Coritiba v Santos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Coritiba

20:00 UTC

Santos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 609h before kick-off

Coritiba win

44.2%

model 43.6%

Draw

27.9%

model 26.6%

Santos win

28.0%

model 29.7%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.6%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 7.9%
1-2 7.4%
2-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.9%	Under 2.5	45.1%
BTTS yes	58.7%	BTTS no	41.3%
Coritiba 1+	79.7%	Coritiba 2+	47.3%
Santos 1+	72.3%	Santos 2+	36.7%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 47%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 2nd half

Over/Under 2HT

81.9% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1574 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Coritiba carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1516.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Coritiba have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 28.0% for Santos and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Coritiba and 1.28 for Santos.

Why Coritiba

Coritiba carry the stronger rating, 1556 Elo against 1516. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Santos can win

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Coritiba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Santos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Coritiba: 41% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Santos: 54% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Coritiba are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442730	1.60–1.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482627	1.73–1.24	1-1 12%	57%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to win	47.8%	47.4%	48.9%	0.97×	2.11
Santos to win	26.5%	27.9%	24.0%	1.16×	3.59
Draw	25.7%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba & both teams score	25.0%	25.2%	21.0%	1.20×	3.98
Coritiba & not both score	22.8%	21.8%	28.1%	0.78×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	20.8%	0.86×	5.56
Santos & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	10.3%	1.29×	7.53
Santos & not both score	11.6%	13.3%	13.8%	0.96×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.3%	6.7%	1.25×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba & over 1.5	39.9%	34.9%	36.7%	0.95×	2.86
Coritiba & over 2.5	32.3%	30.8%	27.5%	1.12×	3.25
Coritiba & under 3.5	29.5%	26.1%	36.8%	0.71×	3.84
Santos & over 1.5	21.1%	21.6%	17.1%	1.26×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	20.8%	0.87×	5.56
Coritiba & over 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	12.2%	1.47×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Santos & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Santos & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.56
Coritiba & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
Santos & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Santos & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	5.6%	1.43×	12.63
Coritiba & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	12.4%	0.64×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	6.7%	1.19×	12.63
Santos & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (1UP)	64.1%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Santos (1UP)	46.0%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (2UP)	47.8%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Santos (2UP)	26.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to win 2nd half	39.6%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Santos to win 2nd half	26.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Santos over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Santos under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Santos over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Coritiba over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Coritiba under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Coritiba over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (+2.5)	88.5%	88.5%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Santos (+1.5)	73.7%	73.7%	76.8%	0.96×	1.36
Coritiba (+0.5)	73.5%	73.7%	76.0%	0.97×	1.36
Santos (+0.5)	52.2%	52.4%	51.1%	1.02×	1.91
Coritiba (-0.5)	47.8%	47.6%	48.9%	0.97×	2.10
Santos (-0.5)	26.5%	26.3%	24.0%	1.10×	3.80
Coritiba (-1.5)	26.3%	26.3%	23.2%	1.14×	3.80
Coritiba (-2.5)	11.5%	11.5%	9.2%	1.25×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to concede	82.2%	81.5%	79.7%	1.02×	1.23
Santos clean sheet	17.8%	18.5%	20.3%	0.91×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to concede in 1st half	52.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Santos clean sheet in 1st half	47.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to concede in 2nd half	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Santos clean sheet in 2nd half	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos over 2.5 corners	84.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Santos over 3.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Santos under 6.5 corners	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Santos over 4.5 corners	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Santos under 5.5 corners	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Santos over 5.5 corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Santos under 4.5 corners	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Santos over 6.5 corners	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Santos under 3.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Santos under 2.5 corners	15.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.5%	97.9%	1.00×	1.03
Santos under 2.5 goals	87.0%	87.8%	90.8%	0.97×	1.14
Santos over 0.5 goals	71.1%	71.9%	65.4%	1.10×	1.39
Santos under 1.5 goals	64.8%	63.2%	71.9%	0.88×	1.58
Santos over 1.5 goals	35.2%	36.8%	28.1%	1.31×	2.72
Santos under 0.5 goals	28.9%	28.1%	34.6%	0.81×	3.56
Santos over 2.5 goals	13.0%	12.2%	9.2%	1.32×	8.20
Santos over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.5%	2.1%	1.22×	39.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Santos under 0.5 in 1st half	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Santos over 0.5 in 1st half	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Santos over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.56

