D.C. United v Charlotte FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

D.C. United

23:30 UTC

Charlotte FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 304h before kick-off

D.C. United win

28.3%

model 32.0%

Draw

27.5%

model 25.1%

Charlotte FC win

44.2%

model 42.9%

282744

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-2 9.0%
2-1 7.6%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.5%	Under 2.5	42.5%
BTTS yes	60.4%	BTTS no	39.6%
D.C. United 1+	74.6%	D.C. United 2+	39.8%
Charlotte FC 1+	80.2%	Charlotte FC 2+	48.2%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.62. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Charlotte FC (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 40%

56.4% fair odds 1.77

strong signal · 2475 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

D.C. United corners (+2.5)

Corner handicap

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 6586 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Charlotte FC carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1390.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Charlotte FC have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 28.3% for D.C. United and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for D.C. United and 1.62 for Charlotte FC.

Why D.C. United

Nothing in the data singles out D.C. United.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.37 to 1.62. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Charlotte FC can win

Charlotte FC carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1390. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for D.C. United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Charlotte FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

D.C. United: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Charlotte FC: 48% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Charlotte FC are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	282447	1.33–1.78	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292545	1.27–1.63	1-1 12%	55%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win	42.9%	41.3%	29.9%	1.38×	2.42
D.C. United to win	32.0%	31.6%	45.4%	0.70×	3.16
Draw	25.1%	27.4%	24.9%	1.10×	3.66

