Córdoba v Las Palmas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Córdoba

20:00 UTC

Las Palmas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,041h before kick-off

Córdoba win

36.3%

model 35.9%

Draw

22.0%

model 23.8%

Las Palmas win

41.7%

model 40.4%

362242

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 8.1%
0-1 8.0%
1-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.5%	Under 2.5	42.5%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
Córdoba 1+	76.4%	Córdoba 2+	42.4%
Las Palmas 1+	78.7%	Las Palmas 2+	45.8%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.55. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 68%

78.8% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Las Palmas (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1455.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Las Palmas have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Córdoba and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.45 for Córdoba and 1.55 for Las Palmas.

Why Córdoba

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.45 to 1.55. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Las Palmas can win

Las Palmas carry the stronger rating, 1574 Elo against 1455. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Las Palmas's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Fabio Silva (0.41), Oliver McBurnie (0.26), Alberto Moleiro (0.21).

Availability

No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown. 3 of Las Palmas's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Las Palmas: 56% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Las Palmas are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Las Palmas have scored 8 from 9.8 expected and conceded 14 from 15.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLWWLLLLLL last 10 scored 8 from 9.8 xG conceded 14 from 15.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362440	1.45–1.55	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342342	1.43–1.62	1-1 11%	59%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win	42.2%	42.9%	28.1%	1.53×	2.33
Córdoba to win	34.3%	30.4%	45.5%	0.67×	3.29
Draw	23.5%	24.4%	26.5%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & both teams score	22.9%	21.8%	14.8%	1.48×	4.58
Las Palmas & not both score	19.4%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Córdoba & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Córdoba & not both score	15.4%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas & over 1.5	34.3%	30.8%	19.5%	1.58×	3.25
Las Palmas & over 2.5	28.1%	26.1%	16.7%	1.56×	3.84
Córdoba & over 1.5	27.2%	26.1%	32.6%	0.80×	3.84
Las Palmas & under 3.5	26.3%	26.1%	19.6%	1.33×	3.84
Córdoba & over 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.63
Córdoba & under 3.5	22.1%	21.6%	32.2%	0.67×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Las Palmas & over 3.5	15.9%	18.0%	8.6%	2.09×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.2%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Las Palmas & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.79
Córdoba & under 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	19.3%	0.67×	7.79
Córdoba & over 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Las Palmas & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Córdoba & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	9.1%	0.53×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (1UP)	59.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Córdoba (1UP)	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2UP)	42.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Córdoba (2UP)	34.3%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Córdoba to win 2nd half	29.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.1%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.9%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (+2.5)	94.2%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Las Palmas (+1.5)	84.3%	82.5%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Las Palmas (+0.5)	65.7%	68.7%	54.5%	1.26×	1.46
Córdoba (+0.5)	57.8%	57.0%	71.9%	0.79×	1.75
Las Palmas (-0.5)	42.2%	43.0%	28.1%	1.53×	2.33
Córdoba (-0.5)	34.3%	31.3%	45.5%	0.69×	3.19
Córdoba (-1.5)	15.7%	17.5%	19.6%	0.89×	5.73
Córdoba (-2.5)	5.8%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to concede	76.1%	78.7%	77.6%	1.02×	1.27
Las Palmas clean sheet	23.9%	21.3%	22.4%	0.95×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas clean sheet in 1st half	54.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Las Palmas to concede in 1st half	46.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to concede in 2nd half	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Las Palmas clean sheet in 2nd half	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 6.5 corners	91.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Las Palmas under 5.5 corners	84.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Las Palmas under 4.5 corners	72.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Las Palmas over 2.5 corners	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Las Palmas under 3.5 corners	56.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Las Palmas over 3.5 corners	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Las Palmas under 2.5 corners	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Las Palmas over 4.5 corners	27.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Las Palmas over 5.5 corners	15.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Las Palmas over 6.5 corners	8.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Las Palmas over 0.5 goals	80.1%	81.4%	67.4%	1.21×	1.23
Las Palmas under 2.5 goals	78.0%	76.3%	89.1%	0.86×	1.31
Las Palmas under 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	69.4%	0.77×	1.87
Las Palmas over 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	30.6%	1.52×	2.15
Las Palmas over 2.5 goals	22.0%	23.7%	10.9%	2.18×	4.21
Las Palmas under 0.5 goals	19.9%	18.6%	32.6%	0.57×	5.39
Las Palmas over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	3.0%	2.52×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Las Palmas under 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Las Palmas over 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Las Palmas over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas scores more in 2nd half	41.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Las Palmas scores equally in both	34.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Las Palmas scores more in 1st half	23.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (away no bet)	59.4%	57.4%	63.2%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.6%	42.6%	36.8%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas even goals	52.0%	52.6%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90
Las Palmas odd goals	48.0%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Las Palmas to score 2+ in a row	38.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	31.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Las Palmas to score 3+ in a row	13.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5)	96.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Córdoba corners (+2.5)	93.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (+1.5)	88.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Córdoba corners (-1.5)	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Las Palmas corners (+3.5)	59.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Córdoba corners (-2.5)	51.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Las Palmas corners (+2.5)	48.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Córdoba corners (-3.5)	41.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Las Palmas corners (+1.5)	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Las Palmas corners (-1.5)	11.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Las Palmas corners (-2.5)	6.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Las Palmas corners (-3.5)	3.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	61.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	38.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.7%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
