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Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc v Dinamo Bucuresti — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · ROU-Liga 1 · 2627

ROU-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win
13.2%
model 13.6%
Draw
18.1%
model 19.4%
Dinamo Bucuresti win
68.7%
model 67.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,497 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-2 11.7%
  2. 0-1 11.1%
  3. 1-2 9.8%
  4. 1-1 9.2%
  5. 0-3 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.556.6% Under 2.543.4%
BTTS yes49.8% BTTS no50.2%
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1+56.6% Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2+20.3%
Dinamo Bucuresti 1+88.0% Dinamo Bucuresti 2+62.5%

Expected goals 0.83 – 2.12. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
13/100
Data quality
20/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Dinamo Bucuresti (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 29%
67.9% fair odds 1.47
strong signal · 11851 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
82.7% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1603 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Dinamo Bucuresti carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1477.
  • Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0266 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
  • Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Bucuresti have an estimated 68.7% win probability, against 18.1% for the draw and 13.2% for Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.83 for Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc and 2.12 for Dinamo Bucuresti.

Why Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc

At home Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.1%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Dinamo Bucuresti can win

Dinamo Bucuresti carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1477. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dinamo Bucuresti, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dinamo Bucuresti: 57% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Dinamo Bucuresti are the model's most likely outcome at 68.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 11.7%. Confidence 13/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.83–2.12 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.81–2.26 0-2 12% 59% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to win 67.0% 68.0% 28.5% 2.38× 1.47
Draw 19.4% 17.9% 28.3% 0.63× 5.59
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win 13.6% 13.1% 43.3% 0.30× 7.65
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti & not both score 38.3% 36.2% 17.9% 2.02× 2.76
Dinamo Bucuresti & both teams score 28.8% 26.5% 10.8% 2.44× 3.78
Draw & both teams score 14.2% 12.7% 20.3% 0.62× 7.88
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & both teams score 6.8% 7.6% 19.6% 0.39× 13.08
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & not both score 6.8% 7.6% 24.0% 0.32× 13.08
Draw & not both score 5.2% 7.6% 8.2% 0.94× 13.08
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti & over 1.5 55.9% 57.1% 19.8% 2.89× 1.75
Dinamo Bucuresti & over 2.5 44.2% 42.9% 12.4% 3.47× 2.33
Dinamo Bucuresti & under 3.5 40.9% 42.9% 23.4% 1.83× 2.33
Dinamo Bucuresti & over 3.5 26.2% 26.4% 5.3% 4.96× 3.79
Dinamo Bucuresti & under 2.5 22.8% 21.8% 16.4% 1.34× 4.58
Draw & over 1.5 14.2% 12.4% 20.3% 0.61× 8.05
Draw & under 2.5 14.4% 12.4% 22.1% 0.56× 8.05
Draw & under 3.5 14.4% 12.4% 22.1% 0.56× 8.05
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & under 3.5 10.5% 12.4% 31.6% 0.39× 8.06
Dinamo Bucuresti & under 1.5 11.1% 12.4% 8.9% 1.39× 8.06
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & over 1.5 9.2% 7.6% 31.7% 0.24× 13.20
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & over 2.5 7.4% 7.6% 24.7% 0.31× 13.21
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & under 2.5 6.2% 7.6% 18.8% 0.40× 13.21
Draw & under 1.5 5.2% 7.6% 8.2% 0.93× 13.21
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & under 1.5 4.4% 4.4% 11.8% 0.37× 22.79
Draw & over 2.5 5.0% 4.4% 6.5% 0.68× 22.79
Draw & over 3.5 5.0% 4.4% 6.5% 0.68× 22.79
