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Cusco FC v Sport Boys — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Cusco FC win
47.1%
model 47.8%
Draw
26.5%
model 25.7%
Sport Boys win
26.5%
model 26.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 13.2%
  2. 1-1 12.1%
  3. 0-1 9.3%
  4. 2-0 9.1%
  5. 2-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.543.7% Under 2.556.3%
BTTS yes47.4% BTTS no52.6%
Cusco FC 1+76.2% Cusco FC 2+42.0%
Sport Boys 1+62.9% Sport Boys 2+26.1%

Expected goals 1.43 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Not both teams to score
GG/NG · usually 46%
53.4% fair odds 1.87
moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Sport Boys not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Cusco FC.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Cusco FC have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for Sport Boys and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Cusco FC and 0.99 for Sport Boys.

Why Cusco FC

Nothing in the data singles out Cusco FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sport Boys can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Cusco FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sport Boys, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cusco FC: 56% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sport Boys: 49% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Cusco FC are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.2%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.43–0.99 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.50–0.91 1-0 14% 43% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC to win 51.4% 51.5% 49.8% 1.03× 1.94
Draw 25.2% 27.9% 25.0% 1.12× 3.59
Sport Boys to win 23.4% 24.5% 25.4% 0.96× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC & not both score 31.7% 29.6% 26.4% 1.12× 3.38
Cusco FC & both teams score 19.7% 18.0% 23.6% 0.76× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 16.7% 18.0% 17.4% 1.03× 5.57
Sport Boys & not both score 13.9% 13.3% 12.3% 1.08× 7.54
Sport Boys & both teams score 9.6% 8.3% 13.2% 0.63× 11.99
Draw & not both score 8.5% 8.3% 7.8% 1.07× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC & under 3.5 38.2% 34.9% 33.7% 1.04× 2.87
Cusco FC & over 1.5 37.4% 34.9% 38.0% 0.92× 2.87
Cusco FC & over 2.5 27.4% 26.1% 30.8% 0.85× 3.84
Cusco FC & under 2.5 24.0% 21.6% 19.2% 1.13× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 20.3% 21.6% 18.8% 1.15× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 20.3% 21.6% 18.8% 1.15× 4.63
Sport Boys & under 3.5 19.1% 18.0% 19.4% 0.93× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 16.7% 18.0% 17.4% 1.04× 5.56
Sport Boys & over 1.5 14.8% 12.8% 17.4% 0.74× 7.79
Cusco FC & under 1.5 13.9% 12.8% 12.0% 1.07× 7.79
Cusco FC & over 3.5 13.1% 12.8% 16.3% 0.79× 7.79
Sport Boys & under 2.5 12.4% 12.8% 11.1% 1.16× 7.79
Sport Boys & over 2.5 11.0% 12.8% 14.5% 0.89× 7.79
Sport Boys & under 1.5 8.7% 7.9% 8.2% 0.97× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 8.5% 7.9% 7.8% 1.02× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 0.76× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 0.76× 20.81
Sport Boys & over 3.5 4.3% 4.8% 6.2% 0.78× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (1UP) 63.9% 63.0% — — 1.59
Sport Boys (1UP) 39.0% 34.3% — — 2.92
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (2UP) 51.4% 55.2% — — 1.81
Sport Boys (2UP) 23.4% 23.9% — — 4.19
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC to win 2nd half 40.6% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 37.2% 36.4% — — 2.75
Sport Boys to win 2nd half 22.2% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.5% 87.2% — — 1.15
Sport Boys under 0.5 in 2nd half 57.9% 54.4% — — 1.84
Sport Boys over 0.5 in 2nd half 42.1% 45.6% — — 2.19
Sport Boys over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.5% 12.8% — — 7.84
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC under 1.5 in 2nd half 78.9% 75.4% — — 1.33
Cusco FC over 0.5 in 2nd half 57.4% 58.0% — — 1.72
Cusco FC under 0.5 in 2nd half 42.6% 42.0% — — 2.38
Cusco FC over 1.5 in 2nd half 21.1% 24.7% — — 4.06
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (+2.5) 89.6% 88.5% 88.6% 1.00× 1.13
Cusco FC (+0.5) 76.6% 78.5% 74.6% 1.05× 1.27
Sport Boys (+1.5) 74.1% 73.7% 75.4% 0.98× 1.36
Cusco FC (-0.5) 51.4% 52.4% 49.8% 1.05× 1.91
