Córdoba v Ceuta — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Córdoba

20:00 UTC

Ceuta

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 345h before kick-off

Córdoba win

55.6%

model 56.4%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.1%

Ceuta win

22.2%

model 22.6%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.8%
1-1 9.5%
1-0 8.4%
2-0 8.2%
3-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.1%	Under 2.5	37.9%
BTTS yes	60.1%	BTTS no	39.9%
Córdoba 1+	86.5%	Córdoba 2+	59.6%
Ceuta 1+	69.8%	Ceuta 2+	33.6%

Expected goals 2.01 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 36%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Córdoba have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.2% for Ceuta and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.01 for Córdoba and 1.20 for Ceuta.

Why Córdoba

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Ceuta can win

Nothing in the data singles out Ceuta.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Ceuta, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Ceuta: 50% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562123	2.01–1.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	572023	2.12–1.29	2-1 10%	66%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win	56.7%	53.9%	45.5%	1.19×	1.86
Ceuta to win	22.9%	24.5%	28.1%	0.87×	4.09
Draw	20.3%	24.4%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba & both teams score	32.2%	29.6%	22.0%	1.35×	3.38
Córdoba & not both score	24.5%	21.8%	23.6%	0.93×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Ceuta & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Ceuta & not both score	8.9%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.00
Draw & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba & over 1.5	49.5%	45.1%	32.6%	1.38×	2.22
Córdoba & over 2.5	42.0%	40.2%	26.3%	1.53×	2.49
Córdoba & under 3.5	29.6%	26.1%	32.2%	0.81×	3.84
Córdoba & over 3.5	27.2%	26.1%	13.4%	1.94×	3.84
Ceuta & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Ceuta & over 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	16.7%	1.08×	5.56
Córdoba & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	19.3%	0.67×	7.79
Ceuta & under 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	19.6%	0.66×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	11.9%	12.8%	20.2%	0.63×	7.79
Ceuta & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Córdoba & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Ceuta & under 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.63
Ceuta & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1UP)	72.0%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Ceuta (1UP)	43.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2UP)	56.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Ceuta (2UP)	22.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win 2nd half	46.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	29.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Ceuta to win 2nd half	23.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Ceuta over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Ceuta under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Ceuta over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (+2.5)	82.6%	82.6%	92.3%	0.89×	1.21
Córdoba (+0.5)	77.1%	78.5%	71.9%	1.09×	1.27
Ceuta (+1.5)	65.6%	68.7%	80.4%	0.85×	1.46
Córdoba (-0.5)	56.7%	57.0%	45.5%	1.25×	1.75
Ceuta (+0.5)	43.3%	43.0%	54.5%	0.79×	2.33
Córdoba (-1.5)	34.4%	31.3%	19.6%	1.60×	3.19
Ceuta (-0.5)	22.9%	21.5%	28.1%	0.77×	4.65
Córdoba (-2.5)	17.4%	17.4%	7.7%	2.28×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to concede	88.0%	86.3%	77.6%	1.11×	1.16
Ceuta clean sheet	12.0%	13.7%	22.4%	0.61×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to concede in 1st half	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Ceuta clean sheet in 1st half	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to concede in 2nd half	70.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Ceuta clean sheet in 2nd half	29.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 6.5 corners	92.7%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Ceuta under 5.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Ceuta under 4.5 corners	75.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Ceuta over 2.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Ceuta under 3.5 corners	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Ceuta over 3.5 corners	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Ceuta under 2.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Ceuta over 4.5 corners	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Ceuta over 5.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Ceuta over 6.5 corners	7.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Ceuta under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.8%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
Ceuta over 0.5 goals	72.4%	71.8%	67.4%	1.07×	1.39
Ceuta under 1.5 goals	63.2%	63.2%	69.4%	0.91×	1.58
Ceuta over 1.5 goals	36.8%	36.8%	30.6%	1.20×	2.72
Ceuta under 0.5 goals	27.6%	28.2%	32.6%	0.86×	3.55
Ceuta over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.2%	10.9%	1.12×	8.19
Ceuta over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	3.0%	0.83×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Ceuta under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Ceuta over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Ceuta over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	6.3%	—	—	15.95

