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Cúcuta Deportivo v Jaguares de Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cúcuta Deportivo win
47.1%
model 47.7%
Draw
26.5%
model 27.2%
Jaguares de Córdoba win
26.4%
model 25.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.0%
  2. 1-0 10.2%
  3. 2-1 9.4%
  4. 2-0 8.7%
  5. 0-0 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.549.1% Under 2.550.9%
BTTS yes53.0% BTTS no47.0%
Cúcuta Deportivo 1+79.1% Cúcuta Deportivo 2+46.3%
Jaguares de Córdoba 1+65.8% Jaguares de Córdoba 2+29.1%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 68%
73.4% fair odds 1.36
moderate signal · 3256 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
82.4% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1272 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Cúcuta Deportivo carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1403.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Cúcuta Deportivo have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.4% for Jaguares de Córdoba. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Cúcuta Deportivo and 1.07 for Jaguares de Córdoba.

Why Cúcuta Deportivo

Cúcuta Deportivo carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1403.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Jaguares de Córdoba can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jaguares de Córdoba.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cúcuta Deportivo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jaguares de Córdoba, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cúcuta Deportivo: 46% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jaguares de Córdoba: 45% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cúcuta Deportivo are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.56–1.07 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.65–1.05 1-1 13% 51% 53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win 50.6% 51.5% 45.8% 1.12× 1.94
Draw 26.4% 27.9% 29.5% 0.95× 3.58
Jaguares de Córdoba to win 23.0% 24.5% 24.8% 0.99× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo & not both score 27.5% 25.2% 27.1% 0.93× 3.97
Cúcuta Deportivo & both teams score 23.1% 21.8% 18.8% 1.16× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 18.7% 18.0% 18.8% 0.95× 5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & both teams score 11.6% 13.3% 11.5% 1.15× 7.54
Jaguares de Córdoba & not both score 11.5% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.7% 8.3% 10.8% 0.77× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 1.5 40.4% 40.2% 33.8% 1.19× 2.49
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 3.5 34.0% 30.8% 35.7% 0.86× 3.25
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 2.5 31.2% 30.7% 25.5% 1.21× 3.25
Draw & under 2.5 20.3% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 20.3% 21.6% 23.7% 0.91× 4.63
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 20.5% 0.88× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 18.7% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.55
Cúcuta Deportivo & over 3.5 16.6% 18.0% 10.2% 1.76× 5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 1.5 17.0% 18.0% 16.5% 1.09× 5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 3.5 17.1% 18.0% 19.9% 0.90× 5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 2.5 13.3% 12.8% 12.9% 1.00× 7.79
Cúcuta Deportivo & under 1.5 10.2% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.79
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 2.5 9.8% 7.9% 12.1% 0.66× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.7% 7.9% 10.8% 0.73× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 6.1% 7.9% 6.0% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 6.1% 7.9% 6.0% 1.33× 12.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 1.5 6.1% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.63
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 5.0% 1.59× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (1UP) 65.0% 70.1% — — 1.43
Jaguares de Córdoba (1UP) 41.0% 38.5% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2UP) 50.6% 55.1% — — 1.81
Jaguares de Córdoba (2UP) 23.0% 23.8% — — 4.20
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win 2nd half 41.2% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 35.7% 36.4% — — 2.75
Jaguares de Córdoba to win 2nd half 23.1% 24.3% — — 4.11
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.9% 87.1% — — 1.15
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half 53.4% 52.5% — — 1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.6% 47.5% — — 2.10
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.1% 12.9% — — 7.75
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.7% 75.2% — — 1.33
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.0% 63.0% — — 1.59
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 2nd half 39.0% 37.0% — — 2.71
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.3% 24.8% — — 4.03
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (+2.5) 88.2% 88.5% 91.8% 0.96× 1.13
Cúcuta Deportivo (+0.5) 77.0% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Jaguares de Córdoba (+1.5) 72.4% 73.7% 79.6% 0.92× 1.36
Cúcuta Deportivo (-0.5) 50.6% 52.4% 45.8% 1.14× 1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba (+0.5) 49.4% 47.6% 54.2% 0.88× 2.10
Cúcuta Deportivo (-1.5) 27.6% 26.3% 20.4% 1.29× 3.80
Jaguares de Córdoba (-0.5) 23.0% 21.5% 24.8% 0.87× 4.65
Cúcuta Deportivo (-2.5) 11.8% 11.5% 8.2% 1.41× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede 80.9% 81.4% 75.9% 1.07× 1.23
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet 19.1% 18.6% 24.1% 0.77× 5.39
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 1st half 50.9% 50.8% — — 1.97