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc & over 3.5 3.1% 4.4% 12.0% 0.37× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (1UP) 77.4% 80.8% 1.24
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (1UP) 30.5% 35.3% 2.84
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (2UP) 67.0% 67.1% 1.49
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (2UP) 13.6% 16.0% 6.25
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to win 2nd half 56.5% 58.4% 1.71
2nd half drawn 29.7% 28.4% 3.52
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win 2nd half 13.9% 13.5% 7.42
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.0% 74.6% 1.34
Dinamo Bucuresti under 1.5 in 2nd half 63.7% 60.8% 1.65
Dinamo Bucuresti over 1.5 in 2nd half 36.3% 39.2% 2.55
Dinamo Bucuresti under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.0% 25.4% 3.94
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 1.5 in 2nd half 91.7% 91.2% 1.10
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 0.5 in 2nd half 62.2% 63.4% 1.58
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 0.5 in 2nd half 37.8% 36.6% 2.73
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.3% 8.8% 11.39
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (+2.5) 99.1% 96.6% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Dinamo Bucuresti (+1.5) 95.9% 96.6% 80.8% 1.20× 1.04
Dinamo Bucuresti (+0.5) 86.4% 87.4% 56.7% 1.54× 1.14
Dinamo Bucuresti (-0.5) 67.0% 67.9% 28.5% 2.38× 1.47
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (+0.5) 33.0% 32.1% 71.5% 0.45× 3.12
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-0.5) 13.6% 12.6% 43.3% 0.29× 7.94
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5) 4.1% 3.4% 19.2% 0.18× 29.60
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-2.5) 0.9% 3.4% 7.4% 0.45× 29.72
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to concede 56.5% 61.7% 74.1% 0.83× 1.62
Dinamo Bucuresti clean sheet 43.5% 38.3% 25.9% 1.48× 2.61
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti clean sheet in 1st half 69.9% 69.5% 1.44
Dinamo Bucuresti to concede in 1st half 30.1% 30.5% 3.28
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti clean sheet in 2nd half 62.2% 61.4% 1.63
Dinamo Bucuresti to concede in 2nd half 37.8% 38.6% 2.59
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti over 0.5 goals 88.0% 87.1% 68.1% 1.28× 1.15
Dinamo Bucuresti under 3.5 goals 83.5% 82.5% 97.9% 0.84× 1.21
Dinamo Bucuresti under 2.5 goals 64.4% 63.6% 91.6% 0.69× 1.57
Dinamo Bucuresti over 1.5 goals 62.5% 63.6% 29.1% 2.19× 1.57
Dinamo Bucuresti under 1.5 goals 37.5% 36.4% 70.9% 0.51× 2.75
Dinamo Bucuresti over 2.5 goals 35.6% 36.4% 8.4% 4.35× 2.75
Dinamo Bucuresti over 3.5 goals 16.5% 17.5% 2.1% 8.37× 5.72
Dinamo Bucuresti under 0.5 goals 12.0% 12.9% 31.9% 0.40× 7.77
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti under 1.5 in 1st half 79.1% 75.1% 1.33
Dinamo Bucuresti over 0.5 in 1st half 57.2% 54.1% 1.85
Dinamo Bucuresti under 0.5 in 1st half 42.8% 45.9% 2.18
Dinamo Bucuresti over 1.5 in 1st half 20.9% 24.9% 4.02
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti scores more in 2nd half 46.3% 45.5% 2.20
Dinamo Bucuresti scores equally in both 28.9% 27.3% 3.66
Dinamo Bucuresti scores more in 1st half 24.8% 23.6% 4.24
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 58.7% 58.7% 39.5% 1.48× 1.71
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (away no bet) 41.3% 41.3% 60.5% 0.68× 2.42
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti even goals 50.7% 53.6% 54.6% 0.98× 1.87
Dinamo Bucuresti odd goals 49.3% 46.4% 45.4% 1.02× 2.16
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.3% 82.3% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.7% 17.7% 5.66
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 68.4% 66.9% 1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals 31.6% 33.1% 3.02
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 63.8% 60.4% 1.66
Dinamo Bucuresti to score 2+ in a row 55.8% 58.5% 1.71
Either team to score 3+ in a row 29.5% 26.8% 3.74
Dinamo Bucuresti to score 3+ in a row 27.5% 26.7% 3.75
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score 2+ in a row 13.1% 12.9% 7.76
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score 3+ in a row 2.3% 3.1% 32.14
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 11.1% 11.2% 8.9% 1.26× 8.91
