Coritiba v Flamengo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Coritiba

20:00 UTC

Flamengo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 801h before kick-off

Coritiba win

19.2%

model 19.9%

Draw

23.1%

model 23.7%

Flamengo win

57.7%

model 56.3%

192358

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.1%
1-2 9.9%
0-2 9.1%
0-1 8.5%
1-3 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.3%	Under 2.5	41.7%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
Coritiba 1+	66.3%	Coritiba 2+	29.6%
Flamengo 1+	85.6%	Flamengo 2+	57.8%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Flamengo (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 24%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Flamengo or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Flamengo carry the stronger rating, 1779 Elo against 1556.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Flamengo have an estimated 57.7% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 19.2% for Coritiba. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.09 for Coritiba and 1.94 for Flamengo.

Why Coritiba

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Flamengo can win

Flamengo carry the stronger rating, 1779 Elo against 1556. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Coritiba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Flamengo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Coritiba: 41% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Flamengo: 56% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Flamengo are the model's most likely outcome at 57.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	202456	1.09–1.94	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	212554	1.10–1.85	1-1 12%	57%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to win	54.1%	51.6%	24.0%	2.15×	1.94
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	27.3%	0.90×	4.09
Coritiba to win	21.3%	24.5%	48.9%	0.50×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo & not both score	27.2%	25.2%	13.8%	1.82×	3.97
Flamengo & both teams score	26.9%	25.2%	10.3%	2.44×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	18.0%	20.8%	0.86×	5.56
Coritiba & both teams score	11.8%	13.3%	21.0%	0.63×	7.54
Coritiba & not both score	9.5%	8.3%	28.1%	0.30×	11.99
Draw & not both score	6.2%	8.3%	6.7%	1.25×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo & over 1.5	45.3%	45.0%	17.1%	2.63×	2.22
Flamengo & over 2.5	36.3%	34.9%	13.2%	2.65×	2.87
Flamengo & under 3.5	33.2%	30.8%	18.6%	1.66×	3.25
Flamengo & over 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	5.6%	3.89×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	20.8%	0.87×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.55
Flamengo & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	11.0%	1.64×	5.55
Coritiba & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	36.7%	0.49×	5.56
Coritiba & under 3.5	14.9%	12.8%	36.8%	0.35×	7.79
Coritiba & over 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	27.5%	0.47×	7.79
Flamengo & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Coritiba & under 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	21.6%	0.37×	12.63
Coritiba & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	6.7%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Coritiba & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	12.4%	0.39×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (1UP)	68.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Coritiba (1UP)	40.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (2UP)	54.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Coritiba (2UP)	21.3%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to win 2nd half	46.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	32.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Coritiba to win 2nd half	20.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Flamengo over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.1%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Flamengo under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Flamengo over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Coritiba under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Coritiba over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Coritiba over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	11.3%	—	—	8.87

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	90.8%	1.06×	1.04
Flamengo (+1.5)	91.6%	92.1%	76.8%	1.20×	1.09
Flamengo (+0.5)	78.7%	78.5%	51.1%	1.54×	1.27
Flamengo (-0.5)	54.1%	52.4%	24.0%	2.19×	1.91
Coritiba (+0.5)	45.9%	47.6%	76.0%	0.63×	2.10
Coritiba (-0.5)	21.3%	21.5%	48.9%	0.44×	4.65
Coritiba (-1.5)	8.4%	7.9%	23.2%	0.34×	12.69
Coritiba (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	9.2%	0.40×	27.18

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to concede	66.6%	72.3%	79.7%	0.91×	1.38
Flamengo clean sheet	33.4%	27.7%	20.3%	1.36×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo clean sheet in 1st half	62.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Flamengo to concede in 1st half	37.6%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo clean sheet in 2nd half	53.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Flamengo to concede in 2nd half	46.5%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo over 2.5 corners	83.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Flamengo over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Flamengo under 6.5 corners	65.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Flamengo over 4.5 corners	58.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Flamengo under 5.5 corners	54.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Flamengo over 5.5 corners	45.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Flamengo under 4.5 corners	41.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Flamengo over 6.5 corners	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Flamengo under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Flamengo under 2.5 corners	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.8%	97.9%	0.90×	1.14
Flamengo over 0.5 goals	84.3%	81.5%	65.4%	1.25×	1.23
Flamengo under 2.5 goals	71.7%	71.8%	90.8%	0.79×	1.39
Flamengo over 1.5 goals	55.2%	59.4%	28.1%	2.11×	1.68
Flamengo under 1.5 goals	44.8%	40.6%	71.9%	0.56×	2.46
Flamengo over 2.5 goals	28.3%	28.2%	9.2%	3.06×	3.55
Flamengo under 0.5 goals	15.7%	18.5%	34.6%	0.53×	5.41
Flamengo over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.2%	2.1%	5.91×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Flamengo over 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Flamengo under 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Flamengo over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo scores more in 2nd half	44.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Flamengo scores equally in both	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Flamengo scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.6%	51.7%	35.8%	1.44×	1.93
Coritiba (away no bet)	46.4%	48.3%	64.2%	0.75×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo even goals	51.2%	52.6%	54.9%	0.96×	1.90
Flamengo odd goals	48.8%	47.4%	45.1%	1.05×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.9%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Flamengo to score 2+ in a row	46.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Coritiba to score 2+ in a row	20.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Flamengo to score 3+ in a row	19.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Coritiba to score 3+ in a row	5.0%	2.6%	—	—	37.98

