Córdoba v Tenerife — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 4 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Córdoba

18:00 UTC

Tenerife

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 606h before kick-off

Córdoba win

47.1%

model 45.9%

Draw

26.4%

model 25.0%

Tenerife win

26.5%

model 29.1%

472627

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.9%
1-0 10.9%
2-1 9.2%
0-1 8.3%
2-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.6%	Under 2.5	50.4%
BTTS yes	52.9%	BTTS no	47.1%
Córdoba 1+	77.9%	Córdoba 2+	44.6%
Tenerife 1+	68.2%	Tenerife 2+	31.8%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 57%

62.2% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3499 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Tenerife not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 87%

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1055 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Córdoba have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for Tenerife and 26.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Córdoba and 1.15 for Tenerife.

Why Córdoba

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.4%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Tenerife can win

They have had 30 days' rest to Córdoba's 27.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tenerife, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tenerife: 46% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462529	1.51–1.15	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472528	1.55–1.15	1-1 12%	51%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win	45.9%	49.0%	45.5%	1.08×	2.04
Tenerife to win	29.1%	27.6%	28.0%	0.98×	3.63
Draw	25.0%	27.5%	26.6%	1.03×	3.64

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba & not both score	25.0%	26.1%	23.6%	1.10×	3.83
Córdoba & both teams score	20.8%	22.7%	22.0%	1.03×	4.41
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.8%	17.5%	1.02×	5.61
Tenerife & not both score	15.4%	17.8%	13.4%	1.32×	5.62
Tenerife & both teams score	13.8%	12.1%	14.7%	0.83×	8.24
Draw & not both score	6.7%	7.3%	9.1%	0.80×	13.72

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba & over 1.5	35.0%	33.1%	32.6%	1.02×	3.02
Córdoba & under 3.5	32.1%	33.1%	32.2%	1.03×	3.03
Córdoba & over 2.5	27.0%	25.5%	26.3%	0.97×	3.92
Tenerife & under 3.5	21.7%	21.5%	19.6%	1.09×	4.66
Tenerife & over 1.5	20.8%	21.5%	19.4%	1.10×	4.66
Córdoba & under 2.5	18.9%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.68
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.68
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	17.6%	20.3%	0.87×	5.68
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.68
Tenerife & over 2.5	16.2%	17.6%	16.6%	1.06×	5.68
Córdoba & over 3.5	13.8%	12.7%	13.3%	0.95×	7.87
Tenerife & under 2.5	12.9%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.88
Córdoba & under 1.5	10.9%	12.7%	13.0%	0.97×	7.88
Tenerife & under 1.5	8.3%	7.5%	8.7%	0.86×	13.33
Tenerife & over 3.5	7.4%	7.5%	8.5%	0.88×	13.34
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.5%	9.1%	0.82×	13.34
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.35
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.5%	6.4%	1.17×	13.35

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1UP)	60.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Tenerife (1UP)	46.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2UP)	45.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Tenerife (2UP)	29.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win 2nd half	37.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
2nd half drawn	35.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Tenerife to win 2nd half	27.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Tenerife under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Tenerife over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Tenerife over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (+2.5)	91.0%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Tenerife (+1.5)	77.2%	78.7%	80.5%	0.98×	1.27
Córdoba (+0.5)	70.9%	73.1%	72.0%	1.02×	1.37
Tenerife (+0.5)	54.1%	51.9%	54.5%	0.95×	1.93
Córdoba (-0.5)	45.9%	48.1%	45.5%	1.06×	2.08
Tenerife (-0.5)	29.1%	26.9%	28.0%	0.96×	3.71
Córdoba (-1.5)	22.8%	21.3%	19.5%	1.09×	4.71
Córdoba (-2.5)	9.0%	7.7%	7.7%	1.01×	12.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to concede	77.9%	76.3%	77.5%	0.98×	1.31
Tenerife clean sheet	22.1%	23.7%	22.5%	1.06×	4.22

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife clean sheet in 1st half	52.3%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Tenerife to concede in 1st half	47.7%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to concede in 2nd half	57.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Tenerife clean sheet in 2nd half	42.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife under 6.5 corners	91.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Tenerife under 5.5 corners	83.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Tenerife under 4.5 corners	72.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Tenerife over 2.5 corners	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tenerife under 3.5 corners	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tenerife over 3.5 corners	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tenerife under 2.5 corners	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tenerife over 4.5 corners	27.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Tenerife over 5.5 corners	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Tenerife over 6.5 corners	8.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.94

