Coquimbo Unido v Unión La Calera — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Coquimbo Unido

20:00 UTC

Unión La Calera

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Coquimbo Unido win

69.8%

model 69.2%

Draw

19.2%

model 17.5%

Unión La Calera win

11.0%

model 13.3%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 16.5%
2-0 14.2%
2-1 9.1%
3-0 9.0%
1-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.8%	Under 2.5	53.2%
BTTS yes	38.7%	BTTS no	61.3%
Coquimbo Unido 1+	85.1%	Coquimbo Unido 2+	56.8%
Unión La Calera 1+	47.3%	Unión La Calera 2+	13.6%

Expected goals 1.91 – 0.64. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Unión La Calera under 0.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

51.2% fair odds 1.95

strong signal · 624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Coquimbo Unido leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time

83.9% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 70 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Coquimbo Unido carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1325.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Coquimbo Unido have an estimated 69.8% win probability, against 19.2% for the draw and 11.0% for Unión La Calera. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.91 for Coquimbo Unido and 0.64 for Unión La Calera.

Why Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido carry the stronger rating, 1619 Elo against 1325.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.2%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Unión La Calera can win

Nothing in the data singles out Unión La Calera.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Coquimbo Unido, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Unión La Calera, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Coquimbo Unido: 47% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Unión La Calera: 47% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Coquimbo Unido are the model's most likely outcome at 69.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.5%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	691813	1.91–0.64	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	691913	1.78–0.56	1-0 19%	41%	34%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win	68.7%	64.8%	49.0%	1.32×	1.54
Draw	18.7%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.15
Unión La Calera to win	12.6%	13.4%	30.0%	0.45×	7.44

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido & not both score	49.2%	43.2%	26.8%	1.61×	2.31
Coquimbo Unido & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	22.4%	0.80×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Unión La Calera & not both score	8.8%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	12.00
Draw & not both score	8.0%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.00
Unión La Calera & both teams score	3.8%	4.9%	13.4%	0.36×	20.51

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido & under 3.5	51.7%	48.8%	34.1%	1.43×	2.05
Coquimbo Unido & over 1.5	49.9%	45.1%	36.1%	1.25×	2.22
Coquimbo Unido & over 2.5	34.7%	30.8%	29.3%	1.05×	3.25
Coquimbo Unido & under 2.5	34.0%	30.8%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
Coquimbo Unido & under 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.55
Coquimbo Unido & over 3.5	17.0%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Unión La Calera & under 3.5	11.5%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63
Unión La Calera & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Unión La Calera & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Unión La Calera & over 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	20.0%	0.40×	12.63
Unión La Calera & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	16.6%	0.29×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	2.7%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.83
Draw & over 3.5	2.7%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.83
Unión La Calera & over 3.5	1.2%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (1UP)	75.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Unión La Calera (1UP)	24.3%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2UP)	68.7%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Unión La Calera (2UP)	12.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido to win 2nd half	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	34.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Unión La Calera to win 2nd half	12.6%	11.1%	—	—	8.99

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.93

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (+0.5)	87.4%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
Unión La Calera (+2.5)	81.2%	82.6%	89.5%	0.92×	1.21
Coquimbo Unido (-0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	49.0%	1.40×	1.46
Unión La Calera (+1.5)	60.1%	62.9%	76.8%	0.82×	1.59
Coquimbo Unido (-1.5)	39.9%	37.1%	23.2%	1.60×	2.70
Unión La Calera (+0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	51.0%	0.61×	3.19
Coquimbo Unido (-2.5)	18.8%	17.4%	10.5%	1.66×	5.74
Unión La Calera (-0.5)	12.6%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede	83.2%	81.5%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
Unión La Calera clean sheet	16.8%	18.5%	21.5%	0.86×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 1st half	53.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 1st half	46.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 2nd half	63.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 2nd half	36.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 6.5 corners	86.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Unión La Calera under 5.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera over 2.5 corners	69.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Unión La Calera under 4.5 corners	64.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Unión La Calera over 3.5 corners	51.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Unión La Calera under 3.5 corners	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Unión La Calera over 4.5 corners	35.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Unión La Calera under 2.5 corners	30.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Unión La Calera over 5.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Unión La Calera over 6.5 corners	13.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 3.5 goals	99.7%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 2.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	88.3%	1.10×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 1.5 goals	89.1%	87.8%	68.5%	1.28×	1.14
Unión La Calera under 0.5 goals	57.2%	59.4%	31.5%	1.89×	1.68
Unión La Calera over 0.5 goals	42.8%	40.6%	68.5%	0.59×	2.46
Unión La Calera over 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.2%	31.5%	0.39×	8.21
Unión La Calera over 2.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	11.7%	0.21×	39.87
Unión La Calera over 3.5 goals	0.3%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 1st half	97.8%	96.3%	—	—	1.04
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 1st half	80.0%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 1st half	20.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 1st half	2.2%	3.7%	—	—	27.07