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo corners (+3.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Flamengo corners (+2.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Flamengo corners (+1.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Coritiba corners (+3.5)	69.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Coritiba corners (+2.5)	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Flamengo corners (-1.5)	50.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Coritiba corners (+1.5)	49.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Flamengo corners (-2.5)	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Flamengo corners (-3.5)	30.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Coritiba corners (-1.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Coritiba corners (-2.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Coritiba corners (-3.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.6%	11.5%	13.7%	0.84×	8.71
0-1	8.7%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.51
0-2	9.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
0-3	5.6%	7.4%	1.7%	4.24×	13.51
1-3	6.1%	7.4%	2.1%	3.59×	13.51
2-1	5.8%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
1-0	4.8%	1.7%	12.4%	0.14×	58.29
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.30
1-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.30
2-0	3.2%	1.7%	9.4%	0.18×	58.30
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.31
3-0	1.2%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.80×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (2nd half DNB)	69.8%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Coritiba (2nd half DNB)	30.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo leading at HT (DNB)	64.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Coritiba leading at HT (DNB)	35.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo or draw (X2)	78.7%	75.5%	51.1%	1.48×	1.32
Coritiba or Flamengo (12)	75.4%	75.5%	72.7%	1.04×	1.32
Coritiba or draw (1X)	45.9%	48.4%	76.0%	0.64×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo or draw at HT	79.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Coritiba or draw at HT	62.2%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Coritiba or Flamengo at HT	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo or draw (1UP)	78.7%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
Coritiba or draw (1UP)	45.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo or draw in 2nd half	79.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Coritiba or Flamengo in 2nd half	67.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Coritiba or draw in 2nd half	53.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.6%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.4%	41.1%	—	—	2.44

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (DNB)	71.7%	71.4%	32.9%	2.17×	1.40
Coritiba (DNB)	28.3%	28.6%	67.1%	0.43×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to score first	58.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Coritiba to score first	34.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.1%	55.0%	51.7%	1.06×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.9%	45.0%	48.3%	0.93×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.5%	44.3%	38.3%	1.16×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.9%	34.6%	38.9%	0.89×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.4%	13.7%	0.91×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.4%	9.5%	1.30×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.5%	82.6%	87.1%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.5%	17.4%	12.9%	1.35×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.8%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	41.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	47.2%	49.7%	0.95×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.0%	30.7%	24.3%	1.27×	3.26
0-1 goals	19.7%	20.3%	25.7%	0.79×	4.94
7+ goals	3.1%	1.8%	0.6%	2.90×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to score exactly 1	29.1%	27.4%	37.5%	0.73×	3.64
Flamengo to score 3+	28.3%	27.4%	9.2%	2.98×	3.64
Flamengo to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	19.0%	1.44×	3.65
Flamengo to score exactly 0	15.7%	19.5%	34.6%	0.56×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.5%	34.3%	1.04×	2.81
Coritiba to score exactly 0	33.4%	32.6%	20.3%	1.60×	3.07
Coritiba to score exactly 2	20.1%	23.3%	27.1%	0.86×	4.30
Coritiba to score 3+	9.9%	10.4%	18.6%	0.56×	9.64

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Flamengo leading at HT	37.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Coritiba leading at HT	20.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo -1: 1	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Flamengo -1: 2	31.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Flamengo -1: X	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (0:1)	78.7%	73.9%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	13.0%	13.7%	25.9%	0.53×	7.30
Coritiba (0:1)	8.4%	9.2%	23.2%	0.40×	10.81

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (0:2)	91.6%	90.7%	76.8%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	14.1%	0.54×	13.07
Coritiba (0:2)	2.5%	3.7%	9.2%	0.41×	26.76

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	90.8%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	42.06
Coritiba (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.7%	0.88×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	81.85
Coritiba (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (1:0)	45.9%	49.0%	76.0%	0.64×	2.04
Flamengo (1:0)	31.5%	30.0%	9.5%	3.15×	3.34
Draw (1:0)	22.6%	21.7%	14.6%	1.49×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (2:0)	68.5%	71.0%	90.5%	0.78×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	16.9%	15.9%	6.2%	2.56×	6.31
Flamengo (2:0)	14.7%	10.3%	3.5%	2.95×	9.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to concede	84.3%	81.0%	65.4%	1.24×	1.23
Coritiba clean sheet	15.7%	19.0%	34.6%	0.55×	5.27