0-2 11.7% 11.2% 7.6% 1.48× 8.91
1-2 9.8% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.45
0-0 5.2% 7.4% 8.2% 0.91× 13.45
0-3 8.3% 7.4% 1.3% 5.59× 13.45
1-1 9.2% 7.4% 14.1% 0.53× 13.45
1-3 6.9% 7.4% 1.9% 3.91× 13.45
Any other score 6.5% 7.4% 1.5% 4.89× 13.45
0-4 4.4% 1.7% 0.6% 3.01× 58.34
1-0 4.4% 1.7% 11.8% 0.15× 58.34
1-4 3.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.34
2-0 1.8% 1.7% 7.2% 0.24× 58.34
2-1 3.8% 1.7% 10.1% 0.17× 58.34
2-2 4.1% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.34
2-3 2.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.34
2-4 1.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.51× 58.34
3-0 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 0.56× 58.35
3-1 1.1% 1.7% 4.8% 0.36× 58.35
3-2 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.34
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.35
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.4% 4.51× 58.35
4-0 0.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.35
4-1 0.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.13× 58.35
4-2 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.51× 58.35
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.01× 58.35
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 9.02× 58.35
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (2nd half DNB) 80.3% 81.6% 1.23
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (2nd half DNB) 19.7% 18.4% 5.44
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti leading at HT (DNB) 75.4% 76.6% 1.31
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc leading at HT (DNB) 24.6% 23.4% 4.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw (X2) 86.4% 86.9% 56.7% 1.53× 1.15
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or Dinamo Bucuresti (12) 80.6% 82.1% 71.7% 1.15× 1.22
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or draw (1X) 33.0% 32.0% 71.5% 0.45× 3.12
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw at HT 85.2% 87.0% 1.15
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or Dinamo Bucuresti at HT 60.3% 62.8% 1.59
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or draw at HT 54.6% 54.0% 1.85
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw (1UP) 86.4% 90.4% 1.11
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or draw (1UP) 33.0% 45.3% 2.21
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw in 2nd half 86.1% 86.5% 1.16
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or Dinamo Bucuresti in 2nd half 70.3% 71.6% 1.40
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc or draw in 2nd half 43.5% 41.6% 2.41
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.6% 54.7% 1.83
Neither half drawn 42.4% 45.3% 2.21
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (DNB) 83.1% 81.3% 39.7% 2.05× 1.23
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (DNB) 16.9% 18.7% 60.3% 0.31× 5.34
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to score first 68.1% 69.8% 1.43
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score first 26.8% 29.4% 3.40
No goal scored 5.2% 6.3% 15.77
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.3% 51.6% 49.6% 1.04× 1.94
Both teams to score 49.7% 48.4% 50.4% 0.96× 2.07
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.5% 41.6% 36.5% 1.14× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 34.2% 34.0% 43.0% 0.79× 2.94
Not both score & over 2.5 16.1% 17.6% 6.8% 2.57× 5.69
Both score & under 2.5 9.2% 8.4% 14.1% 0.60× 11.85
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.3% 85.7% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.7% 14.3% 11.4% 1.25× 7.01
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 72.8% 70.9% 1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half 27.2% 29.1% 3.43
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 60.3% 60.5% 1.65
Both score 2nd half only 22.5% 23.4% 4.27
Both score 1st half only 12.5% 11.9% 8.42
Both score in both halves 4.7% 4.9% 20.50
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.8% 82.7% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 17.2% 17.3% 5.77
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.8% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 42.2% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.1% 46.5% 48.3% 0.96× 2.15