2-2	6.4%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.51
1-3	4.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.29
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	58.29
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.31
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	4.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (2nd half DNB)	56.2%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Córdoba (2nd half DNB)	43.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas leading at HT (DNB)	51.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	48.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or Las Palmas (12)	76.5%	75.6%	73.5%	1.03×	1.32
Las Palmas or draw (X2)	65.7%	69.6%	54.5%	1.28×	1.44
Córdoba or draw (1X)	57.8%	57.1%	71.9%	0.79×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw at HT	71.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Córdoba or draw at HT	69.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Córdoba or Las Palmas at HT	59.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw (1UP)	65.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Córdoba or draw (1UP)	57.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Córdoba or Las Palmas in 2nd half	67.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (DNB)	55.2%	58.0%	38.2%	1.52×	1.72
Córdoba (DNB)	44.8%	42.0%	61.8%	0.68×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score first	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Córdoba to score first	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.7%	56.6%	54.1%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.3%	43.4%	45.9%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.0%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	30.5%	34.5%	39.7%	0.87×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.9%	79.7%	85.6%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.1%	20.3%	14.4%	1.41×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.2%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	27.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	42.1%	41.3%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.8%	30.7%	26.7%	1.15×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.3%	30.6%	0.66×	4.94
7+ goals	3.6%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score exactly 1	32.1%	33.8%	36.9%	0.92×	2.96
Las Palmas to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	19.8%	1.38×	3.66
Las Palmas to score 3+	22.0%	22.3%	10.9%	2.05×	4.49
Las Palmas to score exactly 0	19.9%	19.6%	32.6%	0.60×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.6%	35.6%	0.91×	3.07
Córdoba to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Córdoba to score exactly 0	23.9%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29
Córdoba to score 3+	17.5%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Las Palmas leading at HT	30.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Córdoba leading at HT	28.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas -1: 1	57.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Las Palmas -1: 2	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Las Palmas -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:1)	65.7%	65.2%	54.5%	1.20×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.6%	17.8%	26.0%	0.69×	5.61
Córdoba (0:1)	15.7%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:2)	84.3%	83.0%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	12.1%	0.64×	13.02
Córdoba (0:2)	5.8%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:3)	94.2%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	5.3%	0.45×	42.03
Córdoba (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.96
Córdoba (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1:0)	57.8%	58.3%	71.9%	0.81×	1.71
Las Palmas (1:0)	21.3%	21.7%	10.3%	2.11×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	21.0%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2:0)	78.7%	80.5%	89.7%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.6%	10.3%	7.1%	1.44×	9.72
Las Palmas (2:0)	8.7%	6.4%	3.2%	1.96×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede	80.1%	80.8%	67.4%	1.20×	1.24
Córdoba clean sheet	19.9%	19.2%	32.6%	0.59×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	52.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Córdoba to concede in 1st half	47.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half	62.1%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half	37.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners	90.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba over 3.5 corners	80.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Córdoba over 4.5 corners	68.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Córdoba under 6.5 corners	57.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Córdoba over 5.5 corners	55.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Córdoba under 5.5 corners	44.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Córdoba over 6.5 corners	42.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Córdoba under 4.5 corners	31.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Córdoba under 3.5 corners	19.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Córdoba under 2.5 corners	9.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.2%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Córdoba under 2.5 goals	82.5%	82.2%	82.8%	0.99×	1.22
Córdoba over 0.5 goals	76.1%	77.7%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Córdoba under 1.5 goals	58.1%	58.6%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Córdoba over 1.5 goals	41.9%	41.4%	42.0%	0.98×	2.42
Córdoba under 0.5 goals	23.9%	22.3%	22.4%	0.99×	4.49
Córdoba over 2.5 goals	17.5%	17.8%	17.2%	1.04×	5.62
Córdoba over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	6.3%	1.23×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	54.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	46.0%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	9.8%	—	—	10.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba scores equally in both	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half	37.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba scores more in 1st half	25.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas (home no bet)	64.3%	60.0%	51.4%	1.17×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.7%	40.0%	48.6%	0.82×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba even goals	52.8%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Córdoba odd goals	47.2%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
HT 0-1	18.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-0	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
Any other HT score	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas at HT / Las Palmas at FT	23.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Las Palmas at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Las Palmas at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Córdoba at HT / Las Palmas at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
Las Palmas at HT / Córdoba at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to score last	50.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Córdoba to score last	44.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.23

