De Graafschap v TOP Oss — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

De Graafschap

19:00 UTC

TOP Oss

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 560h before kick-off

De Graafschap win

55.8%

model 59.7%

Draw

22.1%

model 20.0%

TOP Oss win

22.1%

model 20.3%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.8%
1-1 9.1%
2-0 8.6%
1-0 8.6%
3-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.8%	Under 2.5	37.2%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
De Graafschap 1+	87.8%	De Graafschap 2+	62.0%
TOP Oss 1+	68.0%	TOP Oss 2+	31.5%

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

De Graafschap (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

TOP Oss (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 88%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

De Graafschap carry the stronger rating, 1486 Elo against 1378.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

De Graafschap have an estimated 55.8% win probability, against 22.1% for TOP Oss and 22.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.10 for De Graafschap and 1.14 for TOP Oss.

Why De Graafschap

De Graafschap carry the stronger rating, 1486 Elo against 1378.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why TOP Oss can win

Nothing in the data singles out TOP Oss.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for De Graafschap, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for TOP Oss, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

De Graafschap: 52% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. TOP Oss: 38% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. De Graafschap's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

De Graafschap are the model's most likely outcome at 55.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	602020	2.10–1.14	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	631918	2.18–1.07	2-1 10%	63%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to win	62.9%	58.2%	44.5%	1.31×	1.72
Draw	19.2%	19.4%	22.1%	0.88×	5.15
TOP Oss to win	17.9%	19.4%	33.5%	0.58×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap & both teams score	32.1%	29.6%	22.0%	1.35×	3.38
De Graafschap & not both score	30.8%	29.6%	22.6%	1.31×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	15.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
TOP Oss & both teams score	10.1%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
TOP Oss & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	14.0%	0.59×	12.01
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap & over 1.5	54.1%	48.9%	37.0%	1.32×	2.04
De Graafschap & over 2.5	44.8%	40.3%	30.8%	1.31×	2.48
De Graafschap & under 3.5	34.7%	30.8%	25.7%	1.20×	3.25
De Graafschap & over 3.5	28.2%	26.1%	18.9%	1.38×	3.84
De Graafschap & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	13.8%	1.31×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
TOP Oss & over 1.5	13.4%	12.8%	27.4%	0.47×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.4%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.4%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
TOP Oss & under 3.5	12.3%	12.8%	19.8%	0.65×	7.79
TOP Oss & over 2.5	11.2%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
De Graafschap & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
TOP Oss & under 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
TOP Oss & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
TOP Oss & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.3%	0.77×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (1UP)	75.6%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
TOP Oss (1UP)	37.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (2UP)	62.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
TOP Oss (2UP)	17.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to win 2nd half	50.9%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
2nd half drawn	29.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
TOP Oss to win 2nd half	19.3%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.5%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.5%	13.3%	—	—	7.54

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
De Graafschap under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
De Graafschap over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
De Graafschap under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (+0.5)	82.1%	82.5%	66.5%	1.24×	1.21
TOP Oss (+2.5)	79.3%	78.5%	88.2%	0.89×	1.27
De Graafschap (-0.5)	62.9%	62.9%	44.5%	1.42×	1.59
TOP Oss (+1.5)	60.4%	62.9%	75.6%	0.83×	1.59
De Graafschap (-1.5)	39.6%	37.1%	24.4%	1.52×	2.70
TOP Oss (+0.5)	37.1%	37.1%	55.5%	0.67×	2.70
De Graafschap (-2.5)	20.7%	21.5%	11.8%	1.82×	4.65
TOP Oss (-0.5)	17.9%	17.5%	33.5%	0.52×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede	88.6%	86.3%	81.3%	1.06×	1.16
TOP Oss clean sheet	11.4%	13.7%	18.7%	0.73×	7.31

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede in 1st half	60.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
TOP Oss clean sheet in 1st half	39.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede in 2nd half	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
TOP Oss clean sheet in 2nd half	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss over 2.5 corners	80.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
TOP Oss under 6.5 corners	78.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
TOP Oss under 5.5 corners	66.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
TOP Oss over 3.5 corners	65.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
TOP Oss under 4.5 corners	51.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
TOP Oss over 4.5 corners	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
TOP Oss under 3.5 corners	35.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
TOP Oss over 5.5 corners	33.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
TOP Oss over 6.5 corners	22.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
TOP Oss under 2.5 corners	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
TOP Oss under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
TOP Oss under 1.5 goals	71.2%	71.9%	58.0%	1.24×	1.39
TOP Oss over 0.5 goals	65.6%	68.0%	72.7%	0.93×	1.47
TOP Oss under 0.5 goals	34.4%	32.0%	27.3%	1.17×	3.12
TOP Oss over 1.5 goals	28.9%	28.1%	42.0%	0.67×	3.55
TOP Oss over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	18.6%	0.41×	13.04
TOP Oss over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.44