4-6 goals 31.1% 31.2% 22.6% 1.38× 3.21
0-1 goals 20.6% 23.5% 28.5% 0.82× 4.26
7+ goals 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 2.12× 49.71
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to score 3+ 35.6% 36.0% 8.4% 4.31× 2.78
Dinamo Bucuresti to score exactly 2 27.0% 27.4% 20.9% 1.31× 3.65
Dinamo Bucuresti to score exactly 1 25.5% 27.4% 39.2% 0.70× 3.65
Dinamo Bucuresti to score exactly 0 12.0% 13.0% 31.9% 0.41× 7.69
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score exactly 0 43.5% 38.5% 25.9% 1.49× 2.60
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score exactly 1 36.2% 36.6% 34.4% 1.06× 2.73
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score exactly 2 15.1% 18.1% 23.6% 0.77× 5.51
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score 3+ 5.2% 8.9% 16.5% 0.54× 11.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti leading at HT 45.4% 46.0% 2.17
Draw at HT 39.7% 37.2% 2.69
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc leading at HT 14.8% 13.0% 7.71
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti -1: 2 42.8% 41.5% 2.41
Dinamo Bucuresti -1: 1 33.0% 30.4% 3.29
Dinamo Bucuresti -1: X 24.2% 23.3% 4.29
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (0:1) 86.4% 87.4% 56.7% 1.54× 1.14
Draw (0:1) 9.5% 8.6% 24.3% 0.36× 11.57
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (0:1) 4.1% 3.6% 19.2% 0.18× 28.17
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (0:2) 95.9% 96.4% 80.8% 1.19× 1.04
Draw (0:2) 3.1% 3.5% 12.0% 0.29× 28.49
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (0:2) 0.9% 3.5% 7.4% 0.47× 28.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (0:3) 99.1% 96.7% 92.6% 1.04× 1.03
Draw (0:3) 0.8% 2.6% 4.4% 0.58× 39.20
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (0:3) 0.2% 2.6% 3.2% 0.79× 39.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (0:4) 99.8% 97.8% 96.8% 1.01× 1.02
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (0:4) 0.0% 1.4% 0.8% 1.86× 70.77
Draw (0:4) 0.1% 1.4% 2.7% 0.53× 70.77
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (1:0) 42.8% 42.8% 12.2% 3.52× 2.34
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (1:0) 33.0% 28.7% 71.5% 0.40× 3.49
Draw (1:0) 24.2% 22.1% 16.5% 1.34× 4.53
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (2:0) 57.2% 58.8% 87.8% 0.67× 1.70
Dinamo Bucuresti (2:0) 22.5% 21.9% 2.9% 7.67× 4.57
Draw (2:0) 20.4% 21.8% 9.5% 2.29× 4.59
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.1% 52.8% 1.90
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.2% 3.82
Halves equal 23.5% 23.2% 4.31
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to concede 88.0% 86.8% 68.1% 1.28× 1.15
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc clean sheet 12.0% 13.2% 31.9% 0.41× 7.59
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to concede in 1st half 57.2% 54.1% 1.85
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc clean sheet in 1st half 42.8% 45.9% 2.18
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to concede in 2nd half 72.0% 73.6% 1.36
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc clean sheet in 2nd half 28.0% 26.4% 3.79
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 3.5 goals 99.0% 96.6% 94.9% 1.02× 1.04
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 2.5 goals 94.8% 92.4% 83.5% 1.11× 1.08
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 1.5 goals 79.7% 78.2% 60.1% 1.30× 1.28
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 0.5 goals 56.5% 57.9% 74.1% 0.78× 1.73
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 0.5 goals 43.5% 42.1% 25.9% 1.63× 2.38
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 1.5 goals 20.3% 21.8% 39.9% 0.55× 4.58
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 2.5 goals 5.2% 7.6% 16.5% 0.46× 13.08
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 3.5 goals 1.0% 3.4% 5.1% 0.66× 29.46
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 1.5 in 1st half 94.9% 93.5% 1.07
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc under 0.5 in 1st half 69.9% 69.3% 1.44
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 0.5 in 1st half 30.1% 30.7% 3.26
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc over 1.5 in 1st half 5.1% 6.5% 15.32
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc scores equally in both 51.2% 54.3% 1.84