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC & both teams score	23.0%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.1%	19.1%	0.94×	5.54
Charlotte FC & not both score	19.9%	18.1%	12.3%	1.47×	5.54
D.C. United & both teams score	17.7%	18.1%	24.4%	0.74×	5.54
D.C. United & not both score	14.3%	12.6%	21.1%	0.60×	7.92
Draw & not both score	5.5%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC & over 1.5	35.3%	36.8%	23.5%	1.57×	2.72
Charlotte FC & over 2.5	28.7%	26.5%	20.3%	1.31×	3.78
Charlotte FC & under 3.5	26.8%	26.5%	18.8%	1.41×	3.78
D.C. United & over 1.5	25.6%	26.5%	37.1%	0.71×	3.78
D.C. United & over 2.5	20.9%	21.9%	30.9%	0.71×	4.57
D.C. United & under 3.5	20.9%	21.9%	28.3%	0.77×	4.57
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	17.7%	19.1%	0.92×	5.66
Draw & under 2.5	17.1%	17.7%	16.0%	1.10×	5.66
Draw & under 3.5	17.1%	17.7%	16.0%	1.10×	5.66
Charlotte FC & over 3.5	16.1%	17.7%	11.2%	1.57×	5.66
Charlotte FC & under 2.5	14.2%	12.4%	9.7%	1.28×	8.05
D.C. United & under 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.05
D.C. United & over 3.5	11.1%	12.4%	17.2%	0.72×	8.05
Draw & over 2.5	8.0%	7.6%	8.9%	0.85×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	8.0%	7.6%	8.9%	0.85×	13.17
Charlotte FC & under 1.5	7.6%	7.6%	6.5%	1.16×	13.17
D.C. United & under 1.5	6.4%	7.6%	8.4%	0.91×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (1UP)	60.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
D.C. United (1UP)	51.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (2UP)	42.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
D.C. United (2UP)	32.0%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win 2nd half	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
2nd half drawn	33.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
D.C. United to win 2nd half	28.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (+2.5)	94.8%	92.8%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Charlotte FC (+1.5)	85.5%	87.8%	76.7%	1.14×	1.14
Charlotte FC (+0.5)	68.0%	67.9%	54.6%	1.24×	1.47
D.C. United (+0.5)	57.1%	58.6%	70.1%	0.84×	1.71
Charlotte FC (-0.5)	42.9%	41.4%	29.9%	1.38×	2.42
D.C. United (-0.5)	32.0%	32.1%	45.4%	0.71×	3.12
D.C. United (-1.5)	14.5%	12.2%	23.3%	0.52×	8.23
D.C. United (-2.5)	5.2%	7.2%	10.5%	0.68×	13.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to concede	74.6%	77.0%	82.0%	0.94×	1.30
Charlotte FC clean sheet	25.4%	23.0%	18.0%	1.28×	4.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC clean sheet in 1st half	55.4%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Charlotte FC to concede in 1st half	44.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 6.5 corners	78.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC over 2.5 corners	76.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC under 5.5 corners	68.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Charlotte FC over 3.5 corners	61.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Charlotte FC under 4.5 corners	54.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Charlotte FC over 4.5 corners	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Charlotte FC under 3.5 corners	38.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Charlotte FC over 5.5 corners	32.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Charlotte FC under 2.5 corners	23.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Charlotte FC over 6.5 corners	21.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.6%	93.9%	0.99×	1.08
Charlotte FC over 0.5 goals	80.2%	82.1%	73.2%	1.12×	1.22
Charlotte FC under 2.5 goals	77.8%	76.5%	83.3%	0.92×	1.31
Charlotte FC under 1.5 goals	51.8%	54.1%	61.3%	0.88×	1.85
Charlotte FC over 1.5 goals	48.2%	45.9%	38.7%	1.18×	2.18
Charlotte FC over 2.5 goals	22.2%	23.5%	16.7%	1.41×	4.25
Charlotte FC under 0.5 goals	19.8%	17.9%	26.8%	0.67×	5.58
Charlotte FC over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC under 1.5 in 1st half	86.2%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Charlotte FC under 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Charlotte FC over 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Charlotte FC over 1.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.9%	—	—	8.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (away no bet)	56.0%	57.7%	64.6%	0.89×	1.73
Draw (away no bet)	44.0%	42.3%	35.4%	1.20×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC even goals	52.0%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Charlotte FC odd goals	48.0%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.6%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Charlotte FC to score 2+ in a row	38.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
D.C. United to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Charlotte FC to score 3+ in a row	13.9%	12.8%	—	—	7.80
D.C. United to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United corners (+3.5)	90.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
D.C. United corners (+2.5)	85.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
D.C. United corners (+1.5)	79.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Charlotte FC corners (+3.5)	66.4%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Charlotte FC corners (+2.5)	57.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
D.C. United corners (-1.5)	52.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Charlotte FC corners (+1.5)	47.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
D.C. United corners (-2.5)	42.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
D.C. United corners (-3.5)	33.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Charlotte FC corners (-1.5)	20.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Charlotte FC corners (-2.5)	14.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Charlotte FC corners (-3.5)	9.6%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	42.0%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
0-8 corners	29.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
9-11 corners	28.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	66.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 9.5 corners	60.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 11.5 corners	58.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	51.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 10.5 corners	48.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 11.5 corners	42.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	39.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 12.5 corners	33.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 8.5 corners	29.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.6%	11.6%	10.3%	1.13×	8.62
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.46
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.90×	60.45
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	60.46
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.48×	60.45
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	60.46
2-0	4.7%	1.7%	6.3%	0.26×	60.45
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.69×	60.45
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.7%	0.96×	60.46
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.40×	60.46
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	4.9%	0.34×	60.45
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	60.46
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.63×	60.46
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	60.46
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.31×	60.46
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.69×	60.46
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.03×	60.46
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	60.46
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	60.47
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.35×	60.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC leading at HT (DNB)	53.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
D.C. United leading at HT (DNB)	46.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or Charlotte FC (12)	74.9%	72.6%	75.1%	0.97×	1.38
Charlotte FC or draw (X2)	68.0%	68.4%	54.6%	1.25×	1.46
D.C. United or draw (1X)	57.1%	58.7%	70.1%	0.84×	1.70

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw at HT	72.5%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
D.C. United or draw at HT	68.8%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
D.C. United or Charlotte FC at HT	58.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw (1UP)	68.0%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
D.C. United or draw (1UP)	57.1%	65.2%	—	—	1.53

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC or draw in 2nd half	72.0%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
D.C. United or Charlotte FC in 2nd half	66.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
D.C. United or draw in 2nd half	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.5%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Neither half drawn	39.5%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (DNB)	57.3%	56.4%	39.7%	1.42×	1.77
D.C. United (DNB)	42.7%	43.6%	60.3%	0.72×	2.29

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score first	51.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
D.C. United to score first	43.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
No goal scored	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.4%	59.2%	61.1%	0.97×	1.69
Not both teams to score	39.6%	40.8%	38.9%	1.05×	2.45

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.7%	45.0%	50.9%	0.89×	2.22
Not both score & under 2.5	30.9%	34.5%	29.9%	1.15×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.0%	10.3%	1.17×	8.31
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.65

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.8%	82.5%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.2%	17.5%	20.5%	0.86×	5.70

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.9%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Both score 2nd half only	26.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Both score in both halves	7.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	21.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
A half without a goal	41.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	46.8%	42.5%	1.10×	2.14
4-6 goals	31.8%	31.4%	33.1%	0.95×	3.18
0-1 goals	19.5%	19.5%	20.5%	0.95×	5.13
7+ goals	3.3%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.65