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss scores equally in both	44.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
TOP Oss scores more in 2nd half	34.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
TOP Oss scores more in 1st half	20.7%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (away no bet)	76.6%	73.6%	66.8%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.4%	26.5%	33.2%	0.80×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss even goals	55.9%	56.9%	57.0%	1.00×	1.76
TOP Oss odd goals	44.1%	43.1%	43.0%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.2%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
De Graafschap to score 2+ in a row	55.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
De Graafschap to score 3+ in a row	26.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
TOP Oss to score 2+ in a row	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
TOP Oss to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap corners (+3.5)	94.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
De Graafschap corners (+2.5)	91.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
De Graafschap corners (+1.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
De Graafschap corners (-1.5)	64.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
De Graafschap corners (-2.5)	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
TOP Oss corners (+3.5)	54.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
De Graafschap corners (-3.5)	45.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
TOP Oss corners (+2.5)	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
TOP Oss corners (+1.5)	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
TOP Oss corners (-1.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
TOP Oss corners (-2.5)	8.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
TOP Oss corners (-3.5)	5.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	57.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	25.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	17.4%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	88.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Over 8.5 corners	82.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 9.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 11.5 corners	57.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 12.5 corners	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	43.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 10.5 corners	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 9.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 8.5 corners	17.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Under 7.5 corners	11.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	8.8%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.50
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
3-0	6.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.51
3-1	7.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
Any other score	7.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.50
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.29
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
0-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
3-2	3.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	3.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
4-1	3.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (2nd half DNB)	72.5%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
TOP Oss (2nd half DNB)	27.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap leading at HT (DNB)	74.1%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
TOP Oss leading at HT (DNB)	25.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap or draw (1X)	82.1%	80.6%	66.5%	1.21×	1.24
De Graafschap or TOP Oss (12)	80.8%	80.6%	77.9%	1.03×	1.24
TOP Oss or draw (X2)	37.1%	41.8%	55.5%	0.75×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap or draw at HT	83.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
De Graafschap or TOP Oss at HT	63.2%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
TOP Oss or draw at HT	53.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap or draw (1UP)	82.1%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
TOP Oss or draw (1UP)	37.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap or draw in 2nd half	80.7%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
De Graafschap or TOP Oss in 2nd half	70.2%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
TOP Oss or draw in 2nd half	49.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.0%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (DNB)	77.9%	74.7%	57.0%	1.31×	1.34
TOP Oss (DNB)	22.1%	25.3%	43.0%	0.59×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to score first	64.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
TOP Oss to score first	31.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.8%	55.0%	58.8%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.2%	45.0%	41.2%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.0%	44.4%	49.5%	0.90×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	28.4%	33.3%	28.3%	1.18×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	13.8%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.6%	82.6%	79.0%	1.05×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.4%	17.4%	21.0%	0.83×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	7.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.0%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.9%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	37.1%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.5%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	36.0%	35.1%	37.6%	0.93×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.9%	20.2%	18.4%	1.10×	4.94
7+ goals	4.7%	1.9%	3.2%	0.58×	54.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
TOP Oss to score exactly 0	34.4%	33.8%	27.3%	1.24×	2.95
TOP Oss to score exactly 2	19.6%	19.6%	23.6%	0.83×	5.11
TOP Oss to score 3+	9.3%	8.6%	18.6%	0.46×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to score 3+	37.0%	35.6%	25.6%	1.39×	2.81
De Graafschap to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
De Graafschap to score exactly 1	24.7%	23.3%	30.2%	0.77×	4.29
De Graafschap to score exactly 0	11.4%	14.3%	18.7%	0.77×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap leading at HT	46.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	36.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
TOP Oss leading at HT	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap -1: 1	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
De Graafschap -1: 2	37.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
De Graafschap -1: X	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (0:1)	39.6%	37.4%	24.4%	1.53×	2.68
TOP Oss (0:1)	37.1%	37.3%	55.5%	0.67×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.3%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:2)	60.4%	67.0%	75.6%	0.89×	1.49
De Graafschap (0:2)	20.7%	20.3%	11.8%	1.72×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	18.8%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:3)	79.3%	80.6%	88.2%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.6%	9.9%	5.7%	1.76×	10.06
De Graafschap (0:3)	9.1%	5.8%	6.3%	0.93×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (0:4)	90.9%	94.5%	93.7%	1.01×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.7%	4.6%	4.3%	1.07×	21.77
De Graafschap (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (1:0)	82.1%	81.3%	66.5%	1.22×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.6%	12.7%	18.2%	0.70×	7.88
TOP Oss (1:0)	6.3%	6.9%	15.5%	0.45×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap (2:0)	93.7%	94.0%	84.5%	1.11×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	8.8%	0.26×	43.55
TOP Oss (2:0)	1.8%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.72