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta scores equally in both	39.7%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Ceuta scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Ceuta scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (away no bet)	73.6%	68.4%	63.2%	1.08×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.4%	31.6%	36.8%	0.86×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta even goals	53.8%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Ceuta odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.4%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.6%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	52.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Ceuta to score 2+ in a row	25.3%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Ceuta to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5)	97.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Córdoba corners (+2.5)	94.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (+1.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (-1.5)	68.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Córdoba corners (-2.5)	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Ceuta corners (+3.5)	53.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Córdoba corners (-3.5)	46.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Ceuta corners (+2.5)	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Ceuta corners (+1.5)	32.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Ceuta corners (-1.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Ceuta corners (-2.5)	5.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Ceuta corners (-3.5)	2.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.48

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.51
2-0	7.5%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
3-1	6.8%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
Any other score	7.3%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	3.0%	2.43×	13.51
0-0	3.1%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.30
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.29
0-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.31
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-2	4.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.29
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	2.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.30
4-1	3.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
4-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2nd half DNB)	66.2%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Ceuta (2nd half DNB)	33.8%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	68.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Ceuta leading at HT (DNB)	31.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or Ceuta (12)	79.7%	75.6%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Córdoba or draw (1X)	77.1%	75.5%	71.9%	1.05×	1.32
Ceuta or draw (X2)	43.3%	46.1%	54.5%	0.85×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw at HT	80.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Córdoba or Ceuta at HT	63.4%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Ceuta or draw at HT	56.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw (1UP)	77.1%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
Ceuta or draw (1UP)	43.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	76.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Córdoba or Ceuta in 2nd half	70.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Ceuta or draw in 2nd half	53.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.8%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.2%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (DNB)	71.2%	71.4%	61.8%	1.15×	1.40
Ceuta (DNB)	28.8%	28.6%	38.2%	0.75×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score first	60.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Ceuta to score first	36.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.5%	56.6%	54.1%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.5%	43.4%	45.9%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.6%	47.3%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.0%	33.3%	39.7%	0.84×	3.01
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	6.3%	1.97×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.0%	79.7%	85.6%	0.93×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.0%	20.3%	14.4%	1.41×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	28.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.24
Both score in both halves	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.0%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.4%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	34.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.9%	42.1%	41.3%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.5%	35.1%	26.7%	1.31×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.8%	17.0%	30.6%	0.56×	5.88
7+ goals	5.8%	7.6%	1.6%	4.82×	13.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Ceuta to score exactly 0	27.6%	27.4%	32.6%	0.84×	3.65
Ceuta to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.3%	19.8%	1.13×	4.49
Ceuta to score 3+	14.0%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score 3+	35.6%	35.5%	17.2%	2.07×	2.81
Córdoba to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.9%	1.06×	3.77
Córdoba to score exactly 1	25.4%	26.5%	35.6%	0.74×	3.77
Córdoba to score exactly 0	12.0%	14.3%	22.4%	0.64×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba leading at HT	43.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	36.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Ceuta leading at HT	19.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba -1: 2	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Córdoba -1: 1	34.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Córdoba -1: X	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (0:1)	43.3%	42.7%	54.5%	0.78×	2.34
Córdoba (0:1)	34.4%	30.1%	19.6%	1.54×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (0:2)	65.6%	72.2%	80.4%	0.90×	1.39
Córdoba (0:2)	17.4%	15.3%	7.7%	1.99×	6.55
Draw (0:2)	17.0%	15.3%	12.1%	1.27×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (0:3)	82.6%	85.4%	92.3%	0.92×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.0%	9.9%	5.3%	1.85×	10.12
Córdoba (0:3)	7.4%	5.8%	2.4%	2.41×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (0:4)	92.6%	94.5%	97.6%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.65
Córdoba (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1:0)	77.1%	78.6%	71.9%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.7%	17.9%	0.71×	7.87
Ceuta (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2:0)	90.7%	94.0%	89.7%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	7.1%	0.89×	15.68
Ceuta (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede	72.4%	73.1%	67.4%	1.08×	1.37
Córdoba clean sheet	27.6%	26.9%	32.6%	0.83×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Córdoba to concede in 1st half	40.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half	53.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half	46.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners	92.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba over 3.5 corners	83.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Córdoba over 4.5 corners	72.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Córdoba over 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Córdoba under 6.5 corners	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Córdoba over 6.5 corners	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Córdoba under 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba under 4.5 corners	27.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Córdoba under 3.5 corners	16.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Córdoba under 2.5 corners	7.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.3%	77.6%	1.13×	1.15
Córdoba under 3.5 goals	83.5%	82.2%	93.7%	0.88×	1.22
Córdoba under 2.5 goals	64.4%	63.6%	82.8%	0.77×	1.57
Córdoba over 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.6%	42.0%	1.51×	1.57
Córdoba under 1.5 goals	37.4%	36.4%	58.0%	0.63×	2.75
Córdoba over 2.5 goals	35.6%	36.4%	17.2%	2.12×	2.75
Córdoba over 3.5 goals	16.5%	17.8%	6.3%	2.82×	5.63
Córdoba under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.7%	22.4%	0.57×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	76.8%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	23.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Córdoba scores equally in both	29.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Córdoba scores more in 1st half	27.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta (home no bet)	53.0%	51.4%	51.4%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	47.0%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba even goals	50.7%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Córdoba odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.42
Any other HT score	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-1	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT	36.1%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Ceuta at HT / Ceuta at FT	12.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Ceuta at FT	8.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.40
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Ceuta at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Ceuta at HT / Córdoba at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Córdoba at HT / Ceuta at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score last	60.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Ceuta to score last	36.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	72.0%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Ceuta to lead by 1 at any time	43.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	42.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.8%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Ceuta to lead by 2 at any time	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Ceuta to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	60.46