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc scores more in 2nd half 28.6% 27.8% 3.60
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc scores more in 1st half 20.3% 23.1% 4.33
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti (home no bet) 77.6% 79.5% 50.2% 1.58× 1.26
Draw (home no bet) 22.4% 20.5% 49.8% 0.41× 4.88
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc even goals 59.4% 55.6% 53.2% 1.04× 1.80
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc odd goals 40.6% 44.4% 46.8% 0.95× 2.25
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.9% 26.0% 3.84
HT 0-1 25.4% 25.9% 3.86
HT 0-2 10.8% 10.9% 9.17
HT 1-0 10.7% 10.9% 9.17
HT 1-1 9.1% 8.0% 12.53
Any other HT score 6.0% 8.0% 12.56
HT 1-2 3.9% 2.5% 40.41
HT 2-0 1.9% 2.5% 40.50
HT 2-1 1.6% 2.5% 40.51
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.5% 40.55
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti at HT / Dinamo Bucuresti at FT 41.0% 39.7% 2.52
Draw at HT / Dinamo Bucuresti at FT 22.5% 20.9% 4.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.8% 12.0% 8.33
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc at HT / Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc at FT 7.2% 6.5% 15.47
Draw at HT / Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc at FT 5.5% 6.4% 15.51
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.6% 27.52
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc at HT / Dinamo Bucuresti at FT 3.6% 3.6% 27.54
Dinamo Bucuresti at HT / Draw at FT 3.5% 3.6% 27.54
Dinamo Bucuresti at HT / Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc at FT 0.9% 3.6% 27.61
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to score last 68.0% 64.7% 1.54
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score last 26.8% 33.1% 3.02
No goal scored 5.2% 6.3% 15.77
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.8% 93.6% 1.07
Dinamo Bucuresti to lead by 1 at any time 77.4% 80.7% 1.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 56.3% 55.6% 1.80
Dinamo Bucuresti to lead by 2 at any time 48.9% 46.6% 2.15
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to lead by 1 at any time 30.5% 31.6% 3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 26.9% 25.0% 4.00
Dinamo Bucuresti to lead by 3 at any time 25.4% 24.9% 4.01
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to lead by 2 at any time 7.6% 7.4% 13.48
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to lead by 3 at any time 1.5% 2.6% 38.52
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.9% 87.1% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
1-4 goals 77.1% 77.9% 81.7% 0.95× 1.28
2-6 goals 76.3% 77.9% 70.7% 1.10× 1.28
2-5 goals 71.5% 72.2% 68.1% 1.06× 1.39
2-4 goals 61.7% 62.7% 61.4% 1.02× 1.60
1-3 goals 60.6% 62.7% 68.6% 0.91× 1.60
3-6 goals 53.5% 52.9% 42.4% 1.25× 1.89
3-5 goals 48.7% 47.4% 39.7% 1.19× 2.11
2-3 goals 45.1% 47.4% 48.3% 0.98× 2.11
3-4 goals 38.9% 39.0% 33.1% 1.18× 2.56
1-2 goals 38.2% 39.0% 48.9% 0.80× 2.56
4-6 goals 31.1% 34.7% 22.6% 1.53× 2.88
4-5 goals 26.3% 28.5% 20.0% 1.43× 3.51
5-6 goals 14.6% 13.5% 9.5% 1.42× 7.41
7+ goals 3.1% 2.3% 1.0% 2.38× 44.23
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti never behind 64.4% 67.7% 1.48
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc never behind 17.4% 20.2% 4.96
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 50.1% 50.1% 52.5% 0.95× 2.00
Odd number of goals 49.9% 49.9% 47.5% 1.05× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.5% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.5% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 48.4% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.8% 92.3% 91.8% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.1% 92.3% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.3% 81.6% 89.7% 0.91× 1.23
Over 1.5 goals 79.4% 77.0% 71.5% 1.08× 1.30
Under 3.5 goals 65.8% 67.7% 76.6% 0.88× 1.48
Over 2.5 goals 56.6% 57.8% 43.2% 1.34× 1.73
Under 2.5 goals 43.4% 42.2% 56.8% 0.74× 2.37
Over 3.5 goals 34.2% 32.3% 23.4% 1.38× 3.09
Under 1.5 goals 20.6% 23.0% 28.5% 0.81× 4.34
Over 4.5 goals 17.7% 18.4% 10.3% 1.79× 5.44
Over 5.5 goals 7.9% 7.7% 3.6% 2.14× 12.91
Under 0.5 goals 5.2% 7.7% 8.2% 0.95× 12.91