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to concede in 1st half	52.3%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Coritiba clean sheet in 1st half	47.7%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to concede in 2nd half	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Coritiba clean sheet in 2nd half	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 6.5 corners	84.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Coritiba under 5.5 corners	76.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Coritiba over 2.5 corners	68.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Coritiba under 4.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Coritiba over 3.5 corners	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Coritiba under 3.5 corners	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Coritiba over 4.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Coritiba under 2.5 corners	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Coritiba over 5.5 corners	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Coritiba over 6.5 corners	15.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Coritiba under 2.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	81.4%	1.13×	1.09
Coritiba under 1.5 goals	70.1%	74.2%	54.4%	1.36×	1.35
Coritiba over 0.5 goals	66.6%	67.9%	79.7%	0.85×	1.47
Coritiba under 0.5 goals	33.4%	32.1%	20.3%	1.58×	3.12
Coritiba over 1.5 goals	30.0%	25.8%	45.6%	0.57×	3.88
Coritiba over 2.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	18.6%	0.42×	12.81
Coritiba over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	5.7%	0.63×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Coritiba under 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Coritiba over 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Coritiba over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	5.3%	—	—	18.89

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba scores equally in both	44.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Coritiba scores more in 2nd half	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Coritiba scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo (home no bet)	68.7%	64.2%	46.7%	1.37×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.3%	35.8%	53.3%	0.67×	2.80

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba even goals	55.6%	55.3%	51.6%	1.07×	1.81
Coritiba odd goals	44.4%	44.7%	48.4%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 0-1	21.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	8.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.34

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo at HT / Flamengo at FT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Flamengo at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Coritiba at HT / Coritiba at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Coritiba at FT	7.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Coritiba at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Flamengo at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Coritiba at HT / Flamengo at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Flamengo at HT / Coritiba at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to score last	59.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Coritiba to score last	34.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Flamengo to lead by 1 at any time	68.7%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Coritiba to lead by 1 at any time	40.4%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Flamengo to lead by 2 at any time	38.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Flamengo to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Coritiba to lead by 2 at any time	13.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Coritiba to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	61.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo most corners	60.6%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Coritiba most corners	29.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	88.7%	0.99×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.7%	73.8%	1.07×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.2%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.3%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.3%	62.7%	1.01×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.7%	59.1%	68.7%	0.86×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.4%	53.2%	47.1%	1.13×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.6%	48.4%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.4%	49.7%	0.98×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	36.0%	1.09×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.3%	39.2%	45.9%	0.85×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.0%	35.2%	24.3%	1.45×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.2%	30.2%	20.2%	1.50×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.5%	14.8%	11.3%	1.31×	6.75
7+ goals	3.1%	2.6%	0.6%	4.03×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo never behind	53.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Coritiba never behind	25.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	49.2%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	50.8%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.4%	82.3%	88.3%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	74.3%	1.11×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	65.9%	66.3%	75.2%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.5%	58.6%	47.6%	1.23×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	43.5%	41.4%	52.4%	0.79×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	34.1%	33.7%	24.8%	1.36×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	25.7%	0.69×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	17.6%	17.7%	11.7%	1.51×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	4.8%	1.62×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.8%	97.2%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.3%	92.4%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.9%	75.9%	86.5%	0.88×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.1%	72.4%	64.9%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.1%	55.8%	67.9%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.9%	44.2%	32.1%	1.38×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.9%	27.6%	35.1%	0.79×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.1%	24.1%	13.5%	1.78×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.7%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.2%	2.8%	0.7%	4.24×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.8%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba not to score in both halves	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Flamengo not to score in both halves	64.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Flamengo to score in both halves	35.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Coritiba to score in both halves	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.1%	58.6%	51.7%	1.13×	1.71
Only Flamengo scores	27.2%	26.1%	13.8%	1.89×	3.84
Only Coritiba scores	9.5%	7.2%	28.1%	0.25×	13.99
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.1%	6.7%	1.07×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.6%	26.8%	0.84×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.5%	13.2%	1.32×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.5%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.7%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.9%	7.6%	4.8%	1.60×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
2 goals in 1st half	22.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	12.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Flamengo not to win both halves	82.1%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Flamengo to win both halves	17.9%	16.6%	—	—	6.04
Coritiba to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Flamengo to win either half	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Coritiba to win neither half	63.2%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Coritiba to win either half	36.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Flamengo to win neither half	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba not to win to nil	90.5%	92.1%	71.9%	1.28×	1.09
Flamengo not to win to nil	72.8%	75.3%	86.2%	0.87×	1.33
Flamengo to win to nil	27.2%	24.7%	13.8%	1.79×	4.05
Coritiba to win to nil	9.5%	7.9%	28.1%	0.28×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	24.1%	27.3%	0.88×	4.15
Flamengo by 1	22.6%	24.1%	14.6%	1.65×	4.15
Flamengo by 2	16.9%	17.0%	6.2%	2.75×	5.87
Flamengo by 3+	14.7%	11.8%	3.5%	3.37×	8.50
Coritiba by 1	13.0%	11.8%	25.9%	0.45×	8.50
Coritiba by 2	5.9%	7.2%	14.1%	0.51×	13.92
Coritiba by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	9.2%	0.29×	36.90