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife under 3.5 goals	97.1%	97.3%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Tenerife under 2.5 goals	89.1%	89.2%	89.2%	1.00×	1.12
Tenerife over 0.5 goals	68.2%	67.3%	67.3%	1.00×	1.49
Tenerife under 1.5 goals	68.2%	67.3%	69.4%	0.97×	1.49
Tenerife over 1.5 goals	31.8%	32.7%	30.6%	1.07×	3.06
Tenerife under 0.5 goals	31.8%	32.7%	32.7%	1.00×	3.06
Tenerife over 2.5 goals	10.9%	10.8%	10.8%	1.00×	9.24
Tenerife over 3.5 goals	2.9%	2.7%	3.0%	0.90×	36.48

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife under 1.5 in 1st half	92.2%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Tenerife under 0.5 in 1st half	63.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Tenerife over 0.5 in 1st half	36.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Tenerife over 1.5 in 1st half	7.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife scores equally in both	42.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Tenerife scores more in 2nd half	36.1%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Tenerife scores more in 1st half	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (away no bet)	64.7%	58.6%	63.1%	0.93×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	35.3%	41.4%	36.9%	1.12×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife even goals	55.0%	58.3%	54.7%	1.07×	1.72
Tenerife odd goals	45.0%	41.7%	45.3%	0.92×	2.40

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.1%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.9%	13.6%	—	—	7.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.1%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Tenerife to score 2+ in a row	23.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.9%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Tenerife to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.69

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5)	97.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Córdoba corners (+2.5)	94.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (+1.5)	90.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba corners (-1.5)	68.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Córdoba corners (-2.5)	58.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tenerife corners (+3.5)	52.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Córdoba corners (-3.5)	47.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Tenerife corners (+2.5)	41.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tenerife corners (+1.5)	31.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Tenerife corners (-1.5)	9.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Tenerife corners (-2.5)	5.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Tenerife corners (-3.5)	3.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
0-8 corners	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	27.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.62
1-0	10.9%	11.6%	13.0%	0.89×	8.62
2-1	9.2%	7.3%	10.1%	0.72×	13.76
0-1	8.3%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.76
2-0	8.0%	7.3%	6.4%	1.13×	13.76
0-0	6.7%	7.3%	9.1%	0.79×	13.77
1-2	7.0%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.77
2-2	5.3%	7.3%	5.7%	1.28×	13.77
0-2	4.6%	1.8%	2.9%	0.61×	55.39
3-0	4.0%	1.8%	3.0%	0.59×	55.41
3-1	4.6%	1.8%	4.5%	0.40×	55.39
1-3	2.7%	1.8%	3.6%	0.51×	55.44
3-2	2.6%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.44
Any other score	2.5%	1.8%	2.7%	0.66×	55.45
0-3	1.8%	1.8%	1.3%	1.43×	55.46
2-3	2.0%	1.8%	2.3%	0.78×	55.46
4-0	1.5%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.47
4-1	1.7%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.47
0-4	0.5%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.50
1-4	0.8%	1.8%	0.8%	2.14×	55.49
2-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.49
3-3	1.0%	1.8%	0.7%	2.45×	55.48
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.50
4-2	1.0%	1.8%	1.2%	1.56×	55.48
4-3	0.4%	1.8%	0.3%	5.72×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	8.58×	55.51

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2nd half DNB)	57.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
Tenerife (2nd half DNB)	42.3%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	61.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Tenerife leading at HT (DNB)	39.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or Tenerife (12)	75.0%	72.5%	73.4%	0.99×	1.38
Córdoba or draw (1X)	70.9%	72.4%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
Tenerife or draw (X2)	54.1%	51.0%	54.5%	0.94×	1.96

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw at HT	78.0%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Tenerife or draw at HT	65.6%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Córdoba or Tenerife at HT	56.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw (1UP)	70.9%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Tenerife or draw (1UP)	54.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	72.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Córdoba or Tenerife in 2nd half	64.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Tenerife or draw in 2nd half	62.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	36.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (DNB)	61.2%	61.7%	61.9%	1.00×	1.62
Tenerife (DNB)	38.8%	38.3%	38.1%	1.00×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score first	53.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Tenerife to score first	40.3%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
No goal scored	6.7%	6.2%	—	—	16.03

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.9%	53.1%	54.0%	0.98×	1.88
Not both teams to score	47.1%	46.9%	46.0%	1.02×	2.13

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.0%	42.3%	42.9%	0.99×	2.37
Not both score & under 2.5	38.6%	37.5%	39.8%	0.94×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	11.7%	11.2%	1.04×	8.55
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.7%	6.3%	1.37×	11.54

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.8%	85.4%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.2%	14.6%	14.4%	1.02×	6.84

