Como v Roma — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Como

0–0

1.85 – 1.14 xG

Roma

Shots

19 – 9

On target

4 – 2

Shots in box

9 – 4

xG per shot

0.10 – 0.13

Set-piece xG

0.13 – 0.04

Goals − xG

-1.85 – -1.14

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 10 Oct, 10:59 · 24h before kick-off

Como win

48.1%

model 45.1%

Draw

22.6%

model 23.9%

Roma win

29.3%

model 30.9%

482329

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 8.2%
1-2 7.4%
2-0 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.8%	Under 2.5	42.2%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
Como 1+	81.1%	Como 2+	49.6%
Roma 1+	73.8%	Roma 2+	38.7%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

95/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 47%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1171 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Como have created 2.10 xG a match over their last five while Roma have allowed 0.82.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
At home Como average 2.68 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Como have an estimated 48.1% win probability, against 29.3% for Roma and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Como and 1.34 for Roma.

Why Como

Como have created 2.10 xG a match over their last five while Roma have allowed 0.82. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. At home Como average 2.68 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Roma can win

Roma carry the stronger rating, 1750 Elo against 1709. Roma have created 2.85 xG a match over their last five while Como have allowed 1.22. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. Away from home Roma average 2.94 xG a match.

Key players

Como's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Tasos Douvikas (0.48), Nico Paz (0.39), Lucas Da Cunha (0.31). Roma's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Donyell Malen (0.82), Paulo Dybala (0.60), Artem Dovbyk (0.30).

Availability

Como changed goalkeeper for their last match. 27% of Como's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Roma's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Como: 62% possession, 23.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.61 xG a match from set pieces. Roma: 58% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.22 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-10 14:48 · team_stats 2026-10-10 06:03 · availability 2026-10-10 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Como are the model's most likely outcome at 48.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 95/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Como are finishing below their chances — 4.0 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 6.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWDWWWLDW last 10 scored 18 from 22.0 xG conceded 8 from 14.5 xG

Roma are finishing below their chances — 3.6 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWWWWWDDW last 10 scored 23 from 26.6 xG conceded 5 from 9.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	452431	1.67–1.34	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	412534	1.48–1.34	1-1 12%	53%	57%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	402634	1.43–1.30	1-1 12%	51%	55%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win	40.8%	42.9%	39.7%	1.08×	2.33
Roma to win	34.5%	30.5%	33.7%	0.90×	3.28
Draw	24.7%	24.4%	26.7%	0.91×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como & both teams score	21.1%	21.8%	17.2%	1.26×	4.59
Como & not both score	19.6%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Roma & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.57
Roma & not both score	16.3%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	8.0%	1.04×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como & over 1.5	32.4%	30.8%	29.4%	1.05×	3.25
Roma & over 1.5	27.0%	26.1%	24.5%	1.06×	3.84
Como & under 3.5	26.7%	26.1%	29.6%	0.88×	3.84
Como & over 2.5	26.1%	26.1%	22.8%	1.14×	3.84
Roma & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	26.5%	0.82×	4.63
Roma & over 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	17.9%	1.21×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.0%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Como & under 2.5	14.7%	12.9%	17.0%	0.76×	7.78
Como & over 3.5	14.1%	12.9%	10.2%	1.26×	7.78
Roma & under 2.5	12.8%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.78
Roma & over 3.5	11.4%	12.9%	7.4%	1.74×	7.78
Como & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Roma & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	9.4%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (1UP)	58.0%	58.4%	55.0%	1.06×	1.71
Roma (1UP)	52.7%	52.7%	50.9%	1.04×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2UP)	40.8%	47.0%	41.5%	1.13×	2.13
Roma (2UP)	34.5%	31.4%	36.3%	0.86×	3.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win 2nd half	44.0%	41.9%	35.0%	1.20×	2.39
2nd half drawn	33.2%	34.1%	35.2%	0.97×	2.93
Roma to win 2nd half	22.9%	23.9%	29.9%	0.80×	4.18

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	87.5%	85.1%	1.03×	1.14
Roma under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	52.9%	50.0%	1.06×	1.89
Roma over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	47.1%	50.0%	0.94×	2.12
Roma over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	12.5%	14.9%	0.84×	8.02

