.2%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.2%	33.4%	33.8%	0.99×	2.99
HT 0-1	20.9%	24.4%	18.1%	1.34×	4.10
HT 1-0	15.7%	18.5%	18.4%	1.01×	5.39
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.45
HT 0-2	6.6%	6.9%	5.4%	1.28×	14.50
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.4%	5.8%	0.41×	42.04
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.03
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.07
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.13
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	0.7%	3.28×	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus at HT / Juventus at FT	24.0%	21.8%	19.1%	1.14×	4.58
Como at HT / Como at FT	17.3%	16.7%	22.0%	0.76×	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.8%	16.7%	16.1%	1.04×	5.99
Draw at HT / Como at FT	15.1%	16.7%	15.9%	1.05×	5.99
Draw at HT / Juventus at FT	12.9%	12.6%	12.9%	0.98×	7.91
Juventus at HT / Draw at FT	6.2%	6.0%	5.9%	1.02×	16.65
Como at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.62
Juventus at HT / Como at FT	2.9%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.66
Como at HT / Juventus at FT	1.7%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.70

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to score last	47.7%	46.5%	44.0%	1.06×	2.15
Como to score last	45.2%	46.4%	48.2%	0.96×	2.16
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.7%	92.1%	1.01×	1.08
Juventus to lead by 1 at any time	55.0%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Como to lead by 1 at any time	52.0%	50.9%	55.3%	0.92×	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.6%	39.2%	43.6%	0.90×	2.55
Juventus to lead by 2 at any time	23.6%	19.7%	20.2%	0.97×	5.08
Como to lead by 2 at any time	21.2%	19.6%	23.9%	0.82×	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	14.9%	15.1%	0.98×	6.71
Juventus to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	6.5%	1.04×	14.87
Como to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.7%	8.8%	0.76×	14.93

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como most corners	49.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Juventus most corners	39.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.4%	80.8%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.2%	72.4%	72.1%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.9%	68.8%	70.1%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.6%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	61.7%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.4%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.5%	48.4%	1.00×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.0%	43.6%	45.2%	0.96×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.7%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.2%	36.8%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.5%	30.2%	23.8%	1.27×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.1%	24.5%	21.8%	1.13×	4.08
5-6 goals	11.0%	14.8%	10.6%	1.40×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus never behind	40.9%	48.4%	44.7%	1.08×	2.07
Como never behind	37.9%	44.1%	49.5%	0.89×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	57.6%	56.6%	1.02×	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	42.4%	43.4%	0.98×	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	50.6%	1.03×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	49.4%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	75.4%	0.96×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.8%	52.5%	51.9%	1.01×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.2%	47.5%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	24.6%	1.12×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	27.0%	1.02×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	11.4%	1.09×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	7.9%	0.97×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	3.0%	2.57×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.3%	92.4%	96.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.0%	81.1%	86.8%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.5%	67.4%	64.0%	1.05×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.0%	67.4%	67.8%	0.99×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.0%	32.6%	32.2%	1.01×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.5%	32.6%	36.0%	0.90×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.0%	18.9%	13.2%	1.44×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.7%	7.6%	3.3%	2.31×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	1.0%	2.86×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.0%	89.3%	91.2%	0.98×	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.8%	68.5%	70.1%	0.98×	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.4%	66.2%	1.03×	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.6%	33.8%	0.93×	3.17
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.2%	31.5%	29.9%	1.05×	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.0%	10.7%	8.8%	1.22×	9.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.4%	82.5%	0.96×	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.4%	78.6%	1.01×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.5%	53.2%	57.0%	0.93×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.5%	46.8%	43.0%	1.09×	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.6%	21.4%	0.96×	4.86
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.6%	17.5%	1.17×	4.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to score in both halves	79.0%	78.5%	75.8%	1.03×	1.27
Juventus not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.3%	78.4%	1.00×	1.28
Juventus to score in both halves	24.2%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Como to score in both halves	21.0%	21.5%	24.2%	0.89×	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.7%	53.9%	49.2%	1.10×	1.86
Only Juventus scores	20.6%	22.2%	20.6%	1.08×	4.50
Only Como scores	18.6%	16.0%	22.6%	0.71×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.1%	7.9%	0.90×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.9%	22.6%	25.0%	0.90×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.6%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.8%	17.5%	19.2%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	7.6%	7.6%	8.5%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	7.9%	0.96×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	3.0%	2.53×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.4%	36.4%	1.03×	2.67
No goals in 1st half	33.2%	35.9%	33.8%	1.06×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.2%	21.5%	21.3%	1.01×	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.0%	10.6%	8.8%	1.21×	9.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.5%	45.0%	43.0%	1.05×	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.8%	35.7%	0.95×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	21.5%	22.7%	21.4%	1.06×	4.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to win both halves	92.1%	94.1%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Juventus not to win both halves	90.2%	94.1%	91.1%	1.03×	1.06
Juventus to win both halves	9.8%	5.9%	8.9%	0.67×	16.82
Como to win both halves	7.9%	5.9%	10.1%	0.58×	16.95

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juventus to win either half	52.9%	54.3%	48.4%	1.12×	1.84
Como to win neither half	50.6%	54.2%	46.8%	1.16×	1.84
Como to win either half	49.4%	45.8%	53.2%	0.86×	2.19
Juventus to win neither half	47.1%	45.7%	51.6%	0.89×	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to win to nil	81.4%	83.1%	77.4%	1.07×	1.20
Juventus not to win to nil	79.4%	78.1%	79.4%	0.98×	1.28
Juventus to win to nil	20.6%	21.9%	20.6%	1.06×	4.58
Como to win to nil	18.6%	16.9%	22.6%	0.75×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.4%	1.05×	3.59
Juventus by 1	20.9%	24.1%	19.4%	1.25×	4.15
Como by 1	19.8%	17.1%	22.6%	0.75×	5.86
Juventus by 2	11.3%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.51
Como by 2	10.1%	11.7%	10.0%	1.18×	8.51
Juventus by 3+	6.4%	7.2%	5.9%	1.22×	13.91
Como by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	7.7%	0.93×	13.92