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half 49.1% 49.2% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 2nd half 61.0% 61.7% — — 1.62
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half 39.0% 38.3% — — 2.61
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 6.5 corners 85.5% 85.2% — — 1.17
Jaguares de Córdoba under 5.5 corners 76.6% 76.0% — — 1.32
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 corners 68.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Jaguares de Córdoba under 4.5 corners 64.2% 61.7% — — 1.62
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 corners 51.5% 53.1% — — 1.88
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 corners 48.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Jaguares de Córdoba over 4.5 corners 35.8% 38.3% — — 2.61
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 corners 31.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Jaguares de Córdoba over 5.5 corners 23.4% 24.0% — — 4.18
Jaguares de Córdoba over 6.5 corners 14.5% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 goals 97.8% 97.5% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 goals 91.1% 92.3% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 goals 71.9% 71.8% 74.2% 0.97× 1.39
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 goals 64.9% 63.2% 62.2% 1.02× 1.58
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 goals 35.1% 36.8% 37.8% 0.97× 2.72
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 goals 28.1% 28.2% 25.8% 1.09× 3.55
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 goals 8.9% 7.7% 7.1% 1.08× 13.06
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 goals 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.29× 39.86
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half 93.3% 94.0% — — 1.06
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half 65.8% 70.1% — — 1.43
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half 34.2% 29.9% — — 3.35
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half 6.7% 6.0% — — 16.56
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba scores equally in both 45.0% 43.8% — — 2.29
Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 2nd half 34.4% 33.3% — — 3.00
Jaguares de Córdoba scores more in 1st half 20.6% 21.7% — — 4.60
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (away no bet) 65.7% 66.4% 60.8% 1.09× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 34.3% 33.6% 39.2% 0.86× 2.97
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba even goals 56.2% 56.9% 57.6% 0.99× 1.76
Jaguares de Córdoba odd goals 43.8% 43.1% 42.4% 1.02× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 85.5% 87.8% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 14.5% 12.2% — — 8.18
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 63.7% 57.6% — — 1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals 36.3% 42.4% — — 2.36
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 56.0% 54.9% — — 1.82
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 2+ in a row 41.5% 38.7% — — 2.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.6% 19.5% — — 5.13
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 2+ in a row 20.2% 19.5% — — 5.14
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 16.1% — — 6.20
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ in a row 4.8% 2.6% — — 38.10
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+3.5) 91.4% 89.6% — — 1.12
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+2.5) 86.5% 84.5% — — 1.18
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (+1.5) 79.8% 74.8% — — 1.34
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+3.5) 69.2% 65.9% — — 1.52
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+2.5) 59.7% 57.2% — — 1.75
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-1.5) 50.7% 52.4% — — 1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+1.5) 49.3% 47.6% — — 2.10
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-2.5) 40.3% 42.8% — — 2.33
Cúcuta Deportivo corners (-3.5) 30.8% 34.1% — — 2.93
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-1.5) 20.2% 25.2% — — 3.97
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-2.5) 13.5% 15.5% — — 6.45
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-3.5) 8.6% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 42.9% 38.3% — — 2.61
12+ corners 28.8% 31.2% — — 3.21
9-11 corners 28.2% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.3% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 67.3% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 62.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 57.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 53.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 46.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 42.9% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 37.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 32.7% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 28.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.7% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.6% 11.5% 13.0% 0.88× 8.71
1-0 10.2% 11.5% 12.2% 0.94× 8.72
2-0 9.2% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.51
2-1 9.6% 7.4% 10.9% 0.68× 13.51
0-0 7.7% 7.4% 10.8% 0.69× 13.51
0-1 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.51
1-2 6.1% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
2-2 5.0% 7.4% 5.3% 1.41× 13.51
3-0 5.1% 7.4% 4.6% 1.62× 13.51
3-1 5.3% 7.4% 3.5% 2.14× 13.51
0-2 3.7% 1.7% 3.7% 0.46× 58.30
0-3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.31
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.32
1-3 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.24× 58.31
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.32
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.1% 12.38× 58.32
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.30