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.2%	74.0%	81.3%	0.91×	1.35
Como over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.6%	63.1%	53.8%	1.17×	1.58
Como under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.4%	36.9%	46.2%	0.80×	2.71
Como over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.8%	26.0%	18.7%	1.39×	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	92.5%	1.00×	1.09
Roma (+1.5)	80.0%	82.5%	82.9%	1.00×	1.21
Como (+0.5)	65.5%	68.6%	66.3%	1.04×	1.46
Roma (+0.5)	59.2%	57.1%	60.3%	0.95×	1.75
Como (-0.5)	40.8%	42.9%	39.7%	1.08×	2.33
Roma (-0.5)	34.5%	31.4%	33.7%	0.93×	3.19
Como (-1.5)	20.0%	17.5%	17.1%	1.02×	5.71
Como (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	7.5%	1.05×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to concede	78.2%	78.8%	71.4%	1.10×	1.27
Roma clean sheet	21.8%	21.2%	28.6%	0.74×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma clean sheet in 1st half	61.6%	64.5%	58.4%	1.11×	1.55
Roma to concede in 1st half	38.4%	35.5%	41.6%	0.85×	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to concede in 2nd half	64.6%	61.0%	53.8%	1.13×	1.64
Roma clean sheet in 2nd half	35.4%	39.0%	46.2%	0.84×	2.57

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 6.5 corners	89.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Roma under 5.5 corners	81.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Roma under 4.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Roma over 2.5 corners	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Roma under 3.5 corners	54.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Roma over 3.5 corners	45.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Roma under 2.5 corners	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Roma over 4.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Roma over 5.5 corners	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.36
Roma over 6.5 corners	10.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Roma under 2.5 goals	83.8%	81.4%	88.4%	0.92×	1.23
Roma over 0.5 goals	74.9%	72.0%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Roma under 1.5 goals	59.8%	59.3%	65.1%	0.91×	1.69
Roma over 1.5 goals	40.2%	40.7%	34.9%	1.17×	2.46
Roma under 0.5 goals	25.1%	28.0%	30.4%	0.92×	3.57
Roma over 2.5 goals	16.2%	18.6%	11.6%	1.61×	5.38
Roma over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	3.0%	2.59×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 1.5 in 1st half	83.6%	83.1%	90.1%	0.92×	1.20
Roma over 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	55.4%	41.0%	1.35×	1.80
Roma under 0.5 in 1st half	48.4%	44.6%	59.0%	0.76×	2.24
Roma over 1.5 in 1st half	16.4%	16.9%	9.9%	1.71×	5.93

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma scores equally in both	38.6%	37.0%	43.6%	0.85×	2.70
Roma scores more in 1st half	32.7%	33.4%	23.6%	1.41×	3.00
Roma scores more in 2nd half	28.7%	26.9%	32.9%	0.82×	3.72

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (away no bet)	62.3%	62.0%	59.7%	1.04×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.7%	38.0%	40.3%	0.94×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma even goals	53.2%	52.6%	55.8%	0.94×	1.90
Roma odd goals	46.8%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.8%	83.1%	87.2%	0.95×	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.2%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	68.4%	59.6%	1.15×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	31.6%	40.4%	0.78×	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.7%	55.3%	53.0%	1.04×	1.81
Como to score 2+ in a row	35.6%	36.2%	31.4%	1.15×	2.77
Roma to score 2+ in a row	30.7%	29.2%	27.7%	1.05×	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	17.2%	1.13×	5.12
Como to score 3+ in a row	12.2%	12.0%	9.7%	1.24×	8.31
Roma to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.7%	7.6%	0.75×	17.45

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como corners (+3.5)	88.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Roma corners (+3.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Como corners (+2.5)	81.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Roma corners (+2.5)	74.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Como corners (+1.5)	72.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Roma corners (+1.5)	63.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Como corners (-1.5)	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Roma corners (-1.5)	27.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Como corners (-2.5)	25.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Roma corners (-2.5)	18.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Como corners (-3.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Roma corners (-3.5)	11.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	64.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	23.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
12+ corners	12.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	91.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	87.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	81.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	64.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 8.5 corners	35.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	18.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 11.5 corners	12.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	8.4%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.73
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.50
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.50
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.50
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.50
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.50
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.34
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	58.35
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.33
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.35
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.34
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.34
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.33
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.34
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.35
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.35
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.34
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.92×	58.35
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.96×	58.35
Any other score	3.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.33

