Córdoba v Castellón — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Córdoba

20:00 UTC

Castellón

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 1,185h before kick-off

Córdoba win

30.9%

model 34.1%

Draw

23.8%

model 23.1%

Castellón win

45.3%

model 42.8%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.9%
2-1 7.8%
0-1 7.5%
1-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.6%	Under 2.5	39.4%
BTTS yes	62.1%	BTTS no	37.9%
Córdoba 1+	76.9%	Córdoba 2+	43.0%
Castellón 1+	81.1%	Castellón 2+	49.6%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Castellón (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 38%

60.5% fair odds 1.65

strong signal · 349 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Castellón (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Castellón carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1455.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Castellón have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Córdoba and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for Córdoba and 1.67 for Castellón.

Why Córdoba

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.47 to 1.67. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Castellón can win

Castellón carry the stronger rating, 1616 Elo against 1455. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Castellón, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Castellón: 60% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Castellón are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	342343	1.47–1.67	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382340	1.60–1.65	1-1 10%	63%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win	39.7%	36.4%	28.1%	1.30×	2.75
Córdoba to win	37.6%	36.4%	45.5%	0.80×	2.75
Draw	22.7%	24.5%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón & both teams score	23.2%	21.8%	14.8%	1.48×	4.58
Córdoba & both teams score	22.1%	21.8%	22.0%	0.99×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Castellón & not both score	16.5%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Córdoba & not both score	15.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón & over 1.5	33.1%	30.8%	19.5%	1.58×	3.25
Córdoba & over 1.5	31.2%	30.7%	32.6%	0.94×	3.25
Castellón & over 2.5	27.8%	26.1%	16.7%	1.56×	3.84
Córdoba & over 2.5	26.2%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.84
Castellón & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Córdoba & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	32.2%	0.67×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Castellón & over 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	8.6%	2.09×	5.56
Córdoba & over 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Córdoba & under 2.5	11.4%	12.8%	19.3%	0.67×	7.79
Castellón & under 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Córdoba & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.63
Castellón & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (1UP)	58.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Córdoba (1UP)	56.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2UP)	39.7%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Córdoba (2UP)	37.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win 2nd half	36.3%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Córdoba to win 2nd half	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
2nd half drawn	31.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Castellón over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.9%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Castellón under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Castellón over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (+2.5)	92.6%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Castellón (+1.5)	81.5%	82.5%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Castellón (+0.5)	62.4%	62.9%	54.5%	1.15×	1.59
Córdoba (+0.5)	60.3%	62.9%	71.9%	0.88×	1.59
Castellón (-0.5)	39.7%	37.1%	28.1%	1.32×	2.70
Córdoba (-0.5)	37.6%	37.1%	45.5%	0.81×	2.70
Córdoba (-1.5)	18.5%	17.5%	19.6%	0.89×	5.73
Córdoba (-2.5)	7.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to concede	79.9%	78.8%	77.6%	1.02×	1.27
Castellón clean sheet	20.1%	21.2%	22.4%	0.94×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón clean sheet in 1st half	50.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Castellón to concede in 1st half	49.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to concede in 2nd half	59.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Castellón clean sheet in 2nd half	40.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 6.5 corners	80.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Castellón over 2.5 corners	77.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Castellón under 5.5 corners	69.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Castellón over 3.5 corners	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Castellón under 4.5 corners	55.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Castellón over 4.5 corners	44.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Castellón under 3.5 corners	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Castellón over 5.5 corners	30.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Castellón under 2.5 corners	22.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Castellón over 6.5 corners	19.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 3.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Castellón over 0.5 goals	80.8%	81.5%	67.4%	1.21×	1.23
Castellón under 2.5 goals	77.0%	76.2%	89.1%	0.86×	1.31
Castellón under 1.5 goals	50.8%	53.5%	69.4%	0.77×	1.87
Castellón over 1.5 goals	49.2%	46.5%	30.6%	1.52×	2.15
Castellón over 2.5 goals	23.0%	23.8%	10.9%	2.18×	4.21
Castellón under 0.5 goals	19.2%	18.5%	32.6%	0.57×	5.40
Castellón over 3.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	3.0%	2.52×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón under 1.5 in 1st half	85.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Castellón under 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Castellón over 0.5 in 1st half	48.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Castellón over 1.5 in 1st half	14.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón scores more in 2nd half	42.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Castellón scores equally in both	33.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Castellón scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (away no bet)	62.3%	61.9%	63.2%	0.98×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.7%	38.1%	36.8%	1.03×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón even goals	51.8%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Castellón odd goals	48.2%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.8%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Castellón to score 2+ in a row	38.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Castellón to score 3+ in a row	13.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (+2.5)	84.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Córdoba corners (+1.5)	77.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Castellón corners (+3.5)	72.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Castellón corners (+2.5)	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Castellón corners (+1.5)	52.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Córdoba corners (-1.5)	47.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Córdoba corners (-2.5)	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Córdoba corners (-3.5)	27.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Castellón corners (-1.5)	22.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Castellón corners (-2.5)	15.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Castellón corners (-3.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	34.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.0%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
0-2	5.3%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.51
2-0	5.0%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
Any other score	5.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.29
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.30
0-3	2.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.31
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.29
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.31
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (2nd half DNB)	53.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Córdoba (2nd half DNB)	47.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	51.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Castellón leading at HT (DNB)	48.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or Castellón (12)	77.3%	75.5%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Castellón or draw (X2)	62.4%	63.6%	54.5%	1.17×	1.57
Córdoba or draw (1X)	60.3%	63.6%	71.9%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw at HT	70.4%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Castellón or draw at HT	68.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Córdoba or Castellón at HT	60.9%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón or draw (1UP)	62.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Córdoba or draw (1UP)	60.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or Castellón in 2nd half	68.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Castellón or draw in 2nd half	67.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	63.7%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (DNB)	51.3%	50.9%	38.2%	1.33×	1.97
Córdoba (DNB)	48.7%	49.1%	61.8%	0.79×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score first	48.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Córdoba to score first	47.5%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.3%	56.6%	54.1%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.7%	43.4%	45.9%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.4%	47.3%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.9%	33.3%	39.7%	0.84×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.6%	79.7%	85.6%	0.93×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.4%	20.3%	14.4%	1.41×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.24
Both score in both halves	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.9%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.0%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	37.0%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.4%	42.1%	41.3%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	36.2%	35.1%	26.7%	1.31×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.6%	20.2%	30.6%	0.66×	4.95
7+ goals	4.8%	1.9%	1.6%	1.18×	54.05

