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Coquimbo Unido v Deportes Limache — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Coquimbo Unido win
48.3%
model 48.4%
Draw
22.5%
model 20.7%
Deportes Limache win
29.2%
model 30.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 11.4%
  2. 1-1 9.6%
  3. 2-1 9.3%
  4. 0-1 9.1%
  5. 2-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.553.8% Under 2.546.2%
BTTS yes54.5% BTTS no45.5%
Coquimbo Unido 1+80.1% Coquimbo Unido 2+47.9%
Deportes Limache 1+70.5% Deportes Limache 2+34.5%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 70%
73.4% fair odds 1.36
moderate signal · 3256 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Deportes Limache not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 83%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Coquimbo Unido carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1504.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Coquimbo Unido have an estimated 48.3% win probability, against 29.2% for Deportes Limache and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.61 for Coquimbo Unido and 1.22 for Deportes Limache.

Why Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1504.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Deportes Limache can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Coquimbo Unido, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportes Limache, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Coquimbo Unido: 47% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportes Limache: 49% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Coquimbo Unido are the model's most likely outcome at 48.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.4%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.61–1.22 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.69–1.13 1-0 12% 53% 53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win 52.5% 51.5% 49.0% 1.05× 1.94
Deportes Limache to win 27.3% 27.9% 30.0% 0.93× 3.58
Draw 20.2% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido & not both score 28.4% 25.2% 26.8% 0.94× 3.97
Coquimbo Unido & both teams score 24.1% 21.8% 22.4% 0.97× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 16.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.08× 5.57
Deportes Limache & not both score 14.4% 13.3% 16.8% 0.79× 7.54
Deportes Limache & both teams score 12.9% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.54
Draw & not both score 4.1% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.50
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido & over 1.5 40.5% 40.2% 36.1% 1.11× 2.49
Coquimbo Unido & under 3.5 35.0% 34.9% 34.1% 1.02× 2.87
Coquimbo Unido & over 2.5 31.9% 30.7% 29.3% 1.05× 3.25
Coquimbo Unido & under 2.5 20.6% 21.6% 20.0% 1.08× 4.63
Deportes Limache & under 3.5 20.3% 21.6% 23.4% 0.92× 4.63
Deportes Limache & over 1.5 18.6% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.55
Coquimbo Unido & over 3.5 17.5% 18.0% 15.1% 1.19× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.2% 18.0% 16.6% 1.09× 5.56
Deportes Limache & over 2.5 14.8% 12.8% 16.6% 0.77× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.5% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.5% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Deportes Limache & under 2.5 12.4% 12.8% 13.7% 0.94× 7.79
Coquimbo Unido & under 1.5 12.0% 12.8% 13.2% 0.97× 7.79
Deportes Limache & under 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 10.2% 0.77× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 6.7% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 6.7% 7.9% 7.6% 1.05× 12.63
Deportes Limache & over 3.5 7.0% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.1% 4.8% 4.9% 0.98× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (1UP) 66.3% 70.2% — — 1.43
Deportes Limache (1UP) 44.5% 38.8% — — 2.58
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2UP) 52.5% 55.3% — — 1.81
Deportes Limache (2UP) 27.3% 25.2% — — 3.97
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win 2nd half 41.7% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 33.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
Deportes Limache to win 2nd half 25.4% 26.0% — — 3.84
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.3% 87.0% — — 1.15
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 2nd half 50.9% 52.4% — — 1.91
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 2nd half 49.1% 47.6% — — 2.10
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.7% 13.0% — — 7.69
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 2nd half 74.9% 74.5% — — 1.34
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.9% 63.1% — — 1.59
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 2nd half 38.1% 36.9% — — 2.71
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 2nd half 25.1% 25.5% — — 3.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (+2.5) 88.2% 88.5% 89.5% 0.99× 1.13
Deportes Limache (+1.5) 72.8% 73.7% 76.8% 0.96× 1.36
Coquimbo Unido (+0.5) 72.7% 73.7% 70.0% 1.05× 1.36
Coquimbo Unido (-0.5) 52.5% 52.4% 49.0% 1.07× 1.91
Deportes Limache (+0.5) 47.5% 47.6% 51.0% 0.93× 2.10
Coquimbo Unido (-1.5) 27.2% 26.3% 23.2% 1.14× 3.80
Deportes Limache (-0.5) 27.3% 26.3% 30.0% 0.88× 3.80
Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) 11.8% 11.5% 10.5% 1.10× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to concede 81.6% 81.5% 78.5% 1.04× 1.23
Deportes Limache clean sheet 18.4% 18.5% 21.5% 0.86× 5.39
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to concede in 1st half 51.7% 50.8% — — 1.97
