Cúcuta Deportivo v Independiente Santa Fe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Cúcuta Deportivo

21:00 UTC

Independiente Santa Fe

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,343h before kick-off

Cúcuta Deportivo win

26.8%

model 25.3%

Draw

26.8%

model 28.1%

Independiente Santa Fe win

46.5%

model 46.6%

272746

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.4%
0-1 10.6%
1-2 9.2%
0-0 8.9%
0-2 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.0%	Under 2.5	53.0%
BTTS yes	51.7%	BTTS no	48.3%
Cúcuta Deportivo 1+	65.0%	Cúcuta Deportivo 2+	28.2%
Independiente Santa Fe 1+	77.8%	Independiente Santa Fe 2+	44.4%

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1430.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Santa Fe have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 26.8% for Cúcuta Deportivo. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.05 for Cúcuta Deportivo and 1.51 for Independiente Santa Fe.

Why Cúcuta Deportivo

Nothing in the data singles out Cúcuta Deportivo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Independiente Santa Fe can win

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1430. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cúcuta Deportivo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente Santa Fe, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cúcuta Deportivo: 46% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente Santa Fe: 46% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Independiente Santa Fe are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	242848	1.01–1.51	1-1 13%	46%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win	47.8%	47.4%	24.9%	1.91×	2.11
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	29.4%	0.95×	3.59
Cúcuta Deportivo to win	24.1%	24.5%	45.8%	0.53×	4.08

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & not both score	27.3%	25.1%	13.5%	1.87×	3.98
Independiente Santa Fe & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	11.5%	1.89×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	18.8%	0.96×	5.58
Cúcuta Deportivo & not both score	12.9%	13.3%	27.1%	0.49×	7.54
Cúcuta Deportivo & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.2%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & over 1.5	36.7%	34.8%	16.5%	2.11×	2.87
Independiente Santa Fe & under 3.5	34.1%	30.8%	20.0%	1.54×	3.24
Independiente Santa Fe & over 2.5	27.5%	26.0%	12.9%	2.02×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.6%	21.6%	23.8%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.6%	21.6%	23.8%	0.91×	4.63
Independiente Santa Fe & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	12.1%	1.79×	4.63
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	35.7%	0.50×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	33.9%	0.53×	5.56
Independiente Santa Fe & over 3.5	13.6%	12.9%	5.0%	2.58×	7.76
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 2.5	13.0%	12.9%	25.6%	0.50×	7.76
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.76
Independiente Santa Fe & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	8.5%	1.52×	7.76
Draw & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.65
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.65
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (1UP)	62.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Cúcuta Deportivo (1UP)	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2UP)	47.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Cúcuta Deportivo (2UP)	24.1%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win 2nd half	41.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	37.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Cúcuta Deportivo to win 2nd half	21.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.6%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (+2.5)	97.4%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Independiente Santa Fe (+1.5)	90.8%	92.0%	79.6%	1.16×	1.09
Independiente Santa Fe (+0.5)	75.9%	78.4%	54.2%	1.45×	1.28
Cúcuta Deportivo (+0.5)	52.2%	52.4%	75.1%	0.70×	1.91
Independiente Santa Fe (-0.5)	47.8%	47.6%	24.9%	1.92×	2.10
Cúcuta Deportivo (-0.5)	24.1%	21.6%	45.8%	0.47×	4.63
Cúcuta Deportivo (-1.5)	9.2%	8.0%	20.4%	0.39×	12.58
Cúcuta Deportivo (-2.5)	2.6%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	26.89

