Coventry v Ipswich — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 2 December 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Coventry win
54.7%
Draw
23.3%
Ipswich win
22.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Ipswich are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
DLLDLLLWLL last 10
scored 9
from 10.0 xG
conceded 25
from 20.5 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.78–1.05 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-goals | 1.45–1.42 | 1-1 13% | 55% | 59% | |
| dc-xg | 1.97–0.87 | 1-0 12% | 54% | 50% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.