Córdoba v Real Oviedo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Córdoba

20:00 UTC

Real Oviedo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 681h before kick-off

Córdoba win

44.2%

model 44.0%

Draw

27.9%

model 26.5%

Real Oviedo win

27.9%

model 29.5%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-0 12.4%
0-1 9.7%
2-1 8.7%
0-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.6%	Under 2.5	56.4%
BTTS yes	48.3%	BTTS no	51.7%
Córdoba 1+	74.4%	Córdoba 2+	39.5%
Real Oviedo 1+	65.4%	Real Oviedo 2+	28.6%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

50/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Real Oviedo not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 87%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1413.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Córdoba have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for Real Oviedo and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Córdoba and 1.06 for Real Oviedo.

Why Córdoba

Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1413.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Real Oviedo can win

Nothing in the data singles out Real Oviedo.

Key players

Real Oviedo's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Federico Viñas (0.38), Ilyas Chaira (0.23), Thiago Fernández (0.23).

Availability

No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown. 2 of Real Oviedo's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Real Oviedo: 56% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 50/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Real Oviedo are finishing below their chances — 3.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDLLDLLL last 10 scored 8 from 11.3 xG conceded 16 from 18.6 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442729	1.36–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	362836	1.12–1.11	1-1 13%	38%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win	36.0%	36.4%	45.5%	0.80×	2.75
Real Oviedo to win	35.6%	36.3%	28.1%	1.29×	2.75
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba & not both score	22.5%	21.8%	23.6%	0.93×	4.58
Real Oviedo & not both score	22.3%	21.8%	13.4%	1.63×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.57
Córdoba & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.54
Real Oviedo & both teams score	13.4%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	9.1%	1.45×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba & under 3.5	29.1%	26.1%	32.2%	0.81×	3.84
Real Oviedo & under 3.5	28.8%	26.1%	19.6%	1.33×	3.84
Córdoba & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	32.6%	0.66×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.6%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Real Oviedo & over 1.5	23.3%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.63
Córdoba & under 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Real Oviedo & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Córdoba & over 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	26.3%	0.68×	5.56
Real Oviedo & over 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	16.7%	1.08×	5.56
Córdoba & under 1.5	12.4%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Real Oviedo & under 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.5%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Córdoba & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Real Oviedo & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1UP)	50.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Real Oviedo (1UP)	49.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2UP)	36.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Real Oviedo (2UP)	35.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Real Oviedo to win 2nd half	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Córdoba to win 2nd half	29.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Real Oviedo under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Real Oviedo over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Real Oviedo over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	13.3%	—	—	7.53

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	11.5%	—	—	8.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Real Oviedo (+1.5)	85.5%	88.5%	80.4%	1.10×	1.13
Córdoba (+0.5)	64.4%	63.0%	71.9%	0.88×	1.59
Real Oviedo (+0.5)	64.0%	63.0%	54.5%	1.15×	1.59
Córdoba (-0.5)	36.0%	37.1%	45.5%	0.81×	2.70
Real Oviedo (-0.5)	35.6%	37.0%	28.1%	1.32×	2.70
Córdoba (-1.5)	14.5%	11.5%	19.6%	0.59×	8.66
Córdoba (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.03

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to concede	67.2%	72.3%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Real Oviedo clean sheet	32.8%	27.7%	22.4%	1.23×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo clean sheet in 1st half	61.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Real Oviedo to concede in 1st half	38.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo clean sheet in 2nd half	52.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Real Oviedo to concede in 2nd half	47.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 6.5 corners	91.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Real Oviedo under 5.5 corners	84.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Real Oviedo under 4.5 corners	72.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Real Oviedo over 2.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Oviedo under 3.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Real Oviedo over 3.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Real Oviedo under 2.5 corners	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Oviedo over 4.5 corners	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Real Oviedo over 5.5 corners	15.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Real Oviedo over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 3.5 goals	97.4%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Real Oviedo under 2.5 goals	89.9%	87.8%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
Real Oviedo under 1.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Real Oviedo over 0.5 goals	67.0%	68.0%	67.4%	1.01×	1.47
Real Oviedo under 0.5 goals	33.0%	32.0%	32.6%	0.98×	3.13
Real Oviedo over 1.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	30.6%	1.04×	3.13
Real Oviedo over 2.5 goals	10.1%	12.2%	10.9%	1.12×	8.21
Real Oviedo over 3.5 goals	2.6%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 1.5 in 1st half	92.7%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Real Oviedo under 0.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Real Oviedo over 0.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Real Oviedo over 1.5 in 1st half	7.4%	6.2%	—	—	16.14

