Deportes Concepcion v Palestino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Deportes Concepcion

20:00 UTC

Palestino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Deportes Concepcion win

49.2%

model 47.7%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.9%

Palestino win

27.8%

model 29.4%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.9%
0-1 11.4%
1-1 10.6%
2-1 8.8%
2-0 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.4%	Under 2.5	57.6%
BTTS yes	45.1%	BTTS no	54.9%
Deportes Concepcion 1+	74.8%	Deportes Concepcion 2+	40.0%
Palestino 1+	63.2%	Palestino 2+	26.4%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 42%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Palestino not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Concepcion have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for Palestino and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.38 for Deportes Concepcion and 1.00 for Palestino.

Why Deportes Concepcion

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Palestino can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Concepcion, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Palestino, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Concepcion: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Palestino: 61% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportes Concepcion are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.9%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482329	1.38–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472429	1.30–0.94	1-0 16%	39%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win	47.0%	47.4%	49.0%	0.97×	2.11
Palestino to win	29.1%	27.9%	30.0%	0.93×	3.58
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & not both score	30.7%	29.6%	26.8%	1.10×	3.38
Palestino & not both score	18.8%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Deportes Concepcion & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	22.4%	0.80×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	15.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Palestino & both teams score	10.3%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & under 3.5	37.4%	34.9%	34.1%	1.02×	2.87
Deportes Concepcion & over 1.5	31.0%	30.7%	36.1%	0.85×	3.25
Deportes Concepcion & under 2.5	25.1%	26.1%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
Palestino & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Deportes Concepcion & over 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	29.3%	0.74×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	19.3%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.55
Palestino & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Palestino & under 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.56
Deportes Concepcion & under 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Palestino & under 1.5	12.2%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Palestino & over 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Deportes Concepcion & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.81
Palestino & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1UP)	59.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Palestino (1UP)	42.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2UP)	47.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Palestino (2UP)	29.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Deportes Concepcion to win 2nd half	36.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Palestino to win 2nd half	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.0%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Palestino under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Palestino over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Palestino over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.0%	12.8%	—	—	7.82

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (+2.5)	92.6%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Palestino (+1.5)	79.4%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
Deportes Concepcion (+0.5)	70.9%	73.6%	70.0%	1.05×	1.36
Palestino (+0.5)	53.0%	52.4%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Deportes Concepcion (-0.5)	47.0%	47.6%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
Palestino (-0.5)	29.1%	26.4%	30.0%	0.88×	3.80
Deportes Concepcion (-1.5)	20.6%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.65
Deportes Concepcion (-2.5)	7.4%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to concede	72.7%	76.7%	78.5%	0.98×	1.30
Palestino clean sheet	27.3%	23.3%	21.5%	1.09×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino clean sheet in 1st half	57.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Palestino to concede in 1st half	42.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to concede in 2nd half	52.3%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Palestino clean sheet in 2nd half	47.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 6.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Palestino under 5.5 corners	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Palestino over 2.5 corners	70.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Palestino under 4.5 corners	63.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Palestino over 3.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Palestino under 3.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Palestino over 4.5 corners	36.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Palestino under 2.5 corners	29.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Palestino over 5.5 corners	23.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Palestino over 6.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Palestino under 2.5 goals	93.1%	92.4%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
Palestino under 1.5 goals	75.9%	76.2%	68.5%	1.11×	1.31
Palestino over 0.5 goals	60.9%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
Palestino under 0.5 goals	39.1%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
Palestino over 1.5 goals	24.1%	23.8%	31.5%	0.76×	4.21
Palestino over 2.5 goals	6.9%	7.6%	11.7%	0.65×	13.08
Palestino over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino under 1.5 in 1st half	94.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Palestino under 0.5 in 1st half	68.7%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Palestino over 0.5 in 1st half	31.3%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Palestino over 1.5 in 1st half	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino scores equally in both	47.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Palestino scores more in 2nd half	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Palestino scores more in 1st half	19.6%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (away no bet)	66.4%	66.4%	69.8%	0.95×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.6%	33.6%	30.2%	1.11×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino even goals	57.7%	56.9%	53.7%	1.06×	1.76
Palestino odd goals	42.3%	43.1%	46.3%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	8.7%	—	—	11.55