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.4%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	11.6%	—	—	8.64
Both score in both halves	5.0%	6.4%	—	—	15.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.6%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
A half without a goal	47.4%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	45.9%	41.4%	1.11×	2.18
0-1 goals	25.9%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
4-6 goals	25.7%	27.7%	26.6%	1.04×	3.61
7+ goals	1.9%	1.9%	1.6%	1.22×	52.04

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife to score exactly 1	36.4%	34.6%	36.9%	0.94×	2.89
Tenerife to score exactly 0	31.8%	33.0%	32.7%	1.01×	3.03
Tenerife to score exactly 2	20.9%	24.0%	19.9%	1.21×	4.16
Tenerife to score 3+	10.9%	13.3%	10.8%	1.23×	7.52

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1	33.4%	30.5%	35.6%	0.86×	3.28
Córdoba to score exactly 2	25.2%	27.0%	25.0%	1.08×	3.70
Córdoba to score exactly 0	22.1%	22.9%	22.5%	1.02×	4.36
Córdoba to score 3+	19.4%	18.5%	17.1%	1.08×	5.39

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Córdoba leading at HT	34.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
Tenerife leading at HT	22.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba -1: 2	54.1%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Córdoba -1: X	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Córdoba -1: 1	22.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (0:1)	54.1%	53.6%	54.5%	0.98×	1.86
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.08
Córdoba (0:1)	22.8%	24.5%	19.5%	1.25×	4.08

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (0:2)	77.2%	77.4%	80.5%	0.96×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.6%	12.0%	0.97×	8.60
Córdoba (0:2)	9.0%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.91

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (0:3)	91.0%	92.6%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	6.8%	5.4%	1.27×	14.74
Córdoba (0:3)	2.9%	2.3%	2.4%	0.96×	43.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.03
Córdoba (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (1:0)	70.9%	73.4%	72.0%	1.02×	1.36
Draw (1:0)	17.6%	16.4%	18.0%	0.91×	6.09
Tenerife (1:0)	11.5%	11.6%	10.2%	1.14×	8.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba (2:0)	88.5%	89.4%	89.8%	0.99×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.5%	7.0%	0.93×	15.31
Tenerife (2:0)	3.6%	2.7%	3.3%	0.84×	36.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	24.9%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to concede	68.2%	67.1%	67.3%	1.00×	1.49
Córdoba clean sheet	31.8%	32.9%	32.7%	1.01×	3.04

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	63.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Córdoba to concede in 1st half	36.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half	50.3%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half	49.7%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners	93.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Córdoba over 3.5 corners	85.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Córdoba over 4.5 corners	75.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Córdoba over 5.5 corners	63.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Córdoba over 6.5 corners	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Córdoba under 6.5 corners	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Córdoba under 5.5 corners	36.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Córdoba under 4.5 corners	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Córdoba under 3.5 corners	14.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.31
Córdoba under 2.5 corners	6.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.2%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Córdoba under 2.5 goals	80.6%	82.5%	82.9%	1.00×	1.21
Córdoba over 0.5 goals	77.9%	76.9%	77.5%	0.99×	1.30
Córdoba under 1.5 goals	55.5%	55.8%	58.0%	0.96×	1.79
Córdoba over 1.5 goals	44.5%	44.2%	42.0%	1.05×	2.27
Córdoba under 0.5 goals	22.1%	23.1%	22.5%	1.03×	4.33
Córdoba over 2.5 goals	19.4%	17.5%	17.1%	1.02×	5.70
Córdoba over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	6.3%	1.23×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	86.2%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half	38.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Córdoba scores equally in both	36.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Córdoba scores more in 1st half	25.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	46.2%	50.7%	48.7%	1.04×	1.97
Tenerife (home no bet)	53.8%	49.3%	51.3%	0.96×	2.03

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba even goals	52.4%	50.3%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Córdoba odd goals	47.6%	49.7%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.0%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
HT 1-0	21.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
HT 0-1	15.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	9.8%	7.7%	—	—	12.96
HT 2-0	7.0%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	3.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.78
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.80
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.82
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.87
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT	27.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Tenerife at HT / Tenerife at FT	15.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Tenerife at FT	12.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.27
Tenerife at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.31
Tenerife at HT / Córdoba at FT	2.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Córdoba at HT / Tenerife at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.42

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to score last	53.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Tenerife to score last	40.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.7%	6.2%	—	—	16.03

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	60.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Tenerife to lead by 1 at any time	46.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	28.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Tenerife to lead by 2 at any time	16.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.69
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	11.3%	—	—	8.83
Tenerife to lead by 3 at any time	4.9%	2.7%	—	—	37.64

