Cúcuta Deportivo v Independiente Santa Fe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Cúcuta Deportivo

21:00 UTC

Independiente Santa Fe

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 130h before kick-off

Cúcuta Deportivo win

23.1%

model 24.4%

Draw

27.7%

model 28.3%

Independiente Santa Fe win

49.2%

model 47.3%

232849

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.4%
0-1 11.6%
0-0 9.6%
0-2 9.2%
1-2 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.5%	Under 2.5	55.5%
BTTS yes	49.3%	BTTS no	50.7%
Cúcuta Deportivo 1+	62.8%	Cúcuta Deportivo 2+	26.0%
Independiente Santa Fe 1+	77.0%	Independiente Santa Fe 2+	43.2%

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Independiente Santa Fe (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 35%

67.0% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 332 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Cúcuta Deportivo not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1623 Elo against 1430.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Santa Fe have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.1% for Cúcuta Deportivo. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.99 for Cúcuta Deportivo and 1.47 for Independiente Santa Fe.

Why Cúcuta Deportivo

Nothing in the data singles out Cúcuta Deportivo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Independiente Santa Fe can win

Independiente Santa Fe carry the stronger rating, 1623 Elo against 1430. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cúcuta Deportivo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente Santa Fe, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cúcuta Deportivo: 46% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente Santa Fe: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Independiente Santa Fe are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242847	0.99–1.47	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	242848	0.97–1.49	1-1 13%	45%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win	48.4%	47.4%	24.8%	1.91×	2.11
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.58
Cúcuta Deportivo to win	23.5%	24.5%	45.8%	0.53×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & not both score	28.4%	25.2%	13.4%	1.88×	3.97
Independiente Santa Fe & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Cúcuta Deportivo & not both score	12.9%	13.3%	27.1%	0.49×	7.54
Cúcuta Deportivo & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.5%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe & over 1.5	36.6%	34.9%	16.5%	2.12×	2.87
Independiente Santa Fe & under 3.5	35.2%	34.9%	19.9%	1.75×	2.87
Independiente Santa Fe & over 2.5	27.1%	26.1%	12.9%	2.02×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.9%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Independiente Santa Fe & under 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	12.1%	1.79×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.55
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	35.7%	0.50×	5.55
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	33.8%	0.53×	5.56
Independiente Santa Fe & over 3.5	13.2%	12.8%	5.0%	2.57×	7.79
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	25.5%	0.50×	7.79
Independiente Santa Fe & under 1.5	11.7%	12.8%	8.4%	1.52×	7.79
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 2.5	11.3%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.62
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 3.5	5.0%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (1UP)	62.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Cúcuta Deportivo (1UP)	40.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2UP)	48.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Cúcuta Deportivo (2UP)	23.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to win 2nd half	41.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cúcuta Deportivo to win 2nd half	21.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (+2.5)	97.7%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Independiente Santa Fe (+1.5)	91.4%	92.1%	79.6%	1.16×	1.09
Independiente Santa Fe (+0.5)	76.5%	78.5%	54.2%	1.45×	1.27
Cúcuta Deportivo (+0.5)	51.6%	52.4%	75.2%	0.70×	1.91
Independiente Santa Fe (-0.5)	48.4%	47.6%	24.8%	1.92×	2.10
Cúcuta Deportivo (-0.5)	23.5%	21.5%	45.8%	0.47×	4.65
Cúcuta Deportivo (-1.5)	8.6%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.69
Cúcuta Deportivo (-2.5)	2.3%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	27.19