Sport Boys (+0.5) 48.6% 47.6% 50.2% 0.95× 2.10
Cusco FC (-1.5) 25.9% 26.3% 24.6% 1.07× 3.80
Sport Boys (-0.5) 23.4% 21.5% 25.4% 0.85× 4.65
Cusco FC (-2.5) 10.4% 11.5% 11.4% 1.01× 8.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to concede 77.6% 78.8% 80.1% 0.98× 1.27
Sport Boys clean sheet 22.4% 21.2% 19.9% 1.07× 4.71
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys clean sheet in 1st half 52.5% 50.8% — — 1.97
Sport Boys to concede in 1st half 47.5% 49.2% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to concede in 2nd half 57.4% 57.3% — — 1.75
Sport Boys clean sheet in 2nd half 42.6% 42.7% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 6.5 corners 85.0% 85.2% — — 1.17
Sport Boys under 5.5 corners 75.5% 76.0% — — 1.32
Sport Boys over 2.5 corners 71.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Sport Boys under 4.5 corners 62.4% 61.7% — — 1.62
Sport Boys over 3.5 corners 54.0% 53.1% — — 1.88
Sport Boys under 3.5 corners 46.0% 46.9% — — 2.13
Sport Boys over 4.5 corners 37.6% 38.3% — — 2.61
Sport Boys under 2.5 corners 28.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
Sport Boys over 5.5 corners 24.5% 24.0% — — 4.17
Sport Boys over 6.5 corners 15.0% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 3.5 goals 98.6% 97.5% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Sport Boys under 2.5 goals 93.5% 92.4% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Sport Boys under 1.5 goals 76.8% 76.2% 71.6% 1.07× 1.31
Sport Boys over 0.5 goals 59.8% 59.5% 65.9% 0.90× 1.68
Sport Boys under 0.5 goals 40.2% 40.5% 34.1% 1.19× 2.47
Sport Boys over 1.5 goals 23.2% 23.8% 28.4% 0.84× 4.21
Sport Boys over 2.5 goals 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 0.96× 13.08
Sport Boys over 3.5 goals 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 0.99× 39.90
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys under 1.5 in 1st half 94.8% 94.0% — — 1.06
Sport Boys under 0.5 in 1st half 69.4% 70.4% — — 1.42
Sport Boys over 0.5 in 1st half 30.6% 29.6% — — 3.38
Sport Boys over 1.5 in 1st half 5.2% 6.0% — — 16.70
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys scores equally in both 48.6% 48.3% — — 2.07
Sport Boys scores more in 2nd half 32.0% 33.3% — — 3.01
Sport Boys scores more in 1st half 19.4% 18.2% — — 5.50
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (away no bet) 67.1% 66.4% 66.6% 1.00× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 32.9% 33.6% 33.4% 1.01× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys even goals 58.1% 56.9% 56.9% 1.00× 1.76
Sport Boys odd goals 41.9% 43.1% 43.1% 1.00× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.1% 88.0% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.9% 12.0% — — 8.33
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 56.4% 60.2% — — 1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals 43.6% 39.8% — — 2.51
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 50.4% 50.8% — — 1.97
Cusco FC to score 2+ in a row 37.6% 36.5% — — 2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row 17.2% 16.1% — — 6.19
Sport Boys to score 2+ in a row 16.9% 16.1% — — 6.20
Cusco FC to score 3+ in a row 13.7% 12.2% — — 8.21
Sport Boys to score 3+ in a row 3.6% 2.6% — — 38.77
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC corners (+3.5) 88.3% 84.5% — — 1.18
Cusco FC corners (+2.5) 81.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Sport Boys corners (+3.5) 80.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Cusco FC corners (+1.5) 73.1% 70.8% — — 1.41
Sport Boys corners (+2.5) 71.3% 70.8% — — 1.41
Sport Boys corners (+1.5) 60.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Cusco FC corners (-1.5) 39.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Cusco FC corners (-2.5) 28.7% 29.2% — — 3.42
Sport Boys corners (-1.5) 26.9% 29.2% — — 3.42
Cusco FC corners (-3.5) 19.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
Sport Boys corners (-2.5) 18.2% 20.2% — — 4.95