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 1st half 48.3% 49.2% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to concede in 2nd half 61.9% 61.7% — — 1.62
Deportes Limache clean sheet in 2nd half 38.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache under 6.5 corners 91.1% 89.9% — — 1.11
Deportes Limache under 5.5 corners 83.8% 81.4% — — 1.23
Deportes Limache under 4.5 corners 72.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Deportes Limache over 2.5 corners 62.5% 61.7% — — 1.62
Deportes Limache under 3.5 corners 56.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
Deportes Limache over 3.5 corners 43.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Deportes Limache under 2.5 corners 37.5% 38.3% — — 2.61
Deportes Limache over 4.5 corners 27.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
Deportes Limache over 5.5 corners 16.2% 18.6% — — 5.38
Deportes Limache over 6.5 corners 8.9% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache under 3.5 goals 97.2% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Deportes Limache under 2.5 goals 89.5% 87.8% 88.3% 0.99× 1.14
Deportes Limache under 1.5 goals 69.0% 68.0% 68.5% 0.99× 1.47
Deportes Limache over 0.5 goals 67.6% 68.0% 68.5% 0.99× 1.47
Deportes Limache under 0.5 goals 32.4% 32.0% 31.5% 1.02× 3.13
Deportes Limache over 1.5 goals 31.0% 32.0% 31.5% 1.02× 3.13
Deportes Limache over 2.5 goals 10.5% 12.2% 11.7% 1.04× 8.21
Deportes Limache over 3.5 goals 2.8% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.83
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache under 1.5 in 1st half 92.4% 93.9% — — 1.07
Deportes Limache under 0.5 in 1st half 63.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Deportes Limache over 0.5 in 1st half 36.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Deportes Limache over 1.5 in 1st half 7.6% 6.1% — — 16.47
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache scores equally in both 43.1% 43.7% — — 2.29
Deportes Limache scores more in 2nd half 35.7% 37.3% — — 2.68
Deportes Limache scores more in 1st half 21.2% 21.8% — — 4.60
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (away no bet) 72.2% 68.4% 69.8% 0.98× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 27.8% 31.6% 30.2% 1.05× 3.16
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache even goals 55.3% 56.9% 53.7% 1.06× 1.76
Deportes Limache odd goals 44.7% 43.1% 46.3% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.9% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.1% 16.8% — — 5.96
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 64.7% 57.7% — — 1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals 35.3% 42.3% — — 2.36
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 58.0% 55.0% — — 1.82
Coquimbo Unido to score 2+ in a row 42.1% 38.7% — — 2.58
Deportes Limache to score 2+ in a row 22.4% 19.5% — — 5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row 21.7% 19.5% — — 5.13
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ in a row 16.4% 16.1% — — 6.20
Deportes Limache to score 3+ in a row 5.6% 5.5% — — 18.33
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido corners (+3.5) 97.1% 95.7% — — 1.04
Coquimbo Unido corners (+2.5) 94.8% 89.6% — — 1.12
Coquimbo Unido corners (+1.5) 91.3% 89.6% — — 1.12
Coquimbo Unido corners (-1.5) 70.8% 70.8% — — 1.41
Coquimbo Unido corners (-2.5) 61.2% 61.9% — — 1.62
Coquimbo Unido corners (-3.5) 51.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
Deportes Limache corners (+3.5) 48.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
Deportes Limache corners (+2.5) 38.8% 38.2% — — 2.62
Deportes Limache corners (+1.5) 29.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Deportes Limache corners (-1.5) 8.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Deportes Limache corners (-2.5) 5.2% 10.4% — — 9.60
Deportes Limache corners (-3.5) 2.9% 4.3% — — 23.49
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 39.2% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 32.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 28.7% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 77.0% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 69.1% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 67.9% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 60.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 58.2% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 51.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 48.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 41.8% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 39.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 32.1% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 30.9% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 23.0% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 12.0% 11.5% 13.2% 0.87× 8.71
1-1 9.5% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
2-0 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-1 9.6% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
0-1 8.6% 7.4% 10.2% 0.72× 13.51
1-2 6.4% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
2-2 5.4% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.51
3-1 5.4% 7.4% 4.6% 1.60× 13.51
3-0 4.8% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.29
0-3 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
0-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
1-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
1-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
2-3 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