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to concede	62.0%	67.6%	75.9%	0.89×	1.48
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet	38.0%	32.4%	24.1%	1.35×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 1st half	66.0%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 1st half	34.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet in 2nd half	57.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Independiente Santa Fe to concede in 2nd half	42.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 6.5 corners	79.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 corners	75.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Independiente Santa Fe under 5.5 corners	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 corners	59.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe under 4.5 corners	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Santa Fe over 4.5 corners	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 corners	40.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Independiente Santa Fe over 5.5 corners	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 corners	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Independiente Santa Fe over 6.5 corners	20.2%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Independiente Santa Fe under 2.5 goals	81.1%	81.5%	92.9%	0.88×	1.23
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 goals	77.5%	76.2%	62.2%	1.23×	1.31
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 goals	56.1%	59.4%	74.2%	0.80×	1.68
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 goals	43.9%	40.6%	25.8%	1.58×	2.46
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 goals	22.5%	23.8%	37.8%	0.63×	4.21
Independiente Santa Fe over 2.5 goals	18.9%	18.5%	7.1%	2.62×	5.40
Independiente Santa Fe over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	1.9%	3.94×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Santa Fe under 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Independiente Santa Fe over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 in 1st half	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 2nd half	40.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Independiente Santa Fe scores equally in both	36.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Independiente Santa Fe scores more in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.5%	51.7%	39.2%	1.32×	1.93
Cúcuta Deportivo (away no bet)	45.5%	48.3%	60.8%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe even goals	52.5%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Independiente Santa Fe odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Independiente Santa Fe to score 2+ in a row	37.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 2+ in a row	18.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+ in a row	13.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.44

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+3.5)	83.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+3.5)	83.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+2.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+2.5)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+1.5)	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Santa Fe corners (+1.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-1.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-1.5)	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-2.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-2.5)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-3.5)	16.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Independiente Santa Fe corners (-3.5)	16.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	23.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.3%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
0-1	11.7%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.71
0-0	9.5%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
0-2	9.5%	7.4%	3.7%	1.98×	13.51
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
1-0	7.3%	7.4%	12.2%	0.61×	13.51
2-1	6.0%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-3	4.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.29
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
2-0	4.0%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.31
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.31
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.31
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (2nd half DNB)	66.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Cúcuta Deportivo (2nd half DNB)	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT (DNB)	61.2%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT (DNB)	38.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (X2)	76.5%	75.5%	54.2%	1.39×	1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo or Independiente Santa Fe (12)	71.9%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1X)	51.6%	52.6%	75.2%	0.70×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw at HT	79.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw at HT	67.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Cúcuta Deportivo or Independiente Santa Fe at HT	53.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw (1UP)	76.5%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1UP)	51.6%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe or draw in 2nd half	78.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo or Independiente Santa Fe in 2nd half	62.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw in 2nd half	58.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (DNB)	67.3%	67.4%	35.1%	1.92×	1.48
Cúcuta Deportivo (DNB)	32.7%	32.6%	64.9%	0.50×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score first	54.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Cúcuta Deportivo to score first	35.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	9.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.09

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.9%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.1%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.1%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	35.7%	38.4%	36.0%	1.07×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.3%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.9%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.1%	14.4%	11.4%	1.27×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.37

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.5%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	49.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.6%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.1%	22.9%	19.5%	1.17×	4.36
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.43

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 1	33.6%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 2	25.0%	27.4%	18.8%	1.46×	3.65
Independiente Santa Fe to score exactly 0	22.5%	22.3%	37.8%	0.59×	4.49
Independiente Santa Fe to score 3+	18.9%	19.5%	7.1%	2.77×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 0	38.0%	35.5%	24.1%	1.48×	2.81
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	34.5%	1.03×	2.81
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 2	17.8%	18.8%	26.2%	0.72×	5.32
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+	7.5%	10.3%	15.5%	0.67×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.3%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Independiente Santa Fe leading at HT	32.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT	20.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 1	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Independiente Santa Fe -1: 2	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Independiente Santa Fe -1: X	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:1)	76.5%	73.7%	54.2%	1.36×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.9%	13.7%	25.6%	0.54×	7.28
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:1)	8.6%	9.3%	20.4%	0.45×	10.81

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:2)	91.4%	90.7%	79.6%	1.14×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	12.3%	0.62×	13.07
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:2)	2.3%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.77