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score exactly 1	31.7%	33.8%	36.9%	0.92×	2.96
Castellón to score exactly 2	26.2%	27.4%	19.8%	1.38×	3.65
Castellón to score 3+	23.0%	22.3%	10.9%	2.04×	4.49
Castellón to score exactly 0	19.2%	19.6%	32.6%	0.60×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1	32.3%	32.6%	35.6%	0.91×	3.07
Córdoba to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.5%	24.9%	1.06×	3.77
Córdoba to score 3+	21.8%	23.3%	17.2%	1.36×	4.29
Córdoba to score exactly 0	20.1%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Córdoba leading at HT	31.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
Castellón leading at HT	29.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón -1: 1	60.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Castellón -1: 2	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Castellón -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (0:1)	62.4%	61.4%	54.5%	1.13×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	26.0%	0.69×	5.61
Córdoba (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (0:2)	81.5%	82.9%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.1%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.11
Córdoba (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (0:3)	92.6%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	5.3%	0.45×	42.01
Córdoba (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.97
Córdoba (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1:0)	60.3%	65.2%	71.9%	0.91×	1.53
Castellón (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	10.3%	1.67×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2:0)	80.1%	84.6%	89.7%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.7%	10.3%	7.1%	1.44×	9.73
Castellón (2:0)	8.2%	6.4%	3.2%	1.97×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede	80.8%	80.8%	67.4%	1.20×	1.24
Córdoba clean sheet	19.2%	19.2%	32.6%	0.59×	5.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	51.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Córdoba to concede in 1st half	48.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half	62.9%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half	37.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners	88.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Córdoba over 3.5 corners	77.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Córdoba over 4.5 corners	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Córdoba under 6.5 corners	63.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Córdoba under 5.5 corners	50.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Córdoba over 5.5 corners	49.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Córdoba over 6.5 corners	36.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba under 4.5 corners	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba under 3.5 corners	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Córdoba under 2.5 corners	11.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Córdoba over 0.5 goals	79.9%	77.8%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Córdoba under 2.5 goals	78.2%	77.8%	82.8%	0.94×	1.29
Córdoba under 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.2%	58.0%	0.92×	1.88
Córdoba over 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	42.0%	1.11×	2.14
Córdoba over 2.5 goals	21.8%	22.2%	17.2%	1.29×	4.50
Córdoba under 0.5 goals	20.1%	22.2%	22.4%	0.99×	4.50
Córdoba over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	6.3%	1.24×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	84.8%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	50.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	49.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	15.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half	38.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Córdoba scores equally in both	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Córdoba scores more in 1st half	26.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón (home no bet)	63.6%	60.0%	51.4%	1.17×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.4%	40.0%	48.6%	0.82×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba even goals	52.0%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Córdoba odd goals	48.0%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 1-0	17.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 0-1	17.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	41.94
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT	22.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Castellón at HT / Castellón at FT	22.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Castellón at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT	12.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Castellón at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Córdoba at HT / Castellón at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Castellón at HT / Córdoba at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to score last	48.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Córdoba to score last	47.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.11