Sport Boys corners (-3.5) 11.7% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 51.3% 45.3% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 28.1% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 20.6% 25.6% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 85.6% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 79.4% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 71.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 62.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 60.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 8.5 corners 51.3% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 48.7% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 39.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 9.5 corners 37.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 28.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 20.6% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 14.4% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 13.9% 11.5% 12.0% 0.96× 8.71
1-1 11.8% 11.5% 11.2% 1.02× 8.71
2-0 10.1% 11.5% 7.4% 1.54× 8.72
0-0 8.5% 7.4% 7.8% 0.95× 13.51
0-1 8.7% 7.4% 8.2% 0.91× 13.51
2-1 9.2% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.51
1-2 5.6% 7.4% 7.6% 0.97× 13.51
3-0 5.0% 7.4% 5.1% 1.46× 13.51
0-2 3.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.58× 58.31
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.16× 58.32
1-3 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.31
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
2-2 4.2% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.30
2-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.31
2-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
3-1 4.6% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.29
3-2 2.1% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.31
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.89× 58.32
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.37× 58.32
4-0 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.31
4-1 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.31
4-2 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.58× 58.31
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.73× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 9.47× 58.32
Any other score 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (2nd half DNB) 64.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Sport Boys (2nd half DNB) 35.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC leading at HT (DNB) 67.1% 73.6% — — 1.36
Sport Boys leading at HT (DNB) 32.9% 26.4% — — 3.79
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC or draw (1X) 76.6% 75.5% 74.6% 1.01× 1.32
Cusco FC or Sport Boys (12) 74.8% 72.1% 75.0% 0.96× 1.39
Sport Boys or draw (X2) 48.6% 48.5% 50.2% 0.97× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC or draw at HT 82.0% 84.0% — — 1.19
Sport Boys or draw at HT 63.4% 60.9% — — 1.64
Cusco FC or Sport Boys at HT 54.6% 48.7% — — 2.06
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC or draw (1UP) 76.6% 83.6% — — 1.20
Sport Boys or draw (1UP) 48.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC or draw in 2nd half 77.8% 75.7% — — 1.32
Cusco FC or Sport Boys in 2nd half 62.8% 63.6% — — 1.57
Sport Boys or draw in 2nd half 59.4% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.2% 68.1% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 33.8% 31.9% — — 3.13
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (DNB) 68.7% 67.5% 66.3% 1.02× 1.48
Sport Boys (DNB) 31.3% 32.5% 33.7% 0.96× 3.08
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC to score first 56.9% 62.4% — — 1.60
Sport Boys to score first 34.6% 27.9% — — 3.58
No goal scored 8.5% 7.6% — — 13.15
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 54.0% 51.3% 46.2% 1.11× 1.95
Both teams to score 46.0% 48.7% 53.8% 0.91× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 44.9% 41.6% 37.7% 1.10× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 34.2% 34.6% 42.8% 0.81× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 11.8% 12.4% 11.2% 1.10× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 0.95× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.8% 85.6% 85.7% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.2% 14.4% 14.3% 1.00× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.0% 75.0% — — 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.0% 25.0% — — 3.99
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 65.1% 63.0% — — 1.59
Both score 2nd half only 20.5% 21.2% — — 4.72
Both score 1st half only 10.9% 10.7% — — 9.34
Both score in both halves 3.5% 4.9% — — 20.44
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.6% 84.7% — — 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 14.4% 15.3% — — 6.52
