Cusco FC v Melgar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Cusco FC

20:00

Melgar

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 136h before kick-off

Cusco FC win

47.0%

model 43.1%

Draw

22.8%

model 23.8%

Melgar win

30.2%

model 33.1%

472330

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
2-1 9.0%
1-0 8.4%
1-2 7.7%
0-1 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.0%	Under 2.5	43.0%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
Cusco FC 1+	79.8%	Cusco FC 2+	47.5%
Melgar 1+	74.6%	Melgar 2+	39.8%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 71%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2094 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Cusco FC have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 30.2% for Melgar and 22.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.60 for Cusco FC and 1.37 for Melgar.

Why Cusco FC

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.60 to 1.37. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Melgar can win

Melgar carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1547.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cusco FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Melgar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cusco FC: 55% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Melgar: 59% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Cusco FC are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432433	1.60–1.37	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482429	1.68–1.24	1-1 11%	56%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to win	47.9%	47.5%	50.0%	0.95×	2.11
Melgar to win	28.5%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Draw	23.6%	24.4%	25.1%	0.97×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC & both teams score	24.1%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Cusco FC & not both score	23.8%	21.9%	26.5%	0.82×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Melgar & both teams score	15.0%	17.9%	13.1%	1.37×	5.58
Melgar & not both score	13.5%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.55
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.4%	7.8%	1.07×	11.96

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC & over 1.5	38.6%	34.9%	38.2%	0.91×	2.86
Cusco FC & over 2.5	31.0%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Cusco FC & under 3.5	30.6%	30.9%	33.8%	0.91×	3.24
Melgar & over 1.5	21.6%	21.6%	17.3%	1.25×	4.62
Melgar & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Cusco FC & under 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Cusco FC & over 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Melgar & over 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Melgar & under 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.78
Cusco FC & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.69
Melgar & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.2%	1.27×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.69
Melgar & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (1UP)	63.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Melgar (1UP)	47.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (2UP)	47.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Melgar (2UP)	28.5%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to win 2nd half	39.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	33.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Melgar to win 2nd half	27.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (+2.5)	89.2%	88.5%	88.5%	1.00×	1.13
Melgar (+1.5)	74.7%	73.7%	75.3%	0.98×	1.36
Cusco FC (+0.5)	71.5%	73.7%	74.9%	0.98×	1.36
Melgar (+0.5)	52.1%	52.3%	50.0%	1.05×	1.91
Cusco FC (-0.5)	47.9%	47.7%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
Melgar (-0.5)	28.5%	26.3%	25.1%	1.05×	3.80
Cusco FC (-1.5)	25.3%	26.3%	24.7%	1.06×	3.80
Cusco FC (-2.5)	10.8%	11.5%	11.5%	1.00×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to concede	81.3%	81.3%	80.2%	1.01×	1.23
Melgar clean sheet	18.7%	18.7%	19.8%	0.95×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar clean sheet in 1st half	48.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Melgar to concede in 1st half	51.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar under 6.5 corners	82.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Melgar over 2.5 corners	72.9%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Melgar under 5.5 corners	72.2%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Melgar under 4.5 corners	59.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Melgar over 3.5 corners	56.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Melgar under 3.5 corners	43.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Melgar over 4.5 corners	40.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Melgar over 5.5 corners	27.8%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Melgar under 2.5 corners	27.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Melgar over 6.5 corners	18.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Melgar under 2.5 goals	87.0%	87.9%	92.0%	0.96×	1.14
Melgar over 0.5 goals	71.1%	71.9%	65.8%	1.09×	1.39
Melgar under 1.5 goals	64.8%	63.0%	71.6%	0.88×	1.59
Melgar over 1.5 goals	35.2%	37.0%	28.4%	1.31×	2.70
Melgar under 0.5 goals	28.9%	28.1%	34.2%	0.82×	3.56
Melgar over 2.5 goals	13.0%	12.1%	8.0%	1.52×	8.25
Melgar over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.4%	2.5%	0.96×	41.00

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Melgar under 0.5 in 1st half	60.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Melgar over 0.5 in 1st half	39.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Melgar over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	5.9%	—	—	16.91

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (away no bet)	67.0%	66.5%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.0%	33.5%	33.4%	1.00×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar even goals	54.2%	52.8%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Melgar odd goals	45.8%	47.2%	43.1%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.6%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.4%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Cusco FC to score 2+ in a row	41.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Melgar to score 2+ in a row	25.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Cusco FC to score 3+ in a row	15.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Melgar to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.97