3-2 3.1% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.31
4-1 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-2 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
Any other score 3.5% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.30
0-0 4.1% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.30
0-2 3.8% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2nd half DNB) 62.1% 62.9% — — 1.59
Deportes Limache (2nd half DNB) 37.9% 37.1% — — 2.70
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT (DNB) 64.9% 66.8% — — 1.50
Deportes Limache leading at HT (DNB) 35.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido or Deportes Limache (12) 79.8% 75.5% 78.8% 0.96× 1.32
Coquimbo Unido or draw (1X) 72.7% 72.1% 70.0% 1.03× 1.39
Deportes Limache or draw (X2) 47.5% 48.5% 51.0% 0.95× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw at HT 79.3% 79.7% — — 1.26
Deportes Limache or draw at HT 61.7% 60.9% — — 1.64
Coquimbo Unido or Deportes Limache at HT 58.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw (1UP) 72.7% 79.6% — — 1.26
Deportes Limache or draw (1UP) 47.5% 53.0% — — 1.89
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw in 2nd half 74.6% 74.0% — — 1.35
Coquimbo Unido or Deportes Limache in 2nd half 67.0% 66.0% — — 1.52
Deportes Limache or draw in 2nd half 58.3% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.6% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.4% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (DNB) 65.8% 67.4% 62.0% 1.09× 1.48
Deportes Limache (DNB) 34.2% 32.6% 38.0% 0.86× 3.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score first 57.6% 62.4% — — 1.60
Deportes Limache to score first 38.3% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 4.1% 4.4% — — 22.81
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 53.2% 51.3% 52.0% 0.99× 1.95
Not both teams to score 46.8% 48.7% 48.0% 1.01× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 43.7% 41.6% 42.9% 0.97× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 37.1% 38.4% 38.0% 1.01× 2.60
Not both score & over 2.5 9.7% 8.3% 10.2% 0.81× 12.06
Both score & under 2.5 9.5% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.4% 82.7% 84.6% 0.98× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 15.6% 17.3% 15.4% 1.13× 5.77
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 70.3% 73.5% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 29.7% 26.5% — — 3.78
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 57.6% 60.1% — — 1.66
Both score 2nd half only 24.0% 21.3% — — 4.69
Both score 1st half only 12.7% 10.7% — — 9.31
Both score in both halves 5.7% 6.7% — — 14.82
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.6% 83.4% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 18.4% 16.6% — — 6.03
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 54.8% 52.7% — — 1.90
A half without a goal 45.2% 47.3% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.1% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 28.7% 26.6% 26.8% 0.99× 3.76
0-1 goals 24.7% 22.9% 27.8% 0.83× 4.36
7+ goals 2.5% 1.8% 2.4% 0.75× 54.31
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache to score exactly 1 36.5% 35.9% 37.3% 0.96× 2.78
Deportes Limache to score exactly 0 32.4% 33.8% 31.5% 1.08× 2.96
Deportes Limache to score exactly 2 20.6% 22.3% 20.0% 1.11× 4.49
Deportes Limache to score 3+ 10.5% 12.9% 11.7% 1.10× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 1 31.2% 32.6% 31.7% 1.03× 3.07
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 2 26.4% 26.6% 26.3% 1.01× 3.77
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ 24.0% 23.3% 21.0% 1.11× 4.29
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 0 18.4% 18.8% 21.5% 0.88× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT 38.3% 39.1% — — 2.56
Deportes Limache leading at HT 20.7% 20.3% — — 4.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido -1: 2 47.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Coquimbo Unido -1: 1 27.2% 26.5% — — 3.77
Coquimbo Unido -1: X 25.2% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (0:1) 47.5% 46.1% 51.0% 0.90× 2.17
Coquimbo Unido (0:1) 27.2% 27.0% 23.2% 1.17× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 25.2% 27.0% 26.1% 1.03× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (0:2) 72.8% 75.7% 76.8% 0.98× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 15.4% 15.2% 12.9% 1.18× 6.56
Coquimbo Unido (0:2) 11.8% 11.0% 10.5% 1.05× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (0:3) 88.2% 90.6% 89.5% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.6% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.24
Coquimbo Unido (0:3) 4.2% 2.4% 5.4% 0.44× 41.95
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (0:4) 95.8% 98.1% 94.6% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.9% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.64
Coquimbo Unido (0:4) 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 0.84× 81.83
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (1:0) 72.7% 72.4% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 17.4% 17.1% 20.0% 0.86× 5.85
Deportes Limache (1:0) 9.8% 6.9% 10.2% 0.68× 14.46
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2:0) 90.2% 94.0% 89.8% 1.05× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 6.8% 6.4% 6.3% 1.01× 15.66
Deportes Limache (2:0) 3.0% 2.3% 4.1% 0.55× 43.74
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.7% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 28.7% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.6% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to concede 67.6% 66.7% 68.5% 0.97× 1.50