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2nd half DNB)	65.8%	68.8%	53.9%	1.28×	1.45
Roma (2nd half DNB)	34.2%	31.2%	46.1%	0.68×	3.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma leading at HT (DNB)	62.9%	64.9%	49.3%	1.31×	1.54
Como leading at HT (DNB)	37.1%	35.1%	50.7%	0.69×	2.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or Roma (12)	75.3%	75.6%	73.3%	1.03×	1.32
Como or draw (1X)	65.5%	69.5%	66.3%	1.05×	1.44
Roma or draw (X2)	59.2%	57.1%	60.3%	0.95×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma or draw at HT	78.2%	79.5%	72.0%	1.10×	1.26
Como or draw at HT	63.1%	61.9%	72.8%	0.85×	1.62
Como or Roma at HT	58.7%	57.1%	55.0%	1.04×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw (1UP)	65.5%	75.4%	71.6%	1.05×	1.33
Roma or draw (1UP)	59.2%	63.3%	66.0%	0.96×	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw in 2nd half	77.1%	76.1%	70.1%	1.09×	1.31
Como or Roma in 2nd half	66.8%	65.9%	64.8%	1.02×	1.52
Roma or draw in 2nd half	56.0%	58.1%	65.0%	0.89×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.8%	61.4%	63.9%	0.96×	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.2%	38.6%	36.1%	1.07×	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (DNB)	54.1%	51.1%	54.0%	0.95×	1.96
Roma (DNB)	45.9%	48.9%	46.0%	1.06×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score first	49.5%	45.9%	48.2%	0.95×	2.18
Roma to score first	45.0%	42.2%	44.0%	0.96×	2.37
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	8.0%	0.92×	13.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.5%	55.0%	49.0%	1.12×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.5%	45.0%	51.0%	0.88×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.0%	44.4%	37.2%	1.19×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	33.0%	34.5%	40.8%	0.85×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	11.9%	1.03×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.3%	10.3%	0.80×	12.04

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.9%	82.6%	86.5%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.1%	17.4%	13.5%	1.28×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.9%	67.8%	74.6%	0.91×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.1%	32.2%	25.4%	1.27×	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.3%	59.9%	62.9%	0.95×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.9%	21.0%	20.4%	1.02×	4.77
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.7%	11.8%	0.90×	9.37
Both score in both halves	6.2%	6.9%	5.0%	1.36×	14.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.2%	83.1%	83.3%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.8%	16.9%	16.7%	1.01×	5.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.3%	57.2%	52.3%	1.09×	1.75
A half without a goal	42.7%	42.8%	47.7%	0.90×	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.5%	47.2%	48.3%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.2%	30.8%	23.5%	1.31×	3.25
0-1 goals	21.4%	22.9%	27.5%	0.83×	4.38
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	1.0%	1.86×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to score exactly 1	34.7%	33.8%	34.9%	0.97×	2.96
Roma to score exactly 0	25.1%	27.4%	30.4%	0.90×	3.65
Roma to score exactly 2	24.0%	22.3%	23.4%	0.95×	4.48
Roma to score 3+	16.2%	19.6%	11.6%	1.69×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.5%	32.1%	1.01×	3.07
Como to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Como to score exactly 0	21.8%	23.3%	28.6%	0.82×	4.30
Como to score 3+	19.7%	18.8%	14.5%	1.30×	5.31

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.9%	45.0%	0.95×	2.33
Roma leading at HT	36.9%	38.1%	27.2%	1.40×	2.63
Como leading at HT	21.8%	20.5%	28.0%	0.73×	4.87

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como -1: 2	59.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Como -1: X	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Como -1: 1	20.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:1)	59.2%	55.8%	60.3%	0.93×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.2%	22.7%	1.07×	4.13
Como (0:1)	20.0%	17.8%	17.1%	1.04×	5.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:2)	80.0%	82.9%	82.9%	1.00×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.2%	11.0%	9.7%	1.13×	9.12
Como (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	7.5%	1.02×	13.01

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:3)	92.2%	92.7%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	4.6%	1.27×	17.29
Como (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	3.1%	0.77×	42.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.2%	0.55×	82.64
Como (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	82.77