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 52.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 47.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.5% 47.2% 44.2% 1.07× 2.12
0-1 goals 31.1% 30.7% 27.5% 1.12× 3.26
4-6 goals 21.2% 22.9% 26.8% 0.85× 4.36
7+ goals 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.01× 54.45
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to score exactly 0 40.2% 37.3% 34.1% 1.09× 2.68
Sport Boys to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.9% 37.7% 0.95× 2.78
Sport Boys to score exactly 2 16.7% 19.5% 20.7% 0.95× 5.12
Sport Boys to score 3+ 6.5% 8.5% 8.0% 1.07× 11.72
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC to score exactly 1 33.5% 32.6% 33.0% 0.99× 3.07
Cusco FC to score exactly 2 25.1% 26.6% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Cusco FC to score exactly 0 22.4% 23.3% 19.9% 1.17× 4.29
Cusco FC to score 3+ 19.1% 18.8% 22.5% 0.84× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 45.4% 51.3% — — 1.95
Cusco FC leading at HT 36.6% 39.1% — — 2.56
Sport Boys leading at HT 18.0% 16.0% — — 6.26
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC -1: 2 48.6% 46.9% — — 2.13
Cusco FC -1: 1 25.9% 26.5% — — 3.77
Cusco FC -1: X 25.5% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:1) 48.6% 46.1% 50.2% 0.92× 2.17
Cusco FC (0:1) 25.9% 27.0% 24.6% 1.10× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 25.5% 27.0% 25.4% 1.06× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:2) 74.1% 75.7% 75.4% 1.00× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 15.5% 15.2% 13.4% 1.14× 6.56
Cusco FC (0:2) 10.4% 11.0% 11.4% 0.96× 9.11
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:3) 89.6% 90.6% 88.6% 1.02× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.0% 5.8% 7.6% 0.76× 17.25
Cusco FC (0:3) 3.4% 2.4% 4.0% 0.60× 41.99
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys (0:4) 96.6% 98.1% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.5% 1.2% 2.5% 0.48× 81.70
Cusco FC (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 0.75× 81.87
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (1:0) 76.6% 78.5% 74.6% 1.05× 1.27
Draw (1:0) 15.7% 17.1% 17.9% 0.95× 5.85
Sport Boys (1:0) 7.7% 6.9% 7.6% 0.91× 14.49
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC (2:0) 92.3% 94.0% 92.4% 1.02× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.8% 6.4% 5.6% 1.14× 15.68
Sport Boys (2:0) 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 1.05× 43.80
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.4% 48.5% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 26.2% 26.2% — — 3.81
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC to concede 59.8% 60.7% 65.9% 0.92× 1.65
Cusco FC clean sheet 40.2% 39.3% 34.1% 1.15× 2.55
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC clean sheet in 1st half 69.4% 70.8% — — 1.41
Cusco FC to concede in 1st half 30.6% 29.2% — — 3.43
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC clean sheet in 2nd half 57.9% 54.8% — — 1.82
Cusco FC to concede in 2nd half 42.1% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC over 2.5 corners 78.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Cusco FC under 6.5 corners 77.8% 76.5% — — 1.31
Cusco FC under 5.5 corners 66.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Cusco FC over 3.5 corners 63.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Cusco FC under 4.5 corners 52.7% 52.6% — — 1.90
Cusco FC over 4.5 corners 47.3% 47.4% — — 2.11
Cusco FC under 3.5 corners 36.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Cusco FC over 5.5 corners 33.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Cusco FC over 6.5 corners 22.2% 23.5% — — 4.26
Cusco FC under 2.5 corners 21.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC under 3.5 goals 93.5% 92.2% 92.4% 1.00× 1.08
Cusco FC under 2.5 goals 80.9% 82.2% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Cusco FC over 0.5 goals 77.6% 77.8% 80.1% 0.97× 1.29
Cusco FC under 1.5 goals 55.9% 58.6% 52.7% 1.11× 1.71
Cusco FC over 1.5 goals 44.1% 41.4% 47.3% 0.87× 2.42
Cusco FC under 0.5 goals 22.4% 22.2% 19.9% 1.12× 4.50
Cusco FC over 2.5 goals 19.1% 17.8% 22.5% 0.79× 5.61
Cusco FC over 3.5 goals 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 1.02× 12.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC under 1.5 in 1st half 86.3% 90.0% — — 1.11
