Cremonese v Virtus Entella — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Cremonese

13:00 UTC

Virtus Entella

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 269h before kick-off

Cremonese win

49.0%

model 45.2%

Draw

28.9%

model 30.4%

Virtus Entella win

22.1%

model 24.5%

492922

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.3%
1-0 11.4%
0-0 11.0%
2-0 9.2%
2-1 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.3%	Under 2.5	57.7%
BTTS yes	48.5%	BTTS no	51.5%
Cremonese 1+	75.3%	Cremonese 2+	40.8%
Virtus Entella 1+	62.1%	Virtus Entella 2+	25.4%

Expected goals 1.40 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

51/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

51.8% fair odds 1.93

moderate signal · 14536 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cremonese or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 961 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Cremonese.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cremonese have an estimated 49.0% win probability, against 28.9% for the draw and 22.1% for Virtus Entella. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Cremonese and 0.97 for Virtus Entella.

Why Cremonese

Nothing in the data singles out Cremonese.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. A combined 2.37 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Virtus Entella can win

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Key players

Cremonese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Federico Bonazzoli (0.32), Jamie Vardy (0.29), Jari Vandeputte (0.21).

Availability

1 of Cremonese's top three contributors did not start their last match. Cremonese had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.07 expected goal involvements a match. Reported unavailable for Cremonese: Alberto Grassi (suspended). No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cremonese: 54% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.13 xG a match from set pieces. Virtus Entella: 54% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 7.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Cremonese are the model's most likely outcome at 49.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Confidence 51/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Cremonese are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LWLLDLLWWL last 10 scored 10 from 8.8 xG conceded 17 from 11.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	453024	1.40–0.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512919	1.50–0.84	1-1 14%	41%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to win	45.2%	47.8%	42.8%	1.12×	2.09
Draw	30.4%	31.4%	32.0%	0.98×	3.18
Virtus Entella to win	24.5%	23.5%	25.4%	0.93×	4.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese & not both score	26.9%	26.5%	24.0%	1.10×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	18.2%	23.0%	0.79×	5.49
Cremonese & both teams score	18.3%	18.2%	18.9%	0.97×	5.49
Virtus Entella & not both score	13.7%	12.6%	13.3%	0.95×	7.91
Draw & not both score	11.0%	12.6%	9.1%	1.39×	7.91
Virtus Entella & both teams score	10.8%	12.6%	12.3%	1.03×	7.91

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese & over 1.5	33.8%	31.8%	31.8%	1.00×	3.15
Cremonese & under 3.5	33.7%	31.8%	32.0%	0.99×	3.15
Draw & under 2.5	25.3%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.78
Draw & under 3.5	25.3%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.78
Cremonese & over 2.5	24.6%	21.8%	24.4%	0.89×	4.59
Cremonese & under 2.5	20.6%	21.8%	18.5%	1.18×	4.59
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	17.7%	23.0%	0.77×	5.66
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	19.4%	17.7%	19.9%	0.89×	5.66
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	17.0%	17.7%	18.8%	0.94×	5.66
Cremonese & under 1.5	11.4%	12.5%	11.1%	1.12×	8.03
Cremonese & over 3.5	11.5%	12.5%	10.9%	1.15×	8.03
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	12.6%	12.5%	15.0%	0.83×	8.03
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	11.8%	12.5%	10.5%	1.19×	8.03
Draw & under 1.5	11.0%	12.5%	9.1%	1.37×	8.03
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	7.4%	7.6%	6.8%	1.12×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	7.6%	8.4%	0.91×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	7.6%	8.4%	0.91×	13.17
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	5.0%	7.6%	5.6%	1.35×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (1UP)	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Virtus Entella (1UP)	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (2UP)	45.2%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Virtus Entella (2UP)	24.5%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.4%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Cremonese to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	23.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (+2.5)	91.5%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Virtus Entella (+1.5)	77.4%	78.2%	80.4%	0.97×	1.28
Cremonese (+0.5)	75.5%	78.2%	74.6%	1.05×	1.28
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	54.8%	52.0%	57.3%	0.91×	1.92
Cremonese (-0.5)	45.2%	48.0%	42.8%	1.12×	2.08
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	24.5%	21.8%	25.4%	0.86×	4.60
Cremonese (-1.5)	22.6%	21.8%	19.6%	1.11×	4.60
Cremonese (-2.5)	8.5%	7.7%	6.8%	1.14×	12.96