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba most corners	77.5%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Tenerife most corners	15.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.27
Corners level	7.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	88.0%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	81.5%	78.0%	1.04×	1.23
2-6 goals	72.2%	73.6%	67.9%	1.08×	1.36
2-5 goals	68.7%	68.3%	64.3%	1.06×	1.46
1-3 goals	65.6%	68.3%	62.9%	1.09×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.0%	62.2%	56.5%	1.10×	1.61
3-6 goals	47.7%	48.0%	47.6%	1.01×	2.08
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.0%	41.4%	1.16×	2.08
3-5 goals	44.2%	43.6%	44.0%	0.99×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.7%	43.6%	41.9%	1.04×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.5%	38.9%	36.2%	1.07×	2.57
4-6 goals	25.7%	30.5%	26.6%	1.15×	3.28
4-5 goals	22.3%	24.7%	23.0%	1.08×	4.04
5-6 goals	11.2%	13.5%	11.5%	1.17×	7.43
7+ goals	1.9%	2.0%	1.6%	1.27×	50.01

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba never behind	47.0%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Tenerife never behind	32.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.2%	48.4%	1.04×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.8%	51.6%	0.97×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	44.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.7%	93.0%	94.9%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	93.0%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.9%	88.7%	87.1%	1.02×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.6%	69.3%	1.05×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.4%	72.6%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.4%	53.5%	50.9%	1.05×	1.87
Over 2.5 goals	49.6%	46.5%	49.1%	0.95×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	27.6%	27.4%	28.0%	0.98×	3.65
Under 1.5 goals	25.9%	27.4%	30.7%	0.89×	3.66
Over 4.5 goals	13.1%	11.3%	12.9%	0.87×	8.89
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.0%	9.1%	0.77×	14.27
Over 5.5 goals	5.3%	7.0%	5.1%	1.36×	14.30

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.2%	92.9%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.7%	80.7%	84.8%	0.95×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.6%	67.9%	61.5%	1.10×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.6%	62.5%	64.5%	0.97×	1.60
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.4%	37.5%	35.5%	1.06×	2.66
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.4%	32.1%	38.5%	0.83×	3.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.3%	19.3%	15.2%	1.27×	5.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.8%	7.1%	5.6%	1.28×	14.00
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.7%	1.6%	1.68×	36.46

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.9%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	11.8%	—	—	8.45

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	80.4%	—	—	1.24
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.8%	80.4%	—	—	1.24
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife not to score in both halves	81.7%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Córdoba not to score in both halves	72.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Córdoba to score in both halves	27.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Tenerife to score in both halves	18.3%	18.4%	—	—	5.44

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.9%	55.0%	54.0%	1.02×	1.82
Only Córdoba scores	25.0%	25.4%	23.6%	1.07×	3.94
Only Tenerife scores	15.4%	16.1%	13.4%	1.20×	6.19
Neither team scores	6.7%	6.6%	9.1%	0.72×	15.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	21.6%	21.1%	1.02×	4.63
Exactly 1 goals	19.2%	18.6%	21.6%	0.86×	5.38
Exactly 4 goals	14.6%	12.4%	15.2%	0.81×	8.09
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.3%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.16

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.0%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
2 goals in 1st half	20.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	10.1%	11.8%	—	—	8.47

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	33.1%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	21.2%	18.4%	—	—	5.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife not to win both halves	94.0%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
Córdoba not to win both halves	87.3%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Córdoba to win both halves	12.7%	12.4%	—	—	8.03
Tenerife to win both halves	6.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.33

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Córdoba to win either half	58.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Tenerife to win neither half	56.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Tenerife to win either half	43.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Córdoba to win neither half	41.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tenerife not to win to nil	84.6%	83.5%	86.6%	0.97×	1.20
Córdoba not to win to nil	75.0%	74.6%	76.4%	0.98×	1.34
Córdoba to win to nil	25.0%	25.4%	23.6%	1.07×	3.94
Tenerife to win to nil	15.4%	16.5%	13.4%	1.22×	6.08

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.0%	27.8%	26.6%	1.05×	3.59
Córdoba by 1	23.1%	23.9%	26.1%	0.92×	4.19
Tenerife by 1	17.6%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.86
Córdoba by 2	13.7%	11.7%	12.0%	0.98×	8.52
Córdoba by 3+	9.0%	7.0%	7.7%	0.92×	14.19
Tenerife by 2	7.9%	7.0%	7.0%	1.00×	14.21
Tenerife by 3+	3.6%	2.8%	3.3%	0.87×	35.20