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet 32.4% 33.3% 31.5% 1.06× 3.00
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 1st half 63.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 1st half 36.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 2nd half 50.9% 52.4% — — 1.91
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 2nd half 49.1% 47.6% — — 2.10
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 corners 93.5% 89.2% — — 1.12
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 corners 86.6% 86.2% — — 1.16
Coquimbo Unido over 4.5 corners 77.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
Coquimbo Unido over 5.5 corners 65.9% 66.7% — — 1.50
Coquimbo Unido over 6.5 corners 54.3% 52.6% — — 1.90
Coquimbo Unido under 6.5 corners 45.7% 47.4% — — 2.11
Coquimbo Unido under 5.5 corners 34.1% 33.3% — — 3.00
Coquimbo Unido under 4.5 corners 22.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 corners 13.5% 13.8% — — 7.26
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 corners 6.5% 10.8% — — 9.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 goals 90.8% 92.2% 91.0% 1.01× 1.09
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 goals 81.6% 82.2% 78.5% 1.05× 1.22
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 goals 76.0% 77.8% 79.0% 0.98× 1.29
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 goals 50.4% 53.2% 47.1% 1.13× 1.88
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 goals 49.6% 46.8% 52.9% 0.88× 2.14
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 goals 24.0% 22.2% 21.0% 1.06× 4.50
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 goals 18.4% 17.8% 21.5% 0.83× 5.62
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 goals 9.2% 7.8% 9.0% 0.86× 12.82
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 1st half 83.5% 84.2% — — 1.19
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 1st half 51.7% 50.6% — — 1.98
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 1st half 48.3% 49.4% — — 2.03
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 1st half 16.5% 15.8% — — 6.34
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido scores more in 2nd half 39.7% 38.2% — — 2.62
Coquimbo Unido scores equally in both 33.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
Coquimbo Unido scores more in 1st half 26.5% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache (home no bet) 57.4% 56.4% 58.6% 0.96× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 42.6% 43.6% 41.4% 1.05× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido even goals 51.7% 50.8% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Coquimbo Unido odd goals 48.3% 49.2% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.5% 33.4% — — 3.00
HT 1-0 22.7% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 14.2% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 9.8% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-0 8.1% 6.9% — — 14.53
Any other HT score 4.8% 2.4% — — 42.11
HT 2-1 3.7% 2.4% — — 42.18
HT 0-2 3.1% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT 1-2 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.27
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.4% — — 42.37
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 31.6% 32.8% — — 3.05
Draw at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 18.2% 16.8% — — 5.96
Deportes Limache at HT / Deportes Limache at FT 13.9% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Deportes Limache at FT 11.5% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.4% 12.7% — — 7.90
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% — — 28.86
Deportes Limache at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.5% — — 28.89
Deportes Limache at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT 2.7% 3.5% — — 28.94
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Deportes Limache at FT 1.9% 3.5% — — 28.97
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score last 57.4% 56.7% — — 1.77
Deportes Limache to score last 38.5% 38.7% — — 2.58
No goal scored 4.1% 4.4% — — 22.81
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.9% 95.6% — — 1.05
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 1 at any time 66.3% 69.3% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 48.8% 44.4% — — 2.25
Deportes Limache to lead by 1 at any time 44.5% 39.3% — — 2.55
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 2 at any time 34.0% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.5% 14.8% — — 6.74
Deportes Limache to lead by 2 at any time 15.1% 14.8% — — 6.76
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 3 at any time 14.3% 10.6% — — 9.40
Deportes Limache to lead by 3 at any time 4.2% 1.6% — — 61.21
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido most corners 79.2% 74.3% — — 1.35
Deportes Limache most corners 13.9% 10.4% — — 9.58
Corners level 6.9% 8.3% — — 12.00
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 89.3% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.4% 83.4% 81.2% 1.03× 1.20
2-6 goals 72.8% 72.3% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.6% 68.8% 64.4% 1.07× 1.45
1-3 goals 64.8% 63.3% 66.3% 0.95× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.8% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
3-6 goals 51.0% 53.1% 50.7% 1.05× 1.88
3-5 goals 46.8% 48.4% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.1% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