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	75.3%	78.6%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
Virtus Entella clean sheet	24.7%	21.4%	22.3%	0.96×	4.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	54.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	45.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	80.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	76.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	69.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	30.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	23.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.3%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.1%	90.9%	1.01×	1.09
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	74.6%	71.3%	69.4%	1.03×	1.40
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	62.1%	63.7%	67.0%	0.95×	1.57
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	37.9%	36.3%	33.0%	1.10×	2.76
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	25.4%	28.7%	30.6%	0.94×	3.48
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.61
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.7%	1.8%	1.52×	37.49

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	67.8%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	32.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	6.3%	—	—	15.80

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (away no bet)	59.8%	58.5%	57.2%	1.02×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	40.2%	41.5%	42.8%	0.97×	2.41

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	57.2%	56.5%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
Virtus Entella odd goals	42.8%	43.5%	44.5%	0.98×	2.30

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.5%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.5%	13.1%	—	—	7.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Cremonese to score 2+ in a row	34.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	18.9%	17.4%	—	—	5.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Cremonese to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.8%	—	—	7.84
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	4.3%	3.1%	—	—	32.47

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese corners (+3.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Cremonese corners (+2.5)	79.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	79.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cremonese corners (+1.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	61.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cremonese corners (-1.5)	38.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Cremonese corners (-2.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Cremonese corners (-3.5)	20.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	20.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	72.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	32.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	27.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	20.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.3%	11.2%	14.8%	0.76×	8.90
0-0	11.0%	11.2%	9.1%	1.23×	8.90
1-0	11.4%	11.2%	11.1%	1.01×	8.90
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	6.8%	1.10×	13.48
1-2	6.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.49
2-0	9.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.11
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.11
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.29×	58.11
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.11
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.88×	58.11
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.11
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.11
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.10
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.11
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.29×	58.11
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.11
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.88×	58.11
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.10
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.11
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.11
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.10
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.10
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.11
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese leading at HT (DNB)	63.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	36.5%	37.0%	—	—	2.71

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese or draw (1X)	75.5%	76.5%	74.6%	1.03×	1.31
Cremonese or Virtus Entella (12)	69.6%	68.6%	68.0%	1.01×	1.46
Virtus Entella or draw (X2)	54.8%	52.2%	57.3%	0.91×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese or draw at HT	80.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Cremonese or Virtus Entella at HT	53.1%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese or draw (1UP)	75.5%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	54.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese or draw in 2nd half	76.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Cremonese or Virtus Entella in 2nd half	60.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.1%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Neither half drawn	33.9%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (DNB)	64.9%	61.7%	62.8%	0.98×	1.62
Virtus Entella (DNB)	35.1%	38.3%	37.2%	1.03×	2.61

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to score first	52.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Virtus Entella to score first	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goal scored	11.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.6%	51.8%	46.1%	1.12×	1.93
Both teams to score	48.5%	48.2%	53.9%	0.89×	2.08

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.4%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.1%	34.0%	39.3%	0.87×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	14.3%	11.9%	14.8%	0.81×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.5%	8.4%	1.01×	11.81

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.7%	85.9%	86.0%	1.00×	1.16
Both teams to score 2+	10.3%	14.1%	14.0%	1.00×	7.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.9%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Both score 2nd half only	21.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.30
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.6%	—	—	21.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.2%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.8%	15.2%	—	—	6.59

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	47.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.6%	46.6%	48.8%	0.96×	2.15
0-1 goals	29.8%	27.3%	26.8%	1.02×	3.66
4-6 goals	20.4%	23.3%	23.4%	1.00×	4.29
7+ goals	1.1%	2.0%	1.4%	1.45×	50.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	37.9%	36.0%	33.0%	1.09×	2.78
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	36.5%	0.99×	2.78
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	17.9%	18.4%	21.6%	0.85×	5.43
Virtus Entella to score 3+	7.5%	8.7%	9.1%	0.95×	11.53