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Castellón to lead by 1 at any time	58.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	56.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Castellón to lead by 2 at any time	27.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	26.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Castellón to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba most corners	58.4%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Castellón most corners	31.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.6%	78.7%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.5%	72.4%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.4%	59.1%	47.7%	1.24×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.4%	59.1%	62.8%	0.94×	1.69
3-5 goals	52.0%	53.2%	44.1%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.4%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	36.4%	1.20×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.2%	39.2%	26.7%	1.47×	2.55
1-2 goals	33.2%	35.2%	41.8%	0.84×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.8%	30.2%	23.2%	1.31×	3.31
5-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	11.4%	1.65×	5.31
7+ goals	4.8%	2.6%	1.6%	1.63×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón never behind	39.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Córdoba never behind	37.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.8%	87.6%	94.9%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.4%	82.3%	69.4%	1.19×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.1%	77.3%	87.1%	0.89×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.2%	61.7%	49.2%	1.26×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	71.8%	0.82×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	28.2%	1.47×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	36.8%	38.3%	50.8%	0.75×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.9%	22.7%	12.9%	1.76×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	16.6%	17.7%	30.6%	0.58×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	11.2%	12.4%	5.1%	2.42×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.9%	92.4%	98.4%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.3%	86.7%	94.4%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.1%	75.9%	61.6%	1.23×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.0%	72.4%	84.8%	0.85×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.7%	51.9%	35.7%	1.45×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.3%	48.1%	64.3%	0.75×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.0%	27.6%	15.2%	1.81×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.9%	24.1%	38.4%	0.63×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.7%	13.3%	5.6%	2.38×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.1%	7.6%	1.6%	4.65×	13.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.5%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.5%	14.1%	—	—	7.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Castellón not to score in both halves	69.6%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Castellón to score in both halves	30.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Córdoba to score in both halves	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.3%	60.3%	54.1%	1.11×	1.66
Only Castellón scores	16.5%	16.0%	13.4%	1.19×	6.24
Only Córdoba scores	15.6%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.24
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.64

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.2%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.1%	17.5%	15.4%	1.13×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.0%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	11.8%	12.1%	7.9%	1.54×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.2%	12.1%	5.1%	2.36×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	25.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	15.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.7%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	14.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to win both halves	90.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Castellón not to win both halves	89.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Castellón to win both halves	10.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Córdoba to win both halves	10.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.37

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Castellón to win either half	55.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Córdoba to win either half	53.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Córdoba to win neither half	46.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Castellón to win neither half	44.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to win to nil	84.5%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Castellón not to win to nil	83.5%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Castellón to win to nil	16.5%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.92
Córdoba to win to nil	15.6%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.7%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Castellón by 1	19.7%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.86
Córdoba by 1	19.1%	17.1%	26.0%	0.66×	5.87
Castellón by 2	11.7%	11.7%	7.1%	1.65×	8.51
Córdoba by 2	11.1%	11.7%	12.1%	0.97×	8.51
Castellón by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	3.2%	2.21×	13.90
Córdoba by 3+	7.4%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.91