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar corners (+3.5)	86.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Cusco FC corners (+3.5)	82.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Melgar corners (+2.5)	79.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Cusco FC corners (+2.5)	74.6%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Melgar corners (+1.5)	69.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Cusco FC corners (+1.5)	64.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Melgar corners (-1.5)	35.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Cusco FC corners (-1.5)	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Melgar corners (-2.5)	25.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Cusco FC corners (-2.5)	20.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Melgar corners (-3.5)	17.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Cusco FC corners (-3.5)	13.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	25.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	17.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	75.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	56.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	54.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Under 7.5 corners	45.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	43.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	33.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	24.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	12.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.0%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
1-0	9.3%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.46
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.46
0-1	6.9%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.46
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.46
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.46
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.46
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.46
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.46
0-2	4.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.57
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.58
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.59
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.58
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.58
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.57
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.57
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.58
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.59
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.58
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.58
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.58
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.69×	58.59
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.39×	58.59
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC leading at HT (DNB)	62.1%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Melgar leading at HT (DNB)	37.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC or Melgar (12)	76.4%	75.6%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Cusco FC or draw (1X)	71.5%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Melgar or draw (X2)	52.1%	52.5%	50.0%	1.05×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC or draw at HT	77.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Melgar or draw at HT	63.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Cusco FC or Melgar at HT	58.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC or draw (1UP)	71.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Melgar or draw (1UP)	52.1%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC or draw in 2nd half	72.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Cusco FC or Melgar in 2nd half	66.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Melgar or draw in 2nd half	60.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (DNB)	62.7%	62.9%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
Melgar (DNB)	37.3%	37.1%	33.4%	1.11×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to score first	54.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Melgar to score first	40.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	5.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.6%	54.8%	53.8%	1.02×	1.83
Not both teams to score	42.4%	45.2%	46.2%	0.98×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.6%	44.2%	42.7%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.1%	34.4%	37.6%	0.91×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.4%	83.2%	85.6%	0.97×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.6%	16.8%	14.4%	1.17×	5.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	25.8%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.97

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.9%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	20.1%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.5%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.5%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.1%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
4-6 goals	30.5%	30.7%	26.9%	1.14×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.4%	22.8%	27.5%	0.83×	4.38
7+ goals	3.0%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	55.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar to score exactly 1	35.9%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Melgar to score exactly 0	28.9%	27.4%	34.2%	0.80×	3.65
Melgar to score exactly 2	22.3%	22.4%	20.5%	1.09×	4.47
Melgar to score 3+	13.0%	12.8%	8.0%	1.60×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to score exactly 1	31.3%	32.6%	32.9%	0.99×	3.06
Cusco FC to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Cusco FC to score 3+	23.7%	23.3%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Cusco FC to score exactly 0	18.7%	18.9%	19.8%	0.95×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Cusco FC leading at HT	36.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Melgar leading at HT	22.4%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC -1: 2	52.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Cusco FC -1: 1	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Cusco FC -1: X	22.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:1)	52.1%	51.2%	50.0%	1.02×	1.95
Cusco FC (0:1)	25.3%	27.0%	24.7%	1.09×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.6%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:2)	74.7%	75.6%	75.3%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.5%	11.0%	13.5%	0.82×	9.08
Cusco FC (0:2)	10.8%	11.0%	11.5%	0.96×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:3)	89.2%	90.8%	88.5%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.0%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.24
Cusco FC (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	41.97

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (0:4)	96.2%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.16
Cusco FC (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.34

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (1:0)	71.5%	72.5%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.8%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
Melgar (1:0)	11.8%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC (2:0)	88.2%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.5%	5.6%	1.15×	15.48
Melgar (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	2.2%	1.04×	44.16