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.06× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.19× 58.32
4-0 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.31
4-1 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.31
4-2 1.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.48× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 12.38× 58.32
Any other score 3.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2nd half DNB) 64.0% 63.1% — — 1.58
Jaguares de Córdoba (2nd half DNB) 36.0% 36.9% — — 2.71
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT (DNB) 66.5% 73.5% — — 1.36
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT (DNB) 33.5% 26.5% — — 3.78
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1X) 77.0% 75.5% 75.2% 1.00× 1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo or Jaguares de Córdoba (12) 73.6% 72.1% 70.5% 1.02× 1.39
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (X2) 49.4% 48.5% 54.2% 0.90× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw at HT 80.9% 84.0% — — 1.19
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw at HT 62.1% 60.9% — — 1.64
Cúcuta Deportivo or Jaguares de Córdoba at HT 57.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw (1UP) 77.0% 83.6% — — 1.20
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1UP) 49.4% 53.2% — — 1.88
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo or draw in 2nd half 76.9% 75.7% — — 1.32
Cúcuta Deportivo or Jaguares de Córdoba in 2nd half 64.3% 63.6% — — 1.57
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw in 2nd half 58.8% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.3% 61.3% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.7% 38.7% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (DNB) 68.7% 67.5% 64.9% 1.04× 1.48
Jaguares de Córdoba (DNB) 31.3% 32.5% 35.1% 0.93× 3.08
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score first 56.5% 62.4% — — 1.60
Jaguares de Córdoba to score first 35.8% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 7.7% 7.6% — — 13.19
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 53.4% 51.3% 48.9% 1.05× 1.95
Not both teams to score 46.6% 48.7% 51.1% 0.95× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.8% 41.6% 36.0% 1.15× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 36.8% 38.4% 43.1% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 12.6% 12.4% 13.0% 0.95× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.8% 8.3% 8.2% 1.02× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.2% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 13.8% 14.4% 11.4% 1.27× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 71.2% 73.6% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.8% 26.4% — — 3.79
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 58.6% 60.2% — — 1.66
Both score 2nd half only 23.8% 21.3% — — 4.70
Both score 1st half only 12.6% 10.7% — — 9.32
Both score in both halves 4.9% 5.0% — — 20.14
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.4% 83.4% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 17.6% 16.6% — — 6.04
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 54.0% 52.7% — — 1.90
A half without a goal 46.0% 47.3% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.5% 47.2% 48.1% 0.98× 2.12
4-6 goals 26.5% 26.6% 19.5% 1.36× 3.76
0-1 goals 23.9% 22.9% 31.2% 0.74× 4.36
7+ goals 2.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.21× 54.36
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.9% 36.6% 0.98× 2.78
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 0 35.1% 35.9% 37.8% 0.95× 2.79
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 2 19.2% 19.5% 18.8% 1.04× 5.12
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ 8.9% 8.6% 7.1% 1.21× 11.69
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 1 31.7% 32.6% 34.5% 0.94× 3.07
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 2 26.2% 26.6% 26.2% 1.01× 3.77
Cúcuta Deportivo to score 3+ 23.0% 23.3% 15.5% 1.50× 4.29
Cúcuta Deportivo to score exactly 0 19.1% 18.8% 24.1% 0.78× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cúcuta Deportivo leading at HT 37.9% 39.1% — — 2.56
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT 19.1% 16.0% — — 6.24
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo -1: 2 49.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Cúcuta Deportivo -1: 1 27.6% 26.5% — — 3.77
Cúcuta Deportivo -1: X 23.0% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:1) 49.4% 46.1% 54.2% 0.85× 2.17
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:1) 27.6% 27.0% 20.4% 1.33× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 23.0% 24.2% 25.6% 0.95× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:2) 72.4% 75.6% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 15.8% 15.2% 12.3% 1.24× 6.56
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:2) 11.8% 11.0% 8.2% 1.34× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:3) 88.2% 90.6% 91.8% 0.99× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.7% 5.8% 5.4% 1.07× 17.24
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:3) 4.2% 2.4% 2.9% 0.82× 41.96
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:4) 95.8% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.9% 1.2% 1.9% 0.63× 81.64
Cúcuta Deportivo (0:4) 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 81.83
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (1:0) 77.0% 78.5% 75.2% 1.04× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 14.2% 12.7% 17.3% 0.73× 7.86
Jaguares de Córdoba (1:0) 8.8% 6.9% 7.6% 0.91× 14.47
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo (2:0) 91.2% 94.0% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 6.3% 6.4% 5.0% 1.28× 15.67
Jaguares de Córdoba (2:0) 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 0.82× 43.77
