Çorum FK v Amed SFK — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 13 December 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.8%
- 1-2 9.3%
- 2-1 7.3%
- 0-2 6.8%
- 0-1 6.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | Under 2.5 | 40.2% |
| BTTS yes | 62.3% | BTTS no | 37.7% |
| Çorum FK 1+ | 74.3% | Çorum FK 2+ | 39.4% |
| Amed SFK 1+ | 82.4% | Amed SFK 2+ | 51.8% |
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.74. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Amed SFK carry the stronger rating, 1518 Elo against 1471.
- Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Çorum FK have only 3 matches on record.
- Amed SFK have only 3 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Amed SFK have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 29.0% for Çorum FK and 25.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Çorum FK and 1.74 for Amed SFK.
Why Çorum FK
Nothing in the data singles out Çorum FK.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 25.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Amed SFK can win
Amed SFK carry the stronger rating, 1518 Elo against 1471. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Çorum FK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Amed SFK, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Çorum FK: 53% possession, 11.7 shots a match, 20.7 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Amed SFK: 47% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Amed SFK are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 66/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.36–1.74 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.50–1.83 | 1-1 11% | 65% | 66% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.