D.C. United v Atlanta United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

D.C. United

23:30 UTC

Atlanta United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 112h before kick-off

D.C. United win

49.8%

model 49.1%

Draw

27.8%

model 26.0%

Atlanta United win

22.4%

model 24.9%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
1-0 10.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 8.9%
0-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.7%	Under 2.5	50.3%
BTTS yes	52.8%	BTTS no	47.2%
D.C. United 1+	79.7%	D.C. United 2+	47.3%
Atlanta United 1+	65.6%	Atlanta United 2+	28.9%

Expected goals 1.60 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 40%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 12873 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

D.C. United or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 961 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out D.C. United.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

D.C. United have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 27.8% for the draw and 22.4% for Atlanta United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for D.C. United and 1.07 for Atlanta United.

Why D.C. United

Nothing in the data singles out D.C. United.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atlanta United can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for D.C. United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlanta United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

D.C. United: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlanta United: 45% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

D.C. United are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	492625	1.60–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472627	1.54–1.10	1-1 13%	49%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to win	46.9%	47.6%	45.4%	1.05×	2.10
Atlanta United to win	26.6%	27.7%	29.9%	0.93×	3.61
Draw	26.5%	27.7%	24.9%	1.11×	3.61

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United & not both score	25.6%	25.5%	21.1%	1.21×	3.93
D.C. United & both teams score	21.3%	21.7%	24.4%	0.89×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.55
Atlanta United & not both score	13.8%	13.2%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Atlanta United & both teams score	12.9%	13.2%	17.8%	0.75×	7.55
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United & over 1.5	36.5%	34.6%	37.1%	0.93×	2.89
D.C. United & under 3.5	32.5%	31.0%	28.3%	1.10×	3.22
D.C. United & over 2.5	28.0%	25.9%	30.9%	0.84×	3.86
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Atlanta United & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.57
D.C. United & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	14.5%	1.23×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.57
Atlanta United & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	23.5%	0.76×	5.57
Atlanta United & over 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.57
D.C. United & over 3.5	14.4%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.77
Atlanta United & under 2.5	11.6%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.78
D.C. United & under 1.5	10.4%	12.9%	8.4%	1.54×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	8.0%	5.8%	1.36×	12.56
Atlanta United & under 1.5	7.3%	8.0%	6.5%	1.22×	12.56
Draw & over 2.5	6.2%	8.0%	8.9%	0.89×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	6.2%	8.0%	8.9%	0.89×	12.57
Atlanta United & over 3.5	6.8%	8.0%	11.2%	0.71×	12.56

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (1UP)	61.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Atlanta United (1UP)	44.2%	39.5%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (2UP)	46.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
Atlanta United (2UP)	26.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to win 2nd half	38.2%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	36.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Atlanta United to win 2nd half	25.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (+2.5)	90.3%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Atlanta United (+1.5)	75.9%	78.3%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
D.C. United (+0.5)	73.4%	73.7%	70.1%	1.05×	1.36
Atlanta United (+0.5)	53.1%	52.0%	54.6%	0.95×	1.92
D.C. United (-0.5)	46.9%	48.0%	45.4%	1.06×	2.08
Atlanta United (-0.5)	26.6%	26.3%	29.9%	0.88×	3.80
D.C. United (-1.5)	24.1%	21.7%	23.3%	0.93×	4.61
D.C. United (-2.5)	9.7%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede	78.6%	78.8%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
Atlanta United clean sheet	21.4%	21.2%	18.0%	1.18×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede in 1st half	48.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Atlanta United clean sheet in 1st half	51.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 6.5 corners	78.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Atlanta United over 2.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Atlanta United under 5.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Atlanta United over 3.5 corners	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Atlanta United under 4.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Atlanta United over 4.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlanta United under 3.5 corners	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Atlanta United over 5.5 corners	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Atlanta United under 2.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Atlanta United over 6.5 corners	21.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 3.5 goals	97.4%	97.4%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Atlanta United under 2.5 goals	90.0%	92.2%	83.3%	1.11×	1.09
Atlanta United under 1.5 goals	69.8%	67.9%	61.3%	1.11×	1.47
Atlanta United over 0.5 goals	66.8%	67.9%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
Atlanta United under 0.5 goals	33.2%	32.1%	26.8%	1.20×	3.11
Atlanta United over 1.5 goals	30.2%	32.1%	38.7%	0.83×	3.11
Atlanta United over 2.5 goals	10.0%	7.8%	16.7%	0.47×	12.77
Atlanta United over 3.5 goals	2.6%	2.6%	6.1%	0.42×	38.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 1.5 in 1st half	92.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Atlanta United under 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Atlanta United over 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Atlanta United over 1.5 in 1st half	7.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (away no bet)	63.9%	62.0%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.1%	38.0%	35.4%	1.07×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United even goals	55.5%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Atlanta United odd goals	44.5%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.08