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to concede	65.6%	66.6%	72.7%	0.92×	1.50
De Graafschap clean sheet	34.4%	33.4%	27.3%	1.22×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
De Graafschap to concede in 1st half	34.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap clean sheet in 2nd half	52.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
De Graafschap to concede in 2nd half	47.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap over 2.5 corners	96.1%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
De Graafschap over 3.5 corners	90.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
De Graafschap over 4.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
De Graafschap over 5.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
De Graafschap over 6.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
De Graafschap under 6.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
De Graafschap under 5.5 corners	26.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
De Graafschap under 4.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
De Graafschap under 3.5 corners	9.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
De Graafschap under 2.5 corners	3.9%	5.1%	—	—	19.52

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap over 0.5 goals	88.6%	87.3%	81.3%	1.07×	1.15
De Graafschap under 3.5 goals	82.5%	82.2%	89.9%	0.91×	1.22
De Graafschap over 1.5 goals	63.9%	63.6%	51.2%	1.24×	1.57
De Graafschap under 2.5 goals	63.0%	63.6%	74.4%	0.85×	1.57
De Graafschap over 2.5 goals	37.0%	36.4%	25.6%	1.43×	2.75
De Graafschap under 1.5 goals	36.1%	36.4%	48.8%	0.75×	2.75
De Graafschap over 3.5 goals	17.5%	17.8%	10.1%	1.77×	5.62
De Graafschap under 0.5 goals	11.4%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap under 1.5 in 1st half	76.0%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
De Graafschap over 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
De Graafschap under 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
De Graafschap over 1.5 in 1st half	24.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap scores more in 2nd half	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
De Graafschap scores equally in both	28.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
De Graafschap scores more in 1st half	27.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.8%	51.4%	39.7%	1.29×	1.95
TOP Oss (home no bet)	48.2%	48.6%	60.3%	0.81×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap even goals	50.6%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
De Graafschap odd goals	49.4%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.6%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
HT 2-0	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 0-1	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Any other HT score	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap at HT / De Graafschap at FT	40.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / De Graafschap at FT	18.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
TOP Oss at HT / TOP Oss at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Draw at HT / TOP Oss at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
De Graafschap at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
TOP Oss at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
TOP Oss at HT / De Graafschap at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
De Graafschap at HT / TOP Oss at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to score last	64.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
TOP Oss to score last	31.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
De Graafschap to lead by 1 at any time	75.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
De Graafschap to lead by 2 at any time	47.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
TOP Oss to lead by 1 at any time	37.1%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
De Graafschap to lead by 3 at any time	24.2%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
TOP Oss to lead by 2 at any time	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
TOP Oss to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	—	—	61.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap most corners	73.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
TOP Oss most corners	19.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	7.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.4%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.7%	72.4%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.5%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.2%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.8%	59.1%	54.7%	1.08×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.5%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.30
4-6 goals	36.0%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
1-2 goals	33.5%	35.2%	32.9%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.7%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	18.0%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.7%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.01

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap never behind	59.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
TOP Oss never behind	20.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.1%	82.3%	81.6%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.4%	77.3%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.8%	61.7%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	59.4%	58.6%	59.3%	0.99×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.6%	41.4%	40.7%	1.02×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.2%	38.3%	37.6%	1.02×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.6%	22.7%	21.3%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.9%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.0%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.6%	86.7%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.8%	75.9%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.4%	72.4%	73.6%	0.98×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.2%	51.9%	52.0%	1.00×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.8%	48.1%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.6%	27.6%	26.4%	1.05×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.2%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.4%	13.3%	10.2%	1.30×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.0%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.51

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.3%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.4%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.7%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to score in both halves	83.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
De Graafschap not to score in both halves	56.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
De Graafschap to score in both halves	43.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
TOP Oss to score in both halves	16.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.8%	58.6%	58.8%	1.00×	1.71
Only De Graafschap scores	30.8%	33.3%	22.6%	1.47×	3.01
Only TOP Oss scores	7.8%	7.1%	14.0%	0.51×	14.04
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.69

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.2%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.3%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.0%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	15.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.9%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to win both halves	96.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
De Graafschap not to win both halves	76.2%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
De Graafschap to win both halves	23.8%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
TOP Oss to win both halves	3.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap to win either half	74.0%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
TOP Oss to win neither half	67.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
TOP Oss to win either half	32.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
De Graafschap to win neither half	26.0%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss not to win to nil	92.2%	92.1%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
De Graafschap not to win to nil	69.2%	69.7%	77.4%	0.90×	1.44
De Graafschap to win to nil	30.8%	30.3%	22.6%	1.34×	3.30
TOP Oss to win to nil	7.8%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.65

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
De Graafschap by 1	23.3%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
De Graafschap by 3+	20.7%	24.1%	11.8%	2.04×	4.15
Draw	19.2%	17.1%	22.1%	0.77×	5.86
De Graafschap by 2	18.8%	17.1%	12.8%	1.33×	5.86
TOP Oss by 1	11.6%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.51
TOP Oss by 2	4.5%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.76
TOP Oss by 3+	1.8%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.85