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Las Palmas to lead by 1 at any time	59.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	53.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Las Palmas to lead by 2 at any time	28.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Las Palmas to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.89

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba most corners	73.2%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Las Palmas most corners	18.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	76.9%	78.7%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.2%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.4%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.2%	59.1%	62.8%	0.94×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.2%	59.1%	47.7%	1.24×	1.69
3-5 goals	49.9%	48.5%	44.1%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	36.4%	1.08×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.8%	39.2%	41.8%	0.94×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.8%	35.2%	26.7%	1.32×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.5%	30.2%	23.2%	1.31×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.7%	18.8%	11.4%	1.65×	5.31
7+ goals	3.6%	2.6%	1.6%	1.63×	39.06

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas never behind	42.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Córdoba never behind	35.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	87.1%	0.94×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.3%	69.4%	1.19×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.7%	61.7%	71.8%	0.86×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.6%	49.2%	1.19×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.4%	50.8%	0.81×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.3%	38.3%	28.2%	1.36×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	30.6%	0.58×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	12.9%	1.37×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	5.1%	1.51×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.1%	92.4%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.8%	75.9%	84.8%	0.89×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.1%	75.9%	61.6%	1.23×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.2%	51.9%	64.3%	0.81×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.8%	48.1%	35.7%	1.35×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.9%	24.1%	38.4%	0.63×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.2%	24.1%	15.2%	1.59×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.9%	7.6%	5.6%	1.37×	13.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.8%	1.6%	1.73×	35.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.3%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.4%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.6%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to score in both halves	74.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Las Palmas not to score in both halves	70.5%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Las Palmas to score in both halves	29.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Córdoba to score in both halves	25.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.7%	60.3%	54.1%	1.11×	1.66
Only Las Palmas scores	19.4%	16.0%	13.4%	1.20×	6.24
Only Córdoba scores	15.4%	16.0%	23.6%	0.68×	6.25
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.66

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.8%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.5%	15.4%	1.13×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	7.9%	1.54×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.9%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.2%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	16.7%	16.4%	—	—	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to win both halves	91.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Las Palmas not to win both halves	88.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Las Palmas to win both halves	11.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Córdoba to win both halves	8.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.91

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Las Palmas to win either half	56.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Córdoba to win neither half	50.2%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Córdoba to win either half	49.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Las Palmas to win neither half	43.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba not to win to nil	84.6%	83.1%	76.4%	1.09×	1.20
Las Palmas not to win to nil	80.6%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Las Palmas to win to nil	19.4%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.91
Córdoba to win to nil	15.4%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.5%	24.1%	26.5%	0.91×	4.15
Las Palmas by 1	21.0%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Córdoba by 1	18.6%	17.0%	26.0%	0.66×	5.87
Las Palmas by 2	12.6%	11.8%	7.1%	1.65×	8.51
Córdoba by 2	9.9%	7.2%	12.1%	0.60×	13.90
Las Palmas by 3+	8.7%	7.2%	3.2%	2.21×	13.90
Córdoba by 3+	5.8%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.92