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo scores equally in both	43.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Real Oviedo scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Real Oviedo scores more in 1st half	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (away no bet)	56.0%	57.4%	63.2%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.0%	42.6%	36.8%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo even goals	55.5%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Real Oviedo odd goals	44.5%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.2%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	24.5%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Real Oviedo to score 2+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.13
Real Oviedo to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5)	96.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Córdoba corners (+2.5)	94.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (+1.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (-1.5)	67.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Córdoba corners (-2.5)	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Real Oviedo corners (+3.5)	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Córdoba corners (-3.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Real Oviedo corners (+2.5)	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Real Oviedo corners (+1.5)	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Real Oviedo corners (-1.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Real Oviedo corners (-2.5)	5.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Real Oviedo corners (-3.5)	3.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.47

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-1	12.3%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.72
1-0	12.4%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
0-0	10.5%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	6.7%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.31
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (2nd half DNB)	51.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Córdoba (2nd half DNB)	48.5%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	52.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.78
Real Oviedo leading at HT (DNB)	47.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or Real Oviedo (12)	71.7%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Córdoba or draw (1X)	64.4%	63.7%	71.9%	0.89×	1.57
Real Oviedo or draw (X2)	64.0%	63.6%	54.5%	1.17×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw at HT	75.5%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Real Oviedo or draw at HT	73.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Córdoba or Real Oviedo at HT	51.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw (1UP)	64.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Real Oviedo or draw (1UP)	64.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo or draw in 2nd half	70.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Córdoba or Real Oviedo in 2nd half	60.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.7%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (DNB)	50.3%	50.8%	61.8%	0.82×	1.97
Real Oviedo (DNB)	49.7%	49.2%	38.2%	1.29×	2.03

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score first	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Real Oviedo to score first	44.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	10.5%	9.4%	—	—	10.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.3%	55.0%	45.9%	1.20×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.7%	45.0%	54.1%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.6%	44.4%	39.7%	1.12×	2.25
Both score & over 2.5	31.7%	34.5%	43.0%	0.80×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.7%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.7%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.3%	11.0%	14.4%	0.77×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.60
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	43.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.2%	35.1%	30.6%	1.15×	2.85
4-6 goals	17.8%	20.2%	26.7%	0.76×	4.95
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Real Oviedo to score exactly 0	33.0%	33.8%	32.6%	1.04×	2.96
Real Oviedo to score exactly 2	20.3%	22.3%	19.8%	1.12×	4.49
Real Oviedo to score 3+	10.1%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Córdoba to score exactly 0	32.8%	32.6%	22.4%	1.45×	3.07
Córdoba to score exactly 2	20.4%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Córdoba to score 3+	10.3%	14.3%	17.2%	0.83×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Córdoba leading at HT	27.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Real Oviedo leading at HT	24.5%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba -1: 2	64.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Córdoba -1: X	21.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Córdoba -1: 1	14.5%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (0:1)	64.0%	61.4%	54.5%	1.13×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.6%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Córdoba (0:1)	14.5%	13.7%	19.6%	0.70×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (0:2)	85.5%	87.1%	80.4%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	7.7%	12.1%	0.64×	13.02
Córdoba (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.62

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	5.3%	0.44×	42.08
Córdoba (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.07
Córdoba (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.4%	2.90×	82.15