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba most corners	77.4%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Ceuta most corners	14.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Corners level	7.7%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.4%	85.8%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.7%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.3%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.2%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.3%	63.3%	47.7%	1.33×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.5%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.1%	53.2%	44.1%	1.20×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.6%	53.2%	62.8%	0.85×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.9%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	36.4%	1.20×	2.29
4-6 goals	38.5%	39.2%	26.7%	1.47×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.3%	35.2%	23.2%	1.52×	2.84
1-2 goals	30.7%	35.2%	41.8%	0.84×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.9%	18.8%	11.4%	1.65×	5.31
7+ goals	5.8%	8.9%	1.6%	5.64×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba never behind	53.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Ceuta never behind	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	94.9%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	69.4%	1.26×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.3%	72.5%	87.1%	0.83×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.2%	66.3%	49.2%	1.35×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.7%	58.6%	71.8%	0.82×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.3%	41.4%	28.2%	1.47×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.9%	33.7%	50.8%	0.66×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.7%	27.5%	12.9%	2.13×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	30.6%	0.41×	8.05
Over 5.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	5.1%	2.42×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.7%	92.4%	98.4%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.1%	86.7%	94.4%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.7%	81.1%	61.6%	1.32×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.4%	67.5%	84.8%	0.80×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.7%	55.8%	35.7%	1.56×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.3%	44.2%	64.3%	0.69×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.6%	32.5%	15.2%	2.14×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.3%	18.9%	38.4%	0.49×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.9%	13.3%	5.6%	2.38×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.3%	7.6%	1.6%	4.65×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.7%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.0%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.3%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta not to score in both halves	78.4%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Córdoba not to score in both halves	58.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Córdoba to score in both halves	42.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Ceuta to score in both halves	21.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.5%	60.3%	54.1%	1.11×	1.66
Only Córdoba scores	24.5%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.49
Only Ceuta scores	8.9%	7.1%	13.4%	0.53×	14.02
Neither team scores	3.1%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.0%	17.5%	20.3%	0.86×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	15.4%	1.13×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.0%	12.1%	5.1%	2.36×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	7.9%	1.54×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.1%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	24.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta not to win both halves	95.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Córdoba not to win both halves	79.9%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Córdoba to win both halves	20.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
Ceuta to win both halves	4.7%	2.9%	—	—	35.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win either half	69.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Ceuta to win neither half	61.1%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Ceuta to win either half	38.9%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Córdoba to win neither half	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ceuta not to win to nil	91.1%	92.1%	86.6%	1.06×	1.09
Córdoba not to win to nil	75.5%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Córdoba to win to nil	24.5%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.56
Ceuta to win to nil	8.9%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba by 1	22.3%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Draw	20.3%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Córdoba by 3+	17.4%	17.0%	7.7%	2.23×	5.87
Córdoba by 2	17.0%	17.0%	12.1%	1.41×	5.87
Ceuta by 1	13.6%	11.8%	17.9%	0.66×	8.51
Ceuta by 2	6.3%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Ceuta by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.84