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (1:0)	65.5%	69.9%	66.3%	1.05×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.1%	19.7%	0.87×	5.85
Roma (1:0)	15.7%	17.1%	14.2%	1.21×	5.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2:0)	84.3%	84.7%	85.8%	0.99×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.0%	10.3%	8.6%	1.19×	9.74
Roma (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	5.7%	1.12×	15.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.2%	46.4%	1.04×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.3%	26.5%	0.99×	3.80
Halves equal	24.0%	24.3%	27.2%	0.89×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede	74.9%	73.2%	69.6%	1.05×	1.37
Como clean sheet	25.1%	26.8%	30.4%	0.88×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede in 1st half	51.6%	55.4%	41.0%	1.35×	1.80
Como clean sheet in 1st half	48.4%	44.6%	59.0%	0.76×	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como clean sheet in 2nd half	51.8%	52.8%	50.0%	1.06×	1.90
Como to concede in 2nd half	48.2%	47.2%	50.0%	0.94×	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 6.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Como under 5.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Como over 2.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Como under 4.5 corners	63.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Como over 3.5 corners	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Como under 3.5 corners	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Como over 4.5 corners	37.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Como under 2.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Como over 5.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Como over 6.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.2%	95.4%	0.97×	1.08
Como under 2.5 goals	80.3%	82.2%	85.5%	0.96×	1.22
Como over 0.5 goals	78.2%	77.7%	71.4%	1.09×	1.29
Como under 1.5 goals	55.0%	58.6%	60.6%	0.97×	1.71
Como over 1.5 goals	45.0%	41.4%	39.4%	1.05×	2.42
Como under 0.5 goals	21.8%	22.3%	28.6%	0.78×	4.49
Como over 2.5 goals	19.7%	17.8%	14.5%	1.23×	5.60
Como over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.8%	4.6%	1.71×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.8%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Como under 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	64.1%	58.4%	1.10×	1.56
Como over 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	35.9%	41.6%	0.86×	2.79
Como over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.2%	10.1%	0.51×	19.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como scores more in 2nd half	48.7%	47.9%	36.5%	1.31×	2.09
Como scores equally in both	34.3%	33.2%	42.1%	0.79×	3.01
Como scores more in 1st half	17.0%	14.6%	21.6%	0.68×	6.83

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (home no bet)	58.3%	56.5%	55.8%	1.01×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.7%	43.5%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como even goals	52.4%	50.7%	56.5%	0.90×	1.97
Como odd goals	47.6%	49.3%	43.5%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.8%	28.6%	34.1%	0.84×	3.50
HT 0-1	21.6%	24.1%	18.4%	1.32×	4.14
HT 1-0	14.5%	10.9%	18.6%	0.59×	9.17
HT 1-1	10.5%	10.9%	10.3%	1.05×	9.21
HT 0-2	7.8%	7.0%	5.3%	1.31×	14.38
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.4%	3.1%	0.77×	42.20
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	2.6%	0.91×	42.28
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.4%	5.5%	0.43×	42.30
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	2.3%	1.01×	42.36
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	0.7%	3.19×	42.47