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to concede	63.5%	67.5%	75.8%	0.89×	1.48
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet	36.5%	32.5%	24.2%	1.35×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 1st half	64.8%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 1st half	35.2%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 2nd half	56.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 2nd half	43.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 corners	75.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Independiente Santa Fe under 5.5 corners	69.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 corners	59.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe under 4.5 corners	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe over 4.5 corners	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 corners	40.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Independiente Santa Fe over 5.5 corners	30.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 corners	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Independiente Santa Fe over 6.5 corners	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 goals	80.6%	81.3%	92.9%	0.88×	1.23
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 goals	77.9%	76.2%	62.2%	1.23×	1.31
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 goals	55.4%	59.4%	74.3%	0.80×	1.68
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 goals	44.6%	40.6%	25.7%	1.58×	2.46
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 goals	22.1%	23.8%	37.8%	0.63×	4.21
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 goals	19.4%	18.7%	7.1%	2.64×	5.36
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	1.9%	3.95×	13.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 2nd half	40.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Independiente Santa Fe scores equally in both	35.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 1st half	23.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.8%	51.6%	39.1%	1.32×	1.94
Cúcuta Deportivo (away no bet)	46.2%	48.4%	60.9%	0.80×	2.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe even goals	52.4%	52.8%	57.5%	0.92×	1.89
Independiente Santa Fe odd goals	47.6%	47.2%	42.5%	1.11×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.9%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.1%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.2%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Independiente Santa Fe to score 2+ in a row	37.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 2+ in a row	19.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+ in a row	13.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.6%	—	—	37.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+3.5)	83.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+3.5)	83.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+2.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+2.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+1.5)	66.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+1.5)	66.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-1.5)	34.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-1.5)	33.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-2.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-2.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-3.5)	16.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-3.5)	16.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	22.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	61.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	38.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.4%	11.4%	13.1%	0.88×	8.74
0-1	11.0%	11.4%	8.5%	1.35×	8.74
0-0	9.2%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.50
0-2	9.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.98×	13.50
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.50
1-0	7.0%	7.4%	12.1%	0.61×	13.50
2-1	6.2%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.50
0-3	4.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.29
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.6%	3.09×	58.31
1-3	4.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.29
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.47×	58.31
2-0	4.1%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.1%	12.35×	58.31
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.17×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.47×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.47×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.35×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2nd half DNB)	65.4%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Cúcuta Deportivo (2nd half DNB)	34.6%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT (DNB)	60.5%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT (DNB)	39.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (X2)	75.9%	75.5%	54.2%	1.39×	1.33
Cúcuta Deportivo or Independiente Santa Fe (12)	71.9%	72.1%	70.6%	1.02×	1.39
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1X)	52.2%	52.6%	75.1%	0.70×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw at HT	78.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw at HT	67.2%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Cúcuta Deportivo or Independiente Santa Fe at HT	54.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (1UP)	75.9%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1UP)	52.2%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw in 2nd half	78.2%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Cúcuta Deportivo or Independiente Santa Fe in 2nd half	63.0%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw in 2nd half	58.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (DNB)	66.4%	67.2%	35.2%	1.91×	1.49
Cúcuta Deportivo (DNB)	33.6%	32.8%	64.8%	0.51×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score first	54.5%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
Cúcuta Deportivo to score first	36.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	9.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.6%	51.3%	48.9%	1.05×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.4%	48.7%	51.1%	0.95×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.5%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	37.2%	38.5%	36.0%	1.07×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	8.2%	1.02×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	88.8%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	11.3%	1.28×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.6%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.2%	5.0%	—	—	19.89

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.3%	48.2%	0.98×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.2%	26.6%	31.1%	0.85×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.2%	22.8%	19.4%	1.17×	4.38
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	1.5%	1.20×	54.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 1	33.3%	33.8%	36.7%	0.92×	2.96
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 2	25.2%	27.4%	18.8%	1.46×	3.65
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 0	22.1%	22.4%	37.8%	0.59×	4.47
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+	19.4%	19.6%	7.1%	2.77×	5.10

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	34.4%	1.03×	2.81
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 0	36.5%	35.6%	24.2%	1.47×	2.81
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 2	18.5%	18.9%	26.1%	0.72×	5.29
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+	8.2%	10.3%	15.6%	0.67×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.7%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT	32.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT	21.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 1	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 2	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Independiente Santa Fe -1: X	23.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:1)	75.9%	73.6%	54.2%	1.36×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	15.0%	13.8%	25.6%	0.54×	7.22
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:1)	9.2%	9.3%	20.4%	0.46×	10.73

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:2)	90.8%	90.7%	79.6%	1.14×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	12.4%	0.62×	12.98
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:2)	2.6%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.46

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:3)	97.4%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.14
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.9%	0.61×	83.70
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.07×	83.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (1:0)	52.2%	53.9%	75.1%	0.72×	1.85
Independiente Santa Fe (1:0)	24.8%	21.9%	7.6%	2.86×	4.57
Draw (1:0)	23.0%	21.9%	17.4%	1.26×	4.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2:0)	75.2%	80.1%	92.4%	0.87×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	14.8%	10.4%	5.0%	2.08×	9.60
Independiente Santa Fe (2:0)	9.9%	6.5%	2.8%	2.33×	15.47