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.1%	35.9%	0.90×	3.11
Cremonese to score exactly 0	24.7%	22.9%	22.3%	1.03×	4.37
Cremonese to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.9%	26.0%	0.88×	4.37
Cremonese to score 3+	16.6%	18.3%	16.1%	1.14×	5.45

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.9%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Cremonese leading at HT	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Virtus Entella leading at HT	19.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese -1: 2	54.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Cremonese -1: 1	22.6%	23.2%	—	—	4.30
Cremonese -1: X	22.6%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:1)	54.8%	52.1%	57.3%	0.91×	1.92
Cremonese (0:1)	22.6%	23.5%	19.6%	1.20×	4.25
Draw (0:1)	22.6%	23.5%	23.3%	1.01×	4.25

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:2)	77.4%	79.3%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.1%	11.4%	13.0%	0.88×	8.78
Cremonese (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	6.8%	1.14×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:3)	91.5%	92.6%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	6.4%	4.6%	1.39×	15.58
Cremonese (0:3)	2.6%	2.6%	2.3%	1.14×	38.97

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (0:4)	97.4%	97.7%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.4%	1.4%	1.03×	70.55
Cremonese (0:4)	0.7%	1.4%	1.0%	1.42×	70.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (1:0)	75.5%	77.2%	74.6%	1.04×	1.30
Draw (1:0)	15.2%	17.5%	15.6%	1.12×	5.70
Virtus Entella (1:0)	9.3%	7.5%	9.9%	0.76×	13.31

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese (2:0)	90.7%	92.9%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	6.8%	6.7%	6.5%	1.03×	14.99
Virtus Entella (2:0)	2.5%	2.8%	3.5%	0.79×	36.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	29.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to concede	62.1%	65.5%	67.0%	0.98×	1.53
Cremonese clean sheet	37.9%	34.5%	33.0%	1.05×	2.90

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese clean sheet in 1st half	67.8%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Cremonese to concede in 1st half	32.2%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese over 2.5 corners	81.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Cremonese under 6.5 corners	73.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cremonese over 3.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cremonese under 5.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Cremonese over 4.5 corners	52.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Cremonese under 4.5 corners	47.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Cremonese over 5.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cremonese under 3.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Cremonese over 6.5 corners	26.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cremonese under 2.5 corners	18.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Cremonese under 2.5 goals	83.4%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Cremonese over 0.5 goals	75.3%	77.9%	77.8%	1.00×	1.28
Cremonese under 1.5 goals	59.2%	57.7%	58.0%	0.99×	1.74
Cremonese over 1.5 goals	40.8%	42.3%	42.0%	1.01×	2.36
Cremonese under 0.5 goals	24.7%	22.1%	22.3%	0.99×	4.53
Cremonese over 2.5 goals	16.6%	17.8%	16.1%	1.11×	5.61
Cremonese over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	4.1%	1.86×	13.05

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Cremonese under 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Cremonese over 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Cremonese over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.87

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.4%	56.1%	55.8%	1.01×	1.78
Virtus Entella (home no bet)	44.6%	43.9%	44.2%	0.99×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese even goals	53.0%	50.9%	51.0%	1.00×	1.96
Cremonese odd goals	47.0%	49.1%	49.0%	1.00×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
HT 1-0	22.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
HT 0-1	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.0%	8.0%	—	—	12.45
HT 2-0	6.7%	8.0%	—	—	12.47
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.43
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.47
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese at HT / Cremonese at FT	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Draw at HT / Cremonese at FT	16.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	10.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Cremonese at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.59
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.7%	—	—	27.26
Virtus Entella at HT / Cremonese at FT	2.1%	3.7%	—	—	27.34
Cremonese at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	1.6%	3.7%	—	—	27.35

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese to score last	52.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Virtus Entella to score last	36.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
No goal scored	11.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.67

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Cremonese to lead by 1 at any time	59.4%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	41.0%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Cremonese to lead by 2 at any time	27.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	13.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Cremonese to lead by 3 at any time	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	3.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese most corners	49.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Virtus Entella most corners	39.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.63