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Deportes Concepcion to score 2+ in a row	31.2%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Palestino to score 2+ in a row	18.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+ in a row	10.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Palestino to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.45

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion corners (+3.5)	87.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Palestino corners (+3.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportes Concepcion corners (+2.5)	80.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Palestino corners (+2.5)	74.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Concepcion corners (+1.5)	70.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Palestino corners (+1.5)	64.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Deportes Concepcion corners (-1.5)	35.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Palestino corners (-1.5)	29.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Deportes Concepcion corners (-2.5)	25.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Palestino corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Deportes Concepcion corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Palestino corners (-3.5)	12.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.1%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 7.5 corners	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	24.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	11.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.1%	13.8%	13.2%	1.05×	7.24
0-1	12.2%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.71
1-1	10.8%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
0-0	8.5%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
2-0	9.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-0	3.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2nd half DNB)	58.9%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Palestino (2nd half DNB)	41.1%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT (DNB)	61.9%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Palestino leading at HT (DNB)	38.1%	33.6%	—	—	2.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or Palestino (12)	76.1%	75.5%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1X)	70.9%	72.1%	70.0%	1.03×	1.39
Palestino or draw (X2)	53.0%	52.6%	51.0%	1.03×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw at HT	79.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Palestino or draw at HT	67.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Deportes Concepcion or Palestino at HT	52.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1UP)	70.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Palestino or draw (1UP)	53.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw in 2nd half	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Palestino or draw in 2nd half	63.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Deportes Concepcion or Palestino in 2nd half	61.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (DNB)	61.8%	62.7%	62.0%	1.01×	1.60
Palestino (DNB)	38.2%	37.3%	38.0%	0.98×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score first	53.1%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Palestino to score first	38.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	57.9%	55.0%	48.0%	1.14×	1.82
Both teams to score	42.1%	45.0%	52.0%	0.87×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.5%	47.2%	38.0%	1.24×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	31.2%	34.6%	42.9%	0.81×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	10.8%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.0%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.0%	11.0%	15.4%	0.72×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.2%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.8%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	10.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	3.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.0%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.0%	15.1%	—	—	6.61

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	43.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.5%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	36.8%	35.0%	27.8%	1.26×	2.85
4-6 goals	18.0%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to score exactly 0	39.1%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
Palestino to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.78
Palestino to score exactly 2	17.2%	19.5%	20.0%	0.98×	5.12
Palestino to score 3+	6.9%	8.5%	11.7%	0.73×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 0	27.3%	26.6%	21.5%	1.24×	3.77
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.3%	26.3%	0.88×	4.29
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+	14.3%	14.3%	21.0%	0.68×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT	32.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Palestino leading at HT	20.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion -1: 2	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Deportes Concepcion -1: X	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Deportes Concepcion -1: 1	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:1)	53.0%	51.3%	51.0%	1.01×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	26.4%	27.0%	26.1%	1.03×	3.70
Deportes Concepcion (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:2)	79.4%	79.4%	76.8%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.3%	11.0%	12.9%	0.85×	9.10
Deportes Concepcion (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:3)	92.6%	92.7%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.28
Deportes Concepcion (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.79
Deportes Concepcion (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1:0)	70.9%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	20.0%	0.86×	5.84
Palestino (1:0)	9.4%	6.9%	10.2%	0.67×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2:0)	90.6%	94.0%	89.8%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	6.3%	1.01×	15.66
Palestino (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to concede	60.9%	63.6%	68.5%	0.93×	1.57
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet	39.1%	36.4%	31.5%	1.16×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 1st half	68.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 1st half	31.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 2nd half	57.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 2nd half	43.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 6.5 corners	82.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportes Concepcion under 5.5 corners	71.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportes Concepcion under 4.5 corners	58.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportes Concepcion over 4.5 corners	41.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportes Concepcion over 5.5 corners	28.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportes Concepcion over 6.5 corners	17.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 goals	95.7%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.3%	79.0%	1.10×	1.15
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	78.5%	0.95×	1.35
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 goals	62.7%	63.6%	52.9%	1.20×	1.57
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 goals	37.3%	36.4%	47.1%	0.77×	2.75
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	21.5%	1.20×	3.88
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.7%	21.0%	0.61×	7.85
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 goals	4.3%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	9.8%	—	—	10.16