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos scores equally in both	40.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Santos scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Santos scores more in 1st half	21.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (away no bet)	65.1%	66.3%	64.2%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.9%	33.7%	35.8%	0.94×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos even goals	54.2%	52.6%	54.9%	0.96×	1.90
Santos odd goals	45.8%	47.4%	45.1%	1.05×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Coritiba to score 2+ in a row	42.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Santos to score 2+ in a row	25.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Coritiba to score 3+ in a row	16.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Santos to score 3+ in a row	6.9%	5.6%	—	—	18.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos corners (+3.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Santos corners (+2.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Santos corners (+1.5)	73.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Coritiba corners (+3.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Coritiba corners (+2.5)	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Coritiba corners (+1.5)	54.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Santos corners (-1.5)	45.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Santos corners (-2.5)	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Santos corners (-3.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Coritiba corners (-1.5)	26.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Coritiba corners (-2.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Coritiba corners (-3.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	36.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	63.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	36.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	36.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	26.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	13.7%	0.84×	8.72
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.50
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	12.4%	0.60×	13.51
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
0-1	5.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.0%	1.87×	13.51
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.31
3-0	4.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.29
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.31
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.80×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
Any other score	4.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (2nd half DNB)	60.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Santos (2nd half DNB)	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba leading at HT (DNB)	63.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Santos leading at HT (DNB)	36.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba or Santos (12)	74.3%	72.1%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Coritiba or draw (1X)	73.5%	72.1%	76.0%	0.95×	1.39
Santos or draw (X2)	52.2%	52.6%	51.1%	1.03×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba or draw at HT	78.2%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Santos or draw at HT	62.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Coritiba or Santos at HT	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba or draw (1UP)	73.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Santos or draw (1UP)	52.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba or draw in 2nd half	73.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Coritiba or Santos in 2nd half	66.0%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Santos or draw in 2nd half	60.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.0%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.0%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (DNB)	64.3%	62.8%	67.1%	0.94×	1.59
Santos (DNB)	35.7%	37.2%	32.9%	1.13×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to score first	54.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Santos to score first	39.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.5%	55.0%	51.7%	1.06×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.6%	45.0%	48.3%	0.93×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.4%	44.3%	38.3%	1.16×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.0%	34.5%	38.9%	0.89×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	13.7%	0.91×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.9%	82.6%	87.1%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.1%	17.4%	12.9%	1.35×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.8%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.3%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.7%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	49.7%	0.95×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.4%	30.7%	24.3%	1.27×	3.26
0-1 goals	19.4%	20.2%	25.7%	0.79×	4.94
7+ goals	3.2%	1.8%	0.6%	2.91×	54.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.9%	37.5%	0.96×	2.78
Santos to score exactly 0	28.9%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Santos to score exactly 2	22.3%	22.3%	19.0%	1.17×	4.49
Santos to score 3+	13.0%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to score exactly 1	30.7%	32.5%	34.3%	0.95×	3.07
Coritiba to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	27.1%	0.98×	3.77
Coritiba to score 3+	25.0%	23.3%	18.6%	1.26×	4.29
Coritiba to score exactly 0	17.8%	18.8%	20.3%	0.92×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Coritiba leading at HT	37.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Santos leading at HT	21.8%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba -1: 2	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Coritiba -1: 1	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Coritiba -1: X	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (0:1)	52.2%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Coritiba (0:1)	26.3%	27.0%	23.2%	1.17×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.5%	24.2%	25.9%	0.94×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (0:2)	73.7%	75.7%	76.8%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.8%	11.0%	14.1%	0.78×	9.09
Coritiba (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	9.2%	1.19×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (0:3)	88.5%	90.7%	90.8%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.4%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.21
Coritiba (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	2.7%	0.88×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (0:4)	95.9%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	81.78
Coritiba (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (1:0)	73.5%	72.4%	76.0%	0.95×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.1%	17.1%	14.6%	1.17×	5.85
Santos (1:0)	11.4%	12.7%	9.5%	1.33×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba (2:0)	88.6%	88.5%	90.5%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	6.2%	1.03×	15.68
Santos (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	3.5%	0.66×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to concede	71.1%	73.2%	65.4%	1.12×	1.37
Coritiba clean sheet	28.9%	26.8%	34.6%	0.78×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba clean sheet in 1st half	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Coritiba to concede in 1st half	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to concede in 2nd half	52.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Coritiba clean sheet in 2nd half	47.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 6.5 corners	77.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Coritiba over 2.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Coritiba under 5.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Coritiba over 3.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Coritiba under 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Coritiba over 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Coritiba under 3.5 corners	38.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Coritiba over 5.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Coritiba under 2.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Coritiba over 6.5 corners	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 3.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Coritiba over 0.5 goals	82.2%	82.2%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Coritiba under 2.5 goals	75.0%	77.7%	81.4%	0.95×	1.29
Coritiba over 1.5 goals	51.5%	53.2%	45.6%	1.17×	1.88
Coritiba under 1.5 goals	48.5%	46.8%	54.4%	0.86×	2.14
Coritiba over 2.5 goals	25.0%	22.3%	18.6%	1.20×	4.49
Coritiba under 0.5 goals	17.8%	17.8%	20.3%	0.88×	5.62
Coritiba over 3.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	5.7%	1.36×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba under 1.5 in 1st half	82.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Coritiba over 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Coritiba under 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Coritiba over 1.5 in 1st half	17.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba scores more in 2nd half	40.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Coritiba scores equally in both	33.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Coritiba scores more in 1st half	26.6%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (home no bet)	50.8%	51.4%	46.7%	1.10×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.2%	48.7%	53.3%	0.91×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba even goals	51.6%	50.7%	51.6%	0.98×	1.97
Coritiba odd goals	48.4%	49.3%	48.4%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
HT 1-0	21.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba at HT / Coritiba at FT	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Coritiba at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Santos at HT / Santos at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Santos at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Coritiba at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Santos at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Santos at HT / Coritiba at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Coritiba at HT / Santos at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to score last	54.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Santos to score last	39.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Coritiba to lead by 1 at any time	64.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Santos to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Coritiba to lead by 2 at any time	33.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Santos to lead by 2 at any time	17.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Coritiba to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Santos to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos most corners	55.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Coritiba most corners	35.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	9.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	88.7%	0.99×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.4%	78.7%	73.8%	1.07×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.9%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.3%	62.7%	1.01×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.3%	59.1%	68.7%	0.86×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.8%	53.2%	47.1%	1.13×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.9%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	49.7%	0.98×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.0%	39.2%	36.0%	1.09×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.9%	39.2%	45.9%	0.85×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.4%	35.2%	24.3%	1.45×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.5%	30.2%	20.2%	1.50×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.7%	14.8%	11.3%	1.32×	6.75
7+ goals	3.2%	2.6%	0.6%	4.03×	39.08