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.7% 48.5% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 26.8% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 26.5% 26.2% — — 3.81
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede 64.9% 63.7% 62.2% 1.02× 1.57
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet 35.1% 36.3% 37.8% 0.96× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 1st half 65.8% 70.5% — — 1.42
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 1st half 34.2% 29.5% — — 3.39
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet in 2nd half 53.4% 52.5% — — 1.90
Cúcuta Deportivo to concede in 2nd half 46.6% 47.5% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 corners 84.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 corners 73.0% 71.9% — — 1.39
Cúcuta Deportivo under 6.5 corners 65.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Cúcuta Deportivo over 4.5 corners 59.6% 57.5% — — 1.74
Cúcuta Deportivo under 5.5 corners 53.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Cúcuta Deportivo over 5.5 corners 46.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Cúcuta Deportivo under 4.5 corners 40.4% 42.5% — — 2.35
Cúcuta Deportivo over 6.5 corners 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.00
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 corners 27.0% 28.1% — — 3.56
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 corners 15.1% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 3.5 goals 91.4% 92.2% 95.3% 0.97× 1.09
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 goals 80.9% 82.2% 75.9% 1.08× 1.22
Cúcuta Deportivo under 2.5 goals 77.0% 77.8% 84.5% 0.92× 1.29
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 goals 50.8% 53.2% 58.4% 0.91× 1.88
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 goals 49.2% 46.8% 41.6% 1.13× 2.14
Cúcuta Deportivo over 2.5 goals 23.0% 22.2% 15.5% 1.43× 4.50
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 goals 19.1% 17.8% 24.1% 0.74× 5.61
Cúcuta Deportivo over 3.5 goals 8.6% 7.8% 4.7% 1.66× 12.83
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo under 1.5 in 1st half 84.0% 84.3% — — 1.19
Cúcuta Deportivo over 0.5 in 1st half 50.9% 50.6% — — 1.98
Cúcuta Deportivo under 0.5 in 1st half 49.1% 49.4% — — 2.02
Cúcuta Deportivo over 1.5 in 1st half 16.0% 15.7% — — 6.36
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo scores more in 2nd half 39.4% 38.2% — — 2.62
Cúcuta Deportivo scores equally in both 34.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Cúcuta Deportivo scores more in 1st half 26.3% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 53.4% 51.5% 54.3% 0.95× 1.94
Jaguares de Córdoba (home no bet) 46.6% 48.5% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo even goals 51.8% 50.8% 53.3% 0.95× 1.97
Cúcuta Deportivo odd goals 48.2% 49.2% 46.7% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 32.5% 33.5% — — 2.99
HT 1-0 22.8% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 13.4% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 9.8% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-0 8.2% 6.9% — — 14.53
Any other HT score 4.4% 2.4% — — 42.13
HT 2-1 3.4% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 0-2 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.4% — — 42.29
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.4% — — 42.37
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT 30.9% 32.7% — — 3.06
Draw at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT 17.2% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.4% 16.8% — — 5.97
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT 11.9% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT 9.4% 6.1% — — 16.43
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Draw at FT 5.3% 6.0% — — 16.54
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.5% — — 28.87
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Cúcuta Deportivo at FT 2.6% 3.5% — — 28.94
Cúcuta Deportivo at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT 1.7% 3.5% — — 28.97
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to score last 56.6% 56.6% — — 1.77
Jaguares de Córdoba to score last 35.7% 38.6% — — 2.59
No goal scored 7.7% 7.6% — — 13.19
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.3% 92.5% — — 1.08
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 1 at any time 65.0% 69.2% — — 1.45
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.3% 44.3% — — 2.26
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time 41.0% 39.2% — — 2.55
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 2 at any time 33.9% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.7% 14.8% — — 6.74
Cúcuta Deportivo to lead by 3 at any time 14.1% 10.6% — — 9.41
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time 13.6% 10.6% — — 9.42
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time 3.6% 1.6% — — 61.80
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo most corners 61.3% 60.6% — — 1.65
Jaguares de Córdoba most corners 28.7% 31.1% — — 3.22
Corners level 9.9% 8.4% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.7% 87.4% 85.7% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.6% 78.7% 80.1% 0.98× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.0% 72.3% 67.5% 1.07× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.4% 72.3% 65.4% 1.11× 1.38
1-3 goals 63.8% 63.3% 68.4% 0.93× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.4% 63.3% 59.7% 1.06× 1.58
3-6 goals 48.6% 48.4% 42.7% 1.14× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.5% 48.4% 48.1% 1.01× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.0% 43.6% 40.6% 1.07× 2.29
1-2 goals 41.7% 43.6% 45.3% 0.96× 2.29
3-4 goals 36.9% 39.2% 34.9% 1.12× 2.55
4-6 goals 26.5% 30.2% 19.5% 1.55× 3.31