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma at HT / Roma at FT	24.0%	21.7%	19.0%	1.14×	4.61
Draw at HT / Como at FT	18.1%	16.8%	15.9%	1.06×	5.96
Como at HT / Como at FT	17.6%	16.8%	21.6%	0.78×	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	16.3%	0.78×	7.90
Draw at HT / Roma at FT	9.4%	6.1%	13.1%	0.47×	16.35
Roma at HT / Draw at FT	7.9%	6.1%	6.0%	1.01×	16.39
Roma at HT / Como at FT	5.0%	6.1%	2.5%	2.46×	16.47
Como at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.5%	4.7%	0.74×	28.90
Como at HT / Roma at FT	1.1%	3.5%	2.0%	1.75×	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score last	49.5%	46.6%	48.3%	0.97×	2.14
Roma to score last	45.0%	40.3%	43.8%	0.92×	2.48
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	8.0%	0.92×	13.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.7%	92.0%	1.01×	1.08
Como to lead by 1 at any time	58.0%	55.1%	55.0%	1.00×	1.81
Roma to lead by 1 at any time	52.7%	50.9%	50.9%	1.00×	1.96
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.7%	44.4%	43.0%	1.03×	2.25
Como to lead by 2 at any time	26.8%	25.3%	23.4%	1.08×	3.95
Roma to lead by 2 at any time	22.1%	19.7%	20.1%	0.98×	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	15.0%	14.5%	1.03×	6.65
Como to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	8.4%	1.24×	9.62
Roma to lead by 3 at any time	7.5%	6.7%	6.3%	1.07×	14.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como most corners	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Roma most corners	38.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	12.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.6%	78.7%	80.7%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.7%	78.7%	71.7%	1.10×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.4%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.4%	63.4%	67.7%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	61.2%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.6%	53.2%	46.6%	1.14×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.1%	48.5%	44.6%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.5%	48.5%	48.3%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.0%	39.2%	44.7%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.6%	39.2%	36.1%	1.09×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.2%	35.2%	23.5%	1.50×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.7%	30.3%	21.6%	1.40×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.0%	14.8%	10.6%	1.40×	6.74
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	1.0%	2.59×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como never behind	41.8%	48.2%	49.1%	0.98×	2.08
Roma never behind	36.5%	44.0%	45.0%	0.98×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.6%	56.5%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.9%	50.9%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.1%	49.1%	0.98×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.1%	82.3%	88.5%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.6%	77.4%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	75.6%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.5%	58.6%	47.4%	1.24×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.5%	41.4%	52.6%	0.79×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	24.4%	1.38×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.4%	22.6%	27.5%	0.82×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.9%	17.7%	11.5%	1.54×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	3.0%	2.62×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.8%	92.4%	96.8%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.8%	75.9%	86.8%	0.87×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.2%	72.4%	63.3%	1.14×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.3%	55.8%	68.3%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.7%	44.2%	31.7%	1.40×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.8%	27.6%	36.7%	0.75×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.2%	24.1%	13.2%	1.83×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.2%	7.6%	3.2%	2.35×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	1.0%	2.79×	35.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	88.9%	91.6%	0.97×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	71.4%	65.9%	1.08×	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.5%	70.8%	0.97×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.5%	29.2%	1.08×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	28.6%	34.1%	0.84×	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	11.1%	8.4%	1.32×	9.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.8%	78.4%	1.06×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.9%	82.3%	0.97×	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	52.9%	43.2%	1.22×	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	47.1%	56.8%	0.83×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.1%	17.7%	1.13×	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.2%	21.6%	0.80×	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.0%	76.0%	1.03×	1.28
Roma not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.0%	78.6%	0.99×	1.28
Roma to score in both halves	24.8%	22.0%	21.4%	1.02×	4.55
Como to score in both halves	24.8%	22.0%	24.0%	0.91×	4.55

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.5%	58.7%	49.0%	1.20×	1.70
Only Como scores	19.6%	16.0%	22.5%	0.71×	6.23
Only Roma scores	16.3%	16.0%	20.7%	0.77×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	8.0%	0.89×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	25.2%	0.90×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.4%	13.1%	1.34×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	15.9%	17.4%	19.6%	0.89×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.4%	7.6%	3.0%	2.58×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	36.8%	1.01×	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.8%	28.5%	34.1%	0.84×	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	21.8%	21.4%	20.9%	1.02×	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	12.3%	11.0%	8.4%	1.31×	9.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.1%	43.2%	1.18×	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.1%	33.5%	35.3%	0.95×	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	18.4%	17.0%	21.6%	0.79×	5.87

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma not to win both halves	91.6%	94.1%	91.4%	1.03×	1.06
Como not to win both halves	90.4%	94.1%	90.1%	1.04×	1.06
Como to win both halves	9.6%	6.0%	9.9%	0.60×	16.81
Roma to win both halves	8.4%	5.9%	8.6%	0.69×	16.89

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win either half	56.2%	59.0%	53.1%	1.11×	1.69
Roma to win either half	51.3%	54.3%	48.5%	1.12×	1.84
Roma to win neither half	48.7%	45.7%	51.5%	0.89×	2.19
Como to win neither half	43.8%	41.0%	46.9%	0.87×	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma not to win to nil	83.7%	83.1%	79.3%	1.05×	1.20
Como not to win to nil	80.4%	83.1%	77.5%	1.07×	1.20
Como to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	22.5%	0.75×	5.91
Roma to win to nil	16.3%	16.9%	20.7%	0.82×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	26.7%	0.90×	4.15
Como by 1	20.8%	24.1%	22.7%	1.06×	4.15
Roma by 1	18.9%	17.0%	19.7%	0.86×	5.87
Como by 2	12.2%	11.8%	9.7%	1.21×	8.51
Roma by 2	10.0%	11.7%	8.6%	1.36×	8.52
Como by 3+	7.8%	7.2%	7.5%	0.96×	13.89
Roma by 3+	5.6%	7.2%	5.7%	1.27×	13.90