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion scores equally in both	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Deportes Concepcion scores more in 1st half	24.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino (home no bet)	55.0%	51.5%	58.6%	0.88×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.0%	48.5%	41.4%	1.17×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion even goals	53.7%	50.8%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Deportes Concepcion odd goals	46.3%	49.2%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.9%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	22.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	15.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 2-0	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	26.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Palestino at HT / Palestino at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Palestino at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Palestino at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Palestino at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Palestino at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score last	53.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Palestino to score last	38.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 1 at any time	59.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Palestino to lead by 1 at any time	42.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 2 at any time	25.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Palestino to lead by 2 at any time	13.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 3 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Palestino to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion most corners	47.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Palestino most corners	40.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.8%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.9%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.7%	72.3%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.4%	63.3%	70.0%	0.90×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.6%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.6%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.8%	53.2%	42.4%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.5%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-6 goals	37.9%	39.2%	50.7%	0.77×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.0%	39.2%	45.1%	0.87×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.1%	35.2%	39.0%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.0%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.1%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	2.4%	1.05×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion never behind	48.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Palestino never behind	32.5%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.2%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.8%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	85.9%	1.07×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	81.2%	82.3%	71.0%	1.16×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	63.2%	61.7%	72.2%	0.85×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	61.3%	61.7%	47.1%	1.31×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.7%	38.3%	52.9%	0.72×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	36.8%	38.3%	27.8%	1.38×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	18.8%	17.7%	29.0%	0.61×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	4.9%	1.59×	12.93
Over 4.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	14.1%	0.55×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.4%	92.4%	83.4%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.5%	75.9%	61.9%	1.23×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.3%	51.9%	65.6%	0.79×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.7%	48.1%	34.4%	1.40×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.5%	24.1%	38.1%	0.63×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.6%	7.6%	16.6%	0.46×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	8.6%	0.33×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.1%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.7%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino not to score in both halves	86.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Deportes Concepcion not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Deportes Concepcion to score in both halves	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Palestino to score in both halves	13.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	42.1%	46.6%	52.0%	0.90×	2.15
Only Deportes Concepcion scores	30.7%	33.3%	26.8%	1.24×	3.01
Only Palestino scores	18.8%	16.0%	16.8%	0.95×	6.23
Neither team scores	8.5%	7.1%	4.9%	1.47×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	28.3%	24.9%	23.2%	1.07×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	24.1%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	8.5%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.32
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	37.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.9%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	26.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino not to win both halves	95.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportes Concepcion not to win both halves	88.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Deportes Concepcion to win both halves	11.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Palestino to win both halves	4.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.25

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino to win neither half	59.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Deportes Concepcion to win either half	57.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Deportes Concepcion to win neither half	42.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Palestino to win either half	40.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Palestino not to win to nil	81.2%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
Deportes Concepcion not to win to nil	69.3%	69.7%	73.2%	0.95×	1.43
Deportes Concepcion to win to nil	30.7%	30.3%	26.8%	1.13×	3.30
Palestino to win to nil	18.8%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion by 1	26.4%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	21.2%	1.14×	4.15
Palestino by 1	19.7%	17.1%	20.0%	0.85×	5.86
Deportes Concepcion by 2	13.3%	11.8%	12.9%	0.91×	8.50
Deportes Concepcion by 3+	7.4%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.91
Palestino by 2	6.9%	7.2%	6.3%	1.13×	13.91
Palestino by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.89