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba never behind	47.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Santos never behind	29.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	49.2%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	50.8%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.1%	82.3%	88.3%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.6%	82.3%	74.3%	1.11×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	65.4%	66.3%	75.2%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	47.6%	1.23×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	52.4%	0.79×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	34.6%	33.7%	24.8%	1.36×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	19.4%	17.7%	25.7%	0.69×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	17.9%	17.7%	11.7%	1.51×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	4.8%	1.62×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.7%	97.2%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.1%	92.4%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.5%	75.9%	86.5%	0.88×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.6%	72.4%	64.9%	1.12×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.5%	55.8%	67.9%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.5%	44.2%	32.1%	1.38×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.4%	27.6%	35.1%	0.79×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.5%	24.1%	13.5%	1.79×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.9%	7.6%	5.1%	1.49×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.3%	2.8%	0.7%	4.25×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos not to score in both halves	79.5%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Coritiba not to score in both halves	67.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Coritiba to score in both halves	32.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Santos to score in both halves	20.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.5%	58.7%	51.7%	1.13×	1.71
Only Coritiba scores	22.8%	22.3%	28.1%	0.79×	4.49
Only Santos scores	11.6%	11.0%	13.8%	0.80×	9.07
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.1%	6.7%	1.07×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.6%	22.6%	26.8%	0.84×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.6%	17.5%	13.2%	1.32×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.3%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.9%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.13
6 or more goals	8.1%	7.6%	4.8%	1.60×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	29.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos not to win both halves	94.1%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Coritiba not to win both halves	85.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Coritiba to win both halves	14.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Santos to win both halves	5.9%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Coritiba to win either half	61.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Santos to win neither half	57.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Santos to win either half	42.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Coritiba to win neither half	38.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos not to win to nil	88.4%	88.1%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Coritiba not to win to nil	77.2%	78.1%	71.9%	1.09×	1.28
Coritiba to win to nil	22.8%	21.9%	28.1%	0.78×	4.57
Santos to win to nil	11.6%	11.9%	13.8%	0.86×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.7%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.59
Coritiba by 1	21.5%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.15
Santos by 1	15.1%	17.0%	14.6%	1.17×	5.87
Coritiba by 2	14.8%	11.8%	14.1%	0.83×	8.50
Coritiba by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	9.2%	1.28×	8.51
Santos by 2	7.7%	7.2%	6.2%	1.16×	13.91
Santos by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	3.5%	0.78×	36.79