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.4%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
D.C. United to score 2+ in a row	37.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Atlanta United to score 2+ in a row	22.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
D.C. United to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Atlanta United to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United corners (+3.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
D.C. United corners (+2.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
D.C. United corners (+1.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Atlanta United corners (+3.5)	72.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Atlanta United corners (+2.5)	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Atlanta United corners (+1.5)	53.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
D.C. United corners (-1.5)	46.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
D.C. United corners (-2.5)	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
D.C. United corners (-3.5)	27.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlanta United corners (-1.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Atlanta United corners (-2.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Atlanta United corners (-3.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
0-8 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	72.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	27.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.4%	10.3%	1.10×	8.80
1-0	10.4%	11.4%	8.4%	1.36×	8.81
2-0	8.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.54
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.53
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.26×	13.54
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.54
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.54
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.54
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	57.56
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	57.57
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	57.58
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.57
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.26×	57.58
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	57.57
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	57.58
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	57.56
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	57.56
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.49×	57.57
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	57.57
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.53×	57.58
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.38×	57.57
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	57.57
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	57.57
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	57.58
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.79×	57.58
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.57

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United leading at HT (DNB)	62.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Atlanta United leading at HT (DNB)	37.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or Atlanta United (12)	73.5%	72.3%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
D.C. United or draw (1X)	73.4%	72.3%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
Atlanta United or draw (X2)	53.1%	52.4%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or draw at HT	79.1%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Atlanta United or draw at HT	64.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
D.C. United or Atlanta United at HT	56.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or draw (1UP)	73.4%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Atlanta United or draw (1UP)	53.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or draw in 2nd half	74.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
D.C. United or Atlanta United in 2nd half	63.8%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Atlanta United or draw in 2nd half	61.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (DNB)	63.8%	63.1%	60.3%	1.05×	1.59
Atlanta United (DNB)	36.2%	36.9%	39.7%	0.93×	2.71

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score first	53.9%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Atlanta United to score first	38.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.0%	51.6%	61.1%	0.85×	1.94
Not both teams to score	47.0%	48.4%	38.9%	1.24×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.4%	41.7%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	38.2%	38.6%	29.9%	1.29×	2.59
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	10.3%	1.19×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.2%	85.4%	79.5%	1.07×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.8%	14.6%	20.5%	0.71×	6.85

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.5%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.1%	—	—	19.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.7%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	47.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	46.9%	42.5%	1.10×	2.13
4-6 goals	25.5%	26.9%	33.1%	0.81×	3.71
0-1 goals	25.4%	26.9%	20.5%	1.31×	3.71
7+ goals	1.9%	1.9%	4.1%	0.45×	53.94

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.8%	34.6%	1.03×	2.80
Atlanta United to score exactly 0	33.2%	33.6%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Atlanta United to score exactly 2	20.2%	22.5%	22.1%	1.02×	4.45
Atlanta United to score 3+	10.0%	8.8%	16.7%	0.53×	11.38

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score exactly 1	33.0%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
D.C. United to score exactly 2	25.4%	26.1%	26.0%	1.01×	3.83
D.C. United to score exactly 0	21.4%	23.3%	18.0%	1.30×	4.28
D.C. United to score 3+	20.1%	23.3%	25.2%	0.93×	4.28

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
D.C. United leading at HT	35.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Atlanta United leading at HT	20.9%	19.9%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United -1: 2	53.1%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
D.C. United -1: 1	24.1%	23.7%	—	—	4.23
D.C. United -1: X	22.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:1)	53.1%	51.2%	54.6%	0.94×	1.95
D.C. United (0:1)	24.1%	24.4%	23.3%	1.05×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	22.8%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:2)	75.9%	79.5%	76.7%	1.04×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.4%	10.9%	12.8%	0.85×	9.21
D.C. United (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:3)	90.3%	92.7%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	5.9%	6.6%	0.89×	16.94
D.C. United (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.27

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:4)	96.8%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.72
D.C. United (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (1:0)	73.4%	72.7%	70.1%	1.04×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.2%	17.1%	16.8%	1.01×	5.86
Atlanta United (1:0)	10.5%	12.7%	13.2%	0.97×	7.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (2:0)	89.5%	88.3%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.3%	6.6%	8.7%	0.75×	15.23
Atlanta United (2:0)	3.1%	2.4%	4.6%	0.53×	41.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to concede	66.8%	66.5%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
D.C. United clean sheet	33.2%	33.5%	26.8%	1.25×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United clean sheet in 1st half	64.4%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
D.C. United to concede in 1st half	35.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United over 2.5 corners	87.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
D.C. United over 3.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
D.C. United under 6.5 corners	63.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
D.C. United over 4.5 corners	62.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
D.C. United under 5.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
D.C. United over 5.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
D.C. United under 4.5 corners	37.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
D.C. United over 6.5 corners	36.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
D.C. United under 3.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
D.C. United under 2.5 corners	13.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 3.5 goals	92.9%	92.1%	90.6%	1.02×	1.09
D.C. United under 2.5 goals	79.9%	77.4%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
D.C. United over 0.5 goals	78.6%	77.4%	82.0%	0.94×	1.29
D.C. United under 1.5 goals	54.4%	52.8%	48.9%	1.08×	1.89
D.C. United over 1.5 goals	45.6%	47.2%	51.1%	0.92×	2.12
D.C. United under 0.5 goals	21.4%	22.6%	18.0%	1.26×	4.43
D.C. United over 2.5 goals	20.1%	22.6%	25.2%	0.90×	4.43
D.C. United over 3.5 goals	7.1%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.68