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.8% 97.3% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.2% 92.0% 96.1% 0.96× 1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 78.8% 76.0% 88.2% 0.86× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 73.3% 72.1% 60.2% 1.20× 1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.9% 58.1% 70.9% 0.82× 1.72
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.1% 41.9% 29.1% 1.44× 2.39
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 26.7% 27.9% 39.8% 0.70× 3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 21.2% 24.0% 11.8% 2.03× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.8% 8.0% 3.9% 2.07× 12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.2% 2.7% 1.0% 2.79× 36.69
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.8% 88.4% 1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.1% 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.0% 67.0% 1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.0% 33.0% 3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.9% 26.3% 3.81
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.2% 11.6% 8.61
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.6% 82.5% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.5% 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.9% 50.5% 1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 52.1% 49.5% 2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.5% 24.3% 4.12
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.4% 17.5% 5.72
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc not to score in both halves 88.6% 85.6% 1.17
Dinamo Bucuresti not to score in both halves 58.9% 60.1% 1.66
Dinamo Bucuresti to score in both halves 41.1% 39.9% 2.51
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to score in both halves 11.4% 14.4% 6.96
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.7% 50.8% 50.4% 1.01× 1.97
Only Dinamo Bucuresti scores 38.3% 39.4% 17.9% 2.21× 2.54
Only Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc scores 6.8% 7.1% 24.0% 0.30× 14.09
Neither team scores 5.2% 7.1% 8.2% 0.87× 14.10
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.7% 22.3% 28.5% 0.78× 4.49
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.3% 20.0% 1.12× 4.49
Exactly 4 goals 16.5% 17.6% 13.3% 1.32× 5.68
Exactly 1 goals 15.5% 17.6% 20.5% 0.86× 5.68
Exactly 5 goals 9.8% 7.8% 6.8% 1.13× 12.88
6 or more goals 7.9% 7.8% 3.6% 2.15× 12.88
Exactly 0 goals 5.2% 7.8% 8.2% 0.95× 12.89
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.1% 36.9% 2.71
No goals in 1st half 29.9% 25.8% 3.87
2 goals in 1st half 21.8% 21.6% 4.63
3+ goals in 1st half 12.2% 11.4% 8.78
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 52.1% 49.5% 2.02
1 goal in 2nd half 30.5% 34.3% 2.92
No goals in 2nd half 17.4% 16.4% 6.09
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc not to win both halves 97.9% 97.3% 1.03
Dinamo Bucuresti not to win both halves 74.3% 73.7% 1.36
Dinamo Bucuresti to win both halves 25.7% 26.3% 3.80
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win both halves 2.1% 2.7% 37.34
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti to win either half 76.3% 80.7% 1.24
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win neither half 73.4% 70.1% 1.43
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win either half 26.6% 29.9% 3.35
Dinamo Bucuresti to win neither half 23.7% 19.3% 5.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc not to win to nil 93.2% 92.4% 76.0% 1.21× 1.08
Dinamo Bucuresti not to win to nil 61.7% 63.4% 82.1% 0.77× 1.58
Dinamo Bucuresti to win to nil 38.3% 36.6% 17.9% 2.05× 2.74
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win to nil 6.8% 7.6% 24.0% 0.32× 13.09
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dinamo Bucuresti by 1 24.2% 23.4% 16.5% 1.42× 4.27
Dinamo Bucuresti by 3+ 22.5% 23.4% 2.9% 8.21× 4.27
Dinamo Bucuresti by 2 20.4% 23.4% 9.5% 2.46× 4.27
Draw 19.4% 17.2% 28.3% 0.61× 5.80
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc by 1 9.5% 7.3% 24.3% 0.30× 13.76
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc by 2 3.1% 3.0% 12.0% 0.25× 33.45
Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc by 3+ 0.9% 3.0% 7.4% 0.40× 33.48
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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