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera scores equally in both	61.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Unión La Calera scores more in 2nd half	23.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Unión La Calera scores more in 1st half	14.9%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (away no bet)	78.6%	73.5%	69.8%	1.05×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.4%	26.5%	30.2%	0.88×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera even goals	66.3%	64.9%	53.7%	1.21×	1.54
Unión La Calera odd goals	33.7%	35.1%	46.3%	0.76×	2.85

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Coquimbo Unido to score 2+ in a row	48.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Unión La Calera to score 2+ in a row	7.1%	5.5%	—	—	18.21
Unión La Calera to score 3+ in a row	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.41

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido corners (+3.5)	95.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Coquimbo Unido corners (+2.5)	93.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Coquimbo Unido corners (+1.5)	88.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Coquimbo Unido corners (-1.5)	67.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Coquimbo Unido corners (-2.5)	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Unión La Calera corners (+3.5)	51.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Coquimbo Unido corners (-3.5)	48.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Unión La Calera corners (+2.5)	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Unión La Calera corners (+1.5)	32.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Unión La Calera corners (-1.5)	11.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Unión La Calera corners (-2.5)	7.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Unión La Calera corners (-3.5)	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	45.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	26.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	81.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	63.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 11.5 corners	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 12.5 corners	36.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	35.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	26.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	18.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	18.8%	13.8%	13.2%	1.05×	7.22
2-0	15.3%	13.8%	7.1%	1.95×	7.24
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
3-0	9.1%	7.4%	3.9%	1.90×	13.51
0-0	8.0%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.51
1-1	8.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
0-2	1.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-2	2.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	2.4%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.31
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	4.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
4-1	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2nd half DNB)	80.8%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Unión La Calera (2nd half DNB)	19.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT (DNB)	81.7%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Unión La Calera leading at HT (DNB)	18.3%	15.2%	—	—	6.60

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw (1X)	87.4%	86.6%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
Coquimbo Unido or Unión La Calera (12)	81.3%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Unión La Calera or draw (X2)	31.3%	35.2%	51.0%	0.69×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw at HT	89.6%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Coquimbo Unido or Unión La Calera at HT	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Unión La Calera or draw at HT	53.6%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw (1UP)	87.4%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Unión La Calera or draw (1UP)	31.3%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido or draw in 2nd half	87.4%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Coquimbo Unido or Unión La Calera in 2nd half	65.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Unión La Calera or draw in 2nd half	47.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (DNB)	84.5%	80.5%	62.0%	1.30×	1.24
Unión La Calera (DNB)	15.5%	19.5%	38.0%	0.51×	5.12

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score first	70.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Unión La Calera to score first	22.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
No goal scored	8.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.18

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	66.0%	58.4%	48.0%	1.21×	1.71
Both teams to score	34.0%	41.6%	52.0%	0.80×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.6%	47.2%	38.0%	1.24×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.0%	33.3%	42.9%	0.78×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	15.4%	21.5%	10.2%	2.10×	4.66
Both score & under 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.2%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.8%	11.0%	15.4%	0.71×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.4%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	73.9%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Both score 2nd half only	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score 1st half only	8.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.68
Both score in both halves	1.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	45.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.3%	47.2%	43.4%	1.09×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.8%	30.7%	27.8%	1.11×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.9%	20.3%	26.8%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to score exactly 0	57.2%	51.8%	31.5%	1.65×	1.93
Unión La Calera to score exactly 1	32.0%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Unión La Calera to score exactly 2	8.9%	8.6%	20.0%	0.43×	11.69
Unión La Calera to score 3+	1.9%	4.6%	11.7%	0.39×	21.95

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 1	30.0%	26.6%	31.7%	0.84×	3.76
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Coquimbo Unido to score 3+	26.4%	26.6%	21.0%	1.27×	3.77
Coquimbo Unido to score exactly 0	16.8%	18.8%	21.5%	0.88×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido leading at HT	46.4%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Draw at HT	43.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Unión La Calera leading at HT	10.4%	11.5%	—	—	8.71

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido -1: 1	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Coquimbo Unido -1: 2	31.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Coquimbo Unido -1: X	28.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (0:1)	39.9%	37.4%	23.2%	1.61×	2.68
Unión La Calera (0:1)	31.3%	30.1%	51.0%	0.59×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	28.8%	27.0%	26.1%	1.04×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:2)	60.1%	67.0%	76.8%	0.87×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	21.0%	20.2%	12.9%	1.57×	4.94
Coquimbo Unido (0:2)	18.8%	15.3%	10.5%	1.46×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:3)	81.2%	85.3%	89.5%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.6%	9.9%	5.4%	1.84×	10.13
Coquimbo Unido (0:3)	7.3%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:4)	92.7%	94.5%	94.6%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.9%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.42
Coquimbo Unido (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	1.5%	0.84×	81.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (1:0)	87.4%	86.1%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.2%	12.7%	20.0%	0.63×	7.88
Unión La Calera (1:0)	2.5%	3.3%	10.2%	0.32×	30.74

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido (2:0)	97.5%	96.8%	89.8%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.80
Unión La Calera (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.90

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet	57.2%	60.7%	31.5%	1.93×	1.65
Coquimbo Unido to concede	42.8%	39.3%	68.5%	0.57×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 1st half	80.0%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 1st half	20.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.77