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 1.5 in 1st half	85.7%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
D.C. United over 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
D.C. United under 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
D.C. United over 1.5 in 1st half	14.3%	10.3%	—	—	9.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (home no bet)	50.2%	51.5%	54.6%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.8%	48.5%	45.4%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United even goals	52.3%	50.4%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
D.C. United odd goals	47.7%	49.6%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United at HT / D.C. United at FT	28.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Draw at HT / D.C. United at FT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Atlanta United at HT / Atlanta United at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Atlanta United at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
D.C. United at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Atlanta United at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Atlanta United at HT / D.C. United at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
D.C. United at HT / Atlanta United at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score last	53.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Atlanta United to score last	38.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
D.C. United to lead by 1 at any time	61.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.6%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Atlanta United to lead by 1 at any time	44.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
D.C. United to lead by 2 at any time	30.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Atlanta United to lead by 2 at any time	15.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
D.C. United to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Atlanta United to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	—	—	60.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United most corners	56.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Atlanta United most corners	33.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.5%	78.5%	73.1%	1.07×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.8%	72.3%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.4%	68.9%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.0%	68.9%	57.2%	1.20×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.1%	58.4%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.4%	48.5%	55.9%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.0%	43.6%	48.9%	0.89×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.1%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.3%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.5%	30.6%	33.1%	0.93×	3.27
4-5 goals	22.1%	24.8%	26.1%	0.95×	4.03
5-6 goals	11.0%	15.0%	17.2%	0.88×	6.65
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	38.93

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United never behind	48.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Atlanta United never behind	30.5%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.9%	50.2%	1.02×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.1%	49.8%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	88.9%	1.04×	1.09
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.2%	94.2%	0.98×	1.09
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.6%	72.4%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	62.9%	1.15×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.8%	53.0%	40.1%	1.32×	1.89
Over 2.5 goals	49.2%	47.0%	59.9%	0.78×	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	27.3%	27.6%	37.1%	0.74×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	25.4%	27.6%	20.5%	1.35×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	12.6%	21.2%	0.59×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.8%	5.8%	1.34×	12.82
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	11.1%	0.70×	12.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.3%	92.4%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.0%	80.5%	74.8%	1.08×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.0%	67.6%	74.5%	0.91×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.0%	67.6%	51.9%	1.30×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.0%	32.4%	48.1%	0.67×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.0%	32.4%	25.5%	1.27×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.0%	19.5%	25.2%	0.77×	5.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.7%	7.6%	12.4%	0.62×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
D.C. United not to score in both halves	71.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
D.C. United to score in both halves	28.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Atlanta United to score in both halves	17.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.0%	54.3%	61.1%	0.89×	1.84
Only D.C. United scores	25.6%	26.1%	21.1%	1.24×	3.83
Only Atlanta United scores	13.8%	11.1%	12.3%	0.90×	9.02
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.1%	5.8%	1.22×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.4%	24.7%	19.7%	1.25×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.4%	22.9%	0.98×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	17.8%	17.6%	14.8%	1.19×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.0%	16.0%	0.75×	8.30
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.8%	5.8%	1.33×	12.83
Exactly 5 goals	7.6%	7.8%	10.2%	0.76×	12.83
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.8%	11.1%	0.70×	12.84

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	21.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win both halves	94.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
D.C. United not to win both halves	86.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
D.C. United to win both halves	13.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Atlanta United to win both halves	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to win either half	59.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Atlanta United to win neither half	58.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Atlanta United to win either half	41.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
D.C. United to win neither half	40.1%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win to nil	86.2%	87.9%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
D.C. United not to win to nil	74.4%	75.2%	78.9%	0.95×	1.33
D.C. United to win to nil	25.6%	24.8%	21.1%	1.18×	4.03
Atlanta United to win to nil	13.8%	12.1%	12.3%	0.99×	8.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.5%	27.7%	24.9%	1.11×	3.61
D.C. United by 1	22.8%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Atlanta United by 1	16.2%	16.9%	16.8%	1.00×	5.92
D.C. United by 2	14.4%	11.7%	12.8%	0.92×	8.52
D.C. United by 3+	9.7%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.73
Atlanta United by 2	7.3%	7.3%	8.7%	0.84×	13.74
Atlanta United by 3+	3.1%	2.8%	4.6%	0.61×	35.53