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:3)	97.7%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.06
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.86
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (1:0)	51.6%	54.0%	75.2%	0.72×	1.85
Independiente Santa Fe (1:0)	24.9%	21.7%	7.6%	2.85×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	23.5%	21.7%	17.3%	1.25×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2:0)	75.1%	80.3%	92.4%	0.87×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	15.0%	10.3%	5.0%	2.07×	9.69
Independiente Santa Fe (2:0)	9.9%	6.4%	2.8%	2.31×	15.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.3%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede	77.5%	76.1%	62.2%	1.22×	1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	22.5%	23.9%	37.8%	0.63×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 1st half	55.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 1st half	44.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 2nd half	59.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 2nd half	40.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Cúcuta Deportivo under 5.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 corners	59.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo under 4.5 corners	56.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo over 4.5 corners	43.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 corners	40.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Cúcuta Deportivo over 5.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Cúcuta Deportivo over 6.5 corners	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.2%	84.5%	1.09×	1.09
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 goals	74.8%	74.2%	58.4%	1.27×	1.35
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 goals	62.0%	63.6%	75.9%	0.84×	1.57
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 goals	38.0%	36.4%	24.1%	1.51×	2.75
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 goals	25.2%	25.8%	41.6%	0.62×	3.88
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	15.5%	0.50×	12.83
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 1st half	66.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 1st half	34.0%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	5.2%	—	—	19.33

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo scores equally in both	47.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Cúcuta Deportivo scores more in 2nd half	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Cúcuta Deportivo scores more in 1st half	21.8%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe (home no bet)	63.2%	60.0%	45.7%	1.31×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.8%	40.0%	54.3%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo even goals	57.2%	55.3%	53.3%	1.04×	1.81
Cúcuta Deportivo odd goals	42.8%	44.7%	46.7%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	21.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-0	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	27.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Independiente Santa Fe at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Independiente Santa Fe at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe to score last	55.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Cúcuta Deportivo to score last	35.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	9.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.09

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 1 at any time	62.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 1 at any time	40.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 2 at any time	30.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.39
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 2 at any time	12.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Independiente Santa Fe to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo most corners	44.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Independiente Santa Fe most corners	44.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.1%	72.3%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.5%	68.8%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.1%	68.8%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.9%	48.4%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.3%	43.6%	42.7%	1.02×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.7%	43.6%	40.6%	1.07×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.2%	35.2%	34.9%	1.01×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.1%	24.5%	19.5%	1.25×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.5%	18.8%	17.5%	1.08×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.0%	8.9%	7.9%	1.13×	11.25
7+ goals	1.3%	2.6%	1.5%	1.67×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Santa Fe never behind	50.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Cúcuta Deportivo never behind	28.3%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.7%	87.6%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.6%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.4%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.4%	58.6%	56.0%	1.05×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	44.6%	41.4%	44.0%	0.94×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	28.6%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	23.4%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.4%	12.4%	9.3%	1.34×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.8%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.1%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.3%	72.3%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.0%	61.9%	58.6%	1.06×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.0%	38.1%	41.4%	0.92×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.7%	27.7%	27.2%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.9%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.2%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.9%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.80

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.5%	—	—	4.87
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo not to score in both halves	85.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Santa Fe not to score in both halves	73.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Independiente Santa Fe to score in both halves	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Cúcuta Deportivo to score in both halves	14.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.1%	50.7%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Only Independiente Santa Fe scores	28.4%	26.1%	13.4%	1.94×	3.84
Only Cúcuta Deportivo scores	12.9%	11.0%	27.1%	0.41×	9.06
Neither team scores	9.5%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.98

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.9%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.0%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.0%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.5%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.9%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	36.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	8.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.80

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win both halves	95.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Independiente Santa Fe not to win both halves	86.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Independiente Santa Fe to win both halves	13.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Cúcuta Deportivo to win both halves	4.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win neither half	62.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Santa Fe to win either half	60.5%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Santa Fe to win neither half	39.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Cúcuta Deportivo to win either half	37.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win to nil	87.1%	88.1%	72.9%	1.21×	1.14
Independiente Santa Fe not to win to nil	71.6%	75.3%	86.6%	0.87×	1.33
Independiente Santa Fe to win to nil	28.4%	24.7%	13.4%	1.84×	4.05
Cúcuta Deportivo to win to nil	12.9%	11.9%	27.1%	0.44×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Independiente Santa Fe by 1	23.5%	24.1%	17.3%	1.39×	4.15
Cúcuta Deportivo by 1	14.9%	11.8%	25.6%	0.46×	8.50
Independiente Santa Fe by 2	15.0%	11.8%	5.0%	2.36×	8.50
Independiente Santa Fe by 3+	9.9%	7.2%	2.8%	2.60×	13.90
Cúcuta Deportivo by 2	6.3%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.91
Cúcuta Deportivo by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.90