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Como 1.85 xGRoma 1.14 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Como attacking right Roma attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
5'	Roma	Paulo Dybala	0.39	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Donyell Malen
6'	Como	Lucas Da Cunha	0.05	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
6'	Como	Nico Paz	0.33	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Kaiki
7'	Como	Trevoh Chalobah	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Lucas Da Cunha
8'	Roma	Lorenzo Pellegrini	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Wesley
8'	Roma	Mario Hermoso	0.04	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Lorenzo Pellegrini
10'	Roma	Lorenzo Pellegrini	0.06	Open Play	Right Foot	Shot On Post	Kouadio Kone
16'	Roma	Kouadio Kone	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
22'	Como	Maxence Caqueret	0.08	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
23'	Roma	Donyell Malen	0.46	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Gianluca Mancini
30'	Como	Kaiki	0.04	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	—
33'	Roma	Paulo Dybala	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Nahuel Molina
46'	Como	Kaiki	0.02	From Corner	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
46'	Como	Maxence Caqueret	0.03	From Corner	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
46'	Como	Nico Paz	0.02	From Corner	Left Foot	Saved Shot	—
47'	Roma	Donyell Malen	0.08	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Paulo Dybala
55'	Como	Máximo Perrone	0.40	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Assane Diao
59'	Como	Tasos Douvikas	0.06	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Assane Diao
60'	Roma	Paulo Dybala	0.01	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	—
71'	Como	Nico Paz	0.05	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Assane Diao
76'	Como	Nico Paz	0.30	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Jacobo Ramón
80'	Como	Jacobo Ramón	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Nico Paz
86'	Como	Trevoh Chalobah	0.04	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Jesús Rodriguez
87'	Como	Jacobo Ramón	0.24	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	Máximo Perrone
91'	Como	Tasos Douvikas	0.06	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	Luis Milla
93'	Como	Martin Baturina	0.01	Set Piece	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
94'	Como	Jesús Rodriguez	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Nico Paz
94'	Como	Tasos Douvikas	0.05	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Luis Milla

Players

Roma

Player	Min	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Paulo Dybala AMC	90	3	1	0.43	0.08	0.58
Kouadio Kone MC	90	1	1	0.03	0.06	0.48
Gianluca Mancini DC	90	0	1	0.00	0.46	0.85
Evan Ndicka DC	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Marten de Roon MC	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.50
Pierluigi Gollini GK	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.54
Wesley DML	90	0	1	0.00	0.03	0.57
Nahuel Molina DMR	84	0	1	0.00	0.04	0.51
Mario Hermoso DC	62	1	0	0.04	0.00	0.58
Donyell Malen FW	55	2	1	0.54	0.39	0.97
Lorenzo Pellegrini AMC	48	2	1	0.09	0.04	0.09
Matìas Soulè Malvano Sub	42	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.08
Leonardo Balerdi Sub	28	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Devyne Rensch Sub	6	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Emanuele Lulli Sub	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Niccolò Pisilli Sub	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Como

Player	Min	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Nico Paz MC	90	4	2	0.71	0.05	0.80
Máximo Perrone DMC	90	1	1	0.40	0.24	1.41
Jacobo Ramón DC	90	2	1	0.27	0.30	1.08
Tasos Douvikas FW	90	3	0	0.16	0.00	0.11
Trevoh Chalobah DC	90	2	0	0.06	0.00	1.13
Kaiki DL	90	2	1	0.06	0.33	0.60
Jean Butez GK	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.38
Assane Diao MR	90	0	3	0.00	0.51	0.54
Yan Couto DR	90	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.38
Lucas Da Cunha MC	80	1	1	0.05	0.02	0.81
Maxence Caqueret ML	68	2	0	0.11	0.00	0.41
Jesús Rodriguez Sub	22	1	1	0.02	0.04	0.46
Martin Baturina Sub	10	1	0	0.01	0.00	0.13
Marc-Oliver Kempf Sub	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.06
Jayden Addai Sub	1	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.06
Luis Milla Sub	1	0	2	0.00	0.11	0.06

Como v Roma — Prediction, Odds & Stats

AI prediction

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Why Como

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Availability

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

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Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

Roma

Como

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