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to concede	71.1%	73.0%	65.8%	1.11×	1.37
Cusco FC clean sheet	28.9%	27.0%	34.2%	0.79×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC clean sheet in 1st half	60.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Cusco FC to concede in 1st half	39.1%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC under 6.5 corners	85.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cusco FC under 5.5 corners	75.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Cusco FC over 2.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Cusco FC under 4.5 corners	63.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Cusco FC over 3.5 corners	52.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Cusco FC under 3.5 corners	47.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Cusco FC over 4.5 corners	36.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Cusco FC under 2.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Cusco FC over 5.5 corners	24.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Cusco FC over 6.5 corners	15.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC under 3.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Cusco FC over 0.5 goals	81.3%	82.1%	80.2%	1.02×	1.22
Cusco FC under 2.5 goals	76.3%	77.7%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Cusco FC over 1.5 goals	50.0%	53.3%	47.5%	1.12×	1.88
Cusco FC under 1.5 goals	50.0%	46.7%	52.5%	0.89×	2.14
Cusco FC over 2.5 goals	23.7%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.48
Cusco FC under 0.5 goals	18.7%	17.9%	19.8%	0.90×	5.60
Cusco FC over 3.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC under 1.5 in 1st half	83.7%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Cusco FC under 0.5 in 1st half	48.6%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Cusco FC over 0.5 in 1st half	51.4%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Cusco FC over 1.5 in 1st half	16.3%	15.3%	—	—	6.55

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar (home no bet)	54.8%	51.6%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.2%	48.4%	50.0%	0.97×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC even goals	51.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Cusco FC odd goals	48.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
HT 1-0	21.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	14.7%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 2-0	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.65
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.64
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC at HT / Cusco FC at FT	29.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Draw at HT / Cusco FC at FT	16.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Melgar at HT / Melgar at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Melgar at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Cusco FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Melgar at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Melgar at HT / Cusco FC at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
Cusco FC at HT / Melgar at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.19

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to score last	54.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Melgar to score last	40.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	5.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Cusco FC to lead by 1 at any time	63.7%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Melgar to lead by 1 at any time	47.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Cusco FC to lead by 2 at any time	32.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Melgar to lead by 2 at any time	17.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Cusco FC to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Melgar to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.5%	—	—	15.43

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar most corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Cusco FC most corners	41.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.7%	78.6%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.7%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.0%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.4%	63.5%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.9%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.3%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.1%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.0%	39.2%	41.1%	0.95×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.2%	37.1%	1.06×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.5%	35.4%	26.9%	1.31×	2.83
4-5 goals	25.9%	30.2%	23.5%	1.29×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.2%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.73
7+ goals	3.0%	2.5%	1.8%	1.39×	39.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC never behind	47.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Melgar never behind	31.2%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.9%	82.4%	85.6%	0.96×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.6%	77.4%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.5%	66.3%	71.5%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.9%	58.8%	51.3%	1.15×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	44.1%	41.2%	48.7%	0.85×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	33.5%	33.7%	28.5%	1.18×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.4%	22.6%	27.5%	0.82×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	17.1%	17.6%	14.4%	1.23×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.9%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.6%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.5%	76.0%	83.3%	0.91×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.3%	72.6%	65.1%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.9%	55.5%	63.1%	0.88×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.1%	44.5%	36.9%	1.20×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.7%	27.4%	34.9%	0.79×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.5%	24.0%	16.7%	1.44×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.4%	7.5%	5.8%	1.30×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.1%	2.8%	1.9%	1.46×	36.35

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.5%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar not to score in both halves	79.5%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Cusco FC not to score in both halves	68.3%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Cusco FC to score in both halves	31.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Melgar to score in both halves	20.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.6%	58.2%	53.8%	1.08×	1.72
Only Cusco FC scores	23.8%	22.4%	26.5%	0.84×	4.47
Only Melgar scores	13.5%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.13
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.96

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.8%	22.6%	21.5%	1.06×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.2%	17.4%	19.8%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.6%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	7.8%	0.97×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar not to win both halves	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Cusco FC not to win both halves	85.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Cusco FC to win both halves	14.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Melgar to win both halves	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cusco FC to win either half	61.4%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Melgar to win neither half	56.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Melgar to win either half	43.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Cusco FC to win neither half	38.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Melgar not to win to nil	86.5%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
Cusco FC not to win to nil	76.2%	78.0%	73.5%	1.06×	1.28
Cusco FC to win to nil	23.8%	22.0%	26.5%	0.83×	4.55
Melgar to win to nil	13.5%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.6%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.14
Cusco FC by 1	22.6%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Melgar by 1	16.8%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.90
Cusco FC by 2	14.5%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.46
Cusco FC by 3+	10.8%	11.8%	11.5%	1.03×	8.47
Melgar by 2	7.9%	7.2%	5.6%	1.29×	13.80
Melgar by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.95