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score exactly 1	32.1%	32.8%	34.6%	0.95×	3.05
Charlotte FC to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.1%	22.1%	1.23×	3.69
Charlotte FC to score 3+	22.2%	22.9%	16.7%	1.37×	4.36
Charlotte FC to score exactly 0	19.8%	18.4%	26.8%	0.69×	5.43

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
D.C. United to score exactly 0	25.4%	26.5%	18.0%	1.47×	3.78
D.C. United to score exactly 2	23.9%	22.7%	26.0%	0.87×	4.40
D.C. United to score 3+	16.0%	18.3%	25.2%	0.73×	5.45

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Charlotte FC leading at HT	31.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
D.C. United leading at HT	27.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC -1: 1	57.1%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Charlotte FC -1: 2	22.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.34
Charlotte FC -1: X	20.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:1)	68.0%	64.7%	54.6%	1.18×	1.55
Draw (0:1)	17.5%	18.4%	22.2%	0.83×	5.45
D.C. United (0:1)	14.5%	13.0%	23.3%	0.56×	7.68

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:2)	85.5%	87.0%	76.7%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.4%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.55
D.C. United (0:2)	5.2%	7.4%	10.5%	0.70×	13.58

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:3)	94.8%	93.1%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.3%	6.6%	0.35×	43.35
D.C. United (0:3)	1.5%	2.3%	4.0%	0.57×	43.41

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (0:4)	98.5%	98.0%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.3%	2.1%	0.62×	78.01
D.C. United (0:4)	0.4%	1.3%	2.1%	0.62×	78.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (1:0)	57.1%	60.2%	70.1%	0.86×	1.66
Charlotte FC (1:0)	22.2%	21.8%	13.2%	1.65×	4.60
Draw (1:0)	20.7%	21.7%	16.8%	1.29×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (2:0)	77.8%	80.1%	86.8%	0.92×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	13.0%	10.9%	8.7%	1.25×	9.17
Charlotte FC (2:0)	9.1%	6.5%	4.6%	1.43×	15.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	24.2%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to concede	80.2%	83.0%	73.2%	1.13×	1.21
D.C. United clean sheet	19.8%	17.1%	26.8%	0.64×	5.87

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United clean sheet in 1st half	52.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
D.C. United to concede in 1st half	47.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United over 2.5 corners	89.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
D.C. United over 3.5 corners	80.5%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
D.C. United over 4.5 corners	68.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
D.C. United over 5.5 corners	56.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
D.C. United under 6.5 corners	55.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
D.C. United over 6.5 corners	44.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
D.C. United under 5.5 corners	43.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
D.C. United under 4.5 corners	31.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
D.C. United under 3.5 corners	19.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
D.C. United under 2.5 corners	10.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.7%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
D.C. United under 2.5 goals	84.0%	82.6%	74.8%	1.10×	1.21
D.C. United over 0.5 goals	74.6%	74.4%	82.0%	0.91×	1.34
D.C. United under 1.5 goals	60.2%	62.5%	48.9%	1.28×	1.60
D.C. United over 1.5 goals	39.8%	37.5%	51.1%	0.73×	2.67
D.C. United under 0.5 goals	25.4%	25.6%	18.0%	1.42×	3.91
D.C. United over 2.5 goals	16.0%	17.4%	25.2%	0.69×	5.76
D.C. United over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.3%	9.4%	0.78×	13.69

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 1.5 in 1st half	88.1%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
D.C. United under 0.5 in 1st half	55.4%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
D.C. United over 0.5 in 1st half	44.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
D.C. United over 1.5 in 1st half	11.9%	13.1%	—	—	7.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC (home no bet)	63.1%	60.2%	54.6%	1.10×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	36.9%	39.8%	45.4%	0.88×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United even goals	53.2%	50.8%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
D.C. United odd goals	46.8%	49.2%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
HT 0-1	18.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
HT 1-0	17.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
HT 0-2	6.1%	7.8%	—	—	12.86
HT 2-0	5.0%	7.8%	—	—	12.88
Any other HT score	5.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.76
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	40.83
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	40.84
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	40.95

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	24.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
D.C. United at HT / D.C. United at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	15.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Draw at HT / D.C. United at FT	11.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
D.C. United at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.45
Charlotte FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.7%	—	—	27.06
D.C. United at HT / Charlotte FC at FT	3.2%	3.7%	—	—	27.11
Charlotte FC at HT / D.C. United at FT	2.1%	3.7%	—	—	27.14