Cusco FC under 0.5 in 1st half 52.5% 50.6% — — 1.98
Cusco FC over 0.5 in 1st half 47.5% 49.4% — — 2.03
Cusco FC over 1.5 in 1st half 13.7% 10.0% — — 10.03
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC scores more in 2nd half 37.9% 38.1% — — 2.62
Cusco FC scores equally in both 36.5% 38.1% — — 2.63
Cusco FC scores more in 1st half 25.6% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 51.8% 51.4% 49.6% 1.04× 1.95
Sport Boys (home no bet) 48.2% 48.6% 50.4% 0.96× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC even goals 52.5% 50.8% 50.5% 1.00× 1.97
Cusco FC odd goals 47.5% 49.2% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.4% 38.5% — — 2.60
HT 1-0 23.6% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 13.4% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 8.5% 6.9% — — 14.53
HT 2-0 7.6% 6.9% — — 14.54
Any other HT score 3.4% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 2-1 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 0-2 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT 1-2 1.6% 2.4% — — 42.32
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.39
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC at HT / Cusco FC at FT 30.5% 32.7% — — 3.06
Draw at HT / Cusco FC at FT 18.7% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.4% 16.8% — — 5.97
Sport Boys at HT / Sport Boys at FT 11.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Sport Boys at FT 10.3% 12.6% — — 7.91
Cusco FC at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% — — 28.87
Sport Boys at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.5% — — 28.89
Sport Boys at HT / Cusco FC at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.96
Cusco FC at HT / Sport Boys at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.99
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC to score last 56.8% 56.6% — — 1.77
Sport Boys to score last 34.7% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 8.5% 7.6% — — 13.15
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.5% 92.5% — — 1.08
Cusco FC to lead by 1 at any time 63.9% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 42.7% 39.2% — — 2.55
Sport Boys to lead by 1 at any time 39.0% 34.9% — — 2.87
Cusco FC to lead by 2 at any time 31.3% 29.7% — — 3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 14.9% 10.6% — — 9.39
Cusco FC to lead by 3 at any time 12.2% 10.6% — — 9.44
Sport Boys to lead by 2 at any time 11.6% 10.6% — — 9.45
Sport Boys to lead by 3 at any time 2.8% 1.6% — — 62.58
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC most corners 50.9% 51.6% — — 1.94
Sport Boys most corners 37.5% 39.3% — — 2.54
Corners level 11.6% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.9% 87.4% 87.1% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.8% 83.4% 78.1% 1.07× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.2% 68.8% 63.9% 1.08× 1.45
2-6 goals 67.7% 68.8% 70.8% 0.97× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.3% 68.8% 67.4% 1.02× 1.45
2-4 goals 59.2% 59.1% 58.3% 1.01× 1.69
1-2 goals 48.2% 48.4% 41.1% 1.18× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.5% 48.4% 44.2% 1.10× 2.06
3-6 goals 42.1% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.29
3-5 goals 39.7% 39.2% 46.2% 0.85× 2.55
3-4 goals 33.6% 35.2% 37.1% 0.95× 2.84
4-6 goals 21.2% 24.4% 26.8% 0.91× 4.09
4-5 goals 18.7% 18.8% 23.4% 0.81× 5.31
5-6 goals 8.5% 8.9% 12.7% 0.70× 11.25
7+ goals 1.2% 2.6% 1.8% 1.41× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC never behind 52.5% 62.4% — — 1.60
Sport Boys never behind 27.6% 29.9% — — 3.35
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.4% 50.9% 46.7% 1.09× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.6% 49.1% 53.3% 0.92× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.5% 57.8% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 43.5% 42.2% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.7% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.3% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.4% 95.4% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.5% 92.3% 92.2% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 90.3% 92.3% 85.7% 1.08× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 77.7% 77.3% 71.6% 1.08× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 68.9% 66.3% 72.5% 0.92× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 56.7% 58.6% 48.7% 1.20× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 43.3% 41.4% 51.3% 0.81× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 31.1% 33.7% 27.5% 1.22× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 22.3% 22.7% 28.4% 0.80× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 9.7% 7.7% 14.3% 0.54× 12.92