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet in 2nd half	71.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Coquimbo Unido to concede in 2nd half	28.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 corners	94.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 corners	87.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Coquimbo Unido over 4.5 corners	78.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Coquimbo Unido over 5.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Coquimbo Unido over 6.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Coquimbo Unido under 6.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Coquimbo Unido under 5.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Coquimbo Unido under 4.5 corners	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 corners	12.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 corners	6.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 3.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	91.0%	0.96×	1.15
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 goals	83.2%	82.2%	78.5%	1.05×	1.22
Coquimbo Unido under 2.5 goals	73.6%	74.2%	79.0%	0.94×	1.35
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	47.1%	1.13×	1.88
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 goals	46.8%	46.8%	52.9%	0.88×	2.14
Coquimbo Unido over 2.5 goals	26.4%	25.8%	21.0%	1.23×	3.88
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 goals	16.8%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.62
Coquimbo Unido over 3.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	9.0%	1.41×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido under 1.5 in 1st half	82.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Coquimbo Unido over 0.5 in 1st half	53.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Coquimbo Unido under 0.5 in 1st half	46.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 in 1st half	17.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido scores more in 2nd half	40.5%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Coquimbo Unido scores equally in both	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Coquimbo Unido scores more in 1st half	26.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.6%	56.4%	41.4%	1.36×	1.77
Unión La Calera (home no bet)	40.4%	43.6%	58.6%	0.74×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido even goals	51.4%	50.8%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Coquimbo Unido odd goals	48.6%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	28.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 2-0	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 1-1	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT	42.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT	23.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	6.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Unión La Calera at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Unión La Calera at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Unión La Calera at HT / Coquimbo Unido at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Coquimbo Unido at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	0.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.02

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido to score last	69.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Unión La Calera to score last	22.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
No goal scored	8.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.18

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.0%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 1 at any time	75.8%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.26
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 2 at any time	44.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Unión La Calera to lead by 1 at any time	24.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Coquimbo Unido to lead by 3 at any time	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Unión La Calera to lead by 2 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.10
Unión La Calera to lead by 3 at any time	0.6%	1.5%	—	—	64.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido most corners	76.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Unión La Calera most corners	16.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	7.2%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.8%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.1%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.1%	72.3%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.2%	68.8%	70.0%	0.98×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.0%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.5%	53.1%	42.4%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.3%	48.4%	43.4%	1.12×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.5%	43.6%	50.7%	0.86×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.3%	39.2%	45.1%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.6%	35.2%	39.0%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.9%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.7%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.8%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	2.4%	1.05×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido never behind	67.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Unión La Calera never behind	16.2%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.2%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.8%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	85.9%	1.07×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	79.1%	77.3%	71.0%	1.09×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.2%	66.3%	72.2%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.5%	58.6%	47.1%	1.25×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	41.5%	41.4%	52.9%	0.78×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	33.8%	33.7%	27.8%	1.21×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.9%	22.7%	29.0%	0.78×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	14.1%	0.55×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	4.9%	1.59×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.9%	86.8%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.7%	72.4%	61.9%	1.17×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.1%	55.8%	65.6%	0.85×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.9%	44.3%	34.4%	1.28×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.3%	27.6%	38.1%	0.72×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.1%	13.2%	16.6%	0.80×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	8.6%	0.33×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.2%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.86

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.7%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.3%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to score in both halves	94.3%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Coquimbo Unido not to score in both halves	65.9%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Coquimbo Unido to score in both halves	34.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Unión La Calera to score in both halves	5.7%	9.0%	—	—	11.12

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Coquimbo Unido scores	49.2%	50.7%	26.8%	1.89×	1.97
Both teams score	34.0%	33.3%	52.0%	0.64×	3.00
Only Unión La Calera scores	8.8%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	13.99
Neither team scores	8.0%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	25.8%	24.9%	23.2%	1.07×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	24.1%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.0%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	8.0%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.86

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	36.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	25.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win both halves	98.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Coquimbo Unido not to win both halves	75.8%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Coquimbo Unido to win both halves	24.2%	24.6%	—	—	4.07
Unión La Calera to win both halves	1.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to win neither half	78.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Coquimbo Unido to win either half	75.2%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Coquimbo Unido to win neither half	24.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.86
Unión La Calera to win either half	21.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win to nil	91.2%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Coquimbo Unido not to win to nil	50.8%	53.7%	73.2%	0.73×	1.86
Coquimbo Unido to win to nil	49.2%	46.3%	26.8%	1.73×	2.16
Unión La Calera to win to nil	8.8%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coquimbo Unido by 1	28.8%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Coquimbo Unido by 2	21.0%	24.1%	12.9%	1.86×	4.15
Coquimbo Unido by 3+	18.8%	17.1%	10.5%	1.63×	5.86
Draw	18.7%	17.1%	21.2%	0.80×	5.86
Unión La Calera by 1	10.2%	11.8%	20.0%	0.59×	8.51
Unión La Calera by 2	2.1%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.91
Unión La Calera by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.96