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to score last	51.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
D.C. United to score last	43.3%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
No goal scored	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Charlotte FC to lead by 1 at any time	60.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
D.C. United to lead by 1 at any time	51.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Charlotte FC to lead by 2 at any time	29.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
D.C. United to lead by 2 at any time	21.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
Charlotte FC to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.25
D.C. United to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United most corners	62.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Charlotte FC most corners	28.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	9.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.2%	75.5%	1.04×	1.28
1-4 goals	76.2%	78.2%	73.1%	1.07×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.5%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	62.9%	58.4%	1.08×	1.59
1-3 goals	59.4%	58.6%	57.2%	1.03×	1.71
3-6 goals	54.2%	53.3%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.2%	47.4%	48.9%	0.97×	2.11
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.4%	42.5%	1.11×	2.11
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.0%	38.8%	1.00×	2.56
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.0%	34.4%	1.13×	2.57
4-6 goals	31.8%	34.7%	33.1%	1.05×	2.88
4-5 goals	26.8%	28.7%	26.1%	1.10×	3.48
5-6 goals	15.0%	18.9%	17.2%	1.10×	5.29
7+ goals	3.3%	2.1%	4.1%	0.52×	46.79

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC never behind	43.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
D.C. United never behind	34.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.1%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.9%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.7%	82.0%	78.8%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.0%	79.5%	1.03×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.9%	62.4%	62.9%	0.99×	1.60
Over 2.5 goals	57.5%	57.3%	59.9%	0.96×	1.75
Under 2.5 goals	42.5%	42.7%	40.1%	1.06×	2.34
Over 3.5 goals	35.1%	37.6%	37.1%	1.01×	2.66
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Over 4.5 goals	18.3%	18.0%	21.2%	0.85×	5.56
Over 5.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	11.1%	0.69×	13.00
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	13.01

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.5%	97.5%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.8%	91.9%	87.6%	1.05×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.0%	76.0%	74.8%	1.02×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.6%	72.3%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.8%	52.2%	51.9%	1.00×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.2%	47.8%	48.1%	0.99×	2.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.4%	27.7%	25.5%	1.08×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.0%	24.0%	25.2%	0.95×	4.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.2%	8.1%	12.4%	0.65×	12.42
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.5%	2.5%	4.4%	0.56×	40.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.1%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.8%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.2%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.9%	11.5%	—	—	8.68

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United not to score in both halves	75.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Charlotte FC not to score in both halves	70.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Charlotte FC to score in both halves	29.7%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
D.C. United to score in both halves	24.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.4%	61.6%	61.1%	1.01×	1.62
Only Charlotte FC scores	19.9%	16.4%	12.3%	1.34×	6.10
Only D.C. United scores	14.3%	11.0%	21.1%	0.52×	9.12
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.0%	5.8%	1.20×	14.29

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.9%	22.4%	19.7%	1.14×	4.46
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.4%	22.9%	0.98×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.8%	16.0%	1.11×	5.62
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.2%	14.8%	0.83×	8.19
Exactly 5 goals	10.0%	12.2%	10.2%	1.20×	8.20
6 or more goals	8.3%	7.6%	11.1%	0.68×	13.21
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.21

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
No goals in 2nd half	17.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United not to win both halves	92.2%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Charlotte FC not to win both halves	87.9%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Charlotte FC to win both halves	12.1%	12.5%	—	—	7.98
D.C. United to win both halves	7.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.82

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Charlotte FC to win either half	57.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
D.C. United to win neither half	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
D.C. United to win either half	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Charlotte FC to win neither half	42.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United not to win to nil	85.7%	88.3%	78.9%	1.12×	1.13
Charlotte FC not to win to nil	80.1%	83.3%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
Charlotte FC to win to nil	19.9%	16.7%	12.3%	1.36×	5.99
D.C. United to win to nil	14.3%	11.7%	21.1%	0.56×	8.53

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.1%	28.2%	24.9%	1.14×	3.54
Charlotte FC by 1	20.7%	23.5%	16.8%	1.39×	4.26
D.C. United by 1	17.5%	17.5%	22.2%	0.79×	5.70
Charlotte FC by 2	13.0%	11.6%	8.7%	1.34×	8.59
D.C. United by 2	9.4%	7.1%	12.8%	0.55×	14.12
Charlotte FC by 3+	9.1%	7.1%	4.6%	1.55×	14.12
D.C. United by 3+	5.2%	7.1%	10.5%	0.67×	14.13