4-5 goals 22.9% 24.5% 17.5% 1.40× 4.09
5-6 goals 11.6% 14.8% 7.9% 1.87× 6.76
7+ goals 2.0% 2.6% 1.5% 1.68× 39.18
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo never behind 51.3% 62.3% — — 1.61
Jaguares de Córdoba never behind 27.3% 29.8% — — 3.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.9% 50.9% 50.4% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.1% 49.1% 49.6% 0.99× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.6% 57.7% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 44.4% 42.3% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.8% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.2% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 94.3% 92.3% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.3% 92.3% 89.2% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 86.3% 87.6% 90.7% 0.97× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 76.1% 77.3% 68.8% 1.12× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 71.4% 72.5% 79.1% 0.92× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 50.6% 52.5% 44.0% 1.19× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 49.4% 47.5% 56.0% 0.85× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 28.6% 27.5% 20.9% 1.32× 3.63
Under 1.5 goals 23.9% 22.7% 31.2% 0.73× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 13.7% 12.4% 9.3% 1.34× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 7.7% 7.7% 10.8% 0.72× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 5.7% 7.7% 3.6% 2.15× 12.94
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.9% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.8% 92.4% 96.2% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 83.9% 81.1% 89.5% 0.91× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 67.9% 67.5% 58.6% 1.15× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 63.4% 61.9% 72.8% 0.85× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 36.6% 38.1% 27.2% 1.40× 2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 32.1% 32.5% 41.4% 0.78× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 16.1% 18.9% 10.5% 1.80× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.2% 7.6% 3.8% 1.98× 13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.1% 2.8% 1.6% 1.80× 35.63
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.4% 89.1% — — 1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.7% 68.7% — — 1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half 67.5% 68.6% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half 32.5% 31.4% — — 3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half 31.3% 31.3% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.6% 10.9% — — 9.18
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 79.1% 79.6% — — 1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.9% 79.6% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 53.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 46.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 21.1% 20.4% — — 4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 20.9% 20.4% — — 4.91
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to score in both halves 84.1% 84.4% — — 1.19
Cúcuta Deportivo not to score in both halves 69.0% 70.1% — — 1.43
Cúcuta Deportivo to score in both halves 31.0% 29.9% — — 3.35
Jaguares de Córdoba to score in both halves 15.9% 15.6% — — 6.40
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 53.4% 53.8% 48.9% 1.10× 1.86
Only Cúcuta Deportivo scores 27.5% 26.1% 27.1% 0.96× 3.83
Only Jaguares de Córdoba scores 11.5% 11.0% 13.4% 0.82× 9.07
Neither team scores 7.7% 7.1% 10.8% 0.66× 14.00
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.5% 24.9% 24.9% 1.00× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 22.0% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 16.3% 17.5% 20.5% 0.85× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 14.9% 12.1% 11.8% 1.03× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 8.0% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 7.7% 7.6% 10.8% 0.70× 13.14
6 or more goals 5.7% 7.6% 3.6% 2.11× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 32.5% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 20.8% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 10.6% 10.8% — — 9.26
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 46.8% 44.7% — — 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 32.0% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 21.1% 22.8% — — 4.38
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win both halves 95.5% 97.2% — — 1.03
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win both halves 84.2% 83.6% — — 1.20
Cúcuta Deportivo to win both halves 15.8% 16.4% — — 6.08
Jaguares de Córdoba to win both halves 4.5% 2.8% — — 35.39
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cúcuta Deportivo to win either half 63.3% 65.0% — — 1.54
Jaguares de Córdoba to win neither half 62.3% 65.0% — — 1.54
Jaguares de Córdoba to win either half 37.7% 35.0% — — 2.85
Cúcuta Deportivo to win neither half 36.7% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win to nil 88.5% 88.1% 86.6% 1.02× 1.14
Cúcuta Deportivo not to win to nil 72.5% 75.3% 72.9% 1.03× 1.33
Cúcuta Deportivo to win to nil 27.5% 24.7% 27.1% 0.91× 4.05
Jaguares de Córdoba to win to nil 11.5% 11.9% 13.4% 0.88× 8.42
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.4% 27.9% 29.5% 0.94× 3.59
Cúcuta Deportivo by 1 23.0% 24.1% 25.6% 0.94× 4.15
Cúcuta Deportivo by 2 15.8% 17.0% 12.3% 1.38× 5.87
Jaguares de Córdoba by 1 14.2% 11.8% 17.3% 0.68× 8.50
Cúcuta Deportivo by 3+ 11.8% 11.8% 8.2% 1.44× 8.51
Jaguares de Córdoba by 2 6.3% 7.2% 5.0% 1.44× 13.91
Jaguares de Córdoba by 3+ 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 0.98× 36.89
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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