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.1%	87.3%	1.00×	1.15
1-4 goals	79.8%	77.9%	82.1%	0.95×	1.28
2-6 goals	69.1%	68.2%	72.0%	0.95×	1.47
1-3 goals	67.5%	68.2%	66.4%	1.03×	1.47
2-5 goals	66.8%	68.2%	69.6%	0.98×	1.47
2-4 goals	60.9%	62.7%	64.5%	0.97×	1.60
2-3 goals	48.6%	47.4%	48.8%	0.97×	2.11
1-2 goals	46.8%	47.4%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
3-6 goals	41.2%	43.7%	46.3%	0.94×	2.29
3-5 goals	38.9%	39.0%	43.9%	0.89×	2.56
3-4 goals	33.0%	34.6%	38.8%	0.89×	2.89
4-6 goals	20.4%	23.8%	23.4%	1.02×	4.20
4-5 goals	18.1%	18.8%	21.0%	0.90×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.1%	8.9%	7.6%	1.17×	11.19
7+ goals	1.1%	2.2%	1.4%	1.63×	44.61

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cremonese never behind	48.0%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Virtus Entella never behind	29.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	53.7%	50.0%	53.4%	0.94×	2.00
Odd number of goals	46.3%	50.0%	46.6%	1.07×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.6%	96.0%	96.3%	1.00×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	91.1%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.0%	87.7%	90.9%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	78.5%	77.0%	75.4%	1.02×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	70.2%	72.2%	73.3%	0.99×	1.39
Under 2.5 goals	57.7%	57.5%	52.5%	1.10×	1.74
Over 2.5 goals	42.3%	42.5%	47.5%	0.89×	2.35
Under 1.5 goals	29.8%	27.8%	26.8%	1.04×	3.60
Over 3.5 goals	21.5%	23.0%	24.6%	0.93×	4.35
Under 0.5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.14
Over 4.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	8.9%	0.87×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.4%	4.0%	3.8%	1.06×	25.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.3%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.4%	97.3%	96.0%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.5%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.9%	71.7%	68.1%	1.05×	1.40
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.6%	58.0%	64.0%	0.91×	1.73
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.4%	42.0%	36.0%	1.17×	2.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.1%	28.3%	31.9%	0.89×	3.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.5%	13.3%	10.5%	1.27×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.6%	2.7%	4.0%	0.69×	36.67
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.7%	1.4%	1.93×	36.71

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.1%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.7%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.4%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.9%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.3%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	85.8%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Cremonese not to score in both halves	75.1%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Cremonese to score in both halves	24.9%	23.8%	—	—	4.21
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	14.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.5%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Only Cremonese scores	26.9%	25.5%	24.0%	1.06×	3.93
Only Virtus Entella scores	13.7%	11.1%	13.3%	0.83×	9.04
Neither team scores	11.0%	11.1%	9.1%	1.21×	9.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.9%	25.0%	25.9%	0.96×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.7%	22.3%	23.0%	0.97×	4.49
Exactly 1 goals	18.9%	17.6%	17.8%	0.99×	5.69
Exactly 4 goals	12.3%	12.3%	15.9%	0.78×	8.13
Exactly 0 goals	11.0%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.8%	7.8%	5.3%	1.48×	12.89
6 or more goals	3.4%	4.1%	3.8%	1.08×	24.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
1 goal in 2nd half	33.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	25.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	95.2%	97.4%	—	—	1.03
Cremonese not to win both halves	87.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Cremonese to win both halves	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Virtus Entella to win both halves	4.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.25

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to win neither half	61.6%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Cremonese to win either half	57.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cremonese to win neither half	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Virtus Entella to win either half	38.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.78

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	86.3%	88.1%	86.8%	1.02×	1.14
Cremonese not to win to nil	73.1%	74.8%	76.0%	0.98×	1.34
Cremonese to win to nil	26.9%	25.2%	24.0%	1.05×	3.97
Virtus Entella to win to nil	13.7%	11.9%	13.3%	0.90×	8.39

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.4%	29.1%	32.0%	0.91×	3.44
Cremonese by 1	22.6%	23.3%	23.3%	1.00×	4.29
Virtus Entella by 1	15.2%	17.3%	15.6%	1.11×	5.78
Cremonese by 2	14.1%	11.8%	13.0%	0.91×	8.46
Cremonese by 3+	8.5%	7.3%	6.8%	1.08×	13.66
Virtus Entella by 2	6.8%	7.3%	6.5%	1.13×	13.66
Virtus Entella by 3+	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%	0.84×	33.82