1-2 goals 42.5% 43.6% 42.4% 1.03× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.0% 39.2% 39.0% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.7% 30.2% 26.8% 1.13× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.5% 24.5% 21.2% 1.15× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.0% 14.8% 12.0% 1.24× 6.75
7+ goals 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.16
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido never behind 51.5% 62.3% — — 1.61
Deportes Limache never behind 29.7% 30.0% — — 3.33
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 46.3% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.7% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.1% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.9% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.6% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.4% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.9% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.5% 82.3% 85.9% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 75.3% 77.3% 72.2% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.8% 66.3% 71.0% 0.93× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.5% 52.5% 52.9% 0.99× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 46.5% 47.5% 47.1% 1.01× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.2% 33.7% 29.0% 1.16× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 24.7% 22.7% 27.8% 0.82× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 15.5% 17.7% 14.1% 1.25× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.81
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.4% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.7% 92.4% 91.4% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.6% 81.1% 83.4% 0.97× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 68.4% 67.5% 65.6% 1.03× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.9% 55.8% 61.9% 0.90× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.1% 44.2% 38.1% 1.16× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 31.6% 32.5% 34.4% 0.94× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.4% 18.9% 16.6% 1.14× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 0.88× 13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.62
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.4% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.5% 68.7% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.4% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.6% 31.4% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.5% 31.3% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.6% 10.9% — — 9.15
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.2% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.3% 79.6% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.9% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.1% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.7% 20.4% — — 4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.8% 17.1% — — 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache not to score in both halves 82.2% 84.3% — — 1.19
Coquimbo Unido not to score in both halves 68.0% 70.1% — — 1.43
Coquimbo Unido to score in both halves 32.0% 29.9% — — 3.34
Deportes Limache to score in both halves 17.8% 15.7% — — 6.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 53.2% 53.8% 52.0% 1.04× 1.86
Only Coquimbo Unido scores 28.4% 26.1% 26.8% 0.97× 3.83
Only Deportes Limache scores 14.4% 11.0% 16.8% 0.66× 9.06
Neither team scores 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.56
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.8% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 20.7% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 15.7% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.13
6 or more goals 6.7% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 4.1% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.9% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 30.5% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 21.0% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 11.6% 10.8% — — 9.24
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.1% 44.8% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 33.1% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 18.8% 16.8% — — 5.94
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache not to win both halves 95.0% 94.2% — — 1.06
Coquimbo Unido not to win both halves 84.4% 83.6% — — 1.20
Coquimbo Unido to win both halves 15.6% 16.4% — — 6.09
Deportes Limache to win both halves 5.0% 5.8% — — 17.30
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win either half 64.4% 65.0% — — 1.54
Deportes Limache to win neither half 59.0% 59.1% — — 1.69
Deportes Limache to win either half 41.0% 40.9% — — 2.44
Coquimbo Unido to win neither half 35.6% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Deportes Limache not to win to nil 85.6% 88.1% 83.2% 1.06× 1.14
Coquimbo Unido not to win to nil 71.6% 75.3% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Coquimbo Unido to win to nil 28.4% 24.7% 26.8% 0.92× 4.04
Deportes Limache to win to nil 14.4% 11.9% 16.8% 0.71× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coquimbo Unido by 1 25.2% 27.9% 26.1% 1.07× 3.59
Draw 20.2% 24.1% 21.2% 1.14× 4.15
Deportes Limache by 1 17.4% 17.0% 20.0% 0.85× 5.87
Coquimbo Unido by 2 15.4% 17.0% 12.9% 1.32× 5.87
Coquimbo Unido by 3+ 11.8% 11.8% 10.5% 1.12× 8.51
Deportes Limache by 2 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 1.13× 13.91
Deportes Limache by 3+ 3.0% 2.7% 4.1% 0.65× 36.88
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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