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede	77.9%	76.1%	62.2%	1.22×	1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	22.1%	23.9%	37.8%	0.63×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 1st half	45.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 2nd half	59.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 2nd half	40.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 6.5 corners	80.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cúcuta Deportivo under 5.5 corners	70.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 corners	58.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo under 4.5 corners	56.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo over 4.5 corners	43.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 corners	41.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Cúcuta Deportivo over 5.5 corners	30.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cúcuta Deportivo over 6.5 corners	19.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.3%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 goals	91.8%	92.2%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 goals	73.3%	74.2%	58.5%	1.27×	1.35
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 goals	63.5%	63.5%	75.8%	0.84×	1.57
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 goals	36.5%	36.5%	24.2%	1.51×	2.74
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 goals	26.7%	25.8%	41.5%	0.62×	3.88
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 goals	8.2%	7.8%	15.6%	0.50×	12.87
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.7%	4.7%	0.77×	27.36

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 1st half	35.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	4.6%	—	—	21.95

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo scores equally in both	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cúcuta Deportivo scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Cúcuta Deportivo scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (home no bet)	63.0%	60.0%	45.8%	1.31×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.0%	40.0%	54.2%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo even goals	56.7%	55.3%	53.3%	1.04×	1.81
Cúcuta Deportivo odd goals	43.3%	44.7%	46.7%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 0-2	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	26.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Draw at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score last	54.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Cúcuta Deportivo to score last	36.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	9.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 1 at any time	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 2 at any time	30.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 2 at any time	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 3 at any time	3.5%	1.6%	—	—	60.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe most corners	44.8%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Cúcuta Deportivo most corners	43.9%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.15
1-4 goals	79.7%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.3%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.5%	68.9%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.2%	68.9%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.6%	48.2%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.7%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.30
3-6 goals	44.6%	43.6%	42.6%	1.02×	2.30
3-5 goals	41.8%	43.6%	40.6%	1.07×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.0%	35.3%	34.9%	1.01×	2.83
4-6 goals	23.2%	24.5%	19.4%	1.26×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.3%	24.5%	17.4%	1.41×	4.08
5-6 goals	9.7%	8.8%	7.9%	1.12×	11.30
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	1.5%	1.67×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe never behind	49.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Cúcuta Deportivo never behind	28.8%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.8%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.2%	49.6%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.9%	87.6%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	79.2%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.8%	72.5%	68.9%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.9%	52.6%	56.0%	0.94×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.1%	47.4%	44.0%	1.08×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.2%	27.5%	31.1%	0.89×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	20.8%	1.09×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	11.1%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	10.8%	0.72×	12.86
Over 5.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	3.6%	1.26×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.4%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.1%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.6%	67.5%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.9%	61.9%	58.6%	1.06×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.1%	38.1%	41.4%	0.92×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.4%	32.5%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.9%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.6%	2.8%	3.8%	0.73×	35.79
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	1.6%	1.79×	35.88

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo not to score in both halves	84.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Independiente Santa Fe not to score in both halves	73.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Independiente Santa Fe to score in both halves	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Cúcuta Deportivo to score in both halves	15.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.6%	53.9%	48.9%	1.10×	1.86
Only Independiente Santa Fe scores	27.3%	26.0%	13.5%	1.93×	3.84
Only Cúcuta Deportivo scores	12.9%	11.0%	27.1%	0.41×	9.10
Neither team scores	9.2%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.0%	17.4%	20.4%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.5%	12.1%	11.7%	1.04×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	9.2%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.08
6 or more goals	4.3%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	35.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	19.3%	15.3%	—	—	6.54
3+ goals in 1st half	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	23.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win both halves	95.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Independiente Santa Fe not to win both halves	86.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Independiente Santa Fe to win both halves	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Cúcuta Deportivo to win both halves	4.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win neither half	61.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Santa Fe to win either half	60.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Santa Fe to win neither half	39.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Cúcuta Deportivo to win either half	38.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win to nil	87.1%	88.2%	72.9%	1.21×	1.13
Independiente Santa Fe not to win to nil	72.7%	75.4%	86.5%	0.87×	1.33
Independiente Santa Fe to win to nil	27.3%	24.6%	13.5%	1.83×	4.06
Cúcuta Deportivo to win to nil	12.9%	11.9%	27.1%	0.44×	8.44

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	29.4%	0.95×	3.59
Independiente Santa Fe by 1	23.0%	24.2%	17.4%	1.39×	4.14
Cúcuta Deportivo by 1	15.0%	11.8%	25.6%	0.46×	8.49
Independiente Santa Fe by 2	14.8%	11.8%	5.0%	2.36×	8.49
Independiente Santa Fe by 3+	9.9%	7.2%	2.8%	2.61×	13.80
Cúcuta Deportivo by 2	6.6%	7.2%	12.4%	0.59×	13.81
Cúcuta Deportivo by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.68