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1:0)	64.4%	65.3%	71.9%	0.91×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.4%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Real Oviedo (1:0)	14.2%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2:0)	85.8%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.8%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.64
Real Oviedo (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede	67.0%	66.7%	67.4%	0.99×	1.50
Córdoba clean sheet	33.0%	33.3%	32.6%	1.02×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	64.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Córdoba to concede in 1st half	35.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half	51.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half	48.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners	92.8%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba over 3.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Córdoba over 4.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Córdoba over 5.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Córdoba under 6.5 corners	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Córdoba over 6.5 corners	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Córdoba under 5.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba under 4.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Córdoba under 3.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Córdoba under 2.5 corners	7.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals	97.3%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Córdoba under 2.5 goals	89.7%	87.3%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Córdoba under 1.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	58.0%	1.17×	1.47
Córdoba over 0.5 goals	67.2%	67.9%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Córdoba under 0.5 goals	32.8%	32.1%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Córdoba over 1.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	42.0%	0.76×	3.12
Córdoba over 2.5 goals	10.3%	12.7%	17.2%	0.74×	7.86
Córdoba over 3.5 goals	2.7%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	5.3%	—	—	18.86

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba scores equally in both	43.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half	33.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Córdoba scores more in 1st half	23.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (home no bet)	55.7%	56.4%	51.4%	1.10×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.3%	43.6%	48.6%	0.90×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba even goals	55.4%	55.2%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Córdoba odd goals	44.6%	44.8%	48.3%	0.93×	2.23

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
HT 1-0	19.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 0-1	17.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.91
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
Any other HT score	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT	20.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Real Oviedo at HT / Real Oviedo at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Real Oviedo at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Real Oviedo at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Córdoba at HT / Real Oviedo at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Real Oviedo at HT / Córdoba at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score last	44.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
Real Oviedo to score last	44.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	10.5%	8.8%	—	—	11.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.5%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	50.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Real Oviedo to lead by 1 at any time	49.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Real Oviedo to lead by 2 at any time	18.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.04
Real Oviedo to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba most corners	77.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Real Oviedo most corners	15.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.23
Corners level	7.7%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.0%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.0%	72.3%	62.8%	1.15×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.0%	63.3%	67.9%	0.93×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.2%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.1%	53.2%	41.8%	1.27×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.6%	39.2%	47.7%	0.82×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.8%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	30.9%	35.2%	36.4%	0.97×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.8%	18.8%	26.7%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.9%	18.8%	23.2%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.7%	8.9%	11.4%	0.78×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba never behind	39.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Real Oviedo never behind	39.3%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	87.1%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.5%	82.3%	71.8%	1.15×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.8%	61.8%	69.4%	0.89×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	50.8%	1.21×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	49.2%	0.78×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.2%	38.2%	30.6%	1.25×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	18.5%	17.7%	28.2%	0.63×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.3%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.6%	92.4%	84.8%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.9%	75.9%	64.3%	1.18×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.2%	51.9%	61.6%	0.84×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.8%	48.1%	38.4%	1.25×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.1%	24.1%	35.7%	0.68×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.4%	7.6%	15.2%	0.50×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.7%	2.8%	5.6%	0.50×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo not to score in both halves	82.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Córdoba not to score in both halves	82.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Córdoba to score in both halves	17.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Real Oviedo to score in both halves	17.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.7%	46.6%	54.1%	0.86×	2.15
Only Córdoba scores	22.5%	22.3%	23.6%	0.94×	4.49
Only Real Oviedo scores	22.3%	22.3%	13.4%	1.66×	4.49
Neither team scores	10.5%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.7%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.8%	17.5%	21.1%	0.83×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.0%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	10.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	4.9%	4.5%	7.9%	0.57×	22.35
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
3+ goals in 1st half	6.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.73

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	27.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo not to win both halves	92.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Córdoba not to win both halves	92.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Córdoba to win both halves	7.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.03
Real Oviedo to win both halves	7.5%	5.9%	—	—	17.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to win neither half	52.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Córdoba to win neither half	51.6%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Córdoba to win either half	48.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Real Oviedo to win either half	47.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	86.6%	0.90×	1.28
Córdoba not to win to nil	77.5%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Córdoba to win to nil	22.5%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Real Oviedo to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59
Córdoba by 1	21.6%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Real Oviedo by 1	21.4%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Córdoba by 2	10.0%	7.2%	12.1%	0.60×	13.89
Real Oviedo by 2	9.8%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.90
Córdoba by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	7.7%	0.36×	36.79
Real Oviedo by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.79