Under 0.5 goals 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 0.99× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 0.87× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.8% 97.2% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.1% 97.2% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.9% 86.7% 83.3% 1.04× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 71.7% 72.4% 63.1% 1.15× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 58.2% 55.8% 65.1% 0.86× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 41.8% 44.2% 34.9% 1.27× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 28.3% 27.6% 36.9% 0.75× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.1% 13.3% 16.7% 0.80× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.9% 2.8% 5.8% 0.49× 35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.2% 2.8% 1.9% 1.49× 35.66
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.8% 92.8% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.3% 71.3% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.7% 28.7% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.2% 7.2% — — 13.81
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.3% 83.0% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.5% 79.5% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 59.3% 55.4% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 40.7% 44.6% — — 2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.5% 20.5% — — 4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.7% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to score in both halves 87.1% 85.6% — — 1.17
Cusco FC not to score in both halves 72.7% 73.9% — — 1.35
Cusco FC to score in both halves 27.3% 26.1% — — 3.83
Sport Boys to score in both halves 12.9% 14.4% — — 6.94
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 46.0% 50.6% 53.8% 0.94× 1.97
Only Cusco FC scores 31.7% 33.3% 26.4% 1.26× 3.01
Only Sport Boys scores 13.9% 11.0% 12.3% 0.90× 9.06
Neither team scores 8.5% 7.1% 7.8% 0.92× 13.99
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.6% 24.9% 21.4% 1.16× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 22.6% 22.6% 19.9% 1.13× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 12.6% 12.1% 14.3% 0.85× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 8.5% 7.6% 7.8% 0.98× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 6.1% 7.6% 9.2% 0.82× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.6% 4.5% 5.3% 0.85× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 37.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 36.4% 37.2% — — 2.69
2 goals in 1st half 18.5% 15.7% — — 6.37
3+ goals in 1st half 8.2% 7.2% — — 13.81
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 40.7% 44.5% — — 2.25
1 goal in 2nd half 34.8% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 24.5% 23.0% — — 4.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to win both halves 96.1% 97.2% — — 1.03
Cusco FC not to win both halves 85.2% 87.9% — — 1.14
Cusco FC to win both halves 14.8% 12.1% — — 8.25
Sport Boys to win both halves 3.9% 2.8% — — 35.61
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys to win neither half 63.8% 65.0% — — 1.54
Cusco FC to win either half 62.4% 65.0% — — 1.54
Cusco FC to win neither half 37.6% 35.0% — — 2.86
Sport Boys to win either half 36.2% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Boys not to win to nil 86.1% 88.1% 87.7% 1.00× 1.14
Cusco FC not to win to nil 68.3% 69.7% 73.6% 0.95× 1.44
Cusco FC to win to nil 31.7% 30.3% 26.4% 1.15× 3.30
Sport Boys to win to nil 13.9% 11.9% 12.3% 0.97× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cusco FC by 1 25.5% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.59
Draw 25.2% 27.9% 25.0% 1.11× 3.59
Sport Boys by 1 15.7% 17.0% 17.9% 0.95× 5.87
Cusco FC by 2 15.5% 17.0% 13.4% 1.27× 5.87
Cusco FC by 3+ 10.4% 11.8% 11.4% 1.03× 8.51
Sport Boys by 2 5.8% 7.2% 5.6% 1.28× 13.92
Sport Boys by 3+ 2.0% 2.7% 2.2% 1.25× 36.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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